Result UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Sat 16 Dec 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher

Elo
68%32%
Market said
63%37%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Cody GarbrandtBrian Kelleher
1,718 Elo 1,587
1,332 KO rating 1,227
1,278 Sub rating 1,133
1,342 Dec rating 1,298
Wins by
10 KO/TKO 8
0 Submission 10
3 Decision 6
Losses by
4 KO/TKO 1
0 Submission 8
1 Decision 5
The crowd
83% Picked by 17%

Prices

The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlined
Cody GarbrandtBrian Kelleher
-180opened -160 Moneyline · BetOnline +155opened +140
-190opened -220 Moneyline · all books +158opened +176
Method · BetOnline
+200Win by KO+375
+1200Win by sub+650
+200Win by dec+550
+155Win inside+250
How long it went
Over 1.5-207 Under 1.5+152 Over 2.5-105 Under 2.5-125 Decision+125 Inside-155

What the model makes of it

At BetOnline's price Every bet →
  • Goes the distancethe distance 45% v 42% 0.4% +125 lost
  • Brian Kelleher by Decisionmethod: decision 15% v 12% -0.9% +550 lost
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 50% v 48% -1.5% -105 lost
  • Brian Kellehermoneyline 38% v 37% -1.5% +155 lost
  • Cody Garbrandt by Submissionmethod: sub 4% v 6% -3.3% +1200 lost
  • Cody Garbrandt by Decisionmethod: decision 30% v 27% -3.6% +200 lost
  • Brian Kelleher by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 11% -3.9% +650 lost
  • Cody Garbrandt by KO/TKOmethod: KO 28% v 27% -5.2% +200 won
  • Brian Kelleher inside the distanceinside the distance 23% v 25% -5.4% +250 lost
  • Cody Garbrandt inside the distanceinside the distance 33% v 34% -6.6% +155 won
  • Brian Kelleher by KO/TKOmethod: KO 14% v 17% -7.3% +375 lost

