Result UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley · Sat 14 Dec 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Cub Swanson vs Billy Quarantillo

Elo
64%36%
Market said
42%58%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Cub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
1,742 Elo 1,645
1,307 KO rating 1,362
1,282 Sub rating 1,212
1,321 Dec rating 1,259
Wins by
13 KO/TKO 9
4 Submission 5
12 Decision 5
Losses by
3 KO/TKO 2
7 Submission 1
4 Decision 4
The crowd
45% Picked by 55%

Prices

The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlined
Cub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
+130opened +135 Moneyline · BetOnline -150opened -155
+130opened +132 Moneyline · all books -153opened -158
Method · BetOnline
+400Win by KO+275
+1800Win by sub+500
+300Win by dec+235
+340Win inside+175
How long it went
Over 1.5-275 Under 1.5+200 Over 2.5-145 Under 2.5+115 Decision-115 Inside-115

What the model makes of it

At BetOnline's price Every bet →
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 67% v 56% 7.4% -145 -1.00u
  • Goes the distancethe distance 59% v 50% 5.6% -115 -1.00u
  • Cub Swanson by Decisionmethod: decision 27% v 20% 1.7% +300 lost
  • Billy Quarantillo by Decisionmethod: decision 30% v 24% -0.0% +235 lost
  • Cub Swansonmoneyline 43% v 42% -0.3% +130 won
  • Cub Swanson by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 4% -2.5% +1800 lost
  • Cub Swanson inside the distanceinside the distance 17% v 20% -6.2% +340 won
  • Cub Swanson by KO/TKOmethod: KO 14% v 16% -6.2% +400 won
  • Billy Quarantillo by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 14% -7.8% +500 lost
  • Billy Quarantillo by KO/TKOmethod: KO 18% v 22% -8.6% +275 lost
  • Billy Quarantillo inside the distanceinside the distance 27% v 32% -9.4% +175 lost

Common opponents

Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent first
Cub SwansonBilly Quarantillo

