Result
UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley
· Sat 14 Dec 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Cub Swanson vs Billy Quarantillo
Elo
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litCub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
1,742
Elo
1,645
1,307
KO rating
1,362
1,282
Sub rating
1,212
1,321
Dec rating
1,259
Wins by
13
KO/TKO
9
4
Submission
5
12
Decision
5
Losses by
3
KO/TKO
2
7
Submission
1
4
Decision
4
The crowd
45%
Picked by
55%
Prices
The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlinedCub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
+130opened +135
Moneyline · BetOnline
-150opened -155
+130opened +132
Moneyline · all books
-153opened -158
Method · BetOnline
+400Win by KO+275
+1800Win by sub+500
+300Win by dec+235
+340Win inside+175
How long it went
Over 1.5-275
Under 1.5+200
Over 2.5-145
Under 2.5+115
Decision-115
Inside-115
What the model makes of it
At BetOnline's price Every bet →- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 67% v 56% 7.4% -145 -1.00u
- Goes the distancethe distance 59% v 50% 5.6% -115 -1.00u
- Cub Swanson by Decisionmethod: decision 27% v 20% 1.7% +300 lost
- Billy Quarantillo by Decisionmethod: decision 30% v 24% -0.0% +235 lost
- Cub Swansonmoneyline 43% v 42% -0.3% +130 won
- Cub Swanson by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 4% -2.5% +1800 lost
- Cub Swanson inside the distanceinside the distance 17% v 20% -6.2% +340 won
- Cub Swanson by KO/TKOmethod: KO 14% v 16% -6.2% +400 won
- Billy Quarantillo by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 14% -7.8% +500 lost
- Billy Quarantillo by KO/TKOmethod: KO 18% v 22% -8.6% +275 lost
- Billy Quarantillo inside the distanceinside the distance 27% v 32% -9.4% +175 lost
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstCub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Cub Swanson
29-14 going in · 43 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 2026-04-11 | W |
|
KO/TKOOverhand Right & Right Hook | R14:06 | 42.4 | 1,792+53 | 1,647 | -125 | Featherweight | UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 44 | 2024-12-14 | W |
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R311:36 | 41.1 | 1,742+64 | 1,645 | +130 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 43 | 2024-06-29 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 40.7 | 1,723+18 | 1,728 | +185 | Featherweight | UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 42 | 2023-08-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 39.8 | 1,754-31 | 1,692 | +195 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 51: Luque vs. dos Anjos Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 41 | 2022-10-15 | L |
|
KO/TKOLeg Kicks | R29:19 | 39.0 | 1,867-113 | 1,762 | +175 | Bantamweight | UFC Fight Night 212: Grasso vs. Araujo Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 40 | 2021-12-18 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches & Wheel Kick | R12:12 | 38.1 | 1,760+107 | 1,839 | -182 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 199: Lewis vs. Daukaus Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 39 | 2021-05-01 | L |
|
KO/TKOBody Kick to Ground & Pound | R11:03 | 37.5 | 1,881-121 | 1,741 | +155 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 23: Reyes vs. Prochazka Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 38 | 2020-12-12 | W |
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R26:52 | 37.1 | 1,742+139 | 1,976 | +138 | Featherweight | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 37 | 2019-10-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.9 | 1,690+59 | 1,632 | +148 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 161: Jedrzejczyk vs. Waterson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 36 | 2019-05-04 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 35.5 | 1,700-10 | 1,777 | +130 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 151: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 35 | 2018-08-04 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:15 | 34.8 | 1,783-84 | 1,799 | +270 | Featherweight | UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 34 | 2018-04-21 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.5 | 1,804-20 | 2,031 | +195 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza vs. Lee Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2017-12-09 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R28:22 | 34.1 | 1,880-76 | 1,926 | -105 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2017-04-22 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 33.5 | 1,873+6 | 1,680 | -650 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 108: Swanson vs. Lobov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2016-12-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.1 | 1,825+48 | 1,877 | +185 | Featherweight | UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2016-08-06 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.8 | 1,842-17 | 1,709 | -315 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 92: Rodriguez vs. Caceres Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2016-04-16 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.5 | 1,805+37 | 1,787 | -120 | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 19: Teixeira vs. Evans Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2015-04-18 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R313:58 | 31.5 | 1,896-91 | 1,882 | -150 | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 15: Machida vs. Rockhold Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2014-11-22 | L |