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Cody Garbrandt 13-5 going in · 26 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
31 2026-07-11 L Adrian Yanez KO/TKOPunches R12:47 35.0 1,724-79 1,760 +313 Bantamweight UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2026-03-07 W Long Xiao DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.7 1,744-19 1,697 +138 Bantamweight UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2025-06-14 L Raoni Barcelos DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.9 1,732+11 1,893 +204 Bantamweight UFC on ESPN 69: Usman vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2024-04-13 L Deiveson Figueiredo SubRear Naked Choke R29:02 32.8 1,774-35 2,013 +251 Bantamweight UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2023-12-16 W Brian Kelleher this fight KO/TKOCounter Right R13:42 32.4 1,718+56 1,587 -190 Bantamweight UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2023-03-04 W Trevin Jones DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.7 1,724-6 1,577 -175 Bantamweight UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2021-12-11 L Kai Kara-France KO/TKOPunches R13:21 30.4 1,852-119 1,719 -136 Flyweight UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2021-05-22 L Rob Font DecisionUnanimous R525:00 29.9 1,912-60 1,927 -101 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 188: Font vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2020-06-06 W Raphael Assunção KO/TKORight Hook R29:59 28.9 1,827+84 1,815 -143 Bantamweight UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2019-03-02 L Pedro Munhoz KO/TKOPunches R14:52 27.7 1,903-65 1,996 -155 Bantamweight UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2018-08-04 L T.J. Dillashaw KO/TKOPunches R14:17 27.1 1,936-33 2,190 +100 Bantamweight UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2017-11-04 L T.J. Dillashaw KO/TKOPunches R27:41 26.3 1,988-52 2,139 -175 Bantamweight UFC 217: Bisping vs. St. Pierre Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2016-12-30 W Dominick Cruz DecisionUnanimous R525:00 25.5 1,917+71 2,033 +185 Bantamweight UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Ultimate Fighting Championship
18 2016-08-20 W Takeya Mizugaki KO/TKOPunches R10:48 25.1 1,873+44 1,683 -525 Bantamweight UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2016-05-29 W Thomas Almeida KO/TKOPunches R12:53 24.9 1,763+110 1,854 +140 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2016-02-21 W Augusto Mendes KO/TKOPunches R14:18 24.6 1,733+30 1,458 +162 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 83: Cerrone vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2015-07-11 W Henry Briones DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.0 1,708+25 1,434 -362 Bantamweight UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2015-01-03 W Marcus Brimage KO/TKOPunches R314:50 23.5 1,629+79 1,596 +190 Bantamweight UFC 182: Jones vs. Cormier Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2014-10-04 W Charles Stanford KO/TKOKO/TKO R11:37 23.2 1,581+48 1,412 -- Bantamweight NAAFS - Rock N Rumble 8 North American Allied Fight Series
12 2014-05-24 W James Porter KO/TKOPunches R12:17 22.9 1,523+58 1,402 -- Bantamweight Pittsburgh Challenge Series 7 Pinnacle Fighting Championships
11 2014-03-15 W Dominic Mazzotta KO/TKOPunches R25:32 22.7 1,404+119 1,535 -- Bantamweight Gladiators of the Cage - The North Shore's Rise to Power 4 Gladiators of the Cage
10 2013-11-27 W Shane Manley KO/TKOPunches R13:57 22.4 1,342+62 1,238 -- Featherweight Pittsburgh Challenge Series 5 Pinnacle Fighting Championships
9 2012-12-29 W Charles Kessinger KO/TKOKO/TKO R14:11 21.5 1,298+44 1,107 -- Bantamweight PFC: Pittsburgh Challenge Series 1 Pinnacle Fighting Championships
8 2012-09-15 W Clint Musselman KO/TKO -- 21.2 1,259+40 1,113 -- -- Caged Thunder Caged Thunder am
7 2012-02-18 L Jerrell Hodge KO/TKOPunch R36:10 20.6 1,335-76 1,278 -- Bantamweight NAAFS: Caged Vengeance 10 North American Allied Fight Series am
6 2011-06-04 W Tyler Saltsman DecisionUnanimous R315:00 19.9 1,285+50 1,312 -- -- NAAFS - Fight Night in the Flats 7 North American Allied Fight Series am
5 2011-02-25 W Victor Guarriello KO/TKOPunches R10:36 19.6 1,220+65 1,218 -- -- NAAFS - Caged Fury 14 North American Allied Fight Series am
4 2011-01-15 W Billy Freedson KO/TKOPunches R11:18 19.5 1,154+66 1,157 -- -- BUCB - Pride and Glory Bobish's Ultimate Cage Battles am
3 2010-05-22 W Mike Metz KO/TKO -- 18.9 1,096+58 1,055 -- -- Revelation Fight Organization Revelation Fight Organization am
2 2010-04-24 W Ryan Rooney KO/TKOPunches R2 18.8 1,010+86 1,120 -- -- NAAFS - Caged Fury 11 North American Allied Fight Series am
1 2009-07-25 L Nick Hyatt SubRear-Naked Choke R12:06 18.1 1,078-68 1,065 -- -- NAAFS - War on the Shore 3 North American Allied Fight Series am
Brian Kelleher 24-14 going in · 45 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
47 2024-07-20 L Cody Gibson SubArm Triangle Choke R13:58 37.9 1,531-56 1,661 +170 Bantamweight UFC on ESPN 60: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Ultimate Fighting Championship
46 2023-12-16 L Cody Garbrandt this fight KO/TKOCounter Right R13:42 37.3 1,587-56 1,718 +158 Bantamweight UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Ultimate Fighting Championship
