Result
UFC Fight Night 272: Moicano vs. Duncan
· Sat 4 Apr 2026 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan
W
Renato Moicano
“Money”
21-7-1 · +130
2,001Elo
Sub
R2 · 3:14
Lightweight
Chris Duncan
“The Problem”
15-2 · -150
1,877Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litRenato MoicanoChris Duncan
2,001
Elo
1,877
1,513
KO rating
1,415
1,406
Sub rating
1,423
1,444
Dec rating
1,314
Wins by
2
KO/TKO
7
10
Submission
4
9
Decision
4
Losses by
3
KO/TKO
1
2
Submission
1
2
Decision
0
The crowd
33%
Picked by
67%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedRenato MoicanoChris Duncan
+130opened -220
Moneyline
-150opened +185
Method
+700Win by KO+125
+325Win by sub+800
+750Win by dec+375
+230Win inside-125
How long it went
Over 1.5-206
Under 1.5+153
Over 2.5+105
Under 2.5-125
Decision+275
Inside-350
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Renato Moicanomoneyline 45% v 41% 1.7% +130 won
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Renato Moicano
21-7-1 going in · 29 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 2026-04-04 | W |
Chris Duncan
this fight
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R28:14 | 36.9 | 2,001+58 | 1,877 | +130 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 272: Moicano vs. Duncan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2025-06-28 | L |
 Beneil Dariush
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 36.1 | 2,047-46 | 1,981 | -110 | Lightweight | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2025-01-18 | L |
 Islam Makhachev
|
SubD'arce Choke | R14:05 | 35.7 | 2,062-15 | 2,468 | +900 | Lightweight | UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2024-09-28 | W |
 Benoit Saint-Denis
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Eye Injury) | R210:00 | 35.4 | 1,983+79 | 1,948 | +215 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 243: Moicano vs. St. Denis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2024-04-13 | W |
 Jalin Turner
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:11 | 34.9 | 1,866+118 | 1,990 | +185 | Lightweight | UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2024-02-03 | W |
Drew Dober
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.7 | 1,827+39 | 1,874 | -182 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 235: Dolidze vs. Imavov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2022-11-12 | W |
 Brad Riddell
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:20 | 33.5 | 1,800+37 | 1,570 | -123 | Lightweight | UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2022-03-05 | L |
Rafael dos Anjos
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 32.8 | 1,850-50 | 2,008 | +160 | Lightweight | UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2022-02-12 | W |
Alexander Hernandez
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:23 | 32.7 | 1,769+80 | 1,741 | -165 | Lightweight | UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2021-06-26 | W |
 Jai Herbert
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:34 | 32.1 | 1,667+103 | 1,728 | -230 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 190: Gane vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2020-12-12 | L |
 Rafael Fiziev
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook | R14:05 | 31.6 | 1,788-121 | 1,647 | +120 | Lightweight | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2020-03-14 | W |
 Damir Hadžović
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R10:44 | 30.8 | 1,716+72 | 1,654 | -385 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 170: Lee vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2019-06-22 | L |
 Chan Sung Jung
|
KO/TKOOverhand Right to Ground & Pound | R10:58 | 30.1 | 1,842-126 | 1,677 | -197 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 154: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2019-02-02 | L |
José Aldo
|
KO/TKOPunches | R25:44 | 29.7 | 1,882-41 | 2,091 | -144 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 144: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2018-08-04 | W |
Cub Swanson
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:15 | 29.2 | 1,799+84 | 1,783 | -320 | Featherweight | UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2018-04-07 | W |
Calvin Kattar
