Result UFC on Fox 30: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Sat 28 Jul 2018 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

José Aldo vs Jeremy Stephens

Elo
43%57%
Market said
47%53%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
José AldoJeremy Stephens
1,991 Elo 2,041
1,378 KO rating 1,591
1,409 Sub rating 1,342
1,502 Dec rating 1,417
Wins by
15 KO/TKO 19
1 Submission 2
10 Decision 7
Losses by
3 KO/TKO 1
1 Submission 3
0 Decision 10
The crowd
52% Picked by 48%

Prices

The close; the outcome that happened is outlined
José AldoJeremy Stephens
+106Moneyline-125
-129Opened-105
+976Win by KO+222
+1435Win by sub+1540
+132Win by dec+318
+615Win inside+190
How long it went
Over 2.5-175 Under 2.5+145 Decision-159 Inside+125

What the model makes of it

Every bet →
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 72% v 61% 8.8% -175 -1.00u
  • José Aldomoneyline 48% v 47% -0.7% +106 won

Common opponents

Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent first
José AldoJeremy Stephens

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

José Aldo 26-4 going in · 30 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
42 2025-05-10 L Aiemann Zahabi DecisionUnanimous R315:00 38.7 2,062-33 1,780 -185 Featherweight UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2024-10-05 L Mario Bautista DecisionSplit R315:00 38.1 2,089-27 1,860 +120 Bantamweight UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2024-05-04 W Jonathan Martinez DecisionUnanimous R315:00 37.7 2,030+59 1,921 +125 Bantamweight UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2022-08-20 L Merab Dvalishvili DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.9 2,118-50 2,012 +118 Bantamweight UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2021-12-04 W Rob Font DecisionUnanimous R525:00 35.2 2,071+47 1,987 +120 Bantamweight UFC on ESPN 31: Font vs. Aldo Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2021-08-07 W Pedro Munhoz DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.9 1,999+72 2,002 -118 Bantamweight UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2020-12-19 W Marlon Vera DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.3 1,961+38 1,892 -150 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 183: Thompson vs. Neal Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2020-07-11 L Petr Yan KO/TKOGround & Pound R523:24 33.8 2,053-92 2,035 +185 Bantamweight UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2019-12-14 L Marlon Moraes DecisionSplit R315:00 33.3 2,049+4 2,035 +161 Bantamweight UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2019-05-11 L Alexander Volkanovski DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.7 2,131-82 2,105 -137 Featherweight UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2019-02-02 W Renato Moicano KO/TKOPunches R25:44 32.4 2,091+41 1,882 +119 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 144: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2018-07-28 W Jeremy Stephens this fight KO/TKOBody Shot & Ground & Pound R14:19 31.9 1,991+100 2,041 +106 Featherweight UFC on Fox 30: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2017-12-02 L Max Holloway KO/TKOGround & Pound R314:51 31.2 2,029-38 2,249 +246 Featherweight UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2017-06-03 L Max Holloway KO/TKOGround & Pound R314:13 30.7 2,095-66 2,183 -148 Featherweight UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2016-07-09 W Frankie Edgar DecisionUnanimous R525:00 29.8 2,009+85 2,217 +100 Featherweight UFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2015-12-12 L Conor McGregor KO/TKOPunches R10:13 29.3 2,092-83 2,111 -110 Featherweight UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2014-10-25 W Chad Mendes DecisionUnanimous R525:00 28.1 2,096+4 1,990 -240 Featherweight UFC 179: Aldo vs. Mendes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2014-02-01 W Ricardo Lamas DecisionUnanimous R525:00 27.4 2,096+0 1,876 -600 Featherweight UFC 169: Barao vs. Faber 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2013-08-03 W Chan Sung Jung KO/TKOPunches R417:00 