Result UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Sat 21 Jan 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny

Our model
62%38%
Market said
79%21%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Gilbert BurnsNeil Magny
2,107 Elo 1,973
1,536 KO rating 1,530
1,418 Sub rating 1,347
1,526 Dec rating 1,443
Wins by
6 KO/TKO 7
8 Submission 4
6 Decision 19
Losses by
2 KO/TKO 3
0 Submission 5
3 Decision 2
The crowd
93% Picked by 7%

Prices

The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlined
Gilbert BurnsNeil Magny
-470opened -352 Moneyline +370opened +287
Method
+300Win by KO+1150
+200Win by sub+2000
+175Win by dec+500
-145Win inside+1600
How long it went
Over 1.5-188 Under 1.5+148 Over 2.5-105 Under 2.5-125 Decision+120 Inside-150

What the model makes of it

At the prices above Every bet →
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 64% v 48% 12.4% -105 -1.00u
  • Goes the distancethe distance 57% v 43% 11.6% +120 -1.00u
  • Gilbert Burns by Decisionmethod: decision 41% v 29% 4.8% +175 -1.00u
  • Neil Magny inside the distanceinside the distance 6% v 5% 0.4% +1600 lost
  • Gilbert Burnsmoneyline 81% v 81% -1.4% -470 won
  • Neil Magny by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 4% -3.1% +2000 lost
  • Neil Magny by KO/TKOmethod: KO 5% v 6% -3.4% +1150 lost
  • Neil Magny by Decisionmethod: decision 13% v 13% -4.0% +500 lost
  • Gilbert Burns by KO/TKOmethod: KO 18% v 20% -7.4% +300 lost
  • Gilbert Burns by Submissionmethod: sub 22% v 27% -11.1% +200 won
  • Gilbert Burns inside the distanceinside the distance 40% v 50% -19.3% -145 won

Common opponents

Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent first
Gilbert BurnsNeil Magny

