Result
UFC Fight Night 191: Brunson vs. Till
· Sat 4 Sep 2021 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Tom Aspinall vs Serghei Spivac
W
Tom Aspinall
10-2 · -235
1,734Elo
KO/TKO
R1 · 2:30
Heavyweight
Serghei Spivac
“Polar Bear”
13-2 · +200
1,717Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litTom AspinallSerghei Spivac
1,734
Elo
1,717
1,551
KO rating
1,370
1,206
Sub rating
1,272
1,172
Dec rating
1,286
Wins by
8
KO/TKO
5
2
Submission
6
0
Decision
2
Losses by
0
KO/TKO
1
1
Submission
0
0
Decision
1
The crowd
89%
Picked by
11%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedTom AspinallSerghei Spivac
-235opened -300
Moneyline
+200opened +240
Method
+120Win by KO+625
+500Win by sub+750
+500Win by dec+400
-140Win inside+365
How long it went
Over 1.5-125
Under 1.5-105
Over 2.5+162
Under 2.5-207
Decision+220
Inside-280
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Serghei Spivacmoneyline 37% v 32% 3.9% +200 -1.00u
- Under 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 53% v 48% 1.4% -105 won
- Serghei Spivac by KO/TKOmethod: KO 13% v 11% -0.3% +625 lost
- Does not go the distancethe distance 73% v 71% -0.8% -280 won
- Tom Aspinall by KO/TKOmethod: KO 42% v 37% -3.0% +120 won
- Serghei Spivac by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 9% -3.1% +750 lost
- Serghei Spivac by Decisionmethod: decision 15% v 16% -4.9% +400 lost
- Tom Aspinall by Decisionmethod: decision 11% v 13% -5.4% +500 lost
- Tom Aspinall inside the distanceinside the distance 52% v 50% -6.8% -140 won
- Tom Aspinall by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 13% -7.6% +500 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Tom Aspinall
10-2 going in · 23 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 2025-10-25 | NC |
 Ciryl Gane
|
-- | R14:35 | 32.5 | 2,177+0 | 2,102 | -370 | Heavyweight | UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2024-07-27 | W |
 Curtis Blaydes
|
KO/TKOCounter Jab to Ground Strikes | R11:00 | 31.3 | 2,105+88 | 2,105 | -400 | Heavyweight | UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2023-11-11 | W |
 Sergei Pavlovich
|
KO/TKORight Hook & Hammerfists | R11:09 | 30.6 | 1,982+123 | 2,130 | -110 | Heavyweight | UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-07-22 | W |
 Marcin Tybura
|
KO/TKOStraight Right to Ground Punches | R11:13 | 30.3 | 1,897+85 | 1,887 | -455 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2022-07-23 | L |
Curtis Blaydes
|
KO/TKOKnee Injury | R10:15 | 29.3 | 1,956-59 | 2,074 | -140 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 208: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2022-03-19 | W |
Alexander Volkov
|
SubStraight Armlock | R13:45 | 28.9 | 1,817+139 | 2,049 | -130 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 204: Volkov vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2021-09-04 | W |
Serghei Spivac
this fight
|
KO/TKOElbow to Ground Strikes | R12:30 | 28.4 | 1,734+83 | 1,717 | -235 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 191: Brunson vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2021-02-20 | W |
 Andrei Arlovski
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:09 | 27.9 | 1,618+115 | 1,733 | -240 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 185: Blaydes vs. Lewis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2020-10-10 | W |
Alan Baudot
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R11:35 | 27.5 | 1,588+31 | 1,318 | -650 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 179: Moraes vs. Sandhagen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2020-07-25 | W |
Jake Collier
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R10:45 | 27.3 | 1,490+97 | 1,530 | -280 | Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2019-09-28 | W |
Mickael Ben Hamouda
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:56 | 26.5 | 1,460+31 | 1,192 | -- | Heavyweight | Cage Warriors 107 Cage Warriors |
| 19 | 2019-02-16 | W |
Sofiane Boukichou
|
KO/TKOInjury | R11:21 | 25.9 | 1,385+74 | 1,333 | -- | Heavyweight | Cage Warriors 101 Cage Warriors |
| 18 | 2016-06-18 | W |
Kamil Bazelak
|
