Result Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2 · Fri 9 Apr 2021 · Bellator MMA

Dan Moret vs Goiti Yamauchi

W Dan Moret “The Hitman” 14-6 · +450 1,586Elo
Split decision R3 · 5:00 29-28 · 28-29 · 29-28 Lightweight
Goiti Yamauchi 25-4 · -700 1,896Elo
Our model
17%83%
Market said
17%83%

The scorecards

Every score reads Dan Moret first; a round is coloured for whoever won it
Judge R1R2R3Total
Douglas Crosby 10-99-1010-9 29-28
Bryan Miner 10-99-109-10 28-29
Peter Rogers 10-99-1010-9 29-28
Media
9
0 of 9 media members scored it for Dan Moret; the most common card was 29-28 to Goiti Yamauchi
Fans
13% 85%
13% of fans had Dan Moret winning, from 68 votes; the most picked score was 29-28 to Goiti Yamauchi (43%)

Elo counted this as 24% of a win for Dan Moret — from these scorecards.

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Dan MoretGoiti Yamauchi
1,586 Elo 1,896
1,185 KO rating 1,333
1,316 Sub rating 1,700
1,182 Dec rating 1,273
Wins by
3 KO/TKO 1
7 Submission 20
4 Decision 4
Losses by
2 KO/TKO 0
0 Submission 0
4 Decision 4
The crowd
5% Picked by 95%

Prices

The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlined
Dan MoretGoiti Yamauchi
+450opened +275 Moneyline -700opened -350
Method
+1200Win by KO+550
+1400Win by sub+110
+400Win by dec+225
+617Win inside-125
How long it went
Over 1.5-140 Under 1.5+110 Over 2.5+130 Under 2.5-160 Decision+145 Inside-175

What the betting model makes of it

At the prices above Every bet →
  • Goiti Yamauchi inside the distanceinside the distance 59% v 46% 3.7% -125 -1.00u
  • Goiti Yamauchi by Submissionmethod: sub 50% v 37% 2.0% +110 lost
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 42% v 41% -1.4% +130 won
  • Goes the distancethe distance 39% v 39% -1.5% +145 won
  • Dan Moretmoneyline 16% v 20% -2.5% +450 won
  • Dan Moret by KO/TKOmethod: KO 3% v 6% -4.7% +1200 lost
  • Dan Moret by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 5% -4.8% +1400 lost
  • Goiti Yamauchi by Decisionmethod: decision 25% v 24% -5.6% +225 lost
  • Goiti Yamauchi by KO/TKOmethod: KO 10% v 12% -5.7% +550 lost
  • Dan Moret by Decisionmethod: decision 11% v 16% -9.2% +400 won

