Result
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
· Sat 4 May 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Michel Pereira vs Ihor Potieria
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litMichel PereiraIhor Potieria
1,935
Elo
1,577
1,604
KO rating
1,266
1,378
Sub rating
1,168
1,327
Dec rating
1,167
Wins by
13
KO/TKO
10
8
Submission
6
11
Decision
5
Losses by
1
KO/TKO
4
1
Submission
0
8
Decision
1
The crowd
95%
Picked by
5%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedMichel PereiraIhor Potieria
-610opened -500
Moneyline
+435opened +375
Method
-145Win by KO+675
+300Win by sub+2500
+500Win by dec+1400
-260Win inside+450
How long it went
Over 1.5+120
Under 1.5-150
Over 2.5+263
Under 2.5-402
Decision+350
Inside-500
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Goes the distancethe distance 26% v 20% 4.0% +350 -1.00u
- Ihor Potieria by Decisionmethod: decision 9% v 5% 2.1% +1400 -1.00u
- Michel Pereira by Decisionmethod: decision 18% v 13% 1.6% +500 lost
- Over 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 46% v 43% 0.4% +120 lost
- Ihor Potieriamoneyline 19% v 17% 0.4% +435 lost
- Ihor Potieria by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 3% -2.0% +2500 lost
- Ihor Potieria by KO/TKOmethod: KO 9% v 10% -4.3% +675 lost
- Ihor Potieria inside the distanceinside the distance 10% v 16% -7.8% +450 lost
- Michel Pereira inside the distanceinside the distance 63% v 63% -9.6% -260 won
- Michel Pereira by KO/TKOmethod: KO 49% v 48% -10.3% -145 lost
- Michel Pereira by Submissionmethod: sub 14% v 20% -11.2% +300 won
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Michel Pereira
32-11 (2 NC) going in · 45 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 2026-06-27 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.7 | 1,680+30 | 1,892 | +300 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 280: Fiziev vs. Torres Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 50 | 2026-02-21 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.4 | 1,709-29 | 1,606 | -175 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 267: Strickland vs. Hernandez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 49 | 2025-08-23 | L |
|
KO/TKOOverhand Right to Ground Strikes | R10:43 | 31.9 | 1,814-105 | 1,745 | -240 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 257: Walker vs. Zhang Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 48 | 2025-04-26 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.6 | 1,871-57 | 1,891 | -146 | Middleweight | UFC on ESPN 66: Garry vs. Prates Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 47 | 2024-10-19 | L |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R522:22 | 31.0 | 1,955-84 | 1,967 | +118 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 245: Hernandez vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 46 | 2024-05-04 | W |
|
SubStanding Guillotine Choke | R10:54 | 30.6 | 1,935+20 | 1,577 | -610 | Middleweight | UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 45 | 2024-03-09 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:01 | 30.4 | 1,860+76 | 1,812 | -144 | Middleweight | UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 44 | 2023-10-14 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch to Ground & Pound | R11:06 | 30.0 | 1,796+63 | 1,698 | -190 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 230: Yusuff vs. Barboza Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 43 | 2022-05-21 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 28.6 | 1,776+36 | 1,876 | -135 | Welterweight | UFC Fight Night 206: Holm vs. Vieira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 42 | 2022-01-22 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.3 | 1,758+18 | 1,704 | -270 | Welterweight | UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 41 | 2021-07-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.8 | 1,715+43 | 1,781 | -171 | Welterweight | UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 40 | 2020-12-19 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.2 | 1,676+39 | 1,802 | -112 | Welterweight | UFC Fight Night 183: Thompson vs. Neal Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 39 | 2020-09-05 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R314:39 | 26.9 | 1,631+45 | 1,447 | -125 | Welterweight | UFC Fight Night 176: Overeem vs. Sakai Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 38 | 2020-02-15 | L |