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Gilbert Burns 20-5 going in · 26 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
33 2026-04-18 L Mike Malott KO/TKORight Hook to Ground Punches R312:08 39.7 1,867-93 1,844 +235 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 273: Burns vs. Malott Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2025-05-17 L Michael Morales KO/TKORight Hook & Follow Up Punches R13:39 38.8 1,956-89 1,951 +425 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 256: Burns vs. Morales Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2024-09-07 L Sean Brady DecisionUnanimous R525:00 38.1 2,025-70 2,005 +158 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 242: Burns vs. Brady Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2024-03-09 L Jack Della Maddalena KO/TKOKnee to Ground Strikes R313:43 37.6 2,150-125 1,992 +135 Welterweight UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2023-05-06 L Belal Muhammad DecisionUnanimous R525:00 36.8 2,217-67 2,208 -140 Welterweight UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2023-04-08 W Jorge Masvidal DecisionUnanimous R315:00 36.7 2,162+54 2,081 -440 Welterweight UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2023-01-21 W Neil Magny this fight SubArm Triangle Choke R14:15 36.5 2,107+55 1,973 -470 Welterweight UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2022-04-09 L Khamzat Chimaev DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.7 2,159-52 1,980 +385 Welterweight UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2021-07-10 W Stephen Thompson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.0 2,123+36 2,139 +139 Welterweight UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2021-02-13 L Kamaru Usman KO/TKOPower Jab to Ground & Pound R310:34 34.6 2,165-42 2,364 +220 Welterweight UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2020-05-30 W Tyron Woodley DecisionUnanimous R525:00 33.9 2,068+97 2,106 +137 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2020-03-14 W Demian Maia KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground & Pound R12:34 33.7 1,939+129 2,117 -182 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 170: Lee vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2019-09-28 W Gunnar Nelson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.2 1,891+49 1,925 -123 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 160: Hermansson vs. Cannonier Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2019-08-10 W Alexey Kunchenko DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.1 1,857+34 1,941 +113 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 156: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2019-04-27 W Mike Davis SubRear Naked Choke R29:15 32.8 1,835+22 1,498 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 150: Jacare vs. Hermansson Ultimate Fighting Championship
18 2018-12-08 W Olivier Aubin-Mercier DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.4 1,728+107 1,805 +105 Lightweight UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2018-07-07 L Dan Hooker KO/TKOPunches R12:28 32.0 1,808-80 1,838 +101 Lightweight UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2018-04-14 W Dan Moret KO/TKOPunches R25:59 31.7 1,747+61 1,639 -600 Lightweight UFC on Fox 29: Poirier vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2017-09-16 W Jason Saggo KO/TKOPunch R29:55 31.2 1,666+81 1,640 -136 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 116: Rockhold vs. Branch Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2016-09-24 L Michel Prazeres DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.2 1,744-78 1,712 -225 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs. Lansberg Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2016-07-07 W Łukasz Sajewski SubArmbar R14:57 30.0 1,695+49 1,530 -242 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 90: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2015-11-07 L Rashid Magomedov DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.3 1,761-66 1,831 +170 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
11 2015-03-21 W Alex Oliveira SubArmbar R314:14 28.7 1,720+42 1,517 -500 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 62: Maia vs. LaFlare Ultimate Fighting Championship
10 2014-10-25 W Christos Giagos SubArmbar R14:57 28.3 1,638+82 1,616 -344 Lightweight UFC 179: Aldo vs. Mendes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
9 2014-07-26 W Andreas Stahl DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.0 1,602+35 1,575 -165 Welterweight UFC on Fox 12: Lawler vs. Brown Ultimate Fighting Championship
8 2014-05-02 W Paulo Teixeira KO/TKOPunches R11:02 27.8 1,524+79 1,488 -- -- Face to Face 7 Face to Face FC
7 2013-12-05 W Paulo Bananada KO/TKOPunch R14:57 27.4 1,456+68 1,377 -- Catchweight Coliseu Extreme Fight 8 Coliseu Extreme Fight
6 2013-03-25 W Rodolfo Coronel SubArmbar R1 26.7 1,439+17 1,047 -- Lightweight Mixed Submission and Strike Arts 3 MMA Champions League
5 2012-08-04 W Paulo Roberto KO/TKOPunches R11:30 26.0 1,433+6 856 -- Welterweight Champion Fights 1: Revelando Campeões Champion Fights
4 2012-07-27 W Vinicius Bohrer SubRear Naked Choke R11:59 26.0 1,309+124 1,462 -- Lightweight Watch Out Combat Show 20 Watch Out Combat Show
3 2012-06-15 W Herles dos Santos SubArmbar R13:30 25.9 1,262+47 1,088 -- Catchweight Ichigeki - Fight Night Ichigeki Brasil
2 2012-01-28 W Jose Salgado SubRear-Naked Choke R12:40 25.5 1,133+129 1,312 -- -- Crown Fighting Championships 5 Crown FC
1 2011-07-30 W Jaime Sanchez Sub -- 25.0 1,068+66 1,068 -- -- Nevada Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am
Neil Magny 30-10 going in · 40 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
50 2026-08-15 W Ramiz Brahimaj KO/TKOPunches From Top Position R28:20 39.0 1,870+58 1,748 +130 Welterweight UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Garry Ultimate Fighting Championship
49 2025-12-13 L Yaroslav Amosov SubAnaconda Choke R13:14 38.4 1,959-89 1,953 +300 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 73: Royval vs. Kape Ultimate Fighting Championship
48 2025-09-27 W Jake Matthews SubD'arce Choke R313:08 38.2 1,842+117 1,964 +285 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 260: Ulberg vs. Reyes Ultimate Fighting Championship
47 2025-08-02 W Elizeu Zaleski KO/TKOPunches From Back Mount R29:39 38.0 1,751+90 1,762 +140 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 71: Taira vs. Park Ultimate Fighting Championship
46 2024-11-09 L Carlos Prates KO/TKOLeft Hook R14:50 37.3 1,798-46 1,975 +550 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 247: Magny vs. Prates Ultimate Fighting Championship
