UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

Results UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · Sat 24 Jan 2026 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
W Justin Gaethje 26-5 · +200 2,114Elo
U-DecR5 Lightweight Title fight
Paddy Pimblett 23-3 · -235 2,064Elo
The fight in full →
Ratings and records are as they stood going in; prices are the closing consensus.
  1. 1 Justin Gaethje 26-5 · 2,114 · +200 W U-Dec R5 · upset model 55% Title Lightweight Paddy Pimblett 23-3 · 2,064 · -235
  2. 2 Sean O'Malley 18-3 (1 NC) · 2,023 · -200 W U-Dec R3 model 47% Bantamweight Yadong Song 22-8-1 (1 NC) · 2,065 · +170
  3. 3 Waldo Cortes-Acosta 16-2 · 1,971 · -329 W KO/TKO R2 3:14 model 71% Heavyweight Derrick Lewis 29-12 (1 NC) · 1,861 · +260
  4. 4 Natália Silva 19-5-1 · 1,911 · -330 W U-Dec R3 model 70% Flyweight Rose Namajunas 17-7 · 1,754 · +270
  5. 5 Jean Silva 16-3 · 1,900 · -245 W U-Dec R3 model 37% Featherweight Arnold Allen 20-3 · 2,001 · +208
  6. 6 Umar Nurmagomedov 19-1 · 2,157 · -1500 W U-Dec R3 model 82% Bantamweight Deiveson Figueiredo 25-5-1 · 1,960 · +859
  7. 7 Ateba Gautier 9-1 · 1,688 · -900 W U-Dec R3 model 68% Middleweight Andrey Pulyaev 10-3 · 1,620 · +625
  8. 8 Nikita Krylov 30-11 · 1,786 · +117 W KO/TKO R3 4:57 · upset model 45% Light Heavyweight Modestas Bukauskas 19-6 · 1,787 · -135
  9. 9 Alex Perez 25-10 · 1,675 · +149 W KO/TKO R1 3:16 · upset model 49% Flyweight Charles Johnson 18-7 · 1,752 · -174
  10. 10 Josh Hokit 7-0 · 1,641 · -235 W KO/TKO R1 4:59 model 63% Heavyweight Denzel Freeman 7-1 · 1,566 · +197
  11. 11 Ty Miller 7-0 (1 NC) · 1,550 · -457 W KO/TKO R1 4:59 model 66% Welterweight Adam Fugitt 10-5 · 1,482 · +368