|
SubNeck Crank | R524:56 | 31.1 | 1,952-56 | 2,083 | +185 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 57: Edgar vs. Swanson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2014-06-28 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 30.7 | 1,932+20 | 1,857 | -253 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 44: Swanson vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2013-07-06 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R312:24 | 29.7 | 1,863+70 | 1,790 | -227 | Featherweight | UFC 162: Silva vs. Weidman Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2013-02-16 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.3 | 1,840+22 | 1,761 | -127 | Featherweight | UFC on Fuel TV 7: Barao vs. McDonald Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2012-09-22 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:40 | 28.9 | 1,732+108 | 1,816 | +200 | Featherweight | UFC 152: Jones vs. Belfort Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2012-06-22 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R29:14 | 28.6 | 1,626+106 | 1,701 | +170 | Featherweight | UFC on FX 4: Maynard vs. Guida Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2012-01-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:22 | 28.2 | 1,501+125 | 1,660 | -- | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 2: Evans vs. Davis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2011-11-12 | L |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R27:16 | 28.0 | 1,561-61 | 1,671 | -- | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 1: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2010-11-11 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.0 | 1,573-11 | 1,480 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 52: Faber vs. Mizugaki WEC |
| 18 | 2010-08-18 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.8 | 1,588-16 | 1,691 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 50: Cruz vs. Benavidez 2 WEC |
| 17 | 2009-11-18 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R314:50 | 26.0 | 1,552+36 | 1,318 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 44: Brown vs. Aldo WEC |
| 16 | 2009-06-07 | L |
|
KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punches | R10:08 | 25.6 | 1,621-68 | 1,698 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 41: Brown vs. Faber 2 WEC |
| 15 | 2008-12-03 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.1 | 1,588+32 | 1,438 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 37: Torres vs. Tapia WEC |
| 14 | 2008-02-23 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R3 | 24.3 | 1,569+19 | 1,208 | -- | -- | IFBL - Fight Night 11 Ohio Regional |
| 13 | 2007-12-12 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:35 | 24.1 | 1,718-149 | 1,415 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 31: Faber vs. Curran WEC |
| 12 | 2007-06-03 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.6 | 1,640+78 | 1,601 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 28: WrekCage WEC |
| 11 | 2007-03-24 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R13:17 | 23.4 | 1,578+61 | 1,472 | -- | Featherweight | WEC 26: Las Vegas WEC |
| 10 | 2006-11-17 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R14:51 | 23.0 | 1,554+25 | 1,239 | -- | -- | Beatdown in Bakersfield California Regional |
| 9 | 2006-10-13 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:52 | 22.9 | 1,489+64 | 1,396 | -- | Featherweight | KOTC: BOOYAA King of the Cage |
| 8 | 2006-08-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R210:00 | 22.8 | 1,413+77 | 1,406 | -- | Featherweight | KOTC: Rapid Fire King of the Cage |
| 7 | 2006-03-11 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 22.4 | 1,371+42 | 1,170 | -- | Lightweight | TC 13: Anarchy Total Combat |
| 6 | 2005-12-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:21 | 22.1 | 1,326+45 | 1,140 | -- | Lightweight | KOTC 63: Final Conflict King of the Cage |
| 5 | 2005-09-23 | W |
|
KO/TKOCut | R27:52 | 21.9 | 1,254+71 | 1,190 | -- | Bantamweight | KOTC 61: Flash Point King of the Cage |
| 4 | 2005-08-05 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:59 | 21.8 | 1,136+118 | 1,264 | -- | Bantamweight | KOTC 58: Prime Time King of the Cage |
| 3 | 2005-01-29 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 21.2 | 1,046+91 | 1,058 | -- | -- | Total Combat 7 Total Combat |
| 2 | 2004-10-24 | W |
|
KO/TKOSubmission to Punches | R12:28 | 21.0 | 957+89 | 962 | -- | -- | Total Combat 6 Total Combat |
| 1 | 2004-07-25 | L |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R10:30 | 20.7 | 1,044-88 | 1,044 | -- | Lightweight | Total Combat 4 Total Combat |
Billy Quarantillo
19-7 going in · 31 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2026-08-08 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 37.7 | 1,562-1 | 1,783 | +146 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 284: Gamrot vs. Salkilld Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2024-12-14 | L |
