Result
UFC on ESPN 27: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
· Sat 24 Jul 2021 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Adrian Yanez vs Randy Costa
W
Adrian Yanez
13-3 · -227
1,720Elo
KO/TKO
R2 · 2:11
Bantamweight
Randy Costa
“The Zohan”
6-1 · +192
1,526Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litAdrian YanezRandy Costa
1,720
Elo
1,526
1,488
KO rating
1,468
1,206
Sub rating
1,024
1,223
Dec rating
1,099
Wins by
8
KO/TKO
6
2
Submission
0
3
Decision
0
Losses by
0
KO/TKO
0
0
Submission
1
3
Decision
0
The crowd
84%
Picked by
16%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedAdrian YanezRandy Costa
-227opened -190
Moneyline
+192opened +165
Method
-115Win by KO+400
+1100Win by sub+1600
+400Win by dec+500
-140Win inside+355
How long it went
Over 1.5-125
Under 1.5-105
Over 2.5+167
Under 2.5-202
Decision+220
Inside-280
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Goes the distancethe distance 32% v 29% 0.5% +220 lost
- Adrian Yanezmoneyline 70% v 67% 0.1% -227 won
- Adrian Yanez by Decisionmethod: decision 20% v 16% 0.0% +400 lost
- Randy Costa by Decisionmethod: decision 14% v 13% -2.3% +500 lost
- Adrian Yanez by Submissionmethod: sub 6% v 7% -2.3% +1100 lost
- Over 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 53% v 52% -2.6% -125 lost
- Randy Costa by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 5% -4.1% +1600 lost
- Randy Costa by KO/TKOmethod: KO 14% v 16% -5.7% +400 lost
- Adrian Yanez inside the distanceinside the distance 49% v 50% -8.9% -140 won
- Adrian Yanez by KO/TKOmethod: KO 43% v 43% -10.1% -115 won
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Adrian Yanez
13-3 going in · 22 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 2026-07-11 | W |
Cody Garbrandt
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:47 | 32.6 | 1,760+79 | 1,724 | -370 | Bantamweight | UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2026-03-28 | D |
Ricky Simón
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 32.3 | 1,694+66 | 1,804 | +150 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 271: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2024-12-14 | L |
 Daniel Marcos
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 31.0 | 1,726-22 | 1,734 | +195 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2024-05-18 | W |
 Vinicius Salvador
|
KO/TKORight Hook to Ground Strikes | R12:47 | 30.5 | 1,677+49 | 1,511 | -415 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 241: Barboza vs. Murphy Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-10-14 | L |
Jonathan Martinez
|
KO/TKOLeg Kick | R27:26 | 29.9 | 1,733-56 | 1,865 | -103 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 230: Yusuff vs. Barboza Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2023-04-08 | L |
Rob Font
|
KO/TKORight Hook to Ground Strikes | R12:57 | 29.4 | 1,796-63 | 1,895 | -185 | Bantamweight | UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2022-06-18 | W |
Tony Kelley
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:49 | 28.6 | 1,753+43 | 1,556 | -270 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 37: Kattar vs. Emmett Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2021-11-20 | W |
 Davey Grant
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 28.0 | 1,764-10 | 1,681 | -275 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 198: Vieira vs. Tate Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2021-07-24 | W |
Randy Costa
this fight
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:11 | 27.6 | 1,720+43 | 1,526 | -227 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 27: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2021-03-20 | W |
Gustavo Lopez
|
KO/TKOCounter Right | R310:27 | 27.3 | 1,642+79 | 1,607 | -220 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 21: Brunson vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2020-10-31 | W |
Victor Rodriguez
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R12:46 | 26.9 | 1,599+43 | 1,402 | -464 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 181: Hall vs. Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2020-08-11 | W |
Brady Huang
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:39 | 26.7 | 1,524+75 | 1,474 | -275 | Bantamweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2020: Week 2 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 19 | 2019-11-15 | W |
Kyle Estrada
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 26.0 | 1,561-37 | 1,351 | -333 | Bantamweight | LFA 78: Yanez vs. Estrada Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 18 | 2019-06-29 | W |
Michael Rodriguez
|
KO/TKOStrikes | R13:14 | 25.6 | 1,529+32 | 1,270 | -- | Bantamweight | Fury Fighting Championship 33 Fury Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2019-01-25 | W |
Warren Stewart
|
KO/TKOStrikes | R26:46 | 25.2 | 1,522+7 | 969 | -- | Bantamweight | Fury Fighting Championship 29 Fury Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2018-11-30 | L |
Miles Johns
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 25.0 | 1,503+19 | 1,615 | +289 | Bantamweight | LFA 55: Johns vs. Yanez Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 15 | 2018-03-09 | W |
Nathan Trepagnier
|
KO/TKOPunch | R14:56 | 24.3 | 1,476+27 | 1,178 | -- | Open Weight | LFA 35: Newell vs. Luque Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 14 | 2017-11-03 | W |
Trent Meaux
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.9 | 1,449+27 | 1,312 | -- | Bantamweight | LFA 26: Odoms vs. Hughes Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 13 | 2017-03-24 | L |
Domingo Pilarte
