Result Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 48: Aby vs. Garcia · Sat 4 Nov 2023 · Oktagon MMA

Elias Garcia vs Aaron Aby

Our model
67%33%
Market said
44%56%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Elias GarciaAaron Aby
1,455 Elo 1,376
1,162 KO rating 1,091
1,233 Sub rating 1,174
1,171 Dec rating 1,074
Wins by
2 KO/TKO 1
4 Submission 6
3 Decision 8
Losses by
0 KO/TKO 1
1 Submission 0
1 Decision 6
The crowd
81% Picked by 19%

Prices

The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlined
Elias GarciaAaron Aby
+116opened -155 Moneyline -146opened +125

What the model makes of it

At the prices above Every bet →
  • Elias Garciamoneyline 49% v 43% 2.7% +116 +1.16u

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Elias Garcia 9-2 going in · 16 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
18 2025-10-10 W Namiki Kawahara DecisionSplit R315:00 33.1 1,499-27 1,341 -450 Flyweight Urijah Faber's A1 Combat 31: Collins vs. Evangelista Urijah Faber's A1 Combat
17 2023-11-04 W Aaron Aby this fight KO/TKODoctor Stoppage R210:00 31.1 1,455+68 1,376 +116 Flyweight Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 48: Aby vs. Garcia Oktagon MMA
16 2023-07-01 W Diego Ortiz DecisionSplit R315:00 30.8 1,469-14 1,368 -- Flyweight Combate Global - Pace vs. Garcia Combate Global
15 2022-09-09 W Leandro Soares DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.0 1,433+36 1,337 -- Flyweight Combate Global: Cisneros vs. Mora Combate Global
14 2021-11-26 W Ivan Lopez SubRear Naked Choke R312:36 29.2 1,396+37 1,170 -- Flyweight Combate Global - Garcia vs. Lopez Combate Global
13 2018-12-01 L Kai Kara-France DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.2 1,493-54 1,633 -- Flyweight UFC Fight Night 142: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2018-07-14 L Mark De La Rosa SubRear Naked Choke R27:00 25.8 1,595-102 1,538 -- Flyweight UFC Fight Night 133: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov Ultimate Fighting Championship
11 2018-03-15 W Adam Antolin KO/TKOPunches R11:31 25.5 1,489+107 1,567 -- Flyweight CBF MMA 1 - Dana White: Lookin' for a Fight Dana White's Contender Series
10 2017-09-09 W David Williams SubTriangle Choke R13:54 25.0 1,417+72 1,353 -- Flyweight Driller Promotions - Mecca 10 Driller Promotions
9 2017-03-04 W Richard Dey SubTriangle Choke R313:38 24.5 1,355+62 1,252 -- Flyweight Victory One Championships Punisher Promotions
8 2014-10-04 W Alex Figueroa DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.1 1,375+7 1,131 -- Flyweight Chosen Few Fighting Championships 3 Chosen Few FC
7 2014-05-31 W Chris Johnson KO/TKOPunches R312:40 21.7 1,338+37 1,112 -- Flyweight NAFC - Mega Brawl North American Fighting Championship
6 2013-12-07 W Joel Scullin SubHeel Hook R26:26 21.2 1,291+46 1,113 -- Flyweight NAFC: Unrivaled North American Fighting Championship
5 2013-09-28 W Jonathan Meins KO/TKOKO/TKO R25:08 21.0 1,237+54 1,176 -- Flyweight NAFC: Battle in the Ballroom North American Fighting Championship am
4 2012-07-28 W Cameron Monyelle DQIllegal Technique R25:55 19.9 1,239+0 1,012 -- Flyweight NAFC: Warriors North American Fighting Championship am
3 2012-05-04 W Dillon Woods KO/TKOPunches R37:57 19.6 1,189+50 1,107 -- Bantamweight NAFC: Colosseum North American Fighting Championship am
2 2012-01-14 W Keith Burks DecisionUnanimous R315:00 19.3 1,159+30 1,077 -- -- SSCC - Sheboygan Showdown 4 Wisconsin Regional am
1 2011-11-18 W Chris Winkler SubRear Naked Choke R12:29 19.2 1,123+36 955 -- Flyweight NAFC: Unleashed North American Fighting Championship am
Aaron Aby 15-7-1 (1 NC) going in · 26 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
34 2026-07-11 W Zoran Milic DecisionUnanimous R315:00 36.4 1,327+50 1,288 -175 Flyweight Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 91: Engizek vs. Jotko 2 Oktagon MMA
33 2026-01-24 W Resant Ashırov SubArm Triangle Choke R10:56 36.0 1,300+27 1,002 -- Bantamweight Professional Muaythai League 18 Professional Muaythai League
32 2025-11-08 W Danijel Špoljarić KO/TKORetirement R1 35.8 1,252+48 1,081 -- Flyweight Professional Muaythai League 17 Professional Muaythai League
31 2025-04-05 L Mohammed Walid DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.2 1,353-101 1,176 -225 Flyweight OKTAGON 69: Holzer vs. Ilbay Oktagon MMA
