Result UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Sat 19 Sep 2026 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson

Elo
23%77%
Market said
9%91%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Sean SharafGable Steveson
1,310 Elo 1,520
1,211 KO rating 1,317
1,011 Sub rating 1,055
1,003 Dec rating 1,063
Wins by
4 KO/TKO 4
0 Submission 0
0 Decision 0
Losses by
2 KO/TKO 0
0 Submission 0
0 Decision 0

Prices

The close; the outcome that happened is outlined
Sean SharafGable Steveson
+956Moneyline-1501
+700Opened-1500
+2000Win by KO-450
+3000Win by sub+425
+1500Win by dec+1000
+1300Win inside-1500
How long it went
Over 1.5+350 Under 1.5-450 Over 2.5+669 Under 2.5-1608 Decision+800 Inside-1600

What the model makes of it

Every bet →
  • Under 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 83% v 80% 1.0% -450 won
  • Gable Stevesonmoneyline 95% v 92% 0.5% -1800 lost
  • Goes the distancethe distance 10% v 9% -1.6% +800 lost
  • Gable Steveson by KO/TKOmethod: KO 80% v 66% -1.9% -450 lost
  • Gable Steveson by Decisionmethod: decision 7% v 7% -2.3% +1000 lost
  • Sean Sharaf by KO/TKOmethod: KO 2% v 4% -2.3% +2000 won
  • Sean Sharaf by Submissionmethod: sub 1% v 3% -2.6% +3000 lost
  • Sean Sharaf inside the distanceinside the distance 3% v 6% -4.1% +1300 won
  • Sean Sharaf by Decisionmethod: decision 2% v 5% -4.5% +1500 lost
  • Gable Steveson inside the distanceinside the distance 88% v 81% -5.4% -1500 lost
  • Gable Steveson by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 15% -10.5% +425 lost

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Sean Sharaf 4-2 going in · 8 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
9 2026-09-19 W Gable Steveson this fight KO/TKOLeft Hook R10:12 33.2 1,310+135 1,520 +956 Heavyweight UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
8 2025-12-13 L Steven Asplund KO/TKOPunches (Standing TKO) R28:49 32.4 1,352-41 1,556 +195 Heavyweight UFC on ESPN 73: Royval vs. Kape Ultimate Fighting Championship
7 2024-10-12 L Junior Tafa KO/TKOPunches R27:15 31.3 1,442-87 1,444 +251 Heavyweight UFC Fight Night 244: Royval vs. Taira Ultimate Fighting Championship
6 2024-09-06 W LJ Torres KO/TKOOverhand Right R13:19 31.2 1,353+89 1,359 -- Heavyweight LXF 19: Lights Out Xtreme Fighting 19 Lights Out Xtreme Fighting
5 2024-04-04 W Chadricc Kindle KO/TKOGround & Pound R14:31 30.7 1,315+38 1,091 -- Heavyweight Fight Club OC Fight Club OC
4 2023-07-01 W Nathan Mullett KO/TKOPunches to Ground & Pound R10:09 30.0 1,286+29 1,006 -- Heavyweight Up Next Fighting 9 Up Next Fighting
3 2021-09-23 W Bruno Casillas KO/TKOGround & Pound R11:10 28.2 1,245+52 1,096 -- Light Heavyweight FCOC 65 Fight Club OC
2 2019-09-21 W Lorenzo Guzman KO/TKOKO/TKO R11:20 26.2 1,199+59 1,164 -- Heavyweight LXF 3: Lights Out Xtreme Fighting 3 Lights Out Xtreme Fighting am
1 2019-06-22 W Ryan Cazares KO/TKOKO/TKO R23:15 25.9 1,133+66 1,133 -- Heavyweight KOTC: Golden Era King of the Cage am
Gable Steveson 4-0 going in · 4 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
5 2026-09-19 L Sean Sharaf this fight KO/TKOLeft Hook R10:12 26.3 1,520-135 1,310 -1501 Heavyweight UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
4 2026-07-11 W Elisha Ellison KO/TKOKnees & Punches R12:31 26.1 1,483+37 1,256 -1430 Heavyweight UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
3 2026-02-19 W Hugo Lezama KO/TKOPunches From Mount R13:50 25.7 1,390+93 1,413 -- Heavyweight MFL 3 Mexico Fight League
2 2025-11-23 W Kevin Hein KO/TKOLeft Hook R10:24 25.5 1,330+60 1,216 -- Heavyweight Anthony Pettis FC 21: New Mexico Fight Night 2 Anthony Pettis FC
1 2025-09-12 W Braden Peterson KO/TKOPunches R11:38 25.3 1,249+81 1,223 -2037 Heavyweight LFA 217: McKee vs. Nobre Legacy Fighting Alliance