UFC Fight Night 289: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

In 5 days UFC Fight Night 289: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · Sat 26 Sep 2026 · UFC
Our model
56%44%
Market says
62%38%
Prices as they stand, checked 21 Sep, 13:00, not a close.
  1. 1 Raul Rosas Jr. 12-1 · 1,776 · -185 5644 Bantamweight · 5 rds Raoni Barcelos 22-5 · 1,920 · +154
  2. 2 Rodolfo Vieira 11-5 · 1,639 · -140 5347 Middleweight Robert Bryczek 18-7 · 1,657 · +118
  3. 3 Rinya Nakamura 10-1 · 1,758 · -330 7228 Bantamweight Brady Hiestand 10-2 · 1,700 · +255
  4. 4 Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu 10-3 · 1,509 · +225 3268 Bantamweight Mehemmedeli Osmanli 12-2 · 1,663 · -280
  5. 5 Valesca Machado 15-4 (1 NC) · 1,541 · -200 5644 Strawweight Melissa Amaya 8-0 · 1,484 · +167
  6. 6 Elves Brener 16-6 · 1,636 · +106 4852 Lightweight Josiah Harrell 11-1 · 1,676 · -130
  7. 7 Rodolfo Bellato 13-3-1 (1 NC) · 1,702 · -175 5347 Light Heavyweight Christian Edwards 8-5 · 1,592 · +144
  8. 8 Montel Jackson 15-4 · 1,932 · -205 7426 Bantamweight Ricky Simón 22-7-1 · 1,738 · +170
  9. 9 John Castañeda 21-8-1 · 1,652 · -311 5842 Bantamweight Alatengheili Alateng 17-10-2 · 1,628 · +245
  10. 10 Norma Dumont 13-3 · 1,678 · +115 5941 Bantamweight Ailín Pérez 13-2 · 1,600 · -136
  11. 11 Mickey Gall 7-7 · 1,394 · -165 4555 Middleweight Sedriques Dumas 10-5 (1 NC) · 1,325 · +138
  12. 12 Yazmin Jauregui 11-2 · 1,459 · -855 8812 Strawweight Vanessa Demopoulos 11-8 · 1,181 · +552

Cheat sheet

One row per fighter, main event first. Colour is scaled to this card: green is the better of the two, or the shorter price. Hover a heading for what it means.
# Fighter Elo Method ratings Attributes Wins Losses Division To win Overs Unders Fighter
KOSubDec Age Ht Rch Record KOSubDec KOSubDec ML KO Sub Dec R1 R2 O1.5 R3 O2.5 Dec U1.5 U2.5 ITD
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1,776 1,259 1,354 1,294 21 5'9" 67" 12-1 2 10 6 0 0 1 Bantamweight -185 -- -- +133 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Raul Rosas Jr.
Raoni Barcelos 1,920 1,391 1,320 1,487 39 5'7" 67" 22-5 8 3 11 1 1 3 +154 -- +400 -- +426 Raoni Barcelos
2 Rodolfo Vieira 1,639 1,182 1,426 1,249 37 6'0" 73" 11-5 1 9 1 1 1 3 Middleweight -140 +376 +186 -- -- -213 -120 -133 -113 +156 +103 -114 -186 Rodolfo Vieira
Robert Bryczek 1,657 1,589 1,191 1,185 36 6'0" 75" 18-7 12 1 5 1 1 5 +118 +203 +426 -- -- Robert Bryczek
3 Rinya Nakamura 1,758 1,326 1,270 1,239 31 5'7" 68" 10-1 6 1 3 0 0 1 Bantamweight -330 -- -- -- -- -- -167 -- -- -- +142 -- -- Rinya Nakamura
Brady Hiestand 1,700 1,295 1,180 1,254 27 5'8" 71" 10-2 6 8 3 2 0 1 +255 +400 +567 +400 +400 Brady Hiestand
4 Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu 1,509 913 1,195 1,189 23 5'7" -- 10-3 0 6 4 3 0 0 Bantamweight +225 -- +567 -- -- -- -170 -- -- -- +145 -- -- Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu
Mehemmedeli Osmanli 1,663 1,163 1,207 1,272 22 5'9" -- 12-2 2 8 2 0 2 0 -280 -- -- -- -- Mehemmedeli Osmanli
5 Valesca Machado 1,541 1,234 1,106 1,214 30 5'4" 63" 15-4 (1 NC) 5 1 9 0 0 4 Strawweight -200 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -285 -400 -- +235 +163 Valesca Machado
Melissa Amaya 1,484 1,144 1,137 1,178 31 5'4" 64" 8-0 3 2 3 0 0 0 +167 -- +567 -- -- Melissa Amaya
6 Elves Brener 1,636 1,292 1,352 1,133 28 5'10" 72" 16-6 3 11 2 1 0 5 Lightweight +106 -- -- -- -- -- -- -257 -130 -194 -- +111 +108 Elves Brener
Josiah Harrell 1,676 1,402 1,248 1,336 27 5'7" 68" 11-1 8 6 3 1 0 0 -130 -- -- -- -- Josiah Harrell
7 Rodolfo Bellato 1,702 1,353 1,154 1,127 30 6'3" 78" 13-3-1 (1 NC) 8 4 1 2 0 1 Light Heavyweight -175 -- -- -- -- -- -160 -- -- -- +136 -- -- Rodolfo Bellato
Christian Edwards 1,592 1,449 1,082 1,103 27 6'5" 78" 8-5 7 2 2 1 1 3 +144 -- -- -- -- Christian Edwards
8 Montel Jackson 1,932 1,484 1,359 1,428 34 5'10" 76" 15-4 14 3 6 0 1 4 Bantamweight -205 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -180 -- -- +153 -- Montel Jackson
Ricky Simón 1,738 1,390 1,316 1,300 34 5'6" 69" 22-7-1 8 7 15 2 1 4 +170 -- -- -- -- Ricky Simón
9 John Castañeda 1,652 1,338 1,290 1,260 34 5'6" 71" 21-8-1 11 8 11 2 0 7 Bantamweight -311 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -300 -- -- +247 -- John Castañeda
Alatengheili Alateng 1,628 1,375 1,196 1,220 34 5'5" 66" 17-10-2 5 3 9 3 1 6 +245 -- -- -- -- Alatengheili Alateng
10 Norma Dumont 1,678 1,234 1,171 1,402 35 5'7" 67" 13-3 0 2 11 1 0 2 Bantamweight +115 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -500 -- -- +387 -- Norma Dumont
Ailín Pérez 1,600 1,197 1,151 1,261 31 5'5" 66" 13-2 4 3 7 0 1 0 -136 -- -- -- -- Ailín Pérez
11 Mickey Gall 1,394 1,159 1,330 1,091 34 6'2" 74" 7-7 0 8 2 3 0 4 Middleweight -165 -- -- -- -- -- -125 -- -- -- +107 -- -- Mickey Gall
Sedriques Dumas 1,325 1,247 1,012 1,124 31 6'2" 79" 10-5 (1 NC) 8 3 7 2 3 1 +138 -- -- -- -- Sedriques Dumas
12 Yazmin Jauregui 1,459 1,195 1,086 1,297 27 5'3" 64" 11-2 8 0 4 1 1 0 Strawweight -855 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -215 -- -- +181 -- Yazmin Jauregui
Vanessa Demopoulos 1,181 1,103 1,082 935 38 5'2" 60" 11-8 2 6 9 1 1 7 +552 -- -- -- -- Vanessa Demopoulos