30 2024-11-09 L Zhalgas Zhumagulov DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.8 1,352+2 1,652 +240 Flyweight OKTAGON 63: Buchinger vs. Nafuka Oktagon MMA
29 2024-04-20 L Sam Creasey DecisionUnanimous R525:00 34.2 1,380-29 1,484 +290 Flyweight OKTAGON 56: Aby vs. Creasey Oktagon MMA
28 2024-01-27 W Christopher Daniel DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.0 1,308+72 1,358 -300 Flyweight OKTAGON 52: Mågård vs. Cartwright Oktagon MMA
27 2023-11-04 L Elias Garcia this fight KO/TKODoctor Stoppage R210:00 33.7 1,376-68 1,455 -146 Flyweight Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 48: Aby vs. Garcia Oktagon MMA
26 2023-08-26 W Joevincent So DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.5 1,341+35 1,241 -280 Flyweight UAE Warriors 44: Magomedov vs. da Silva UAE Warriors
25 2023-04-22 W Junior Willian SubArm Triangle Choke R1 33.2 1,250+91 1,264 -- Bantamweight Full Contact Contender 33 Full Contact Contender
24 2023-02-25 L Victor Nunes DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.0 1,311-62 1,304 -125 Flyweight UAE Warriors 36: Machado vs. Jung UAE Warriors
23 2022-11-12 L Stipe Brčić DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.8 1,321-10 1,368 -140 Flyweight Cage Warriors 146 Cage Warriors
22 2022-08-13 L Michelangelo Lupoli DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.5 1,450-129 1,215 -300 Flyweight Cage Warriors 142 Cage Warriors
21 2022-04-02 W Gerardo Fanny SubRear Naked Choke R312:25 32.1 1,316+134 1,524 +150 Flyweight Cage Warriors 136 Cage Warriors
20 2021-12-11 W Samir Faiddine DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.8 1,261+55 1,318 +124 Flyweight Cage Warriors 132 Cage Warriors
19 2021-06-24 L Sam Creasey DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.4 1,315-54 1,456 +250 Flyweight Cage Warriors 123 Cage Warriors
18 2020-02-07 W Mohamed Gamal DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.0 1,241+79 1,321 -- Flyweight Probellum MMA - Dubai: Lazzez vs. Murati Probellum MMA
17 2019-12-07 D Daryl Grant DecisionMajority R315:00 29.8 1,268-26 1,161 -- Flyweight UKFC - UK Fighting Championships 12 UK Fighting Championships
16 2017-09-23 W Daniel Missin DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.6 1,272+13 1,066 -- Flyweight ACB 70: Barnatt vs Askham Absolute Championship Berkut
15 2017-07-22 W Sam Halliday SubArm Triangle Choke R13:06 27.5 1,211+60 1,100 -- Catchweight ACB 65: Silva vs Agnaev Absolute Championship Berkut
14 2017-03-11 W Connor Hignett DecisionSplit R315:00 27.1 1,189+22 1,234 -- Flyweight ACB 54: Supersonic Absolute Championship Berkut
13 2016-06-18 L Andy Young DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.4 1,222-33 1,332 -- Flyweight Full Contact Contender 16 Full Contact Contender
12 2016-05-07 W Adrian Ponz DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.2 1,213+9 985 -- Open Weight UK Fighting Championships 1 UK Fighting Championships
11 2015-10-17 W Karim Miard DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.7 1,220-8 867 -- Open Weight Full Contact Contender 14 Full Contact Contender
10 2015-06-12 W Sebastien Louchet SubGuillotine Choke R1 25.3 1,183+37 955 -- Bantamweight ICE FC 6 ICE FC
9 2015-03-28 W Ben Dearden KO/TKOPunches R14:42 25.1 1,090+94 1,114 -- Bantamweight Full Contact Contender 12 Full Contact Contender
8 2014-10-18 L Daniel Missin KO/TKORef Stoppage R14:06 24.7 1,207-117 1,084 -- Flyweight Full Contact Contender 11 Full Contact Contender
7 2014-06-21 W Scott Gregory SubArmbar R13:23 24.4 1,125+82 1,103 -- Flyweight Full Contact Contender 10 Full Contact Contender
6 2014-03-22 L Mick Gerrard DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.1 1,213-87 1,098 -- Flyweight Full Contact Contender 9 Full Contact Contender
5 2013-09-07 W John Spencer SubRear Naked Choke R13:40 23.6 1,190+23 859 -- Flyweight OMMAC 18: Retribution Olympian MMA Championships
4 2013-06-01 W Josh Bangert DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.3 1,158+32 1,046 -- Flyweight OMMAC 17: High Octane Olympian MMA Championships
3 2013-03-16 W Tom Murry SubTriangle Choke R12:30 23.1 1,110+48 1,016 -- Flyweight Full Contact Contender 5 Full Contact Contender am
2 2012-09-14 W John Hunt SubArmbar R11:30 22.6 1,046+63 1,034 -- Featherweight UCC 12: Manchester Mayhem 2 UCC am
1 2011-07-10 NC Kieran O'Brien -- -- 21.4 1,047+0 1,047 -- -- Salford Fight Factory - Fight Ikon 8 Fight Ikon am