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Dan Moret 14-6 going in · 26 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
31 2024-09-27 L Sidney Outlaw SubTechnical (Rear Naked Choke) R11:07 37.9 1,591-27 1,889 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fighting Championships - XFC 51: Evolution Xtreme Fighting Championships
30 2024-05-31 W Raush Manfio SubRear Naked Choke R10:59 37.5 1,448+143 1,706 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fighting Championships - XFC: Detroit Grand Prix 2 Xtreme Fighting Championships
29 2022-06-24 L Killys Mota DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.6 1,561-91 1,547 -120 Lightweight Bellator 282: Mousasi vs. Eblen Bellator MMA
28 2021-12-03 L Spike Carlyle SubRear Naked Choke R312:58 35.0 1,604-43 1,801 -110 Lightweight Bellator 272: Pettis vs. Horiguchi Bellator MMA
27 2021-04-09 W Goiti Yamauchi this fight DecisionSplit R315:00 34.4 1,586+17 1,896 +450 Lightweight Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2 Bellator MMA
26 2019-11-29 W Anton Kuivanen KO/TKOPunches R29:59 33.0 1,492+105 1,564 -- Lightweight UAE Warriors 9 UAE Warriors
25 2019-06-29 L Jared Gordon DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.6 1,546-54 1,567 +250 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 3: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2019-03-09 L Alex White DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.3 1,578-32 1,565 +118 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 146: Lewis vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2018-04-14 L Gilbert Burns KO/TKOPunches R25:59 31.4 1,639-61 1,747 +450 Lightweight UFC on Fox 29: Poirier vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2017-12-16 W Alonzo Martinez SubRear Naked Choke R11:39 31.1 1,595+45 1,409 -- Lightweight Victory FC 59: Stots vs. Berdon Victory Fighting Championship
21 2017-06-30 W Derrick Adkins SubArm Triangle Choke R314:59 30.6 1,528+66 1,442 -172 Lightweight LFA 15: Odoms vs. Vanderaa Legacy Fighting Alliance
20 2016-10-28 L Raoni Barcelos KO/TKOKO/TKO R25:51 29.9 1,593-64 1,687 +196 Featherweight RFA 45: Meerschaert vs. Waldon Resurrection Fighting Alliance
19 2016-07-15 W Alex Gilpin DecisionSplit R315:00 29.6 1,599-6 1,531 -- Featherweight RFA 40: Sklavos vs. Camus Resurrection Fighting Alliance
18 2016-03-04 W Josh Wick DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.3 1,569+30 1,445 -- Featherweight RFA 36: Camus vs. Brown Resurrection Fighting Alliance
17 2016-01-16 W Mike Plazola SubGuillotine Choke R25:41 29.2 1,502+67 1,420 -- Featherweight Driller Promotions - Mecca 7 Driller Promotions
16 2015-08-22 W Jay Ellis SubTriangle Choke R11:38 28.8 1,498+4 850 -- Lightweight KOTC: Power Surge King of the Cage
15 2015-03-06 L Bobby Moffett DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.3 1,575-77 1,505 -- Featherweight RFA 24: Smith vs. Romero Resurrection Fighting Alliance
14 2014-10-10 W Jordan Griffin SubRear Naked Choke R13:09 27.9 1,499+76 1,453 -- Featherweight RFA 19: Checco vs. Collier Resurrection Fighting Alliance
13 2014-03-07 L Luke Sanders DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.3 1,578-79 1,499 -- Featherweight RFA 13: Cochrane vs. Escudero Resurrection Fighting Alliance
12 2013-12-14 W Jose Pacheco SubNorth South Choke R28:17 27.1 1,547+32 1,284 -- Featherweight Driller Promotions / SEG - Caged Chaos at Canterbury Park 4 Driller Promotions
11 2013-06-21 W Jose Pacheco DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.6 1,529+18 1,348 -- Featherweight RFA 8: Pettis vs. Pegg Resurrection Fighting Alliance
10 2013-04-27 W Stephen Watt DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.4 1,510+19 1,337 -- Lightweight Driller Promotions / SEG - Caged Chaos at Canterbury Park 2 Driller Promotions
