Result
UFC Fight Night 244: Royval vs. Taira
· Sat 12 Oct 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Pat Sabatini vs Jonathan Pearce
W
Pat Sabatini
18-5 · +159
1,752Elo
Sub
R1 · 4:06
Featherweight
Jonathan Pearce
“JSP”
14-6 · -184
1,775Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litPat SabatiniJonathan Pearce
1,752
Elo
1,775
1,096
KO rating
1,375
1,461
Sub rating
1,241
1,385
Dec rating
1,320
Wins by
1
KO/TKO
9
12
Submission
2
5
Decision
3
Losses by
3
KO/TKO
1
0
Submission
3
2
Decision
2
The crowd
39%
Picked by
61%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedPat SabatiniJonathan Pearce
+159opened +130
Moneyline
-184opened -150
Method
+1200Win by KO+315
+375Win by sub+1000
+250Win by dec+200
+300Win inside+200
How long it went
Over 1.5-329
Under 1.5+233
Over 2.5-135
Under 2.5+105
Decision-120
Inside-110
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Pat Sabatinimoneyline 39% v 37% 0.4% +159 won
- Jonathan Pearce by KO/TKOmethod: KO 24% v 19% 0.0% +315 lost
- Jonathan Pearce by Decisionmethod: decision 33% v 27% -0.6% +200 lost
- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 56% v 54% -1.5% -135 lost
- Pat Sabatini by Submissionmethod: sub 18% v 17% -2.6% +375 won
- Pat Sabatini inside the distanceinside the distance 22% v 21% -3.2% +300 won
- Does not go the distancethe distance 49% v 49% -3.4% -110 won
- Pat Sabatini by KO/TKOmethod: KO 3% v 6% -4.4% +1200 lost
- Jonathan Pearce by Submissionmethod: sub 4% v 7% -4.9% +1000 lost
- Jonathan Pearce inside the distanceinside the distance 28% v 28% -5.0% +200 lost
- Pat Sabatini by Decisionmethod: decision 17% v 23% -11.3% +250 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Pat Sabatini
18-5 going in · 35 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 2026-05-09 | W |
 William Gomis
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.5 | 2,002+3 | 1,765 | -170 | Featherweight | UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 38 | 2025-11-15 | W |
Chepe Mariscal
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.0 | 1,960+42 | 1,867 | -118 | Featherweight | UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 37 | 2025-04-05 | W |
 Joanderson Brito
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.4 | 1,845+115 | 1,956 | +186 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 65: Emmett vs. Murphy Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 36 | 2024-10-12 | W |
Jonathan Pearce
this fight
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:06 | 33.9 | 1,752+93 | 1,775 | +159 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 244: Royval vs. Taira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 35 | 2023-11-11 | L |
Diego Lopes
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:30 | 33.0 | 1,854-102 | 1,797 | -120 | Featherweight | UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 34 | 2023-06-17 | W |
Lucas Almeida
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R26:48 | 32.6 | 1,774+79 | 1,741 | -200 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2022-09-17 | L |
Damon Jackson
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R11:09 | 31.9 | 1,894-120 | 1,760 | -191 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 210: Sandhagen vs. Song Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2022-04-16 | W |
 T.J. Laramie
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.4 | 1,866+28 | 1,577 | -500 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 34: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2021-11-20 | W |
Tucker Lutz
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.0 | 1,798+68 | 1,720 | -118 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 198: Vieira vs. Tate Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2021-08-28 | W |
Jamall Emmers
|
SubHeel Hook | R11:53 | 30.8 | 1,707+91 | 1,722 | +118 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 30: Barboza vs. Chikadze Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2021-04-24 | W |
Tristan Connelly
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.5 | 1,631+76 | 1,730 | -250 | Featherweight | UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2020-12-18 | W |
Jesse Stirn
|
SubArmbar | R27:23 | 30.1 | 1,609+22 | 1,270 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 91 Cage Fury FC |
| 27 | 2020-09-17 | W |
Jordan Titoni
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:26 | 29.9 | 1,569+40 | 1,358 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 84 Cage Fury FC |
| 26 | 2020-02-01 | L |
James Gonzalez
|
KO/TKOArm Injury | R10:46 | 29.2 | 1,709-140 | 1,470 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 81 Cage Fury FC |
| 25 | 2019-05-17 | W |
Fabricio Oliveira
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:45 | 28.5 | 1,682+27 | 1,386 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 74 Cage Fury FC |
| 24 | 2018-12-14 | W |
Da'Mon Blackshear
|