|
DQIllegal Knee | R313:09 | 26.4 | 1,631+0 | 1,686 | -162 | Welterweight | UFC Fight Night 167: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 37 | 2019-09-14 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.9 | 1,671-40 | 1,714 | -543 | Welterweight | UFC Fight Night 158: Cowboy vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 36 | 2019-05-18 | W |
|
KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punch | R11:47 | 25.6 | 1,587+84 | 1,572 | +199 | Welterweight | UFC Fight Night 152: Dos Anjos vs. Lee Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 35 | 2019-02-23 | W |
|
KO/TKOKnees | R26:02 | 25.4 | 1,577+10 | 1,094 | -- | Open Weight | Road FC 52 Road Fighting Championship |
| 34 | 2018-12-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:41 | 25.2 | 1,546+31 | 1,278 | -- | Middleweight | Road FC 51 XX Road Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2018-12-01 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:32 | 25.2 | 1,666-120 | 1,532 | -- | Middleweight | Serbian Battle Championship 19 Serbian Battle Championship |
| 32 | 2018-09-17 | NC★ |
|
Sub | R521:46 | 24.9 | 1,650+16 | 1,250 | -- | Welterweight | Heat 43 HEAT |
| 31 | 2018-07-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOKnees & Punches | R311:48 | 24.8 | 1,624+26 | 1,321 | -- | Middleweight | Road FC 48 Road Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2018-05-27 | W | Unknown | KO/TKOPunches | R10:51 | 24.6 | 1,602+21 | 1,260 | -- | -- | Heat 42 HEAT |
| 29 | 2018-05-27 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R1 | 24.6 | 1,579+23 | 1,254 | -- | Welterweight | Heat 42 HEAT |
| 28 | 2018-05-27 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:51 | 24.6 | 1,526+53 | 1,382 | -- | Middleweight | Heat 42 HEAT |
| 27 | 2018-05-12 | NC |
|
-- | R13:03 | 24.6 | 1,526+0 | 1,587 | -- | Welterweight | Arena Fight 8: In Memory of Meire Cabral Arena Fight |
| 26 | 2018-04-28 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:02 | 24.6 | 1,494+32 | 1,232 | -- | Welterweight | Serbian Battle Championship 17 Serbian Battle Championship |
| 25 | 2017-12-08 | W |
|
DecisionResult Overturned | R315:00 | 24.2 | 1,419+76 | 1,512 | -- | Welterweight | Serbian Battle Championship 15 Serbian Battle Championship |
| 24 | 2017-10-03 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.0 | 1,524-105 | 1,323 | -- | Welterweight | Kunlun Fight MMA 15 Kunlun Fight |
| 23 | 2017-09-16 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R3 | 23.9 | 1,444+80 | 1,414 | -- | -- | TAURA MMA - 1 Taura MMA |
| 22 | 2016-12-21 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.2 | 1,437+7 | 1,195 | -- | Welterweight | FFC 24: Estela vs. Pereira Fusion FC |
| 21 | 2016-11-11 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.1 | 1,480-43 | 1,547 | -- | Welterweight | Shooto Brazil 67: Mamota vs. Demolidor Shooto Brasil |
| 20 | 2016-05-13 | W |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R14:56 | 22.6 | 1,465+15 | 1,052 | -- | Middleweight | Revelation Fighting Championship 4 Revelation Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2016-04-09 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.5 | 1,482-18 | 1,665 | -- | Welterweight | Akhmat Fight Show 18 Akhmat Fight Club |
| 18 | 2015-11-28 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.1 | 1,584-102 | 1,402 | -- | Welterweight | XFCI - XFC International 12 Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 17 | 2015-03-14 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.4 | 1,532+52 | 1,501 | -- | Welterweight | XFCI - XFC International 9 Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 16 | 2014-11-01 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R12:40 | 21.1 | 1,465+67 | 1,383 | -- | Welterweight | XFCI - XFC International 7 Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 15 | 2014-05-31 | W |
|
KO/TKORetirement | R15:00 | 20.6 | 1,433+32 | 1,176 | -- | Lightweight | Para Regional Para Regional |