9 2012-09-08 W Damion Hill SubRear Naked Choke R11:00 25.8 1,451+58 1,330 -- Open Weight Driller Promotions / SEG - Throwdown at the Crowne 1 Driller Promotions
8 2012-06-22 W Starr Roberts Jr. KO/TKOPunches R11:24 25.6 1,447+5 823 -- Lightweight Driller Promotions / SEG - Downtown Showdown 6 Driller Promotions
7 2012-02-18 W Jon Milledge KO/TKOSubmission to Punches R11:30 25.2 1,431+16 1,031 -- -- Brutaal - Fight Night Brutaal Genesis MMA
6 2011-11-18 W Corey Anderson KO/TKOPunches R2 25.0 1,385+46 1,276 -- -- Brutaal Fight Night - Brutaal Genesis Brutaal Genesis MMA am
5 2011-07-23 W Mike Zimmer SubRear Naked Choke R38:35 24.7 1,319+66 1,322 -- Lightweight EC 188: Larson vs. Davila Extreme Challenge am
4 2010-12-11 W Corey Anderson SubRear-Naked Choke R10:58 24.1 1,269+50 1,184 -- -- CFX - Extreme Challenge on Target Extreme Challenge am
3 2009-11-20 W Chris Hassing SubRear-Naked Choke R11:08 23.0 1,223+47 1,120 -- -- Brutaal - Fight Night Brutaal Genesis MMA am
2 2009-09-18 W Brody Avery KO/TKOPunches R2 22.8 1,162+61 1,139 -- -- Brutaal - Fight Night Brutaal Genesis MMA am
1 2009-07-23 W Mike Schmidtke KO/TKO -- 22.7 1,091+71 1,117 -- -- -- Brutaal Genesis MMA am
Goiti Yamauchi 25-4 going in · 36 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
45 2025-12-20 W Shogo Sato SubRear Naked Choke R26:47 33.0 1,895+10 1,406 -- Welterweight Pancrase - 360 Pancrase
44 2025-04-26 W Yura Naito KO/TKOPunches R11:10 32.3 1,888+7 1,331 -- Welterweight Pancrase - 353 Pancrase
43 2024-06-28 L Andrey Koreshkov DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.5 1,925-37 1,940 +135 Welterweight PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season Professional Fighters League
42 2024-04-19 W Neiman Gracie DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.3 1,880+45 1,827 -240 Welterweight Professional Fighters League - PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season Professional Fighters League
41 2023-03-10 L Michael Page KO/TKOLeg Kick R10:26 30.2 1,995-110 1,902 -105 Welterweight Bellator 292: Nurmagomedov vs. Henderson Bellator MMA
40 2022-08-12 W Neiman Gracie KO/TKOUppercut & Punches R28:58 29.6 1,918+77 1,875 +170 Welterweight Bellator 284: Gracie vs. Yamauchi Bellator MMA
39 2022-04-23 W Levan Chokheli SubArmbar R13:49 29.3 1,898+20 1,545 -225 Welterweight Bellator 279: Cyborg vs. Blencowe 2 Bellator MMA
38 2021-07-31 W Chris Gonzalez KO/TKOCombination Punches to Ground Strikes R13:53 28.6 1,878+20 1,520 -160 Lightweight Bellator 263: Pitbull vs. McKee Bellator MMA
37 2021-04-09 L Dan Moret this fight DecisionSplit R315:00 28.3 1,896-17 1,586 -700 Lightweight Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2 Bellator MMA
36 2019-12-28 W Daron Cruickshank SubRear Naked Choke R13:11 27.0 1,872+36 1,639 -376 Lightweight Bellator 237: Fedor vs. Rampage Bellator MMA
35 2019-10-04 W Saad Awad SubArmbar R11:40 26.7 1,817+56 1,684 -342 Lightweight Bellator 229: Koreshkov vs. Larkin Bellator MMA
34 2018-11-30 W Daniel Weichel DecisionSplit R315:00 25.9 1,770+47 1,850 -- Lightweight Bellator 210: Njokuani vs. Salter Bellator MMA
33 2018-01-20 L Michael Chandler DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.0 1,849-79 1,882 +235 Lightweight Bellator 192: Rampage vs. Sonnen Bellator MMA
32 2017-09-23 W Adam Piccolotti SubRear Naked Choke R13:19 24.7 1,783+67 1,698 +140 Lightweight Bellator 183: Henderson vs. Pitbull Bellator MMA
31 2016-12-10 W Valeriu Mircea SubTriangle Choke R13:33 23.9 1,752+31 1,484 -585 Lightweight Bellator 168: Sakara vs. Beltran Bellator MMA
30 2016-10-21 W Ryan Couture SubArmbar R11:01 23.8 1,705+47 1,530 -200 Lightweight Bellator 162: Shlemenko vs. Grove Bellator MMA
