Result
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
· Sat 16 Dec 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher
Elo
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litCody GarbrandtBrian Kelleher
1,718
Elo
1,587
1,332
KO rating
1,227
1,278
Sub rating
1,133
1,342
Dec rating
1,298
Wins by
10
KO/TKO
8
0
Submission
10
3
Decision
6
Losses by
4
KO/TKO
1
0
Submission
8
1
Decision
5
The crowd
83%
Picked by
17%
Prices
The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlinedCody GarbrandtBrian Kelleher
-180opened -160
Moneyline · BetOnline
+155opened +140
-190opened -220
Moneyline · all books
+158opened +176
Method · BetOnline
+200Win by KO+375
+1200Win by sub+650
+200Win by dec+550
+155Win inside+250
How long it went
Over 1.5-207
Under 1.5+152
Over 2.5-105
Under 2.5-125
Decision+125
Inside-155
What the model makes of it
At BetOnline's price Every bet →- Goes the distancethe distance 45% v 42% 0.4% +125 lost
- Brian Kelleher by Decisionmethod: decision 15% v 12% -0.9% +550 lost
- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 50% v 48% -1.5% -105 lost
- Brian Kellehermoneyline 38% v 37% -1.5% +155 lost
- Cody Garbrandt by Submissionmethod: sub 4% v 6% -3.3% +1200 lost
- Cody Garbrandt by Decisionmethod: decision 30% v 27% -3.6% +200 lost
- Brian Kelleher by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 11% -3.9% +650 lost
- Cody Garbrandt by KO/TKOmethod: KO 28% v 27% -5.2% +200 won
- Brian Kelleher inside the distanceinside the distance 23% v 25% -5.4% +250 lost
- Cody Garbrandt inside the distanceinside the distance 33% v 34% -6.6% +155 won
- Brian Kelleher by KO/TKOmethod: KO 14% v 17% -7.3% +375 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Cody Garbrandt
13-5 going in · 26 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 2026-07-11 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:47 | 35.0 | 1,724-79 | 1,760 | +313 | Bantamweight | UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2026-03-07 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.7 | 1,744-19 | 1,697 | +138 | Bantamweight | UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2025-06-14 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.9 | 1,732+11 | 1,893 | +204 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 69: Usman vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2024-04-13 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:02 | 32.8 | 1,774-35 | 2,013 | +251 | Bantamweight | UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-12-16 | W |
|
KO/TKOCounter Right | R13:42 | 32.4 | 1,718+56 | 1,587 | -190 | Bantamweight | UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2023-03-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.7 | 1,724-6 | 1,577 | -175 | Bantamweight | UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2021-12-11 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:21 | 30.4 | 1,852-119 | 1,719 | -136 | Flyweight | UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2021-05-22 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 29.9 | 1,912-60 | 1,927 | -101 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 188: Font vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2020-06-06 | W |
|
KO/TKORight Hook | R29:59 | 28.9 | 1,827+84 | 1,815 | -143 | Bantamweight | UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2019-03-02 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:52 | 27.7 | 1,903-65 | 1,996 | -155 | Bantamweight | UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2018-08-04 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:17 | 27.1 | 1,936-33 | 2,190 | +100 | Bantamweight | UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2017-11-04 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:41 | 26.3 | 1,988-52 | 2,139 | -175 | Bantamweight | UFC 217: Bisping vs. St. Pierre Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2016-12-30 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 25.5 | 1,917+71 | 2,033 | +185 | Bantamweight | UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2016-08-20 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:48 | 25.1 | 1,873+44 | 1,683 | -525 | Bantamweight | UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2016-05-29 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:53 | 24.9 | 1,763+110 | 1,854 | +140 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2016-02-21 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:18 | 24.6 | 1,733+30 | 1,458 | +162 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 83: Cerrone vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2015-07-11 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.0 | 1,708+25 | 1,434 | -362 | Bantamweight | UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2015-01-03 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R314:50 | 23.5 | 1,629+79 | 1,596 | +190 | Bantamweight | UFC 182: Jones vs. Cormier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2014-10-04 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:37 | 23.2 | 1,581+48 | 1,412 | -- | Bantamweight | NAAFS - Rock N Rumble 8 North American Allied Fight Series |