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.9 | 1,720+79 | 1,753 | -108 | Featherweight | UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2017-07-29 | L |
Brian Ortega
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R312:59 | 28.2 | 1,792-72 | 1,854 | -159 | Featherweight | UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2017-04-15 | W |
Jeremy Stephens
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.9 | 1,739+54 | 1,886 | +146 | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 24: Johnson vs. Reis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2016-05-14 | W |
Zubaira Tukhugov
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.0 | 1,712+27 | 1,686 | -101 | Featherweight | UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2014-12-20 | W |
 Tom Niinimaki
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R28:30 | 25.6 | 1,676+51 | 1,520 | +106 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 58: Machida vs. Dollaway Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2014-07-19 | W |
Ismael Bonfim
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:59 | 25.2 | 1,634+42 | 1,434 | -- | Featherweight | Jungle Fight 71 Jungle Fight |
| 9 | 2013-07-20 | W |
Nilson Pereira
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.2 | 1,612+22 | 1,452 | -- | Featherweight | Jungle Fight 55 Jungle Fight |
| 8 | 2013-04-06 | W |
Mauro Chaulet
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:53 | 23.9 | 1,586+26 | 1,281 | -- | Featherweight | Jungle Fight 50 Jungle Fight |
| 7 | 2012-11-23 | D |
Felipe Froes
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 23.5 | 1,652-66 | 1,312 | -- | Featherweight | Shooto Brazil 36: Brasilia Shooto Brasil |
| 6 | 2011-06-25 | W |
Iliarde Santos
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.1 | 1,614+51 | 1,582 | -- | -- | Jungle Fight 29: Espirito Santo Jungle Fight |
| 5 | 2011-02-18 | W |
João Luis Nogueira
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.7 | 1,566+48 | 1,520 | -- | -- | Jungle Fight 25: Espirito Santo Jungle Fight |
| 4 | 2010-12-18 | W |
Eduardo Felipe
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 21.6 | 1,460+106 | 1,534 | -- | -- | Jungle Fight 24: Rio de Janeiro Jungle Fight |
| 3 | 2010-07-31 | W |
Joshua Temple
|
DecisionUnanimous | R3 | 21.2 | 1,403+57 | 1,393 | -- | -- | Jungle Fight 21: Natal Jungle Fight |
| 2 | 2010-07-31 | W |
João Paulo Rodrigues
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.2 | 1,335+69 | 1,371 | -- | -- | Jungle Fight 21: Natal Jungle Fight |
| 1 | 2010-03-20 | W |
Alexandre de Almeida
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R3 | 20.8 | 1,233+102 | 1,291 | -- | -- | Jungle Fight 18: Sao Paulo Jungle Fight |
Chris Duncan
15-2 going in · 29 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 2026-04-04 | L |
Renato Moicano
this fight
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R28:14 | 32.9 | 1,877-58 | 2,001 | -150 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 272: Moicano vs. Duncan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2025-12-06 | W |
Terrance McKinney
|
SubAnaconda Choke | R12:30 | 32.6 | 1,816+61 | 1,708 | -125 | Lightweight | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2025-08-02 | W |
 Mateusz Rębecki
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.2 | 1,783+33 | 1,875 | +180 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 71: Taira vs. Park Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2025-03-22 | W |
Jordan Vucenic
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R28:42 | 31.9 | 1,713+70 | 1,644 | +300 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 255: Edwards vs. Brady Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2024-09-28 | W |
 Bolaji Oki
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R13:44 | 31.4 | 1,614+99 | 1,660 | +156 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 243: Moicano vs. St. Denis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2024-02-24 | L |
 Manuel Torres
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:46 | 30.8 | 1,690-76 | 1,736 | +158 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 237: Moreno vs. Royval 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2023-07-22 | W |
 Yanal Ashmouz
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.2 | 1,576+114 | 1,696 | -140 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2023-03-18 | W |