KO/TKOPunch | R11:16 | 23.2 | 1,388+32 | 1,131 | -- | Heavyweight | Full Contact Contender 16 Full Contact Contender |
| 17 | 2016-05-14 | L |
Łukasz Parobiec
|
DQIllegal 12-6 Elbow | R28:33 | 23.1 | 1,388+0 | 1,391 | -- | Heavyweight | BAMMA 25: Champion vs. Champion BAMMA |
| 16 | 2016-03-05 | W |
Adrian Ruskac
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:05 | 22.9 | 1,348+40 | 1,135 | -- | Heavyweight | Full Contact Contender 15 Full Contact Contender |
| 15 | 2015-06-13 | L |
Stuart Austin
|
SubHeel Hook | R28:59 | 22.2 | 1,490-142 | 1,235 | -- | Heavyweight | BAMMA 21: DeVent vs. Kone BAMMA |
| 14 | 2015-03-28 | W |
 Satisch Jhamai
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R10:09 | 22.0 | 1,480+10 | 1,001 | -- | Heavyweight | BAMMA 19: Petley vs. Stapleton BAMMA |
| 13 | 2015-02-21 | W |
Ricky King
|
SubHeel Hook | R10:49 | 21.9 | 1,423+57 | 1,296 | -- | Heavyweight | BAMMA 18: Duquesnoy vs. Klaczek BAMMA |
| 12 | 2014-12-13 | W |
Michał Piszczek
|
KO/TKOStrikes | R10:20 | 21.7 | 1,409+14 | 979 | -- | Heavyweight | MMA Versus UK 1: Empire Rises MMA Versus UK |
| 11 | 2014-05-31 | W |
Jordan Thompson
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R10:43 | 21.1 | 1,400+10 | 964 | -- | Heavyweight | Shinobi War 2 Shinobi MMA Fighting Championships am |
| 10 | 2014-05-31 | W |
Liam Cawley
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R10:43 | 21.1 | 1,392+8 | 906 | -- | Heavyweight | Shinobi War 2 Shinobi MMA Fighting Championships am |
| 9 | 2014-03-22 | W |
 Tom Bankevics
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:14 | 20.9 | 1,362+30 | 1,150 | -- | Heavyweight | Full Contact Contender 9 Full Contact Contender am |
| 8 | 2014-03-01 | W |
Ryan Hennessy
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:06 | 20.9 | 1,350+12 | 950 | -- | Heavyweight | OMMAC 20: War of the Worlds Olympian MMA Championships am |
| 7 | 2013-11-30 | W | Aaron Coughlan | KO/TKO | -- | 20.6 | 1,317+33 | 1,126 | -- | -- | Olympian MMA Championships Olympian MMA Championships am |
| 6 | 2013-09-07 | W |
Shawn Kenny
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 20.4 | 1,312+5 | 1,069 | -- | Heavyweight | OMMAC 18: Retribution Olympian MMA Championships am |
| 5 | 2013-03-02 | W |
Kristian Bircher
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R10:31 | 19.9 | 1,294+18 | 979 | -- | Heavyweight | OMMAC 16: Redemption Olympian MMA Championships am |
| 4 | 2012-11-03 | W |
Darren Moore
|
KO/TKO | -- | 19.6 | 1,216+78 | 1,283 | -- | -- | United Kingdom Regional United Kingdom Regional am |
| 3 | 2012-09-08 | W | Thomas Valkus | Sub | -- | 19.4 | 1,170+46 | 1,061 | -- | -- | United Kingdom Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am |
| 2 | 2010-05-22 | W | Alan Harper | SubD'Arce Choke | R11:38 | 17.1 | 1,127+55 | 1,070 | -- | -- | United Kingdom Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am |
| 1 | 2010-05-22 | W | Alan Harper | SubBrabo Choke | R11:38 | 17.1 | 1,061+66 | 1,061 | -- | -- | Fight-Stars 3 United Kingdom Regional am |
Serghei Spivac
13-2 going in · 15 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 2026-08-22 | L |
 Vitor Petrino
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.6 | 1,873-121 | 1,732 | +125 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 285: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2026-02-21 | W |
 Ante Delija
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.1 | 1,876-3 | 1,754 | +100 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 267: Strickland vs. Hernandez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2025-06-07 | L |
 Waldo Cortes-Acosta
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.4 | 1,863+13 | 1,838 | -174 | Heavyweight | UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2025-01-18 | L |
Jailton Almeida
|
KO/TKOPunches From Back Mount | R14:53 | 30.0 | 1,935-71 | 2,000 | +325 | Heavyweight | UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2024-08-10 | W |
Marcin Tybura
|
SubArmbar | R11:44 | 29.5 | 1,833+101 | 1,888 | -150 | Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 61: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2023-09-02 | L |