| 14 | 2014-05-24 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R2 | 20.6 | 1,536-103 | 1,473 | -- | -- | Iron Man MMA 18 Iron Man MMA |
| 13 | 2014-02-02 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.3 | 1,508+28 | 1,375 | -- | Welterweight | Jungle Fight 65: Madre de Deus Jungle Fight |
| 12 | 2013-12-21 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R14:18 | 20.2 | 1,399+109 | 1,486 | -- | Welterweight | Tucuma Fighting Show 5 Para Regional |
| 11 | 2013-10-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.0 | 1,405-5 | 1,072 | -- | -- | 300 Sparta 4 300 Sparta |
| 10 | 2013-09-28 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.0 | 1,365+39 | 1,284 | -- | -- | The Green Fight - Paragominas Para Regional |
| 9 | 2013-09-16 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R1 | 19.9 | 1,328+37 | 1,101 | -- | -- | 300 Sparta 3 300 Sparta |
| 8 | 2013-08-10 | W |
|
KO/TKOTKO | R14:12 | 19.8 | 1,208+120 | 1,345 | -- | -- | Arena Sport Combat Para Regional |
| 7 | 2013-07-13 | W |
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage | R11:52 | 19.8 | 1,139+69 | 1,063 | -- | -- | Marajo Fight 5 Para Regional |
| 6 | 2013-04-06 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 19.5 | 1,140+0 | 1,426 | -- | -- | MMADF - MMA Dragon Fighters Para Regional |
| 5 | 2013-03-30 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 19.5 | 1,140+0 | 1,426 | -- | -- | Tucuma Fighting Show Para Regional |
| 4 | 2013-01-12 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 19.3 | 1,207-67 | 1,176 | -- | Catchweight | Colisao Top Fight Para Regional |
| 3 | 2012-06-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 18.7 | 1,175+32 | 1,061 | -- | -- | Tucuma Fighting Show 2 Para Regional |
| 2 | 2012-01-21 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 18.3 | 1,125+50 | 968 | -- | Lightweight | Tucuma Fighting Show 1 Para Regional |
| 1 | 2011-12-22 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:20 | 18.2 | 1,038+88 | 1,038 | -- | Welterweight | Dragon Fight Championship Dragon Fight |
Ihor Potieria
21-5 going in · 30 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 2026-08-23 | W |
|
SubAmericana | R13:34 | 30.2 | 1,418+72 | 1,356 | -- | Light Heavyweight | FSC 37: FightStar Championship 37 FightStar Championship |
| 33 | 2025-01-11 | L |
|
KO/TKORight Hook to Ground Strikes | R13:04 | 28.6 | 1,478-47 | 1,652 | +350 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 249: Dern vs. Ribas 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2024-10-05 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.4 | 1,558-79 | 1,535 | +310 | Middleweight | UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2024-05-04 | L |
|
SubStanding Guillotine Choke | R10:54 | 27.9 | 1,577-20 | 1,935 | +435 | Middleweight | UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2024-02-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.7 | 1,465+113 | 1,711 | +140 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 236: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2023-12-02 | L |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:17 | 27.5 | 1,527-62 | 1,631 | +325 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2023-05-13 | L |
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground Strikes | R12:09 | 27.0 | 1,606-79 | 1,639 | +300 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ABC 4: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-01-21 | W |
|
KO/TKOHooks to Ground Strikes | R14:05 | 26.6 | 1,482+124 | 1,636 | -205 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2022-07-30 | L |
|
KO/TKOKnees & Punches (Standing TKO) | R28:33 | 26.2 | 1,592-110 | 1,501 | +100 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2021-09-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches to Ground & Pound | R13:41 | 25.3 | 1,501+91 | 1,514 | +195 | Light Heavyweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2021: Week 5 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 24 | 2021-05-15 | W |
|
