Result
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
· Sat 10 Jul 2021 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Ilia Topuria vs Ryan Hall
W
Ilia Topuria
“El Matador”
10-0 · -240
1,799Elo
KO/TKO
R1 · 4:47
Featherweight
Ryan Hall
“The Wizard”
10-2 · +205
1,775Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litIlia TopuriaRyan Hall
1,799
Elo
1,775
1,318
KO rating
1,230
1,389
Sub rating
1,446
1,258
Dec rating
1,353
Wins by
2
KO/TKO
2
7
Submission
5
1
Decision
3
Losses by
0
KO/TKO
0
0
Submission
0
0
Decision
2
The crowd
55%
Picked by
45%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedIlia TopuriaRyan Hall
-240opened -265
Moneyline
+205opened +225
Method
+150Win by KO+1000
+1200Win by sub+450
+225Win by dec+450
+125Win inside+340
How long it went
Over 1.5-165
Under 1.5+136
Over 2.5+105
Under 2.5-135
Decision+138
Inside-160
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Ilia Topuriamoneyline 76% v 68% 5.0% -240 +0.42u
- Ilia Topuria by Decisionmethod: decision 35% v 25% 4.5% +225 -1.00u
- Ilia Topuria by Submissionmethod: sub 11% v 6% 3.0% +1200 lost
- Goes the distancethe distance 43% v 40% -0.8% +130 lost
- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 48% v 46% -1.0% +105 lost
- Ilia Topuria inside the distanceinside the distance 40% v 38% -4.1% +125 won
- Ryan Hall by KO/TKOmethod: KO 4% v 7% -4.8% +1000 lost
- Ryan Hall by Decisionmethod: decision 11% v 15% -7.2% +450 lost
- Ryan Hall by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 15% -9.0% +450 lost
- Ilia Topuria by KO/TKOmethod: KO 30% v 32% -10.4% +150 won
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Ilia Topuria
10-0 going in · 10 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2026-06-14 | L |
Justin Gaethje
|
KO/TKORetirement (Corner Stoppage) | R420:00 | 29.4 | 2,397-142 | 2,146 | -500 | Lightweight | UFC White House - Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2025-06-28 | W |
 Charles Oliveira
|
KO/TKORight Hook, Left Hook, & Hammerfists | R12:27 | 28.4 | 2,312+85 | 2,301 | -425 | Lightweight | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2024-10-26 | W |
Max Holloway
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground Strikes | R311:34 | 27.8 | 2,201+111 | 2,297 | -275 | Featherweight | UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2024-02-17 | W |
 Alexander Volkanovski
|
KO/TKORight Hook | R28:32 | 27.1 | 2,066+135 | 2,278 | +112 | Featherweight | UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2023-06-24 | W |
Josh Emmett
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 26.4 | 2,012+53 | 1,869 | -340 | Featherweight | UFC on ABC 5: Emmett vs. Topuria Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2022-12-10 | W |
Bryce Mitchell
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R28:10 | 25.9 | 1,926+86 | 1,921 | -146 | Featherweight | UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2022-03-19 | W |
 Jai Herbert
|
KO/TKORight Hook | R26:07 | 25.2 | 1,880+46 | 1,702 | -600 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 204: Volkov vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2021-07-10 | W |
Ryan Hall
this fight
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R14:47 | 24.5 | 1,799+82 | 1,775 | -240 | Featherweight | UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2020-12-05 | W |
Damon Jackson
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:38 | 23.9 | 1,680+119 | 1,811 | -250 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 19: Hermansson vs. Vettori Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2020-10-10 | W |
 Youssef Zalal
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.7 | 1,584+96 | 1,687 | +142 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 179: Moraes vs. Sandhagen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2019-11-15 | W |
 Steven Goncalves
|