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 23.3 | 1,494-45 | 1,352 | -147 | Bantamweight | LFA 7: Sanchez vs. Mai Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 12 | 2016-09-16 | W |
Colin Wright
|
SubArmbar | R312:44 | 22.8 | 1,412+82 | 1,389 | -- | Bantamweight | Legacy Fighting Championship 59 Legacy FC |
| 11 | 2016-02-19 | W |
Ryan Hollis
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.2 | 1,397+15 | 1,342 | -- | Bantamweight | Bellator 149: Shamrock vs. Gracie 3 Bellator MMA |
| 10 | 2015-07-11 | W |
D'Nearon Seymore
|
SubTriangle Choke | R11:31 | 21.6 | 1,388+9 | 879 | -- | Featherweight | Fury FC 7 Fury Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2015-05-22 | W |
Jake Snyder
|
KO/TKORetirement | R15:00 | 21.5 | 1,350+38 | 1,126 | -- | Bantamweight | Fury Fighting Championship 6 Fury Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2014-11-14 | L |
Levi Mowles
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.0 | 1,415-65 | 1,395 | -- | Bantamweight | Legacy Fighting Championship 37 Legacy FC |
| 7 | 2014-03-14 | W |
Richard Delfin
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R36:28 | 20.3 | 1,357+58 | 1,235 | -- | Bantamweight | Texas City Throwdown 1 Savarese Promotions |
| 6 | 2013-12-14 | W |
Peter Caballero
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R38:32 | 20.0 | 1,315+42 | 1,182 | -- | Bantamweight | USACA - Legacy Amateur Series 14 Legacy FC am |
| 5 | 2013-08-31 | W |
Casey Jones
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:31 | 19.8 | 1,300+15 | 943 | -- | Bantamweight | USACA - Legacy Amateur Series 13 Legacy FC am |
| 4 | 2013-04-06 | W |
Quentin Kiper
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R37:59 | 19.4 | 1,252+48 | 1,156 | -- | Featherweight | USACA - Legacy Amateur Series 11 Legacy FC am |
| 3 | 2012-10-06 | W |
Justin Salinas
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:37 | 18.9 | 1,200+52 | 1,127 | -- | Featherweight | USACA - Legacy Amateur Series 10 Legacy FC am |
| 2 | 2012-08-25 | W |
Nico Echeverry
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 18.7 | 1,160+40 | 1,134 | -- | Featherweight | USACA - Legacy Amateur Series 9 Legacy FC am |
| 1 | 2011-10-22 | W |
Nico Echeverry
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 17.9 | 1,116+45 | 1,116 | -- | -- | USACA - Legacy Amateur Series 6 Legacy FC am |
Randy Costa
6-1 going in · 10 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 2024-11-15 | NC |
Brandon Davis
|
-- | R12:47 | 30.4 | 1,489+0 | 1,367 | -165 | Bantamweight | GFC 8: Gamebred BareKnuckle MMA 8 GFC |
| 15 | 2023-11-10 | W |
Jason Knight
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:41 | 29.3 | 1,348+142 | 1,599 | +180 | Featherweight | GFC 6: Gamebred BareKnuckle MMA 6 GFC |
| 14 | 2023-06-16 | W |
Carlos Espinosa
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:58 | 28.9 | 1,306+42 | 1,107 | -- | Featherweight | Combat FC 4: Ghareeb vs. Junior Combat FC |
| 13 | 2022-10-01 | L |
 Guido Cannetti
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:04 | 28.2 | 1,391-85 | 1,402 | -280 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 211: Dern vs. Yan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2021-12-11 | L |
Tony Kelley
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:15 | 27.4 | 1,483-92 | 1,464 | -171 | Bantamweight | UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2021-07-24 | L |
Adrian Yanez
this fight
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:11 | 27.0 | 1,526-43 | 1,720 | +192 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 27: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2020-09-19 | W |
Journey Newson
|
KO/TKOHead Kick & Punches | R10:41 | 26.2 | 1,391+135 | 1,602 | +110 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 178: Covington vs. Woodley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2019-10-18 | W |
Boston Salmon
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:15 | 25.3 | 1,260+131 | 1,449 | +130 | Bantamweight | UFC on ESPN 6: Reyes vs. Weidman Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2019-04-13 | L |
Brandon Davis
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:12 | 24.8 | 1,300-40 | 1,509 | +133 | Bantamweight | UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 7 | 2019-01-26 | W |
Rob Fuller
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:42 | 24.6 | 1,290+10 | 810 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 42 Cage Titans FC |
| 6 | 2018-11-03 | W |
Chris Thorne
|
KO/TKOBody Shots | R11:11 | 24.3 | 1,261+29 | 978 | -- | Bantamweight | Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 41 Cage Titans FC |
| 5 | 2018-08-18 | W |
Kenny Lewis
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R10:11 | 24.1 | 1,250+12 | 791 | -- | Bantamweight | Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 40 Cage Titans FC |
| 4 | 2018-06-30 | W |
Stacey Anderson
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:46 | 24.0 | 1,223+27 | 925 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 39 Cage Titans FC |
| 3 | 2014-09-26 | W |
Chris Caterino
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:57 | 20.2 | 1,180+79 | 1,251 | -- | Bantamweight | Cage Fighting Xtreme 25 Cage FX am |
| 2 | 2014-06-21 | W |
Fabio Lima
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage | R26:00 | 20.0 | 1,119+61 | 1,093 | -- | Bantamweight | Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 19 Cage Titans FC am |
| 1 | 2014-04-05 | W |
Ryan Pompey
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:35 | 19.7 | 1,042+77 | 1,101 | -- | Bantamweight | Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 18 Cage Titans FC am |