26.9 2,068+27 1,775 -714 Featherweight UFC 163: Aldo vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2013-02-02 W Frankie Edgar DecisionUnanimous R525:00 26.4 2,049+20 2,062 -241 Featherweight UFC 156: Aldo vs. Edgar Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2012-01-14 W Chad Mendes KO/TKOKnee & Punches R14:59 25.3 1,991+60 1,880 -239 Featherweight UFC 142: Aldo vs. Mendes Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2011-10-08 W Kenny Florian DecisionUnanimous R525:00 25.1 1,974+17 1,837 -- Featherweight UFC 136: Edgar vs. Maynard 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2011-04-30 W Mark Hominick DecisionUnanimous R525:00 24.6 1,987-13 1,741 -- Featherweight UFC 129: St. Pierre vs. Shields Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2010-09-30 W Manny Gamburyan KO/TKOPunches R26:32 24.1 1,953+34 1,708 -- Featherweight WEC 51: Aldo vs. Gamburyan WEC
18 2010-04-24 W Urijah Faber DecisionUnanimous R525:00 23.6 1,878+75 1,828 -- Featherweight WEC 48: Aldo vs. Faber WEC
17 2009-11-18 W Mike Brown KO/TKOPunches R26:20 23.2 1,766+112 1,865 -- Featherweight WEC 44: Brown vs. Aldo WEC
16 2009-06-07 W Cub Swanson KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punches R10:08 22.7 1,698+68 1,621 -- Featherweight WEC 41: Brown vs. Faber 2 WEC
15 2009-03-01 W Chris Mickle KO/TKOPunches R11:39 22.5 1,646+52 1,497 -- Featherweight WEC 39: Brown vs. Garcia WEC
14 2009-01-25 W Rolando Perez KO/TKOKnee & Punches R14:15 22.4 1,618+28 1,327 -- Featherweight WEC 38: Varner vs. Cerrone WEC
13 2008-11-05 W Jonathan Brookins KO/TKOPunches R310:45 22.2 1,541+77 1,501 -- Featherweight WEC 36: Faber vs. Brown WEC
12 2008-06-01 W Alexandre Nogueira KO/TKOPunches R28:22 21.7 1,458+83 1,440 -- Featherweight WEC 34: Sacramento WEC
11 2007-07-27 W Shoji Maruyama DecisionUnanimous R315:00 20.9 1,407+51 1,373 -- Lightweight Pancrase 179: 2007 Neo-Blood Tournament (Round 3) Pancrase
10 2007-05-02 W Fabio Mello DecisionUnanimous R315:00 20.6 1,382+24 1,233 -- -- Top Fighting Championships 3 Rio de Janeiro Regional
9 2006-05-20 W Thiago Meller DecisionMajority R315:00 19.7 1,359+24 1,367 -- -- GFC 1: Gold Fighters Championship Rio de Janeiro Regional
8 2005-11-26 L Luciano Azevedo SubRear-Naked Choke R2 19.2 1,495-136 1,278 -- -- Jungle Fight 5: Manaus Jungle Fight
7 2005-10-15 W Micky Young KO/TKOPunches R11:05 19.1 1,440+54 1,302 -- -- FX3 - Battle of Britain United Kingdom Regional
6 2005-09-17 W Phil Harris KO/TKODoctor Stoppage R1 19.0 1,340+100 1,391 -- -- UK-1 - Fight Night United Kingdom Regional
5 2005-07-09 W Anderson Silverio KO/TKOSubmission to Soccer Kicks R18:33 18.8 1,289+51 1,133 -- -- Meca World Vale Tudo 12 Meca World Vale Tudo
4 2005-05-12 W Aritano Silva Barbosa KO/TKOSoccer Kicks R10:20 18.7 1,258+31 991 -- -- RMMAC - Rio MMA Challenge 1 Rio de Janeiro Regional
3 2005-03-19 W Luiz de Paula SubArm-Triangle Choke R11:54 18.5 1,209+49 1,045 -- -- Shooto Americas - Shooto Brazil 7 Shooto Brazil
2 2004-10-23 W Hudson Rocha KO/TKODoctor Stoppage R15:00 18.1 1,088+121 1,229 -- -- Shooto Brazil - Never Shake Shooto Brazil
1 2004-08-10 W Mario Bigola KO/TKOHead Kick R10:18 17.9 1,000+88 1,000 -- -- Eco Fight Championship 1 Eco Fight Championship
Jeremy Stephens 28-14 going in · 46 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
57 2026-05-09 L King Green SubRear Naked Choke R14:20 40.0 1,528-27 1,823 +320 Catchweight UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Ultimate Fighting Championship
56 2025-05-03 L Mason Jones DecisionUnanimous R315:00 38.9 1,557-28 1,794 +461 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 67: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Ultimate Fighting Championship
55 2022-11-25 L Natan Schulte SubArm Triangle Choke R26:32 36.5 1,632-32 1,893 +330 Lightweight PFL 10: 2022 Championships Professional Fighters League
54 2022-06-17 W Myles Price DecisionSplit R315:00 36.1 1,689-57 1,328 -800 Lightweight PFL 4: 2022 Regular Season Professional Fighters League
53 2022-04-20 L Clay Collard DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.9 1,735-46 1,633 -112 Lightweight PFL 1: 2022 Regular Season Professional Fighters League
