UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

Results UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Sat 16 Nov 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
W Jon Jones 27-1 (1 NC) · -565 2,181Elo
KO/TKOR3 4:29 Heavyweight Title fight
Stipe Miocic 20-4 · +443 2,062Elo
The fight in full →
Ratings and records are as they stood going in; prices are the closing consensus.
  1. 1 Jon Jones 27-1 (1 NC) · 2,181 · -565 W KO/TKO R3 4:29 model 71% Title Heavyweight Stipe Miocic 20-4 · 2,062 · +443
  2. 2 Charles Oliveira 34-10 (1 NC) · 2,296 · -250 W U-Dec R5 model 83% Lightweight Michael Chandler 23-8 · 1,998 · +210
  3. 3 Bo Nickal 6-0 · 1,706 · -1269 W U-Dec R3 model 57% Middleweight Paul Craig 17-8-1 · 1,770 · +778
  4. 4 Viviane Araujo 12-6 · 1,577 · +240 W U-Dec R3 · upset model 36% Flyweight Karine Silva 18-4 · 1,734 · -290
  5. 5 Mauricio Ruffy 10-1 · 1,698 · -900 W U-Dec R3 model 70% Welterweight James Llontop 14-4 (1 NC) · 1,503 · +600
  6. 6 Marcus McGhee 9-1 · 1,644 · -122 W U-Dec R3 model 16% Bantamweight Jonathan Martinez 20-5 · 1,862 · +106
  7. 7 Jim Miller 37-18 (1 NC) · 1,823 · +165 W Sub R1 2:44 · upset model 65% Lightweight Damon Jackson 23-7-1 (1 NC) · 1,653 · -190
  8. 8 David Onama 13-2 · 1,822 · -1143 W U-Dec R3 model 88% Lightweight Roberto Romero 9-3-1 · 1,459 · +703
  9. 9 Marcin Tybura 25-9 · 1,787 · -122 W KO/TKO R2 5:00 model 51% Heavyweight Jhonata Diniz 8-0 · 1,662 · +107
  10. 10 Ramiz Brahimaj 10-5 · 1,431 · +122 W KO/TKO R1 2:55 · upset model 41% Welterweight Mickey Gall 7-6 · 1,498 · -141
  11. 11 Oban Elliott 11-2 · 1,733 · -298 W KO/TKO R3 0:40 model 69% Welterweight Bassil Hafez 9-4-1 · 1,617 · +240
  12. 12 Eduarda Moura 10-1 · 1,524 · +107 W U-Dec R3 · upset model 51% Flyweight Veronica Hardy 9-4-1 · 1,465 · -125