SubChoke | R13:12 | 25.0 | 1,472+30 | 1,196 | -- | Catchweight | WWFC 19 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 23 | 2021-03-14 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R29:15 | 24.8 | 1,378+93 | 1,401 | -- | Middleweight | WWFC 18: Kyiv Fight Night World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 22 | 2019-08-17 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.2 | 1,410-21 | 864 | -- | Light Heavyweight | GCFC MMA 8 Golden Coat Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2019-07-07 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:24 | 23.1 | 1,391+19 | 1,029 | -- | Light Heavyweight | RFP 70 - Step to Top 8: Battle on Horyn 2 Real Fight Promotion |
| 20 | 2019-03-16 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R515:00 | 22.8 | 1,464-74 | 1,272 | -- | Middleweight | Bukovel Free-Fight Cup 9: Stage 6 Professional Fight Union am |
| 19 | 2019-02-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:02 | 22.7 | 1,443+22 | 1,163 | -- | Middleweight | Professional Fight Union - Bukovel Free Fight Cup 9, Tour 4 Professional Fight Union am |
| 18 | 2019-02-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOLeg kicks | R11:02 | 22.7 | 1,426+17 | 1,092 | -- | Middleweight | Professional Fight Union - Bukovel Free Fight Cup 9, Tour 4 Professional Fight Union am |
| 17 | 2019-02-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:35 | 22.7 | 1,409+16 | 1,071 | -- | Middleweight | Professional Fight Union - Bukovel Free Fight Cup 9, Tour 4 Professional Fight Union am |
| 16 | 2018-12-15 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 22.5 | 1,403+7 | 1,387 | -- | Light Heavyweight | WWFC 13 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 15 | 2018-08-19 | W |
|
SubKimura | R10:40 | 22.2 | 1,395+8 | 873 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Maximus Fight Club - Maximus Fighting Championship Pro 3 Maximus Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2018-08-17 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.2 | 1,409-15 | 972 | -- | Light Heavyweight | GCFC MMA 2018: Golden Coat Fighting Championship Golden Coat Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2018-08-04 | W |
|
KO/TKOKnees & Punches | R11:11 | 22.2 | 1,388+22 | 1,047 | -- | Heavyweight | MMA Pro Ukraine 18: The Way of the Unconquered 4 MMA Pro Ukraine |
| 12 | 2018-07-27 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:40 | 22.2 | 1,360+27 | 1,068 | -- | Light Heavyweight | CSFU / ProFC Ukraine - SPS 5 ProFC Ukraine |
| 11 | 2018-06-30 | W |
|
SubHeel Hook | R10:38 | 22.1 | 1,340+21 | 989 | -- | Light Heavyweight | PPC 7: Battle of Univa 2 PPC Kratos |
| 10 | 2018-06-16 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.0 | 1,288+51 | 1,256 | -- | Open Weight | WWFC 11 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 9 | 2018-05-06 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:57 | 21.9 | 1,275+14 | 846 | -- | Light Heavyweight | PPC 6 - Kratos Cup 6: Young Stars PPC Kratos |
| 8 | 2017-12-02 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R10:28 | 21.5 | 1,255+19 | 892 | -- | Light Heavyweight | RFP 62: Step to Top 5 Real Fight Promotion |
| 7 | 2017-10-08 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:10 | 21.4 | 1,202+53 | 1,058 | -- | Light Heavyweight | RFP 60 / MMA Bushido - West Fight 25 Real Fight Promotion |
| 6 | 2017-07-23 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.1 | 1,260-58 | 1,267 | -- | Light Heavyweight | MMA Pro Ukraine 11: In Memory of Andrey Vasilishin MMA Pro Ukraine |
| 5 | 2017-05-27 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:13 | 21.0 | 1,214+46 | 1,036 | -- | Light Heavyweight | MMA Pro Ukraine 10: Battle in the Fortress 2 MMA Pro Ukraine |
| 4 | 2017-04-01 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R11:17 | 20.8 | 1,153+61 | 1,045 | -- | Light Heavyweight | UPLH - Fighting Together 2 UPLH |
| 3 | 2017-02-25 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R11:32 | 20.7 | 1,083+70 | 1,012 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Professional Fight Union - Bukovel Free Fight Cup 2017 Professional Fight Union |
| 2 | 2015-02-28 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:30 | 18.8 | 1,212-125 | 1,053 | -- | Light Heavyweight | WWFC: Ukraine Selection 6 World Warriors Fighting Championships |
| 1 | 2015-01-31 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:50 | 18.7 | 1,125+88 | 1,125 | -- | Light Heavyweight | WWFC: Ukraine Selection 4 World Warriors Fighting Championships |