29 2016-03-04 L Bubba Jenkins DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.2 1,745-40 1,662 -194 Featherweight Bellator 151: Warren vs. Caldwell Bellator MMA
28 2015-10-23 W Isao Kobayashi SubRear Naked Choke R313:50 22.8 1,639+106 1,714 -179 Featherweight Bellator 144: Halsey vs. Carvalho Bellator MMA
27 2014-09-19 W Martin Stapleton SubRear Naked Choke R14:37 21.7 1,599+44 1,407 -395 Featherweight Bellator 125: Marshall vs. Manhoef Bellator MMA
26 2014-05-17 W Mike Richman DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.4 1,561+37 1,667 +185 Featherweight Bellator 120: Rampage vs. King Mo Bellator MMA
25 2014-02-28 L Will Martinez Jr. DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.1 1,672-110 1,578 -400 Featherweight Bellator 110: Rampage vs. M'Pumbu Bellator MMA
24 2013-11-22 W Saul Almeida KO/TKOPunches R12:04 20.9 1,648+23 1,322 -- Open Weight Bellator 109: Shlemenko vs. Marshall Bellator MMA
23 2013-09-13 W Musa Toliver SubRear Naked Choke R11:01 20.7 1,623+25 1,315 -- Featherweight Bellator 99: Nunes vs. Pitbull Bellator MMA
22 2013-05-03 W Diego Marlon SubArmbar R12:54 20.3 1,589+34 1,342 -- Featherweight Smash Fight SMASH Fight
21 2013-05-03 W Sergio Silva SubRear Naked Choke R13:38 20.3 1,560+29 1,279 -- Featherweight Smash Fight SMASH Fight
20 2013-03-23 W Jurandir Sardinha DecisionUnanimous R315:00 20.2 1,535+25 1,390 -- Featherweight Iron Fight Combat 3 Iron Fight Combat
19 2012-12-07 W Ivan Souza DecisionUnanimous R315:00 19.9 1,493+41 1,420 -- -- Iron Fight Combat 2 Iron Fight Combat
18 2012-09-22 W Gustavo Wurlitzer SubRear-Naked Choke R11:19 19.7 1,483+10 1,004 -- Lightweight Power Fight Extreme 8 Power Fight Extreme MMA
17 2012-09-01 W Dymitry Damianny SubRear-Naked Choke R11:40 19.7 1,456+27 1,162 -- Lightweight Iron Fight Combat 1 Iron Fight Combat
16 2012-06-29 W Juliano Wandalen SubRear-Naked Choke R10:56 19.5 1,393+62 1,290 -- Lightweight Shooto Brazil 31: Formiga vs. Junior Abedi Shooto Brazil
15 2011-12-10 W Edmilson Possamai de Souza Jr. SubRear-Naked Choke R11:36 18.9 1,380+13 947 -- -- Nitrix Champion Fight 9 Nitrix Champion Fight
14 2011-11-05 W Jonathan Faria SubArmbar R11:02 18.8 1,350+30 1,079 -- -- Brave FC - Gold Edition Parana Regional
13 2011-10-15 L Rodrigo Cavalheiro DecisionUnanimous R315:00 18.8 1,466-116 1,198 -- -- Adventure Fighters Tournament Adventure Fighters Tournament
12 2011-09-06 W Tiago Sartori SubRear-Naked Choke R2 18.7 1,426+41 1,217 -- -- Capital Fight 4 Capital Fight
11 2011-08-14 W Arivaldo Lima da Silva SubArmbar R12:56 18.6 1,400+25 1,092 -- -- Brazilian Fight League 12 Brazilian Fight League
10 2011-04-30 W Alessandro Vieira dos Santos SubRear-Naked Choke R11:29 18.3 1,388+12 936 -- -- Brave FC - Tryouts Parana Regional
9 2011-04-08 W Eduardo Wellington Sub R1 18.3 1,363+25 1,049 -- -- Brazilian Fight League - Fight Night 1 Brazilian Fight League
8 2010-10-16 W Andre Pedroso SubRear-Naked Choke R2 17.8 1,340+23 1,014 -- -- Gladiators Fighting Championship 2 Gladiators Fighting Championship
7 2010-09-26 W Athos Emanuel SubArmbar R11:02 17.7 1,314+26 1,069 -- -- Brave FC - Challenge Parana Regional am
6 2010-08-21 W Leonardo Becker SubTriangle Choke R11:11 17.6 1,284+30 1,074 -- -- Torneio Estimulo 7 Torneio Estimulo am
5 2010-06-05 W Jonatan Jose Sub R1 17.4 1,260+24 1,000 -- -- UDL - Amateur Championship 1 UDL am
4 2009-08-23 W Jefferson Antunes SubArmbar R12:25 16.6 1,219+42 1,086 -- -- Brave FC 3: Impact Parana Regional am
3 2009-06-07 W Raoni Tavares KO/TKOPunches R11:49 16.4 1,180+39 1,029 -- -- Torneio Estimulo - First Round Torneio Estimulo am
2 2009-04-05 W Otacilio de Oliveira SubArmbar R10:58 16.2 1,125+54 1,065 -- -- Brave FC 2: New Force Parana Regional am
1 2008-12-06 W Lean Ferreira SubArmbar R12:32 15.9 1,060+66 1,060 -- -- Brave FC 1: Brave Fighting Championship Parana Regional am