 Omar Morales
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 29.9 | 1,611-35 | 1,433 | -106 | Lightweight | UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2022-08-02 | W |
Charlie Campbell
|
KO/TKORight Cross to Ground Strikes | R11:43 | 29.2 | 1,518+93 | 1,539 | +146 | Lightweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 2 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 21 | 2022-02-05 | W |
Jonathan Carlos
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.7 | 1,520-2 | 1,217 | -- | Welterweight | Ultimate Fight League 8 Ultimate Fight League |
| 20 | 2021-10-12 | L |
Viacheslav Borshchev
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook | R25:28 | 28.4 | 1,663-143 | 1,400 | -138 | Lightweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2021: Week 7 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 19 | 2020-10-01 | W |
 Iamik Furtado
|
KO/TKOPunches | R28:58 | 27.4 | 1,622+42 | 1,421 | -210 | Lightweight | Bellator 247: Jackson vs. Kielholtz Bellator MMA |
| 18 | 2020-02-22 | W |
Mateusz Piskorz
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:43 | 26.8 | 1,590+32 | 1,332 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator 240: Dublin Bellator MMA |
| 17 | 2019-08-04 | W |
Leandro Souza
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:03 | 26.2 | 1,555+35 | 1,313 | -- | Lightweight | Ultimate Fight League 3 Ultimate Fight League |
| 16 | 2019-02-23 | W |
 Sam Slater
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R13:00 | 25.8 | 1,491+64 | 1,396 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator 217: Gallagher vs. Graham Bellator MMA |
| 15 | 2018-11-17 | W |
 Niall Smith
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R1 | 25.5 | 1,463+28 | 1,177 | -- | Lightweight | On Top - 21 On Top Promotions |
| 14 | 2018-06-02 | W |
Steven Moore
|
KO/TKOPunches | R310:00 | 25.1 | 1,420+43 | 1,224 | -- | Lightweight | On Top: Showdown On Top Promotions |
| 13 | 2018-04-07 | W |
 Pietro Colonna
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R29:47 | 24.9 | 1,366+54 | 1,225 | -- | Lightweight | Unity Fighting Championship UNITY Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2017-11-18 | W |
Alexander O'Sullivan
|
KO/TKOCorner Stoppage | R26:00 | 24.5 | 1,304+63 | 1,288 | -- | Catchweight | HFC - Headhunters FC Headhunters FC am |
| 11 | 2017-09-30 | W |
Andy Nunn
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R1 | 24.4 | 1,286+18 | 961 | -- | Lightweight | On Top: Toe 2 Toe On Top Promotions am |
| 10 | 2017-03-04 | W |
Lukasz Szarafiniak
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R24:00 | 23.8 | 1,230+56 | 1,181 | -- | Lightweight | HFC - Headhunters FC Headhunters FC am |
| 9 | 2016-08-27 | W |
Makinde Adeyemi
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 23.3 | 1,210+19 | 1,069 | -- | Welterweight | SFC 11: Homecoming Scottish Fight Challenge am |
| 8 | 2016-05-01 | W |
John Ross
|
KO/TKOPunches | R24:29 | 23.0 | 1,196+14 | 832 | -- | Welterweight | Forza Fighting Championship 4 Forza Fighting Championship am |
| 7 | 2016-03-26 | W |
Kieran Connor
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R24:16 | 22.9 | 1,143+53 | 1,075 | -- | Catchweight | SFC 10: Reckoning Scottish Fight Challenge am |
| 6 | 2015-11-01 | W |
 Kevin Hamilton
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:22 | 22.5 | 1,078+65 | 1,074 | -- | Welterweight | Forza Fighting Championship 3 Forza Fighting Championship am |
| 5 | 2015-03-08 | W |
Graham Russell
|
DecisionMajority | R312:00 | 21.8 | 1,061+17 | 1,066 | -- | Welterweight | Scottish Fight Challenge 9 Scottish Fight Challenge am |
| 4 | 2014-12-06 | L |
Jack Pearce
|
DecisionUnanimous | R312:00 | 21.6 | 1,124-63 | 1,024 | -- | Catchweight | HFC - Headhunters FC Headhunters FC am |
| 3 | 2014-11-01 | W |
Stuart Adams
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:22 | 21.5 | 1,067+57 | 1,021 | -- | Welterweight | Forza Fighting Championship 2 Forza Fighting Championship am |
| 2 | 2014-04-20 | W |
Chrissy Morton
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R10:56 | 20.9 | 996+71 | 1,025 | -- | Welterweight | SFC 8: Firepower Scottish Fight Challenge am |
| 1 | 2010-11-27 | L |
David Dair
|
KO/TKOShoulder Injury | R2 | 17.5 | 1,062-67 | 1,055 | -- | -- | H - Honour 4 United Kingdom Regional am |