DecisionUnanimous | R420:00 | 28.1 | 1,673+9 | 1,445 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 71 Cage Fury FC |
| 23 | 2018-08-17 | W |
 Boimah Karmo
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:19 | 27.8 | 1,653+20 | 1,299 | -380 | Featherweight | CES 52: Norwood vs. Wells CES MMA |
| 22 | 2018-04-14 | L |
Chepe Mariscal
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.4 | 1,705-52 | 1,526 | -- | Featherweight | Victory Fighting Championship 60 Victory Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2017-12-16 | W |
Francisco Isata
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:47 | 27.1 | 1,663+42 | 1,461 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 69 Cage Fury FC |
| 20 | 2017-09-16 | W |
John De Jesus
|
SubHeel Hook | R10:50 | 26.9 | 1,594+69 | 1,520 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 67: Sabatini vs. De Jesus Cage Fury FC |
| 19 | 2017-02-24 | W |
Michael Lawrence
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:49 | 26.3 | 1,561+33 | 1,308 | -- | Featherweight | Ring of Combat 58 Ring of Combat |
| 18 | 2016-11-05 | W |
Renaldo Weekley
|
SubHeel Hook | R11:17 | 26.0 | 1,508+53 | 1,364 | -- | Featherweight | Dead Serious MMA - Dead Serious 22 Dead Serious MMA |
| 17 | 2016-02-06 | W |
William Calhoun III
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.2 | 1,474+33 | 1,367 | -- | Featherweight | Dead Serious MMA - Dead Serious 18 Dead Serious MMA |
| 16 | 2015-10-31 | W |
Tony Gravely
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:47 | 25.0 | 1,387+87 | 1,386 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 52: Horcher vs. Regman Cage Fury FC |
| 15 | 2015-02-07 | L |
Robert Watley
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.2 | 1,512-124 | 1,183 | -- | Open Weight | CFFC 45: Stiner vs. Horcher Cage Fury FC |
| 14 | 2014-10-25 | W |
Shelby Graham
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:04 | 24.0 | 1,462+49 | 1,300 | -- | Featherweight | XFE 46: CFFC 42 Xtreme Fight Events Cage Wars |
| 13 | 2014-04-26 | W |
Jacob Bohn
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:22 | 23.5 | 1,419+43 | 1,225 | -- | Featherweight | CFFC 35: Heckman vs. Makashvili Cage Fury FC |
| 12 | 2012-09-08 | W |
Jordan Morales
|
SubArmbar | R11:49 | 21.8 | 1,394+38 | 1,241 | -- | Featherweight | New Breed Fighters 38 New Breed Fighters am |
| 11 | 2011-04-01 | W |
Phillip Doig
|
Sub | -- | 20.4 | 1,382+21 | 1,098 | -- | -- | Xtreme Caged Combat - Primal Fury Xtreme Caged Combat am |
| 10 | 2010-10-16 | W |
George Maldarelli
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R10:53 | 19.9 | 1,357+25 | 1,103 | -- | -- | Karriem Abdallah Productions New Jersey Regional am |
| 9 | 2010-07-24 | W |
Jordan Stiner
|
SubArmbar | R10:43 | 19.7 | 1,320+37 | 1,159 | -- | Featherweight | New Breed Fighters 32: Ultimate MMA Weekend 2 New Breed Fighters am |
| 8 | 2010-05-15 | W |
Samad Mobley
|
Sub | -- | 19.5 | 1,298+22 | 1,016 | -- | -- | New Jersey Regional New Jersey Regional am |
| 7 | 2010-02-13 | W |
Jimbo Hoffman
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 19.3 | 1,256+42 | 1,243 | -- | Featherweight | New Breed Fighters 27 New Breed Fighters am |
| 6 | 2009-08-01 | W |
Jeremy Pompei
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R11:01 | 18.7 | 1,182+74 | 1,224 | -- | -- | Reality Fighting - Battle at the Beach 2009 Reality Fighting am |
| 5 | 2009-07-11 | W |
Andrew Aucott
|
SubKimura | R37:04 | 18.7 | 1,106+76 | 1,162 | -- | Lightweight | New Breed Fighters 23: One Step Closer New Breed Fighters am |
| 4 | 2009-05-02 | W |
Thiago Carfi
|
SubTriangle Choke | R12:13 | 18.5 | 1,055+51 | 978 | -- | -- | AFL 14: Championship Series 1 Asylum MMA am |
| 3 | 2008-07-12 | L | Dan Flounders | Sub | -- | 17.7 | 1,136-82 | 1,051 | -- | -- | Delaware Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am |
| 2 | 2008-05-17 | W |
Lance Umholtz
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:28 | 17.5 | 1,078+59 | 1,040 | -- | -- | CITC - 12th Strike Delaware Regional am |
| 1 | 2008-04-12 | W |
Adam Bisignani
|
Decision | -- | 17.4 | 1,039+39 | 1,039 | -- | -- | Delaware Regional Delaware Regional am |
Jonathan Pearce
14-6 going in · 28 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2024-10-12 | L |
Pat Sabatini
this fight
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:06 | 32.4 | 1,775-93 | 1,752 | -184 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 244: Royval vs. Taira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2024-04-27 | L |
 David Onama
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.0 | 1,781-6 | 1,816 | -148 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 55: Nicolau vs. Perez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-11-18 | L |
Joanderson Brito
|
SubNinja Choke | R28:54 | 31.5 | 1,878-97 | 1,842 | -132 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 232: Allen vs. Craig Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2022-12-03 | W |