Cheat sheet

One row per fighter, main event first. Colour is scaled to this card: green is the better of the two, or the shorter price. Hover a heading for what it means.
# Fighter Elo Method ratings Attributes Wins Losses Division Crowd To win Overs Unders Result Fighter
KOSubDec Age Ht Rch Record KOSubDec KOSubDec Win KO Sub Dec ML KO Sub Dec ITD R1 R2 O1.5 R3 O2.5 Dec U1.5 U2.5 ITD
1
★
 Jon Jones 2,181 1,774 1,437 1,623 37 6'4" 84" 27-1 (1 NC) 10 7 10 0 0 0 Heavyweight 87% 33% 34% 20% -565 +115 +200 +400 -325 +250 -325 -173 -125 +105 +350 +132 -135 -500 W KO/TKO R3 4:29 Jon Jones
Stipe Miocic 2,062 1,854 1,334 1,511 42 6'4" 80" 20-4 15 0 5 3 0 1 13% 11% 0% 2% +443 +650 +3000 +1200 +625 +1600 L Stipe Miocic
2 Charles Oliveira 2,296 1,695 1,513 1,595 35 5'10" 74" 34-10 (1 NC) 10 21 3 4 4 2 Lightweight 79% 14% 62% 3% -250 +215 +135 +1000 -200 +225 -105 -105 +150 +200 +500 -125 -275 -800 W U-Dec R5 Charles Oliveira
Michael Chandler 1,998 1,654 1,355 1,385 38 5'8" 72" 23-8 11 7 5 4 1 3 21% 19% 1% 1% +210 +375 +900 +1000 +250 +500 L Michael Chandler
3 Bo Nickal 1,706 1,354 1,381 1,166 28 6'1" 76" 6-0 2 4 0 0 0 0 Middleweight 90% 60% 19% 12% -1269 -140 +175 +750 -700 -130 -- +140 -- +350 +550 -170 -549 -900 W U-Dec R3 Bo Nickal
Paul Craig 1,770 1,344 1,357 1,256 36 6'3" 76" 17-8-1 4 13 0 5 2 1 10% 1% 8% 1% +778 +2800 +1100 +1600 +825 +2500 L Paul Craig
4 Viviane Araujo 1,577 1,178 1,233 1,221 37 5'4" 68" 12-6 3 4 5 1 0 5 Flyweight 7% 0% 1% 6% +240 +1600 +1400 +275 +825 +2000 -900 -390 -347 -280 -220 +313 +220 +180 W U-Dec R3 Viviane Araujo
Karine Silva 1,734 1,168 1,507 1,275 30 5'5" 67" 18-4 8 9 1 1 2 1 93% 2% 13% 78% -290 +800 +325 +100 +200 +500 L Karine Silva
5 Mauricio Ruffy 1,698 1,505 1,149 1,250 28 5'11" 75" 10-1 10 0 0 1 0 0 Welterweight 97% 88% 2% 7% -900 -175 +900 +210 -200 +175 -- -160 -- +130 +165 +130 -175 -205 W U-Dec R3 Mauricio Ruffy
James Llontop 1,503 1,370 1,033 1,167 25 6'0" 73" 14-4 (1 NC) 7 1 6 0 2 2 3% 1% 0% 1% +600 +1400 +2500 +1200 +1100 +2000 L James Llontop
6 Marcus McGhee 1,644 1,453 1,147 1,211 34 5'8" 69" 9-1 8 1 0 0 1 0 Bantamweight 50% 29% 1% 19% -122 +230 +1400 +225 +165 +525 -556 -225 -197 -155 -120 +205 +125 -110 W U-Dec R3 Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez 1,862 1,465 1,297 1,355 30 5'8" 70" 20-5 10 2 8 1 0 3 50% 7% 1% 43% +106 +515 +1400 +200 +400 +900 L Jonathan Martinez
7 Jim Miller 1,823 1,426 1,423 1,265 41 5'8" 71" 37-18 (1 NC) 7 20 10 2 3 13 Lightweight 62% 15% 10% 37% +165 +350 +700 +450 +200 +450 -507 -275 -197 -138 -115 +215 +109 -115 W Sub R1 2:44 Jim Miller
Damon Jackson 1,653 1,330 1,342 1,199 36 5'11" 71" 23-7-1 (1 NC) 4 15 4 4 1 2 38% 3% 2% 33% -190 +600 +500 +150 +285 +800 L Damon Jackson
8 David Onama 1,822 1,457 1,307 1,287 30 5'11" 74" 13-2 8 4 1 0 0 2 Lightweight 96% 79% 3% 14% -1143 -110 +300 +300 -255 +210 -- -135 -- +155 +225 +105 -152 -285 W U-Dec R3 David Onama
Roberto Romero 1,459 1,185 1,193 1,107 24 5'8" 70" 9-3-1 3 2 4 1 0 2 4% 1% 1% 2% +703 +1200 +2500 +850 +900 +1600 L Roberto Romero
9 Marcin Tybura 1,787 1,494 1,224 1,296 39 6'3" 78" 25-9 9 7 9 5 1 3 Heavyweight 39% 7% 13% 19% -122 +425 +300 +350 +145 +400 -241 -147 +120 +162 +225 +117 -217 -285 W KO/TKO R2 5:00 Marcin Tybura
Jhonata Diniz 1,662 1,473 1,050 1,240 33 6'4" 80" 8-0 7 0 1 0 0 0 61% 54% 1% 6% +107 +150 +2500 +600 +145 +400 L Jhonata Diniz
10 Ramiz Brahimaj 1,431 1,209 1,391 998 31 5'10" 72" 10-5 0 10 0 1 0 4 Welterweight 53% 4% 9% 40% +122 +850 +450 -- +270 +600 -625 -273 -230 -175 -140 +198 +145 +110 W KO/TKO R1 2:55 Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall 1,498 1,159 1,330 1,091 32 6'2" 74" 7-6 0 6 1 2 0 4 47% 2% 7% 37% -141 +550 +550 +200 +270 +700 L Mickey Gall
11 Oban Elliott 1,733 1,223 1,232 1,388 26 6'0" 72" 11-2 2 3 6 2 0 0 Welterweight 77% 4% 1% 71% -298 +500 +1300 -140 +350 +800 -936 -431 -347 -275 -250 +363 +215 +195 W KO/TKO R3 0:40 Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez 1,617 1,273 1,329 1,187 32 5'11" 72" 9-4-1 1 4 4 0 0 4 23% 6% 1% 16% +240 +900 +750 +400 +425 +800 L Bassil Hafez
12 Eduarda Moura 1,524 1,224 1,231 1,103 30 5'6" 67" 10-1 4 5 1 0 0 1 Flyweight 27% 2% 5% 20% +107 +1000 +450 +250 +300 +700 -1010 -488 -411 -325 -285 +388 +250 +225 W U-Dec R3 Eduarda Moura
Veronica Hardy 1,465 1,130 1,161 1,151 29 5'4" 64" 9-4-1 1 2 6 1 1 2 73% 1% 1% 71% -125 +1000 +1400 -110 +650 +1200 L Veronica Hardy