Result
UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen
· Sat 25 Mar 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Nate Landwehr vs Austin Lingo
W
Nate Landwehr
“The Train”
16-4 · -200
1,782Elo
Sub
R2 · 4:11
Featherweight
Austin Lingo
“Lights Out”
9-1 · +170
1,546Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litNate LandwehrAustin Lingo
1,782
Elo
1,546
1,236
KO rating
1,329
1,359
Sub rating
1,176
1,373
Dec rating
1,158
Wins by
8
KO/TKO
3
1
Submission
2
7
Decision
4
Losses by
2
KO/TKO
0
1
Submission
0
1
Decision
1
The crowd
86%
Picked by
14%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedNate LandwehrAustin Lingo
-200opened -275
Moneyline
+170opened +235
Method
+175Win by KO+350
+800Win by sub+1800
+200Win by dec+550
+135Win inside+325
How long it went
Over 1.5-199
Under 1.5+148
Over 2.5-105
Under 2.5-125
Decision+135
Inside-165
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Nate Landwehr by Decisionmethod: decision 34% v 27% 0.8% +200 lost
- Goes the distancethe distance 43% v 40% 0.5% +135 lost
- Austin Lingo by Decisionmethod: decision 16% v 12% 0.2% +550 lost
- Nate Landwehrmoneyline 66% v 66% -0.9% -200 won
- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 49% v 48% -2.6% -105 lost
- Austin Lingo by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 4% -2.6% +1800 lost
- Nate Landwehr by Submissionmethod: sub 7% v 9% -3.9% +800 won
- Austin Lingo inside the distanceinside the distance 19% v 20% -4.9% +325 lost
- Austin Lingo by KO/TKOmethod: KO 16% v 18% -6.2% +350 lost
- Nate Landwehr inside the distanceinside the distance 32% v 37% -10.9% +135 won
- Nate Landwehr by KO/TKOmethod: KO 24% v 29% -11.9% +175 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Nate Landwehr
16-4 going in · 26 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2026-04-11 | L |
Cub Swanson
|
KO/TKOOverhand Right & Right Hook | R14:06 | 37.8 | 1,647-53 | 1,792 | +105 | Featherweight | UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2025-07-12 | L |
 Morgan Charrière
|
KO/TKOPunches | R310:27 | 37.1 | 1,733-86 | 1,739 | +220 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 70: Lewis vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2024-12-07 | L |
 Doo Ho Choi
|
KO/TKOElbows From Crucifix | R313:21 | 36.5 | 1,862-128 | 1,686 | -130 | Featherweight | UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2024-03-30 | W |
Jamall Emmers
|
KO/TKOUppercut, Right Hook, & Hammerfists | R14:43 | 35.8 | 1,775+87 | 1,771 | +148 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2023-06-10 | L |
Dan Ige
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.0 | 1,818-43 | 1,894 | +215 | Featherweight | UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-03-25 | W |
Austin Lingo
this fight
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:11 | 34.8 | 1,782+36 | 1,546 | -200 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2022-08-13 | W |
 David Onama
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 34.2 | 1,722+60 | 1,779 | +285 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 41: Vera vs. Cruz Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2021-10-16 | W |
 Ľudovít Klein
|
SubAnaconda Choke | R312:22 | 33.4 | 1,597+125 | 1,757 | +300 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 195: Ladd vs. Dumont Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2021-02-20 | L |
Julian Erosa
|
KO/TKOFlying Knee | R10:56 | 32.7 | 1,688-91 | 1,674 | -110 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 185: Blaydes vs. Lewis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2020-05-16 | W |
Darren Elkins
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.9 | 1,686+2 | 1,709 | +103 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 8: Overeem vs. Harris Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2020-01-25 | L |
 Herbert Burns
|
KO/TKOKnee From the Clinch | R12:43 | 31.6 | 1,797-111 | 1,703 | -116 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 166: Blaydes vs. dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2019-06-28 | W |
 Viktor Kolesnik
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 31.1 | 1,760+37 | 1,692 | -278 | Featherweight | M-1 Challenge 102 M-1 Global |
| 20 | 2018-12-15 | W |
 Andrey Lezhnev
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R313:10 | 30.5 | 1,696+64 | 1,599 | -384 | Featherweight | M-1 Challenge 100: Battle in Atyrau M-1 Global |
| 19 | 2018-07-21 | W |
Khamzat Dalgiev
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R29:35 | 30.1 | 1,592+104 | 1,658 | +229 | Featherweight | M-1 Challenge 95: Battle in the Mountains 7 M-1 Global |
| 18 | 2017-11-10 | W |
Viktor Kolesnik
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 29.4 | 1,591+1 | 1,553 | -- | Featherweight | M-1 Challenge 85: Ismagulov vs. Karranca M-1 Global |
| 17 | 2017-09-23 | W |
Mikhail Korobkov
|
KO/TKOPunches | R26:31 | 29.3 | 1,514+77 | 1,472 | -- | Featherweight | M-1 Challenge 83 - Tatfight 5: Ragozin vs. Halsey M-1 Global |
| 16 | 2016-11-05 | W |
Solon Staley
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.4 | 1,460+54 | 1,439 | -- | Featherweight | A&A Fight Time Promotions - November to Remember A&A Fight Time Promotions |
| 15 | 2016-03-12 | W |
Diego Saraiva
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:47 | 27.8 | 1,407+52 | 1,259 | -- | -- | A&A Fight Time Promotions - A Night of Explosions Tennessee Regional |
| 14 | 2015-10-24 | L |
Mark Cherico
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:34 | 27.4 | 1,486-79 | 1,521 | -- | Featherweight | GOTC MMA - Gladiators of the Cage 19 Gladiators of the Cage |
| 13 | 2015-06-13 | W |
Anthony Jones
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 27.0 | 1,439+48 | 1,268 | -- | Featherweight | State Line Promotions - BMF Invitational 6 Tennessee Regional |