52 2021-07-17 L Mateusz Gamrot SubKimura R11:05 35.1 1,775-40 1,986 +187 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 26: Makhachev vs. Moises Ultimate Fighting Championship
51 2020-05-09 L Calvin Kattar KO/TKOElbows to Ground & Pound R27:42 34.0 1,864-81 1,889 +222 Lightweight UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship
50 2019-10-18 L Yair Rodriguez DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.4 1,903-40 1,859 -110 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 6: Reyes vs. Weidman Ultimate Fighting Championship
49 2019-09-21 NC Yair Rodriguez -- R10:15 33.3 1,903+0 1,859 -110 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 159: Rodriguez vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship
48 2019-03-02 L Zabit Magomedsharipov DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.8 1,941-37 1,914 +195 Featherweight UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Ultimate Fighting Championship
47 2018-07-28 L José Aldo this fight KO/TKOBody Shot & Ground & Pound R14:19 32.2 2,041-100 1,991 -125 Featherweight UFC on Fox 30: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
46 2018-02-24 W Josh Emmett KO/TKOPunches R26:35 31.8 1,982+59 1,863 -163 Featherweight UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship
45 2018-01-14 W Doo Ho Choi KO/TKOPunches R27:36 31.6 1,917+65 1,824 +139 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2017-09-09 W Gilbert Melendez DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.3 1,833+84 1,820 -103 Featherweight UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2017-04-15 L Renato Moicano DecisionSplit R315:00 30.9 1,886-54 1,739 -175 Featherweight UFC on Fox 24: Johnson vs. Reis Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2016-11-12 L Frankie Edgar DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.5 1,884+2 2,132 +275 Featherweight UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2016-05-29 W Renan Barão DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.0 1,863+21 1,919 +159 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2015-12-12 L Max Holloway DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.5 1,895-32 2,052 +405 Featherweight UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2015-07-11 W Dennis Bermudez KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punches R310:32 29.1 1,811+84 1,798 +160 Featherweight UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2014-12-12 L Charles Oliveira DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.5 1,837-27 1,840 -125 Featherweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2014-06-28 L Cub Swanson DecisionUnanimous R525:00 28.1 1,857-20 1,932 +197 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 44: Swanson vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2014-01-25 W Darren Elkins DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.7 1,812+45 1,772 -135 Featherweight UFC on Fox 10: Henderson vs. Thomson Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2013-11-09 W Rony Jason KO/TKOHead Kick R10:40 27.5 1,703+109 1,790 +160 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 32: Belfort vs. Henderson Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2013-05-25 W Estevan Payan DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.0 1,600+103 1,663 -230 Featherweight UFC 160: Velasquez vs. Bigfoot 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2012-12-08 L Yves Edwards KO/TKOPunches & Elbows R11:55 26.5 1,680-81 1,707 -181 Lightweight UFC on Fox 5: Henderson vs. Diaz Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2012-05-15 L Donald Cerrone DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.0 1,739-58 1,843 +215 Lightweight UFC on Fuel TV 3: Korean Zombie vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2011-10-08 L Anthony Pettis DecisionSplit R315:00 25.4 1,756-18 1,775 -- Lightweight UFC 136: Edgar vs. Maynard 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2011-06-04 W Danny Downes DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.0 1,718+38 1,498 -- Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2011-01-01 