45 2022-06-25 L Mario Bautista SubRear Naked Choke R12:27 35.8 1,689-88 1,687 +150 Bantamweight UFC on ESPN 38: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2022-03-05 L Umar Nurmagomedov SubRear Naked Choke R13:15 35.5 1,762-73 1,820 +616 Featherweight UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2022-01-15 W Kevin Croom DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.4 1,716+46 1,547 -319 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 32: Kattar vs. Chikadze Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2021-08-21 W Domingo Pilarte DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.0 1,685+31 1,418 -178 Bantamweight UFC on ESPN 29: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2021-02-13 L Ricky Simón DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.5 1,763-78 1,801 +204 Featherweight UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2020-09-05 W Ray Rodriguez SubGuillotine Choke R10:39 34.0 1,713+50 1,554 -288 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 176: Overeem vs. Sakai Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2020-06-06 L Cody Stamann DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.8 1,772-58 1,770 +204 Featherweight UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2020-05-13 W Hunter Azure KO/TKOLeft Hook & Hammerfist R28:40 33.7 1,704+68 1,624 +165 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 171: Smith vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2020-01-18 W Ode Osbourne SubGuillotine Choke R12:49 33.4 1,651+53 1,506 +123 Bantamweight UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2018-12-29 L Montel Jackson SubD'arce Choke R11:40 32.4 1,774-121 1,633 +127 Bantamweight UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2018-05-12 L John Lineker KO/TKOLeft Hook R313:43 31.7 1,856-82 1,877 +205 Bantamweight UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2018-02-24 W Renan Barão DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.5 1,755+101 1,833 +131 Bantamweight UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2017-10-21 W Damian Stasiak KO/TKOPunches R313:39 31.2 1,675+81 1,648 -111 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 118: Cerrone vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2017-07-22 L Marlon Vera SubArmbar R12:18 30.9 1,821-146 1,540 -222 Bantamweight UFC on Fox 25: Weidman vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2017-06-03 W Iuri Alcântara SubGuillotine Choke R11:48 30.8 1,706+114 1,816 +258 Bantamweight UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2016-03-04 W Julio Arce SubGuillotine Choke R310:18 29.5 1,641+75 1,589 -- Bantamweight Ring of Combat 54 Ring of Combat
29 2015-11-20 W Josh Robinson KO/TKOSpinning Backfist R38:24 29.3 1,614+27 1,317 -- Bantamweight Ring of Combat 53 Ring of Combat
28 2015-09-25 W Julio Arce DecisionMajority R315:00 29.1 1,583+31 1,621 -- Bantamweight Ring of Combat 52 Ring of Combat
27 2015-06-06 W Jay Haas SubGuillotine Choke R14:49 28.8 1,540+42 1,342 -- Open Weight CFFC 49: Honor vs. Oliveira Cage Fury FC
26 2015-03-13 W Andre Soukhamthath DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.6 1,493+47 1,443 -- Bantamweight CES 28: Hawn vs. Loffer CES MMA
25 2014-11-26 W Mark Cherico SubGuillotine Choke R10:37 28.3 1,353+140 1,596 -- Bantamweight Pinnacle FC 9: Pittsburgh Challenge Series Pinnacle Fighting Championships
24 2014-04-19 L Andy Main SubTriangle Choke R11:26 27.7 1,432-80 1,464 -- Featherweight CFFC 34: Santella vs. Honstein Cage Fury FC
23 2014-02-08 W Lester Caslow SubRear Naked Choke R26:34 27.5 1,317+116 1,433 -- Featherweight CFFC 31: Heckman vs. Lentz Cage Fury FC
22 2013-11-01 L Jeff Smith SubArmbar R29:39 27.2 1,409-92 1,391 -- Open Weight CFFC 29: Smith vs. Kelleher Cage Fury FC
21 2013-09-21 L Scott Heckman DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.1 1,445-37 1,539 -- Featherweight CFFC 27: Heckman vs. Kelleher Cage Fury FC
20 2013-04-04 L Jimmie Rivera DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.6 1,456-11 1,629 -- Bantamweight Bellator 95 Bellator MMA
19 2012-12-01 W Tyler Kahihikolo DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.3 1,436+20 1,267 -- -- Coalition of Combat - Free 4 All Coalition of Combat
18 2012-09-15 W Bill Jones KO/TKOPunches R10:10 26.1 1,386+49 1,224 -- Featherweight WCMMA 1: Portugal vs. USA World Cup of Mixed Martial Arts
17 2012-06-02 W Ryan Vaccaro KO/TKOFlying Knee R25:56 25.8 1,323+63 1,223 -- Featherweight JB Sports / Live Nation - Rock Out Knock Out Rock Out Knock Out
16 2012-04-14 W Raphael Chavez KO/TKOPunches R28:41 25.7 1,211+112 1,311 -- Featherweight CFFC 14: No Mercy Cage Fury FC
15 2012-02-11 W Josh Parker SubRear-Naked Choke R14:31 25.5 1,149+63 1,047 -- Featherweight NEF - Fight Night 1 New England Fights
14 2011-12-10 L Artur Rofi SubArmbar R14:57 25.3 1,224-75 1,273 -- Featherweight CFFC 12: Pollard vs. Soto Cage Fury FC
13 2011-10-15 L Claudio Ledesma DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.2 1,299-75 1,349 -- Bantamweight Bellator 54 Bellator MMA
12 2011-09-09 W Michael LaDuke KO/TKOCut R311:14 25.1 1,253+46 1,075 -- Bantamweight Ring of Combat 37 Ring of Combat
11 2011-07-29 W Manny Millan SubRear-Naked Choke R13:34 24.9 1,208+45 1,023 -- -- XFE - Cage Wars 8: House of Pain Xtreme Fight Events Cage Wars
10 2011-05-20 W Siyam Yousefi SubGuillotine Choke R12:41 24.8 1,138+69 1,065 -- Bantamweight CFFC 8: Seek and Destroy Cage Fury FC
9 2011-04-29 W Nate Ainsworth KO/TKOPunch R10:23 24.7 1,065+73 1,008 -- Featherweight Combat Zone 37: Kicking It At The Rock Combat Zone
8 2011-03-10 L Dan Cion SubGuillotine Choke R14:42 24.6 1,152-86 1,156 -- -- Xtreme Fight Events - Cage Wars 5 Xtreme Fight Events Cage Wars
7 2010-02-27 W Samad Mobley DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.5 1,109+43 1,098 -- -- Asylum Fight League 26 Asylum MMA am
6 2010-01-23 W Mark Carrow SubArmbar R11:31 23.4 1,013+96 1,190 -- Lightweight Raging Wolf 6: Mayhem in the Mist 2 Raging Wolf MMA am
5 2009-12-18 L Samad Mobley -- -- 23.3 1,092-79 1,019 -- -- New Jersey Regional New Jersey Regional am
4 2009-06-13 W Jordan Litz SubTriangle Choke R12:16 22.8 1,015+77 1,077 -- -- Raging Wolf 4: Defiance Raging Wolf MMA am
3 2009-04-25 L Nick Mauriello DecisionUnanimous R39:00 22.7 1,046-31 1,120 -- Lightweight AFL 13 Asylum MMA am
2 2009-04-10 L Frankie Perez Decision -- 22.6 1,059-13 1,206 -- -- New Jersey Regional New Jersey Regional am
1 2008-09-27 W Ken Supsic Decision -- 22.1 1,020+39 1,020 -- -- Asylum MMA Asylum MMA am