KO/TKOPunch | R13:42 | 22.8 | 1,542+42 | 1,341 | -- | Featherweight | Brave Combat Federation 29: Torres vs. Adur BRAVE Combat Federation |
| 7 | 2019-09-07 | W |
 Luis Gomez
|
SubTriangle Armbar | R11:15 | 22.6 | 1,510+32 | 1,250 | -- | Featherweight | Brave CF 26: Roa vs. Silva BRAVE Combat Federation |
| 6 | 2018-06-16 | W |
 Brian Bouland
|
SubAnaconda Choke | R11:39 | 21.4 | 1,416+100 | 1,466 | +108 | Bantamweight | Cage Warriors 94 Cage Warriors |
| 5 | 2018-04-28 | W |
 Mika Hamalainen
|
SubMounted Guillotine Choke | R13:35 | 21.3 | 1,294+122 | 1,439 | +148 | Bantamweight | Cage 43 CAGE MMA Finland |
| 4 | 2016-11-05 | W |
 Jhon Guarin
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R27:50 | 19.8 | 1,248+53 | 1,103 | -- | Featherweight | Mix Fight Events Mix Fight Events |
| 3 | 2016-05-07 | W |
Daniel Vasquez
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:50 | 19.3 | 1,174+74 | 1,121 | -- | Featherweight | Mix Fight Events Mix Fight Events |
| 2 | 2015-05-09 | W |
Kalil El Chantibi
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:03 | 18.3 | 1,113+61 | 1,005 | -- | Featherweight | Climent Club - Climent Show MMA 4 Climent Show MMA |
| 1 | 2015-04-04 | W |
 Francisco Asprilla
|
SubTriangle Choke | R13:30 | 18.2 | 1,038+75 | 989 | -- | Bantamweight | West Coast Warriors Mix Fight Events |
Ryan Hall
10-2 going in · 12 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2021-12-11 | W |
Darrick Minner
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 36.8 | 1,694+53 | 1,664 | -200 | Featherweight | UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2021-07-10 | L |
Ilia Topuria
this fight
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R14:47 | 36.4 | 1,775-82 | 1,799 | +205 | Featherweight | UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2019-07-13 | W |
Darren Elkins
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.4 | 1,750+66 | 1,775 | -104 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 155: De Randamie vs. Ladd Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2018-12-29 | W |
BJ Penn
|
SubHeel Hook | R12:46 | 33.8 | 1,687+63 | 1,586 | -471 | Lightweight | UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2016-12-03 | W |
Gray Maynard
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.8 | 1,680+46 | 1,639 | -115 | Featherweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2015-12-11 | W |
 Artem Lobov
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.8 | 1,534+146 | 1,815 | +140 | Lightweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2015-08-18 | L |
 Saul Rogers
|
DecisionMajority | R210:00 | 30.5 | 1,522+12 | 1,670 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Quarterfinals, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 7 | 2015-07-24 | W |
 Frantz Slioa
|
SubHeel Hook | R11:54 | 30.4 | 1,435+87 | 1,432 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Opening Round, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 6 | 2015-07-17 | W |
Johnny Nuñez
|
SubHeel Hook | R10:44 | 30.4 | 1,360+75 | 1,312 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter |
| 5 | 2014-05-31 | W |
Ryan Hogans
|
SubHeel Hook | R10:53 | 29.3 | 1,322+41 | 1,114 | -- | Open Weight | United Combat League: Torres vs. Choate United Combat League |
| 4 | 2014-02-08 | W |
Leo Perez
|
KO/TKOStrikes | R314:34 | 29.0 | 1,244+78 | 1,205 | -- | Featherweight | FLP - Fight Lab 35: Misery Loves Company 6 Fight Lab |
| 3 | 2013-08-17 | W |
 Maged Hammo
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:43 | 28.5 | 1,113+131 | 1,303 | -- | Featherweight | Challenge MMA 2: Think Big Challenge MMA |
| 2 | 2012-11-30 | W |
Phillip Deschambeault
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:41 | 27.8 | 1,035+78 | 996 | -- | Featherweight | Slamm 1: Garcia vs. Lamarche InterBox |
| 1 | 2006-04-29 | L |
Eddie Fyvie
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 21.2 | 1,118-69 | 1,080 | -- | Lightweight | RF 12: Return to Boardwalk Hall Reality Fighting |