Darren Elkins
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.6 | 1,790+88 | 1,790 | -500 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 42: Thompson vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2022-07-23 | W |
 Makwan Amirkhani
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:10 | 30.2 | 1,702+88 | 1,705 | -171 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 208: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2022-02-19 | W |
Christian Rodriguez
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.8 | 1,663+39 | 1,570 | -400 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 201: Walker vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2021-09-25 | W |
 Omar Morales
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R28:31 | 29.4 | 1,561+102 | 1,619 | +125 | Featherweight | UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2020-11-28 | W |
Kai Kamaka III
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:28 | 28.6 | 1,483+79 | 1,447 | +250 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 18: Smith vs. Clark Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2019-10-18 | L |
Joe Lauzon
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R11:33 | 27.5 | 1,588-103 | 1,527 | -168 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 6: Reyes vs. Weidman Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2019-07-09 | W |
Jacob Rosales
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R311:50 | 27.2 | 1,497+92 | 1,514 | +124 | Lightweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Season 3, Episode 3 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 19 | 2018-09-21 | W |
Dedrek Sanders
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage | R210:00 | 26.4 | 1,468+28 | 1,182 | -- | Lightweight | Warrior FC 140: Warrior Fighting Challenge Warrior FC |
| 18 | 2017-12-16 | W |
Nick Baker
|
KO/TKORef Stoppage From Strikes | R26:12 | 25.6 | 1,451+18 | 1,071 | -- | Catchweight | Valor Fights - Strikefest 2 Valor Fights |
| 17 | 2017-10-13 | W |
Omar Johnson
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R28:57 | 25.5 | 1,329+122 | 1,472 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator MMA Fight Series: Talladega Bellator MMA Fight Series |
| 16 | 2017-08-19 | W |
 Damir Ferhatbegović
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R310:43 | 25.3 | 1,204+125 | 1,364 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator MMA - Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race Bellator MMA Fight Series |
| 15 | 2017-04-08 | L |
Peter Petties
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.9 | 1,214-10 | 1,436 | -- | Bantamweight | Shogun Fights 16 Shogun Fights |
| 14 | 2016-08-27 | L |
Quinten Culpepper
|
SubToe Hold | R13:27 | 24.3 | 1,310-97 | 1,274 | -- | Featherweight | Valor Fights 37: Grun vs. Anders Valor Fights |
| 13 | 2016-06-25 | L |
Lance Lawrence
|
SubSubmission | R10:24 | 24.2 | 1,386-75 | 1,435 | -- | Featherweight | Valor Fights 35 Valor Fights |
| 12 | 2016-03-19 | W |
Nickalas Martino
|
KO/TKOElbows | R27:52 | 23.9 | 1,342+44 | 1,150 | -- | Featherweight | Valor Fights - Apex Fights 10 Valor Fights |
| 11 | 2015-09-12 | W |
Chris Wright
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:26 | 23.4 | 1,275+67 | 1,193 | -- | Open Weight | Valor Fights 26: All Pro Tri Cities Valor Fights |
| 10 | 2015-06-06 | W |
Anthony Morgan
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.1 | 1,228+46 | 1,175 | -- | Featherweight | Valor Fights 23 Valor Fights |
| 9 | 2014-11-08 | W |
Noe Quintanilla
|
KO/TKOKnee | R3 | 22.5 | 1,214+15 | 796 | -- | Featherweight | Evolution Combat Sports Series 2 Tennessee Regional |
| 8 | 2014-07-26 | W |
Patrick Cornett
|
Decision | -- | 22.2 | 1,162+52 | 1,228 | -- | -- | Tennessee Regional Tennessee Regional am |
| 7 | 2014-02-01 | W |
Tyler Hunley
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 21.8 | 1,100+62 | 1,194 | -- | -- | 3FC 20: Townsend vs. Landwehr 3FC am |
| 6 | 2013-11-16 | W |
Kiara West
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R24:34 | 21.5 | 1,051+49 | 963 | -- | Featherweight | 3FC - Tri-City Thunder 2 3FC am |
| 5 | 2013-11-02 | L |
David Lewis
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R10:26 | 21.5 | 1,139-88 | 1,015 | -- | Bantamweight | 3FC 19: Townsend vs. Crenshaw 3FC am |
| 4 | 2013-07-20 | W |
Bodie Price
|
KO/TKO | R3 | 21.2 | 1,076+63 | 1,064 | -- | -- | 3FC - Tri-City Thunder 1 3FC am |
| 3 | 2013-04-06 | L |
David Mang
|
Sub | --0:46 | 20.9 | 1,158-83 | 1,066 | -- | -- | 3FC 16: Gladiators 3FC am |
| 2 | 2013-01-12 | W | Stephen Sweeney | Sub | -- | 20.7 | 1,114+45 | 998 | -- | -- | Caged Kombat Fighting Championships Caged Kombat Fighting Championships am |
| 1 | 2013-01-05 | W |
Cody Dockery
|
KO/TKOSlam & Punches | R12:23 | 20.7 | 1,048+66 | 1,048 | -- | Bantamweight | 3FC 15: Primetime vs. Mays 3FC am |