45 2024-08-24 L Michael Morales KO/TKOGround & Pound R14:39 37.1 1,897-99 1,852 +600 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 62: Cannonier vs. Borralho Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2024-01-20 W Mike Malott KO/TKOGround & Pound R314:45 36.5 1,824+72 1,764 +295 Welterweight UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2023-08-19 L Ian Machado Garry DecisionUnanimous R315:00 36.0 1,906-82 1,929 +375 Welterweight UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2023-06-24 W Phil Rowe DecisionSplit R315:00 35.9 1,918-11 1,790 -175 Welterweight UFC on ABC 5: Emmett vs. Topuria Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2023-01-21 L Gilbert Burns this fight SubArm Triangle Choke R14:15 35.5 1,973-55 2,107 +370 Welterweight UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2022-11-05 W Daniel Rodriguez SubD'arce Choke R313:33 35.3 1,879+94 1,905 -116 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 214: Rodriguez vs. Lemos Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2022-06-25 L Shavkat Rakhmonov SubGuillotine Choke R29:58 34.9 1,950-71 2,015 +375 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 38: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2022-03-26 W Max Griffin DecisionSplit R315:00 34.6 1,965-16 1,829 -260 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 33: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2021-05-08 W Geoff Neal DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.8 1,948+18 1,940 +184 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 24: Rodriguez vs. Waterson Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2021-01-20 L Michael Chiesa DecisionUnanimous R525:00 33.5 2,038-90 1,996 -138 Welterweight UFC on ESPN 20: Chiesa vs. Magny Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2020-08-29 W Robbie Lawler DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.1 1,983+55 1,847 -230 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 175: Smith vs. Rakic Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2020-06-06 W Anthony Rocco Martin DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.8 1,978+4 2,013 -130 Welterweight UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2020-03-07 W Jingliang Li DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.6 1,880+99 1,924 +147 Welterweight UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2018-11-17 L Santiago Ponzinibbio KO/TKOPunch R417:36 31.3 1,984-91 1,970 +229 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 140: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2018-05-27 W Craig White KO/TKOKnee & Punches R14:32 30.8 1,961+23 1,636 -550 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 130: Thompson vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2017-12-30 W Carlos Condit DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.4 1,873+88 1,977 +135 Welterweight UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2017-09-09 L Rafael dos Anjos SubArm Triangle Choke R13:43 30.1 1,920-48 2,091 +143 Welterweight UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2016-12-30 W Johny Hendricks DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.4 1,925-5 1,925 -149 Welterweight UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2016-08-20 L Lorenz Larkin KO/TKOElbows R14:08 29.0 2,061-136 1,843 -135 Welterweight UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2016-03-19 W Hector Lombard KO/TKOGround & Pound R310:46 28.6 1,935+126 2,101 +105 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 85: Hunt vs. Mir Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2015-11-21 W Kelvin Gastelum DecisionSplit R525:00 28.3 1,916+19 1,978 +237 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 78: Magny vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2015-08-23 W Erick Silva DecisionSplit R315:00 28.1 1,831+85 1,851 +155 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 74: Holloway vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2015-08-01 L Demian Maia SubRear Naked Choke R27:52 28.0 1,896-65 1,988 +153 Welterweight UFC 190: Rousey vs. Correia Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2015-05-16 W Hyun Gyu Lim KO/TKOGround & Pound R26:24 27.8 1,824+72 1,763 -120 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 66: Edgar vs. Faber Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2015-02-14 W Kiichi Kunimoto SubRear Naked Choke R311:22 27.5 1,785+39 1,566 -365 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 60: Henderson vs. Thatch Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2014-10-25 W William Macário KO/TKOGround & Pound R312:40 27.2 1,701+84 1,687 -240 Welterweight UFC 179: Aldo vs. Mendes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2014-08-23 W Alex Garcia DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.1 1,696+5 1,679 -- Welterweight UFC Fight Night 49: Henderson vs. dos Anjos Ultimate Fighting Championship
18 2014-06-28 W Rodrigo de Lima KO/TKOPunches R27:32 26.9 1,659+37 1,429 -270 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 43: Te Huna vs. Marquardt Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2014-05-10 W Tim Means DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.8 1,580+79 1,794 +212 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 40: Brown vs. Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2014-02-01 W Gasan Umalatov DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.5 1,512+69 1,522 +145 Welterweight UFC 169: Barao vs. Faber 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2013-11-06 L Seth Baczynski DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.3 1,510+2 1,576 +100 Welterweight UFC Fight Night 31: Fight for the Troops 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2013-08-03 L Sérgio Moraes SubTriangle Choke R13:13 26.0 1,629-119 1,497 +105 Welterweight UFC 163: Aldo vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2013-02-23 W Jon Manley DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.6 1,563+66 1,496 -170 Welterweight UFC 157: Rousey vs. Carmouche Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2012-09-12 L Mike Ricci KO/TKOElbow R14:12 25.1 1,650-87 1,653 -- Welterweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 16 Semifinals The Ultimate Fighter
11 2012-09-04 W Bristol Marunde DecisionUnanimous R210:00 25.1 1,537+113 1,680 -- Welterweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 16 Quarterfinals, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter
10 2012-08-06 W Cameron Diffley DecisionUnanimous R210:00 25.0 1,466+71 1,436 -- Welterweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 16 Opening Round, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter
9 2012-07-31 W Frank Camacho DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.0 1,436+30 1,315 -- Welterweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 16 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter
8 2012-02-11 W Dan Sandman DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.5 1,432+4 1,172 -- Middleweight Hoosier Fight Club 10 Hoosier FC
7 2011-07-21 L Andrew Trace SubGuillotine Choke R13:10 24.0 1,508-76 1,554 -- -- Combat USA - Wisconsin vs. Illinois Championship Combat USA
6 2011-05-14 W Quartus Stitt SubTriangle Choke R2 23.8 1,478+29 1,201 -- -- Combat USA - Illinois State Finals Combat USA
5 2011-04-09 W Kevin Nowaczyk DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.7 1,398+80 1,480 -- Welterweight Hoosier FC 7: Validation Hoosier FC
4 2010-11-19 W Darion Terry KO/TKOPunches R3 23.3 1,330+69 1,253 -- Welterweight Rumble Time Promotions Rumble Time Promotions
3 2010-11-06 W Lawrence Dunning KO/TKOPunches R28:09 23.3 1,275+55 1,138 -- -- Cut Throat MMA - Supremacy Cut Throat MMA
2 2010-10-22 W Nate Pratt DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.2 1,212+63 1,225 -- -- C3 Fights - Slammin Jammin Weekend 6 C3 Fights
1 2010-08-07 W Nolan Norwood SubStraight Armbar R2 23.0 1,145+67 1,061 -- -- C3 Fights - Slammin Jammin Weekend 5 C3 Fights