Result
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
· Sat 25 Oct 2025 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba
W
Mackenzie Dern
1,743Elo
Unanimous decision
R5 · 5:00
48-47 · 49-46 · 48-47
Strawweight
Title fight
Virna Jandiroba
“Carcará”
1,900Elo
Our model
Market said
The scorecards
Every score reads Mackenzie Dern first; a round is coloured for whoever won it| Judge | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bell | 10-9 | 9-10 | 9-10 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 48-47 |
| Sal D'Amato | 9-10 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 49-46 |
| Chris Lee | 9-10 | 10-9 | 9-10 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 48-47 |
Media
20 of 20 media members scored it for Mackenzie Dern; the most common card was 49-46 to Mackenzie Dern
Fans
72% of fans had Mackenzie Dern winning, from 175 votes; the most picked score was 49-46 to Mackenzie Dern (33%)
Elo counted this as 65% of a win for Mackenzie Dern — from these scorecards.
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
1,743
Elo
1,900
1,145
KO rating
1,221
1,348
Sub rating
1,377
1,371
Dec rating
1,461
Wins by
0
KO/TKO
1
8
Submission
14
7
Decision
7
Losses by
1
KO/TKO
0
0
Submission
0
4
Decision
3
The crowd
35%
Picked by
65%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
-155opened +130
Moneyline
+135opened -150
Method
+550Win by KO+1600
+275Win by sub+500
+215Win by dec+260
+160Win inside+385
How long it went
Over 1.5-514
Under 1.5+338
Over 2.5-277
Under 2.5+200
Decision-130
Inside+100
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Goes the distancethe distance 64% v 53% 7.8% -130 +0.77u
- Virna Jandirobamoneyline 47% v 41% 4.0% +135 -1.00u
- Virna Jandiroba by Decisionmethod: decision 30% v 22% 2.6% +260 -1.00u
- Mackenzie Dern by Decisionmethod: decision 32% v 26% 0.4% +215 won
- Virna Jandiroba by KO/TKOmethod: KO 4% v 5% -1.9% +1600 lost
- Virna Jandiroba inside the distanceinside the distance 16% v 17% -4.5% +385 lost
- Virna Jandiroba by Submissionmethod: sub 12% v 13% -4.5% +500 lost
- Mackenzie Dern by KO/TKOmethod: KO 7% v 12% -8.5% +550 lost
- Mackenzie Dern by Submissionmethod: sub 14% v 21% -12.3% +275 lost
- Mackenzie Dern inside the distanceinside the distance 21% v 32% -17.2% +160 lost
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Mackenzie Dern
15-5 going in · 20 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2026-08-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 33.4 | 1,806+37 | 1,731 | -192 | Strawweight | UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Garry Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2025-10-25 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 32.6 | 1,743+63 | 1,900 | -155 | Strawweight | UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2025-01-11 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R314:56 | 31.8 | 1,651+92 | 1,669 | +164 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 249: Dern vs. Ribas 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2024-08-03 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.4 | 1,624+27 | 1,696 | -117 | Strawweight | UFC on ABC 7: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2024-02-17 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.9 | 1,613+12 | 1,720 | +102 | Strawweight | UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2023-11-11 | L |
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook & Straight Right | R28:15 | 30.6 | 1,739-126 | 1,573 | -210 | Strawweight | UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2023-05-20 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 30.2 | 1,643+96 | 1,677 | -156 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 223: Dern vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2022-10-01 | L |
|
DecisionMajority | R525:00 | 29.5 | 1,660-17 | 1,591 | -228 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 211: Dern vs. Yan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2022-04-09 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 29.0 | 1,659+1 | 1,708 | -120 | Strawweight | UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2021-10-09 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 28.5 | 1,693-34 | 1,733 | -193 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 194: Dern vs. Rodriguez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2021-04-10 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R14:48 | 28.0 | 1,612+80 | 1,584 | +115 | Strawweight | UFC on ABC 2: Vettori vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2020-12-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.7 | 1,568+44 | 1,694 | -173 | Strawweight | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2020-09-19 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R13:44 | 27.5 | 1,491+77 | 1,449 | -160 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 178: Covington vs. Woodley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2020-05-30 | W |
|
SubKneebar | R12:36 | 27.2 | 1,409+82 | 1,387 | -390 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2019-10-12 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.6 | 1,521-112 | 1,420 | -143 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 161: Jedrzejczyk vs. Waterson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 7 | 2018-05-12 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:27 | 25.1 | 1,473+59 | 1,355 | -230 | Open Weight | UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 6 | 2018-03-03 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 24.9 | 1,498-25 | 1,317 | -440 | Strawweight | UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 5 | 2017-12-08 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R314:45 | 24.7 | 1,401+97 | 1,440 | -544 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 26: Maia vs. Niedzwiedz Invicta FC |