| 12 | 2014-05-24 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:17 | 22.9 | 1,523+58 | 1,402 | -- | Bantamweight | Pittsburgh Challenge Series 7 Pinnacle Fighting Championships |
| 11 | 2014-03-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R25:32 | 22.7 | 1,404+119 | 1,535 | -- | Bantamweight | Gladiators of the Cage - The North Shore's Rise to Power 4 Gladiators of the Cage |
| 10 | 2013-11-27 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:57 | 22.4 | 1,342+62 | 1,238 | -- | Featherweight | Pittsburgh Challenge Series 5 Pinnacle Fighting Championships |
| 9 | 2012-12-29 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:11 | 21.5 | 1,298+44 | 1,107 | -- | Bantamweight | PFC: Pittsburgh Challenge Series 1 Pinnacle Fighting Championships |
| 8 | 2012-09-15 | W |
|
KO/TKO | -- | 21.2 | 1,259+40 | 1,113 | -- | -- | Caged Thunder Caged Thunder am |
| 7 | 2012-02-18 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R36:10 | 20.6 | 1,335-76 | 1,278 | -- | Bantamweight | NAAFS: Caged Vengeance 10 North American Allied Fight Series am |
| 6 | 2011-06-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 19.9 | 1,285+50 | 1,312 | -- | -- | NAAFS - Fight Night in the Flats 7 North American Allied Fight Series am |
| 5 | 2011-02-25 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:36 | 19.6 | 1,220+65 | 1,218 | -- | -- | NAAFS - Caged Fury 14 North American Allied Fight Series am |
| 4 | 2011-01-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:18 | 19.5 | 1,154+66 | 1,157 | -- | -- | BUCB - Pride and Glory Bobish's Ultimate Cage Battles am |
| 3 | 2010-05-22 | W | Mike Metz | KO/TKO | -- | 18.9 | 1,096+58 | 1,055 | -- | -- | Revelation Fight Organization Revelation Fight Organization am |
| 2 | 2010-04-24 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 18.8 | 1,010+86 | 1,120 | -- | -- | NAAFS - Caged Fury 11 North American Allied Fight Series am |
| 1 | 2009-07-25 | L |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R12:06 | 18.1 | 1,078-68 | 1,065 | -- | -- | NAAFS - War on the Shore 3 North American Allied Fight Series am |
Brian Kelleher
24-14 going in · 45 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 2024-07-20 | L |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R13:58 | 37.9 | 1,531-56 | 1,661 | +170 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 60: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 46 | 2023-12-16 | L |
|
KO/TKOCounter Right | R13:42 | 37.3 | 1,587-56 | 1,718 | +158 | Bantamweight | UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 45 | 2022-06-25 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:27 | 35.8 | 1,689-88 | 1,687 | +150 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 38: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 44 | 2022-03-05 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:15 | 35.5 | 1,762-73 | 1,820 | +616 | Featherweight | UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 43 | 2022-01-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.4 | 1,716+46 | 1,547 | -319 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 32: Kattar vs. Chikadze Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 42 | 2021-08-21 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.0 | 1,685+31 | 1,418 | -178 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 29: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 41 | 2021-02-13 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.5 | 1,763-78 | 1,801 | +204 | Featherweight | UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 40 | 2020-09-05 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:39 | 34.0 | 1,713+50 | 1,554 | -288 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 176: Overeem vs. Sakai Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 39 | 2020-06-06 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.8 | 1,772-58 | 1,770 | +204 | Featherweight | UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 38 | 2020-05-13 | W |
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook & Hammerfist | R28:40 | 33.7 | 1,704+68 | 1,624 | +165 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 171: Smith vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 37 | 2020-01-18 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R12:49 | 33.4 | 1,651+53 | 1,506 | +123 | Bantamweight | UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 36 | 2018-12-29 | L |
|
SubD'arce Choke | R11:40 | 32.4 | 1,774-121 | 1,633 | +127 | Bantamweight | UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 35 | 2018-05-12 | L |
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook | R313:43 | 31.7 | 1,856-82 | 1,877 | +205 | Bantamweight | UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 34 | 2018-02-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.5 | 1,755+101 | 1,833 | +131 | Bantamweight | UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2017-10-21 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R313:39 | 31.2 | 1,675+81 | 1,648 | -111 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 118: Cerrone vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2017-07-22 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R12:18 | 30.9 | 1,821-146 | 1,540 | -222 | Bantamweight | UFC on Fox 25: Weidman vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2017-06-03 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R11:48 | 30.8 | 1,706+114 | 1,816 | +258 | Bantamweight | UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2016-03-04 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R310:18 | 29.5 | 1,641+75 | 1,589 | -- | Bantamweight | Ring of Combat 54 Ring of Combat |