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R311:36 | 36.0 | 1,645-64 | 1,742 | -153 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2024-03-23 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:50 | 35.3 | 1,756-111 | 1,660 | +100 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2023-08-05 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.7 | 1,721+35 | 1,768 | -171 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 50: Sandhagen vs. Font Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2023-04-15 | L |
|
KO/TKOKnee | R12:37 | 34.3 | 1,815-94 | 1,790 | -172 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2022-12-10 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches (Standing TKO) | R29:30 | 34.0 | 1,749+66 | 1,660 | -173 | Featherweight | UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2021-11-06 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.9 | 1,782-30 | 1,797 | +163 | Featherweight | UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2021-07-17 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches From Back Control | R313:40 | 32.6 | 1,695+88 | 1,695 | +138 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 26: Makhachev vs. Moises Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2020-12-12 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.0 | 1,810-115 | 1,672 | -164 | Featherweight | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2020-09-12 | W |
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R310:07 | 31.8 | 1,774+35 | 1,536 | -250 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 177: Waterson vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2020-05-30 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.5 | 1,786-12 | 1,732 | -135 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2019-12-07 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R28:18 | 31.0 | 1,747+39 | 1,532 | -327 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 7: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2019-07-23 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R310:22 | 30.6 | 1,672+75 | 1,621 | +200 | Featherweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Season 3, Episode 5 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 20 | 2019-02-23 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R29:32 | 30.2 | 1,611+61 | 1,502 | -- | Featherweight | KOTC: Combat Zone King of the Cage |
| 19 | 2017-08-19 | W |
|
KO/TKORef Stoppage From Strikes | R11:00 | 28.7 | 1,587+41 | 1,381 | -- | Lightweight | V3 Fights 61: Quarantillo vs. Reynolds V3 Fights |
| 18 | 2017-02-25 | W |
|
KO/TKORetirement | R210:00 | 28.2 | 1,515+72 | 1,451 | -- | Lightweight | KOTC: Raw Deal King of the Cage |
| 17 | 2016-09-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.8 | 1,451+64 | 1,468 | -- | Featherweight | KOTC: National Dispute King of the Cage |
| 16 | 2016-04-01 | L |
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R12:51 | 27.3 | 1,586-135 | 1,374 | -- | Featherweight | Absolute Fighting Championship 25 Absolute Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2016-01-29 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,542+45 | 1,482 | -- | Lightweight | Absolute Fighting Champonship 24 Absolute Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2015-08-03 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R210:00 | 26.7 | 1,634-93 | 1,577 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Opening Round, Day 4 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 13 | 2015-07-17 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:53 | 26.6 | 1,585+50 | 1,425 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter |
| 12 | 2015-02-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R25:10 | 26.2 | 1,477+108 | 1,558 | -- | Featherweight | Strike Off 4 Strike Off Fighting Championships |
| 11 | 2014-09-27 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R312:13 | 25.8 | 1,358+119 | 1,490 | -- | Featherweight | Glory Fights: Strike Off 2 Strike Off Fighting Championships |
| 10 | 2014-07-11 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R28:34 | 25.6 | 1,268+89 | 1,276 | -- | Lightweight | RFC 31: New Breed Real Fighting Championships |
| 9 | 2014-06-07 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R10:49 | 25.5 | 1,219+50 | 1,058 | -- | -- | Glory Fights: Strike Off Strike Off Fighting Championships |
| 8 | 2013-11-08 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.9 | 1,286-67 | 1,257 | -- | Lightweight | RFC 29: Heavy Hitters Real Fighting Championships |
| 7 | 2013-07-26 | W |
|
SubTriangle Choke | R11:45 | 24.6 | 1,215+71 | 1,148 | -- | Featherweight | RFC 28: Battle of the Bay Real Fighting Championships |
| 6 | 2013-02-15 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 24.2 | 1,205+10 | 1,201 | -- | Featherweight | Fight Time 13: MMA Kings Fight Time |
| 5 | 2012-03-10 | W |
|
Sub | -- | 23.3 | 1,126+79 | 1,196 | -- | -- | Florida Regional Florida Regional am |
| 4 | 2012-02-04 | W |
|
Decision | --15:00 | 23.2 | 1,081+46 | 1,114 | -- | -- | World Cage Warriors World Cage Warriors am |
| 3 | 2011-10-03 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 22.8 | 1,152-72 | 1,001 | -- | Lightweight | Defiant 7 Defiant FC am |
| 2 | 2011-03-05 | W |
|
KO/TKOReferee Stoppage (Strikes) | R11:28 | 22.2 | 1,083+69 | 1,102 | -- | -- | Raging Wolf 11: Mayhem in the Mist 6 Raging Wolf MMA am |
| 1 | 2010-07-17 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R39:00 | 21.6 | 1,107-24 | 1,022 | -- | -- | Raging Wolf 8: Cage Supremacy Raging Wolf MMA am |