Result Fury Fighting Championship 83: Holmes vs. McLoughlin · Sun 17 Sep 2023 · Fury Fighting Championship

Tracy Reeder vs Jacob Capelli

Elo
75%25%
Market said
86%14%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Tracy ReederJacob Capelli
1,359 Elo 1,169
1,086 KO rating 1,104
1,141 Sub rating 963
1,078 Dec rating 993
Wins by
3 KO/TKO 3
2 Submission 0
1 Decision 3
Losses by
2 KO/TKO 2
0 Submission 1
0 Decision 7
The crowd
99% Picked by 1%

Prices

The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlined
Tracy ReederJacob Capelli
-1400opened -1000 Moneyline · BetOnline +800opened +700
-1205opened -1150 Moneyline · all books +550opened +575

What the model makes of it

At BetOnline's price Every bet →
  • Tracy Reedermoneyline 93% v 89% 0.1% -1400 won

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Tracy Reeder 6-2 going in · 15 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
25 2026-08-22 L Gadzhi Rabadanov KO/TKOGround & Pound R14:38 27.4 1,579-16 1,978 +874 Lightweight Professional Fighters League - PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira Professional Fighters League
24 2026-04-24 W Chance Beck KO/TKOKO/TKO R11:03 27.0 1,549+30 1,273 -- Catchweight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 408 Xtreme Fight Night
23 2026-02-20 W Marshal Kemp KO/TKOKO/TKO R27:06 26.9 1,425+125 1,583 -- Lightweight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 407 Xtreme Fight Night
22 2025-10-10 W Fred Freeman SubRear Naked Choke R12:15 26.5 1,393+32 1,133 -- Lightweight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 404 Xtreme Fight Night
21 2025-08-08 W Brennan McKisick SubRear Naked Choke R312:45 26.3 1,285+108 1,367 -- Open Weight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 403 Xtreme Fight Night
20 2025-04-11 W Michael Banks KO/TKOKO/TKO R12:04 26.0 1,217+67 1,136 -- Lightweight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 400 Xtreme Fight Night
19 2024-08-02 L Pena Allamov KO/TKOKnee & Punches R14:23 25.3 1,277-60 1,391 +147 Lightweight Fury Fighting Championship 95: Lingo vs. Teague Fury Fighting Championship
18 2024-05-12 L Nico Echeverry DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.1 1,346-69 1,308 -250 Lightweight Fury FC 90: Saenz vs. Khera Fury Fighting Championship
17 2024-01-21 L Hector Saenz DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.8 1,403-56 1,416 -150 Lightweight Fury Fighting Championship 85: Aswell vs. Altum Fury Fighting Championship
16 2023-09-17 W Jacob Capelli this fight SubRear Naked Choke R11:42 24.4 1,359+44 1,169 -1205 Lightweight Fury Fighting Championship 83: Holmes vs. McLoughlin Fury Fighting Championship
15 2023-05-07 W Darren Whitney DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.1 1,305+53 1,280 +169 Lightweight Fury FC 79: Rodrigues vs. Holmes Fury Fighting Championship
14 2023-02-24 L MarQuel Mederos KO/TKOStrikes R312:58 23.9 1,383-78 1,421 -- Lightweight Fighting Alliance Championship 18 Fighting Alliance Championship
13 2022-10-08 L Josiah Harrell KO/TKOKO/TKO R27:59 23.5 1,428-44 1,616 +150 Lightweight Cage Fury Fighting Championships 113: Sears vs. Velasco Cage Fury FC
12 2022-05-13 W Rodney Allison KO/TKOKO/TKO R13:43 23.1 1,391+37 1,161 -- Lightweight RCF 2: River City Fights River City Fights
11 2022-04-22 W Roderick Stewart KO/TKOGround & Pound R12:19 23.0 1,369+22 1,030 -- Lightweight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 379 Xtreme Fight Night
10 2022-02-04 W Nicholas Whitehead SubRear Naked Choke R314:44 22.8 1,317+52 1,166 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 378 Xtreme Fight Night
9 2021-12-10 W Sterling Lenz SubRear Naked Choke R11:30 22.7 1,304+13 865 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 376 Xtreme Fight Night