| 4 | 2017-10-13 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:55 | 24.6 | 1,365+36 | 1,129 | -1680 | Flyweight | LFA 24: Frincu vs. Millender Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 3 | 2017-03-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.0 | 1,330+35 | 1,230 | -1437 | Strawweight | LFA 6: Junior vs. Rodriguez Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 2 | 2016-10-14 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke-omoplata | R13:25 | 23.6 | 1,224+106 | 1,299 | -492 | Strawweight | Legacy Fighting Championship 61 Legacy FC |
| 1 | 2016-07-22 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.3 | 1,187+37 | 1,096 | -1922 | Strawweight | Legacy Fighting Championship 58 Legacy FC |
Virna Jandiroba
22-3 going in · 25 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 2026-04-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 37.8 | 1,837+6 | 1,627 | -130 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 272: Moicano vs. Duncan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2025-10-25 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 37.4 | 1,900-63 | 1,743 | +135 | Strawweight | UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2025-04-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 36.9 | 1,833+67 | 1,766 | -145 | Strawweight | UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2024-07-20 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R29:48 | 36.1 | 1,757+75 | 1,708 | -125 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 60: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2024-03-30 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.8 | 1,764-7 | 1,689 | +180 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2023-05-06 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.9 | 1,735+29 | 1,618 | +100 | Strawweight | UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2022-05-14 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.0 | 1,664+72 | 1,628 | -202 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 36: Blachowicz vs. Rakic Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2021-10-30 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.4 | 1,726-62 | 1,564 | +145 | Strawweight | UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2021-06-19 | W |
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Arm/shoulder Injury) | R210:00 | 33.1 | 1,650+76 | 1,604 | -145 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 25: Korean Zombie vs. Ige Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2020-12-12 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.5 | 1,694-44 | 1,568 | +148 | Strawweight | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2020-08-15 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R11:44 | 32.2 | 1,662+32 | 1,401 | -290 | Strawweight | UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2019-12-07 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:16 | 31.5 | 1,588+74 | 1,533 | -275 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 7: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2019-04-27 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.9 | 1,640-52 | 1,565 | -125 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 150: Jacare vs. Hermansson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2018-09-01 | W |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R27:23 | 30.3 | 1,581+59 | 1,465 | -335 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 31: Jandiroba vs. Morandin Invicta FC |
| 13 | 2018-03-24 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 29.8 | 1,499+82 | 1,558 | +100 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 28: Mizuki vs. Jandiroba Invicta FC |
| 12 | 2017-12-08 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R12:50 | 29.5 | 1,445+54 | 1,303 | -340 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 26: Maia vs. Niedzwiedz Invicta FC |
| 11 | 2017-04-28 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 28.9 | 1,476-31 | 1,297 | -- | Strawweight | Fight 2 Night 2 Fight 2 Night |
| 10 | 2016-11-26 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R10:46 | 28.5 | 1,468+7 | 924 | -- | Open Weight | Imperium - MMA Pro 12 Imperium |
| 9 | 2016-11-04 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:21 | 28.4 | 1,442+26 | 1,142 | -- | Strawweight | Fight2Night 1 Fight 2 Night |
| 8 | 2016-07-30 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R12:34 | 28.2 | 1,425+17 | 1,036 | -- | -- | Fight On MMA - Fight On 3 Bahia Regional |
| 7 | 2016-04-09 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R28:29 | 27.9 | 1,406+19 | 1,043 | -- | Strawweight | MNA MMA Circuit 2: MNA MMA Circuit 2016 Bahia Regional |
| 6 | 2015-11-14 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.5 | 1,355+51 | 1,319 | -- | Strawweight | O Rei da Arena Fight - The King of Arena Fight 2 O Rei da Arena Fight |
| 5 | 2015-09-12 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:53 | 27.3 | 1,308+48 | 1,137 | -- | Flyweight | Velame Fight Combat 4 Velame Fight Combat |
| 4 | 2015-05-16 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R11:50 | 27.0 | 1,271+36 | 1,039 | -- | Flyweight | Banzay Fight Championship 2 Banzay Fight Championship |
| 3 | 2014-11-15 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:30 | 26.5 | 1,195+76 | 1,151 | -- | Strawweight | MMASH - MMA Super Heroes 7 MMA Super Heroes |
| 2 | 2013-12-21 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R3 | 25.6 | 1,154+41 | 947 | -- | -- | The Iron Fight 2.0 - MMA Tournament Iron Fight MMA |
| 1 | 2013-06-15 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R10:41 | 25.0 | 1,066+88 | 1,066 | -- | Bantamweight | Premier Fight League 10 Premier Fight League |