| 29 | 2015-11-20 | W |
|
KO/TKOSpinning Backfist | R38:24 | 29.3 | 1,614+27 | 1,317 | -- | Bantamweight | Ring of Combat 53 Ring of Combat |
| 28 | 2015-09-25 | W |
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 29.1 | 1,583+31 | 1,621 | -- | Bantamweight | Ring of Combat 52 Ring of Combat |
| 27 | 2015-06-06 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R14:49 | 28.8 | 1,540+42 | 1,342 | -- | Open Weight | CFFC 49: Honor vs. Oliveira Cage Fury FC |
| 26 | 2015-03-13 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.6 | 1,493+47 | 1,443 | -- | Bantamweight | CES 28: Hawn vs. Loffer CES MMA |
| 25 | 2014-11-26 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:37 | 28.3 | 1,353+140 | 1,596 | -- | Bantamweight | Pinnacle FC 9: Pittsburgh Challenge Series Pinnacle Fighting Championships |
| 24 | 2014-04-19 | L |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R11:26 | 27.7 | 1,432-80 | 1,464 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 34: Santella vs. Honstein Cage Fury FC |
| 23 | 2014-02-08 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:34 | 27.5 | 1,317+116 | 1,433 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 31: Heckman vs. Lentz Cage Fury FC |
| 22 | 2013-11-01 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R29:39 | 27.2 | 1,409-92 | 1,391 | -- | Open Weight | CFFC 29: Smith vs. Kelleher Cage Fury FC |
| 21 | 2013-09-21 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,445-37 | 1,539 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 27: Heckman vs. Kelleher Cage Fury FC |
| 20 | 2013-04-04 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.6 | 1,456-11 | 1,629 | -- | Bantamweight | Bellator 95 Bellator MMA |
| 19 | 2012-12-01 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.3 | 1,436+20 | 1,267 | -- | -- | Coalition of Combat - Free 4 All Coalition of Combat |
| 18 | 2012-09-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:10 | 26.1 | 1,386+49 | 1,224 | -- | Featherweight | WCMMA 1: Portugal vs. USA World Cup of Mixed Martial Arts |
| 17 | 2012-06-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOFlying Knee | R25:56 | 25.8 | 1,323+63 | 1,223 | -- | Featherweight | JB Sports / Live Nation - Rock Out Knock Out Rock Out Knock Out |
| 16 | 2012-04-14 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R28:41 | 25.7 | 1,211+112 | 1,311 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 14: No Mercy Cage Fury FC |
| 15 | 2012-02-11 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R14:31 | 25.5 | 1,149+63 | 1,047 | -- | Featherweight | NEF - Fight Night 1 New England Fights |
| 14 | 2011-12-10 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R14:57 | 25.3 | 1,224-75 | 1,273 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 12: Pollard vs. Soto Cage Fury FC |
| 13 | 2011-10-15 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.2 | 1,299-75 | 1,349 | -- | Bantamweight | Bellator 54 Bellator MMA |
| 12 | 2011-09-09 | W |
|
KO/TKOCut | R311:14 | 25.1 | 1,253+46 | 1,075 | -- | Bantamweight | Ring of Combat 37 Ring of Combat |
| 11 | 2011-07-29 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R13:34 | 24.9 | 1,208+45 | 1,023 | -- | -- | XFE - Cage Wars 8: House of Pain Xtreme Fight Events Cage Wars |
| 10 | 2011-05-20 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R12:41 | 24.8 | 1,138+69 | 1,065 | -- | Bantamweight | CFFC 8: Seek and Destroy Cage Fury FC |
| 9 | 2011-04-29 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:23 | 24.7 | 1,065+73 | 1,008 | -- | Featherweight | Combat Zone 37: Kicking It At The Rock Combat Zone |
| 8 | 2011-03-10 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R14:42 | 24.6 | 1,152-86 | 1,156 | -- | -- | Xtreme Fight Events - Cage Wars 5 Xtreme Fight Events Cage Wars |
| 7 | 2010-02-27 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.5 | 1,109+43 | 1,098 | -- | -- | Asylum Fight League 26 Asylum MMA am |
| 6 | 2010-01-23 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R11:31 | 23.4 | 1,013+96 | 1,190 | -- | Lightweight | Raging Wolf 6: Mayhem in the Mist 2 Raging Wolf MMA am |
| 5 | 2009-12-18 | L |
|
-- | -- | 23.3 | 1,092-79 | 1,019 | -- | -- | New Jersey Regional New Jersey Regional am |
| 4 | 2009-06-13 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R12:16 | 22.8 | 1,015+77 | 1,077 | -- | -- | Raging Wolf 4: Defiance Raging Wolf MMA am |
| 3 | 2009-04-25 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 22.7 | 1,046-31 | 1,120 | -- | Lightweight | AFL 13 Asylum MMA am |
| 2 | 2009-04-10 | L |
|
Decision | -- | 22.6 | 1,059-13 | 1,206 | -- | -- | New Jersey Regional New Jersey Regional am |
| 1 | 2008-09-27 | W |
|
Decision | -- | 22.1 | 1,020+39 | 1,020 | -- | -- | Asylum MMA Asylum MMA am |