Cheat sheet

One row per fighter, main event first. Colour is scaled to this card: green is the better of the two, or the shorter price. Hover a heading for what it means.
# Fighter Elo Method ratings Attributes Wins Losses Division Crowd To win Overs Unders Result Fighter
KOSubDec Age Ht Rch Record KOSubDec KOSubDec Win KO Sub Dec ML KO Sub Dec ITD R1 R2 O1.5 R3 O2.5 Dec U1.5 U2.5 ITD
1
★
 Justin Gaethje 2,114 1,649 1,341 1,563 37 5'11" 70" 26-5 20 1 5 3 2 0 Lightweight 36% 28% 0% 7% +200 +425 +3300 +500 +400 +1100 -400 -237 -160 -118 +250 +170 -102 -325 W U-Dec R5 Justin Gaethje
Paddy Pimblett 2,064 1,487 1,517 1,422 31 5'10" 73" 23-3 7 10 6 0 1 2 64% 7% 49% 7% -235 +375 +110 +500 -175 +350 L Paddy Pimblett
2 Sean O'Malley 2,023 1,587 1,257 1,488 31 5'11" 72" 18-3 (1 NC) 11 2 5 1 1 1 Bantamweight 86% 20% 1% 65% -200 +350 +2500 +100 +290 +575 -753 -491 -335 -265 -215 +292 +219 +175 W U-Dec R3 Sean O'Malley
Yadong Song 2,065 1,533 1,332 1,529 28 5'8" 67" 22-8-1 (1 NC) 9 3 10 2 0 5 14% 3% 1% 10% +170 +500 +2000 +275 +425 +1000 L Yadong Song
3 Waldo Cortes-Acosta 1,971 1,785 1,205 1,269 34 6'4" 78" 16-2 8 1 7 0 0 2 Heavyweight 65% 51% 0% 14% -329 -125 +1800 +250 -116 +285 -233 -145 +111 +144 +200 +125 -195 -260 W KO/TKO R2 3:14 Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Derrick Lewis 1,861 1,747 1,185 1,245 40 6'3" 79" 29-12 (1 NC) 24 1 4 7 2 3 35% 34% 0% 1% +260 +335 +3500 +1000 +340 +500 L Derrick Lewis
4 Natália Silva 1,911 1,274 1,279 1,534 28 5'4" 65" 19-5-1 5 7 6 1 2 2 Flyweight 85% 2% 1% 82% -330 +500 +1800 -235 +375 +850 -1441 -875 -610 -600 -500 +405 +446 +350 W U-Dec R3 Natália Silva
Rose Namajunas 1,754 1,237 1,270 1,422 33 5'5" 65" 17-7 2 8 7 1 1 5 15% 1% 1% 13% +270 +1600 +1600 -- +1100 +1600 L Rose Namajunas
5 Jean Silva 1,900 1,499 1,350 1,352 29 5'7" 69" 16-3 12 3 1 1 0 2 Featherweight 72% 53% 3% 16% -245 +140 +1200 +200 +105 +375 -411 -279 -183 -130 +100 +198 +110 -130 W U-Dec R3 Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 2,001 1,533 1,346 1,520 32 5'8" 70" 20-3 7 4 9 0 0 3 28% 6% 1% 21% +208 +950 +1400 +300 +650 +1400 L Arnold Allen
6 Umar Nurmagomedov 2,157 1,458 1,405 1,645 30 5'8" 69" 19-1 2 7 10 0 0 1 Bantamweight 96% 5% 20% 71% -1500 +650 +145 -120 +105 +325 -522 -334 -224 -170 -135 +227 +149 +105 W U-Dec R3 Umar Nurmagomedov
Deiveson Figueiredo 1,960 1,439 1,411 1,448 38 5'5" 68" 25-5-1 9 9 7 2 1 2 4% 1% 1% 2% +859 +2200 +2200 +1300 +1500 +2000 L Deiveson Figueiredo
7 Ateba Gautier 1,688 1,583 1,138 1,149 23 6'4" 81" 9-1 8 0 1 0 0 1 Middleweight 97% 94% 0% 3% -900 -600 +2000 +800 -615 -175 -104 +180 +293 +418 +600 -210 -721 -1000 W U-Dec R3 Ateba Gautier
Andrey Pulyaev 1,620 1,408 1,203 1,127 28 6'4" 78" 10-3 6 2 2 1 0 2 3% 1% 1% 1% +625 +750 +2800 +1300 +700 +1500 L Andrey Pulyaev
8 Nikita Krylov 1,786 1,454 1,301 1,279 33 6'3" 78" 30-11 12 16 2 3 6 2 Light Heavyweight 18% 6% 5% 7% +117 +250 +500 +900 +140 +375 -170 +108 +177 +265 +400 -128 -392 -600 W KO/TKO R3 4:57 Nikita Krylov
Modestas Bukauskas 1,787 1,485 1,237 1,246 31 6'3" 76" 19-6 11 3 5 4 1 1 82% 71% 1% 10% -135 +130 +800 +600 -105 +275 L Modestas Bukauskas
9 Alex Perez 1,675 1,271 1,252 1,320 33 5'6" 66" 25-10 6 7 12 2 6 2 Flyweight 13% 2% 1% 11% +149 +650 +2500 +250 +600 +1600 -616 -374 -249 -180 -160 +255 +157 +130 W KO/TKO R1 3:16 Alex Perez
Charles Johnson 1,752 1,475 1,191 1,293 35 5'9" 70" 18-7 8 3 7 0 0 7 87% 32% 3% 52% -174 +425 +350 +170 +170 +450 L Charles Johnson
10 Josh Hokit 1,641 1,438 1,142 1,096 28 6'1" 74" 7-0 4 3 0 0 0 0 Heavyweight 86% 73% 3% 10% -235 +275 +275 +275 +105 +275 -304 -171 -115 +111 +160 +150 -144 -200 W KO/TKO R1 4:59 Josh Hokit
Denzel Freeman 1,566 1,267 1,155 1,185 34 6'1" 77" 7-1 4 1 2 0 0 1 14% 6% 1% 7% +197 +385 +1400 +500 +300 +700 L Denzel Freeman
11 Ty Miller 1,550 1,304 1,067 1,225 25 6'2" 78" 7-0 (1 NC) 2 0 5 0 0 0 Welterweight 91% 34% 2% 55% -457 -130 +1800 +225 -150 +250 -300 -166 -113 +119 +170 +146 -158 -210 W KO/TKO R1 4:59 Ty Miller
Adam Fugitt 1,482 1,281 1,148 1,085 37 6'1" 77" 10-5 5 3 2 3 1 1 9% 2% 1% 6% +368 +700 +1200 +800 +550 +1100 L Adam Fugitt