Ciryl Gane
|
KO/TKOPunches | R28:44 | 28.6 | 1,868-34 | 2,113 | +164 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 226: Gane vs. Spivak Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2023-02-04 | W |
Derrick Lewis
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R13:05 | 28.0 | 1,772+96 | 1,804 | -237 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 218: Lewis vs. Spivak Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2022-08-06 | W |
Augusto Sakai
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R28:42 | 27.5 | 1,710+62 | 1,605 | -300 | Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 40: Santos vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2022-03-05 | W |
Greg Hardy
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R12:16 | 27.1 | 1,634+76 | 1,589 | -182 | Heavyweight | UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2021-09-04 | L |
Tom Aspinall
this fight
|
KO/TKOElbow to Ground Strikes | R12:30 | 26.6 | 1,717-83 | 1,734 | +200 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 191: Brunson vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2021-06-19 | W |
Aleksei Oleinik
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.4 | 1,702+16 | 1,658 | -250 | Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 25: Korean Zombie vs. Ige Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2021-02-20 | W |
Jared Vanderaa
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:32 | 26.1 | 1,622+80 | 1,592 | -230 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 185: Blaydes vs. Lewis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2020-07-18 | W |
Carlos Felipe
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 25.5 | 1,572+50 | 1,460 | -180 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 172: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2020-02-29 | L |
Marcin Tybura
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.1 | 1,676-105 | 1,590 | -116 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 169: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2019-10-05 | W |
 Tai Tuivasa
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R28:14 | 24.7 | 1,584+92 | 1,604 | +294 | Heavyweight | UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2019-05-04 | L |
Walt Harris
|
KO/TKOKnees & Punches | R10:50 | 24.3 | 1,654-70 | 1,726 | +138 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 151: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2018-09-29 | W |
Tony Lopez
|
SubNeck Crank | R14:12 | 23.7 | 1,528+125 | 1,689 | -- | Heavyweight | WWFC 12 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 8 | 2018-03-24 | W |
 Ivo Cuk
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:21 | 23.2 | 1,476+52 | 1,326 | -- | Heavyweight | WWFC 10: Kyiv World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 7 | 2017-06-14 | W |
Travis Fulton
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:50 | 22.4 | 1,440+37 | 1,208 | -- | Heavyweight | WWFC 7 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 6 | 2017-03-29 | W |
Luke Morton
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:40 | 22.2 | 1,428+12 | 975 | -- | Heavyweight | WWFC: Cage Encounter 6 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 5 | 2016-02-27 | W |
 Artem Cherkov
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R11:56 | 21.1 | 1,409+20 | 1,056 | -- | Heavyweight | Eagles Fighting Championship 1 Eagles Fighting Championship |
| 4 | 2015-10-04 | W |
Dmitriy Mikutsa
|
SubArmbar | R2 | 20.7 | 1,300+109 | 1,388 | -- | Heavyweight | N1 Pro - MMA Nomad N1 Pro Nomad MMA |
| 3 | 2015-01-31 | W |
Yuri Gorbenko
|
SubArmbar | R13:38 | 20.0 | 1,259+41 | 1,051 | -- | Heavyweight | WWFC: Ukraine Selection 4 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 2 | 2014-11-19 | W |
Evgeny Bova
|
SubKimura | R1 | 19.8 | 1,140+119 | 1,272 | -- | Heavyweight | WWFC: Ukraine Selection 1 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 1 | 2014-09-28 | W |
Andrey Serebrianikov
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:31 | 19.7 | 1,091+50 | 930 | -- | Heavyweight | RFP 17: Galychyny Cup Real Fight Promotion |