| 12 | 2015-01-24 | W |
Justin Steave
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.6 | 1,401+38 | 1,312 | -- | Featherweight | Gladiators of the Cage - The Road to Glory 8 Gladiators of the Cage |
| 11 | 2014-02-01 | W |
Adam Townsend
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 25.7 | 1,386+15 | 1,413 | -- | Featherweight | 3FC 20: Townsend vs. Landwehr 3FC |
| 10 | 2013-10-18 | W |
Keith Richardson
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:43 | 25.4 | 1,268+118 | 1,393 | -- | Featherweight | XFC 26: Night of Champions 3 Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 9 | 2013-02-22 | L |
D'Juan Owens
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.7 | 1,331-64 | 1,315 | -122 | Featherweight | XFC 22: Crossing the Line Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 8 | 2012-09-28 | W |
Chris Wright
|
KO/TKOPunches | R28:56 | 24.3 | 1,205+127 | 1,373 | +180 | Featherweight | XFC 20: High Octane Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 7 | 2012-06-22 | W |
Billy Mullins
|
KO/TKOPunch | R26:21 | 24.0 | 1,127+77 | 1,086 | -- | Featherweight | XFC 18: Music City Mayhem Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 6 | 2012-01-13 | L |
Anthony Morgan
|
Decision | -- | 23.6 | 1,155-28 | 1,218 | -- | -- | 3FC 3FC am |
| 5 | 2011-02-12 | W |
Latral Perdue
|
Sub | -- | 22.7 | 1,103+52 | 1,029 | -- | -- | H.B. Dick Promotions H.B. Dick Promotions am |
| 4 | 2010-12-03 | W | Billy Nutt | Sub | -- | 22.5 | 1,038+65 | 1,037 | -- | -- | Tennessee Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am |
| 3 | 2010-08-28 | L | Michael Perry | Sub | -- | 22.2 | 1,115-77 | 1,056 | -- | -- | H.B. Dick - Promotions H.B. Dick Promotions am |
| 2 | 2010-08-21 | W | Benedict Atchiley | Sub | -- | 22.2 | 1,042+72 | 1,078 | -- | -- | Kentucky Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am |
| 1 | 2010-06-05 | L |
Steven Durr
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:04 | 22.0 | 1,112-70 | 1,090 | -- | Lightweight | Heavy Hitters FS Parana Regional am |
Austin Lingo
9-1 going in · 14 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 2024-08-02 | L |
Cam Teague
|
KO/TKOKnees | R29:57 | 30.1 | 1,449-103 | 1,387 | -245 | Featherweight | Fury Fighting Championship 95: Lingo vs. Teague Fury Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2023-07-15 | L |
Melquizael Costa
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.0 | 1,510-60 | 1,606 | +220 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 49: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2023-03-25 | L |
Nate Landwehr
this fight
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:11 | 28.7 | 1,546-36 | 1,782 | +170 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 43: Vera vs. Sandhagen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2021-08-21 | W |
Luis Saldaña
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,533+30 | 1,576 | -103 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 29: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2021-01-16 | W |
Jacob Kilburn
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.5 | 1,431+102 | 1,490 | -223 | Featherweight | UFC on ABC 1: Holloway vs. Kattar Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2020-02-08 | L |
 Youssef Zalal
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.6 | 1,515-84 | 1,516 | -214 | Featherweight | UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2019-08-02 | W |
Solo Hatley Jr.
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:25 | 25.1 | 1,425+90 | 1,436 | -150 | Featherweight | LFA 73: Lingo vs. Hatley Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 10 | 2019-03-22 | W |
 Angel Luis Cruz
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R10:25 | 24.7 | 1,396+29 | 1,115 | -- | Featherweight | LFA 62: Kenney vs. Cachero Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 9 | 2018-11-30 | W |
Aaron Webb
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:13 | 24.4 | 1,355+41 | 1,149 | -- | Featherweight | LFA 55: Johns vs. Yanez Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 8 | 2018-05-25 | W |
Phil Gonzalez
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.9 | 1,340+14 | 1,141 | -- | Featherweight | LFA 40: Aguilar vs. Le Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 7 | 2018-02-16 | W |
Omar Benjar
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:26 | 23.6 | 1,311+29 | 1,031 | -- | Featherweight | LFA 33: Willis vs. Stewart Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 6 | 2018-01-06 | W |
Josh Foster
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:35 | 23.5 | 1,257+54 | 1,119 | -- | Featherweight | XKO - Xtreme Knockout 39 Xtreme Knockout |
| 5 | 2017-07-14 | W |
Charles Williams
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.0 | 1,168+89 | 1,289 | -- | Open Weight | LFA 16: Bedford vs. Flick Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 4 | 2017-01-13 | L |
Charles Williams
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:18 | 22.5 | 1,249-82 | 1,162 | -- | Featherweight | LFA 1: Peterson vs. Higo Legacy Fighting Alliance am |
| 3 | 2016-12-03 | W |
 Francisco Delos Cobos
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:07 | 22.4 | 1,189+61 | 1,162 | -- | Featherweight | XKO Amateur Series 3 Xtreme Knockout am |
| 2 | 2016-10-14 | W |
Austin Wilson
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R12:04 | 22.3 | 1,133+56 | 1,082 | -- | Featherweight | Legacy Fighting Championship 61 Legacy FC am |
| 1 | 2016-04-02 | W |
Edgar Monarrez
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R25:39 | 21.7 | 1,067+66 | 1,067 | -- | Open Weight | XKO Amateur Series 2 Xtreme Knockout am |