8 2021-10-08 W Donte McKenzie KO/TKOKO/TKO R11:40 22.5 1,296+9 783 -- Lightweight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 374 Xtreme Fight Night
7 2021-08-14 W Alan Vasquez SubRear Naked Choke R10:51 22.3 1,242+54 1,179 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 373 Xtreme Fight Night am
6 2021-06-18 W Jordan Brown KO/TKOKO/TKO R10:55 22.2 1,188+54 1,127 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 371 Xtreme Fight Night am
5 2021-04-09 L Chris Renteria DecisionUnanimous R39:00 22.0 1,227-39 1,257 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 370 Xtreme Fight Night am
4 2021-04-03 W Hansel Ten SubSubmission R10:36 22.0 1,168+59 1,130 -- Lightweight Pantheon FC - Bartlesville Beatdown 1 Pantheon Fighting Championships am
3 2020-10-09 W Jonathan Boyd SubSubmission R10:52 21.5 1,103+65 1,102 -- Open Weight XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 368 Xtreme Fight Night am
2 2020-08-07 L Alex Foster KO/TKOKO/TKO R23:10 21.3 1,156-53 1,223 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 367 Xtreme Fight Night am
1 2020-02-07 W Malik Thompson SubSubmission R10:57 20.8 1,090+66 1,090 -- Lightweight Xtreme Fight Night 366 Xtreme Fight Night am
Jacob Capelli 7-10 (1 NC) going in · 19 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
20 2023-09-17 L Tracy Reeder this fight SubRear Naked Choke R11:42 43.1 1,169-44 1,359 +550 Lightweight Fury Fighting Championship 83: Holmes vs. McLoughlin Fury Fighting Championship
19 2023-01-27 NC Andrew Sosa KO/TKO R11:18 42.5 1,123+47 946 -- Welterweight XKO 60: Fight Night Xtreme Knockout
18 2023-01-06 L Christopher Anthony DecisionSplit R315:00 42.4 1,168-46 1,020 -- Welterweight AKA 25: American Kombat Alliance American Kombat Alliance
17 2022-05-22 L Michael Murphy DecisionUnanimous R315:00 41.8 1,220-51 1,253 -- Lightweight Fury Fighting Championship 63 Fury Fighting Championship
16 2021-10-08 W Chris Pecero DecisionUnanimous R315:00 41.2 1,126+93 1,267 -- Welterweight XKO 54: Xtreme Knockout 54 Xtreme Knockout
15 2017-11-03 W David Armas DecisionUnanimous R315:00 37.2 1,127+21 963 -- Welterweight LFA 26: Odoms vs. Hughes Legacy Fighting Alliance
14 2017-08-12 L Vaughn Govia KO/TKOPunches R13:35 37.0 1,192-65 1,284 -- Welterweight XKO 37 Xtreme Knockout
13 2016-08-27 W Armando Servin DQDisqualification R10:35 36.1 1,192+0 1,186 -- Welterweight XKO 32 Xtreme Knockout
12 2016-02-27 W Randell Kennedy KO/TKOKO/TKO R28:59 35.6 1,126+66 1,039 -- Welterweight XKO - Xtreme Knockout 29 Xtreme Knockout
11 2015-09-12 W Andrew Sosa KO/TKOKO/TKO R25:24 35.1 1,057+69 982 -- Lightweight XKO - Xtreme Knockout 27 Xtreme Knockout
10 2015-04-25 L Sage Northcutt KO/TKOKO/TKO R10:55 34.7 1,088-32 1,352 -- Welterweight LFC - Challenger Series 1 Legacy FC
9 2015-01-17 L Alexander Hernandez DecisionUnanimous R39:00 34.4 1,094-6 1,342 -- Lightweight Hero FC: Best of the Best 4 Hero FC
8 2014-05-03 L Justin Reiswerg SubTriangle Choke R12:43 33.7 1,146-51 1,299 -- Lightweight IXFA 10: Delta Downs IXFA Extreme Fighting
7 2014-04-05 L Robert Dunn DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.7 1,145+1 1,441 -- Lightweight XFC: Le vs. Martin Xtreme Fighting Championship
6 2014-01-16 W Wes Linsley KO/TKOCut R13:00 33.4 1,081+64 985 -- Lightweight Triple A MMA 4: Caged Hostility Triple A MMA
5 2013-11-23 L Darius Yancy DecisionUnanimous R39:00 33.3 1,154-74 1,098 -- Lightweight XKO 20 Xtreme Knockout
4 2013-08-17 L Andrew Parker DecisionSplit R39:00 33.0 1,132+22 1,270 -- Welterweight XKO - Xtreme Knockout 19 Xtreme Knockout
3 2013-07-19 L Eric Garcia DecisionUnanimous R39:00 32.9 1,160-28 1,291 -- Lightweight Legacy Fighting Championship 21 Legacy FC
2 2013-05-18 W Jordan Morgan DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.8 1,073+87 1,184 -- -- IXFA 9: Delta Downs IXFA Extreme Fighting
1 2012-03-03 L Dakota Smith Decision -- 31.6 1,109-35 1,133 -- -- -- USA-MMA am