In 5 days
UFC Fight Night 289: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
· Sat 26 Sep 2026 · UFC
Norma Dumont vs Ailín Pérez
Our model
Market says
What is at stake
What each result would do to the ratings and the boards
Norma Dumont
A win
+68to 1,746
Bantamweight#9
→#2
A loss
-107to 1,571
Bantamweight#9
→#19
Ailín Pérez
A win
+107to 1,707
Bantamweight#15
→#4
A loss
-68to 1,532
Bantamweight#15
→#24
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litNorma DumontAilín Pérez
1,678
Elo
1,600
1,234
KO rating
1,197
1,171
Sub rating
1,151
1,402
Dec rating
1,261
Wins by
0
KO/TKO
4
2
Submission
2
11
Decision
7
Losses by
1
KO/TKO
0
0
Submission
1
2
Decision
0
Prices
The current consensus across the booksNorma DumontAilín Pérez
+115Moneyline-136
How long it goes
Over 2.5-500
Under 2.5+387
What the model makes of it
All bets to place →- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 90% v 81% 6.4% -500 bet
- Norma Dumontmoneyline 46% v 45% 0.9% +120 pass
- Ailín Pérezmoneyline 54% v 55% -4.7% -140 pass
How the line has moved
Norma Dumont's chance by each book's moneyline, margin taken out, over 4 days
BetOnline
Pinnacle
Other books
| Book | Norma Dumont | Ailín Pérez | Changes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opened | Now | Opened | Now | ||
| BetOnline | +169 | +120 | -200 | -140 | 38 |
| Pinnacle | +101 | +121 | -118 | -142 | 12 |
| Bet365 | +110 | +105 | -132 | -132 | 114 |
| BetMGM | +110 | +110 | -130 | -135 | 3 |
| BetRivers | +107 | +102 | -132 | -127 | 4 |
| BetUS | +114 | +118 | -135 | -140 | 22 |
| Bookmaker | +106 | +115 | -130 | -141 | 16 |
| Bovada | +112 | +115 | -133 | -135 | 4 |
| Caesars | +110 | +110 | -130 | -130 | 2 |
| Circa | +110 | +115 | -130 | -135 | 4 |
| DraftKings | +110 | +120 | -130 | -142 | 8 |
| Hard Rock | +105 | +100 | -130 | -125 | 4 |
| MyBookie | -110 | +115 | -126 | -147 | 18 |
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, most recent firstNorma DumontAilín Pérez
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Norma Dumont
13-3 now · 16 bouts on record
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 2026-04-25 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.6 | 1,725-46 | 1,646 | -205 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 274: Sterling vs. Zalal Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2025-11-01 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 35.1 | 1,754-30 | 1,686 | -168 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 263: Garcia vs. Onama Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2024-09-14 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.0 | 1,692+68 | 1,670 | -110 | Bantamweight | UFC 306: Noche UFC: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2024-04-06 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.5 | 1,674+18 | 1,648 | -124 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2023-07-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.8 | 1,593+81 | 1,566 | -140 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 49: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2023-04-22 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.6 | 1,594-1 | 1,546 | -115 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 222: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2022-09-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.9 | 1,536+58 | 1,413 | -405 | Featherweight | UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2022-05-07 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 31.6 | 1,551-15 | 1,507 | -225 | Featherweight | UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2021-10-16 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 31.0 | 1,458+93 | 1,636 | +114 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 195: Ladd vs. Dumont Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 7 | 2021-05-22 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 30.6 | 1,375+83 | 1,625 | +155 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 188: Font vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 6 | 2020-11-28 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.2 | 1,298+76 | 1,253 | +119 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 18: Smith vs. Clark Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 5 | 2020-02-29 | L |
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R13:31 | 29.4 | 1,335-36 | 1,568 | +197 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 169: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 4 | 2018-08-05 | W |
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 27.8 | 1,358-13 | 1,210 | -- | Bantamweight | Shooto Brazil 86: Pinheiro vs. Oliveira Shooto Brasil |
| 3 | 2017-09-16 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:30 | 27.0 | 1,341+17 | 952 | -- | Featherweight | FMMAMG - Federacao Fight 5 Federação Fight |
| 2 | 2017-07-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.8 | 1,318+23 | 1,162 | -- | Bantamweight | Jungle Fight 91: Contagem Jungle Fight |
| 1 | 2016-09-03 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:58 | 25.9 | 1,231+88 | 1,231 | -- | Bantamweight | Jungle Fight 90 Jungle Fight |
Ailín Pérez
13-2 now · 16 bouts on record
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 2026-02-28 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.4 | 1,570+30 | 1,574 | -179 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 268: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2025-01-18 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.3 | 1,545+28 | 1,591 | +201 | Bantamweight | UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2024-09-28 | W |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R13:52 | 30.0 | 1,475+70 | 1,406 | -206 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 243: Moicano vs. St. Denis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2024-06-01 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.7 | 1,432+43 | 1,384 | -200 | Bantamweight | UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2023-11-18 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.1 | 1,374+57 | 1,457 | -185 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 232: Allen vs. Craig Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2023-07-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.8 | 1,325+49 | 1,162 | -240 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 49: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2022-09-03 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:54 | 27.9 | 1,410-85 | 1,419 | +209 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 209: Gane vs. Tuivasa Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2022-05-22 | W |
|
KO/TKOCorner Stoppage | R210:00 | 27.6 | 1,338+72 | 1,276 | -- | Bantamweight | SFH 4: Perez vs. Bragayrac Samurai Fight House |
| 8 | 2022-02-12 | W |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R13:51 | 27.4 | 1,313+26 | 1,006 | -- | Bantamweight | SFH 3: Prado vs. Basualdo Samurai Fight House |
| 7 | 2021-11-06 | L |
|
DQIllegal Knees | R313:00 | 27.1 | 1,313+0 | 1,299 | -- | Bantamweight | SFH 2: Perez vs. Vidal Samurai Fight House |
| 6 | 2021-08-21 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:20 | 26.9 | 1,258+55 | 1,121 | -- | Bantamweight | SFH 1: Perez vs. Tainara Samurai Fight House |
| 5 | 2021-06-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.7 | 1,226+32 | 1,114 | -- | Featherweight | Natal Fight Championship 19 Natal Fight Championship |
| 4 | 2019-06-07 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:02 | 24.7 | 1,176+62 | 1,070 | -- | Bantamweight | CFU 12: Arena Collision Fight Ultimate |
| 3 | 2018-12-07 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:45 | 24.2 | 1,097+80 | 1,065 | -- | Bantamweight | CFU 10: Revolution Fight Collision Fight Ultimate |
| 2 | 2018-11-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.1 | 1,057+39 | 974 | -- | Flyweight | ULLAMP - Liga Sudamericana Mixed Real World Fighters |
| 1 | 2018-06-09 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R23:00 | 23.7 | 1,015+43 | 887 | -- | Flyweight | Better Fighters 4 Better Fighters Argentina am |