W Marcus Davis KO/TKOPunch R312:33 24.6 1,630+88 1,630 -- Lightweight UFC 125: Resolution Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2010-09-25 L Melvin Guillard DecisionSplit R315:00 24.3 1,635-4 1,596 -- Lightweight UFC 119: Mir vs. Cro Cop Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2010-05-08 W Sam Stout DecisionSplit R315:00 24.0 1,579+56 1,697 -- Lightweight UFC 113: Machida vs. Shogun 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2009-09-16 W Justin Buchholz KO/TKODoctor Stoppage R13:32 23.3 1,527+52 1,378 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 19: Diaz vs. Guillard Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2009-04-01 L Gleison Tibau DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.9 1,587-60 1,602 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 18: Condit vs. Kampmann Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2009-02-07 L Joe Lauzon SubArmbar R29:43 22.7 1,668-81 1,694 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 17: Lauzon vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2008-11-15 W Rafael dos Anjos KO/TKOPunches R310:39 22.5 1,604+63 1,506 -- Lightweight UFC 91: Couture vs. Lesnar Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2008-06-21 L Spencer Fisher DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.1 1,650-46 1,582 -- Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 7 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2008-01-23 W Cole Miller KO/TKOPunches & Elbows R29:44 21.7 1,567+84 1,552 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 12: Swick vs. Burkman Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2007-09-22 W Diego Saraiva DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.3 1,546+20 1,342 -- Lightweight UFC 76: Knockout Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2007-07-27 W Nick Walker KO/TKOPunches R14:45 21.2 1,513+33 1,261 -- -- Midwest Cage Championship Midwest Cage Championship
18 2007-05-26 L Din Thomas SubArmbar R27:44 21.0 1,620-107 1,541 -- Lightweight UFC 71: Liddell vs. Jackson Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2007-03-17 W Vern Jefferson KO/TKOPunches R13:58 20.8 1,596+24 1,280 -- -- Greensparks - Full Contact Fighting 3 Iowa Regional
16 2007-02-21 W Norm Alexander SubTriangle Choke R13:26 20.7 1,591+5 974 -- -- TFC - Battle at the Barn Iowa Regional
15 2006-11-22 W Chris Mickle KO/TKOPunch R4 20.5 1,554+37 1,325 -- -- MCC 5: Thanksgiving Throwdown Midwest Cage Championship
14 2006-09-22 W Aaron Williams KO/TKOPunches R1 20.3 1,543+10 1,065 -- -- UGC 4: The Civil War Louisiana Regional
13 2006-08-19 W Doug Alcorn SubArmbar R11:56 20.2 1,531+12 1,078 -- -- Greensparks - Full Contact Fighting 1 Iowa Regional
12 2006-07-15 W Chris Mickle KO/TKOPunches R2 20.1 1,435+96 1,470 -- -- Midwest Cage Championship Midwest Cage Championship
11 2006-02-11 W Kendrick Johnson KO/TKOPunch R11:46 19.7 1,385+50 1,227 -- -- Midwest Cage Championship Midwest Cage Championship
10 2005-08-27 W Will Shutt KO/TKOPunches R11:19 19.3 1,358+27 1,060 -- -- XKK - Trials Xtreme Kage Kombat
9 2005-03-19 W Sharome Blanchard KO/TKOPunches R12:36 18.8 1,314+45 1,127 -- -- XKK - Des Moines Xtreme Kage Kombat
8 2005-03-02 L Chris Mickle SubRear-Naked Choke R2 18.8 1,406-93 1,386 -- -- Downtown Destruction 3 Iowa Regional
7 2005-02-02 W Chris Caleb KO/TKOPunch R11:44 18.7 1,382+24 1,061 -- -- Downtown Destruction 2 Iowa Regional
6 2005-01-15 W Gary Percival KO/TKOSubmission to Punches R1 18.6 1,367+15 955 -- -- Jungle Madness 2 Minnesota Regional
5 2005-01-12 W Ted Worthington KO/TKOPunches R10:33 18.6 1,266+101 1,321 -- -- Downtown Destruction 1 Iowa Regional
4 2004-02-06 W Nowanda Bell KO/TKOSubmission to Strikes R2 17.7 1,186+81 1,267 -- -- THFC - Friday Night Fights 7 Iowa Regional am
3 2004-02-06 W Token Bell KO/TKOSubmission to Strikes R2 17.7 1,105+80 1,184 -- -- Iowa Regional Iowa Regional am
2 2004-01-30 L John Wright SubGuillotine Choke R2 17.7 1,168-63 1,183 -- -- THFC - Friday Night Fights 6 Iowa Regional am
1 2004-01-16 W Justin Erdman Sub R3 17.6 1,103+66 1,103 -- -- THFC - Friday Night Fights 4 Iowa Regional am