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Cub Swanson 29-14 going in · 43 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
45 2026-04-11 W Nate Landwehr KO/TKOOverhand Right & Right Hook R14:06 42.4 1,792+53 1,647 -125 Featherweight UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2024-12-14 W Billy Quarantillo this fight KO/TKORight Cross R311:36 41.1 1,742+64 1,645 +130 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2024-06-29 L Andre Fili DecisionSplit R315:00 40.7 1,723+18 1,728 +185 Featherweight UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2023-08-12 W Hakeem Dawodu DecisionUnanimous R315:00 39.8 1,754-31 1,692 +195 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 51: Luque vs. dos Anjos Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2022-10-15 L Jonathan Martinez KO/TKOLeg Kicks R29:19 39.0 1,867-113 1,762 +175 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 212: Grasso vs. Araujo Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2021-12-18 W Darren Elkins KO/TKOPunches & Wheel Kick R12:12 38.1 1,760+107 1,839 -182 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 199: Lewis vs. Daukaus Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2021-05-01 L Giga Chikadze KO/TKOBody Kick to Ground & Pound R11:03 37.5 1,881-121 1,741 +155 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 23: Reyes vs. Prochazka Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2020-12-12 W Daniel Pineda KO/TKORight Cross R26:52 37.1 1,742+139 1,976 +138 Featherweight UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2019-10-12 W Kron Gracie DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.9 1,690+59 1,632 +148 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 161: Jedrzejczyk vs. Waterson Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2019-05-04 L Shane Burgos DecisionSplit R315:00 35.5 1,700-10 1,777 +130 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 151: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2018-08-04 L Renato Moicano SubRear Naked Choke R14:15 34.8 1,783-84 1,799 +270 Featherweight UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2018-04-21 L Frankie Edgar DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.5 1,804-20 2,031 +195 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza vs. Lee Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2017-12-09 L Brian Ortega SubGuillotine Choke R28:22 34.1 1,880-76 1,926 -105 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2017-04-22 W Artem Lobov DecisionUnanimous R525:00 33.5 1,873+6 1,680 -650 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 108: Swanson vs. Lobov Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2016-12-10 W Doo Ho Choi DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.1 1,825+48 1,877 +185 Featherweight UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2016-08-06 W Tatsuya Kawajiri DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.8 1,842-17 1,709 -315 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 92: Rodriguez vs. Caceres Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2016-04-16 W Hacran Dias DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.5 1,805+37 1,787 -120 Featherweight UFC on Fox 19: Teixeira vs. Evans Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2015-04-18 L Max Holloway SubGuillotine Choke R313:58 31.5 1,896-91 1,882 -150 Featherweight UFC on Fox 15: Machida vs. Rockhold Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2014-11-22 L Frankie Edgar SubNeck Crank R524:56 31.1 1,952-56 2,083 +185 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 57: Edgar vs. Swanson Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2014-06-28 W Jeremy Stephens DecisionUnanimous R525:00 30.7 1,932+20 1,857 -253 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 44: Swanson vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2013-07-06 W Dennis Siver KO/TKOPunches R312:24 29.7 1,863+70 1,790 -227 Featherweight UFC 162: Silva vs. Weidman Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2013-02-16 W Dustin Poirier DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.3 1,840+22 1,761 -127 Featherweight UFC on Fuel TV 7: Barao vs. McDonald Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2012-09-22 W Charles Oliveira KO/TKOPunches R12:40 28.9 1,732+108 1,816 +200 Featherweight UFC 152: Jones vs. Belfort Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2012-06-22 W Ross Pearson KO/TKOPunches R29:14 28.6 1,626+106 1,701 +170 Featherweight UFC on FX 4: Maynard vs. Guida Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2012-01-28 W George Roop KO/TKOPunches R27:22 28.2 1,501+125 1,660 -- Featherweight UFC on Fox 2: Evans vs. Davis Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2011-11-12 L Ricardo Lamas SubArm Triangle Choke R27:16 28.0 1,561-61 1,671 -- Featherweight UFC on Fox 1: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2010-11-11 W Mackens Semerzier DecisionSplit R315:00 27.0 1,573-11 1,480 -- Featherweight WEC 52: Faber vs. Mizugaki WEC
18 2010-08-18 L Chad Mendes DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.8 1,588-16 1,691 -- Featherweight WEC 50: Cruz vs. Benavidez 2 WEC
17 2009-11-18 W John Franchi SubGuillotine Choke R314:50 26.0 1,552+36 1,318 -- Featherweight WEC 44: Brown vs. Aldo WEC
16 2009-06-07 L José Aldo KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punches R10:08 25.6 1,621-68 1,698 -- Featherweight WEC 41: Brown vs. Faber 2 WEC
15 2008-12-03 W Hiroyuki Takaya DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.1 1,588+32 1,438 -- Featherweight WEC 37: Torres vs. Tapia WEC
14 2008-02-23 W Donny Walker SubRear-Naked Choke R3 24.3 1,569+19 1,208 -- -- IFBL - Fight Night 11 Ohio Regional
13 2007-12-12 L Jens Pulver SubGuillotine Choke R10:35 24.1 1,718-149 1,415 -- Featherweight WEC 31: Faber vs. Curran WEC
12 2007-06-03 W Micah Miller DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.6 1,640+78 1,601 -- Featherweight WEC 28: WrekCage WEC
11 2007-03-24 W Tommy Lee SubGuillotine Choke R13:17 23.4 1,578+61 1,472 -- Featherweight WEC 26: Las Vegas WEC
10 2006-11-17 W Charles Kim KO/TKOPunch R14:51 23.0 1,554+25 1,239 -- -- Beatdown in Bakersfield California Regional
9 2006-10-13 W Charlie Valencia KO/TKOPunches R14:52 22.9 1,489+64 1,396 -- Featherweight KOTC: BOOYAA King of the Cage
8 2006-08-04 W Richard Montano DecisionUnanimous R210:00 22.8 1,413+77 1,406 -- Featherweight KOTC: Rapid Fire King of the Cage
7 2006-03-11 W Shannon Gugerty KO/TKOPunches R2 22.4 1,371+42 1,170 -- Lightweight TC 13: Anarchy Total Combat
6 2005-12-02 W Fernando Arreola KO/TKOPunches R13:21 22.1 1,326+45 1,140 -- Lightweight KOTC 63: Final Conflict King of the Cage
5 2005-09-23 W Mike Corey KO/TKOCut R27:52 21.9 1,254+71 1,190 -- Bantamweight KOTC 61: Flash Point King of the Cage
4 2005-08-05 W Armando Sanchez KO/TKOPunches R11:59 21.8 1,136+118 1,264 -- Bantamweight KOTC 58: Prime Time King of the Cage
3 2005-01-29 W Martin Bautista SubRear-Naked Choke R2 21.2 1,046+91 1,058 -- -- Total Combat 7 Total Combat
2 2004-10-24 W Joe Morales KO/TKOSubmission to Punches R12:28 21.0 957+89 962 -- -- Total Combat 6 Total Combat
1 2004-07-25 L Shannon Gugerty SubRear-Naked Choke R10:30 20.7 1,044-88 1,044 -- Lightweight Total Combat 4 Total Combat
Billy Quarantillo 19-7 going in · 31 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
33 2026-08-08 L Diego Ferreira DecisionUnanimous R315:00 37.7 1,562-1 1,783 +146 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 284: Gamrot vs. Salkilld Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2024-12-14 L Cub Swanson this fight KO/TKORight Cross R311:36 36.0 1,645-64 1,742 -153 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2024-03-23 L Youssef Zalal SubRear Naked Choke R26:50 35.3 1,756-111 1,660 +100 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2023-08-05 W Damon Jackson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.7 1,721+35 1,768 -171 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 50: Sandhagen vs. Font Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2023-04-15 L Edson Barboza KO/TKOKnee R12:37 34.3 1,815-94 1,790 -172 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2022-12-10 W Alexander Hernandez KO/TKOPunches (Standing TKO) R29:30 34.0 1,749+66 1,660 -173 Featherweight UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2021-11-06 L Shane Burgos DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.9 1,782-30 1,797 +163 Featherweight UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2021-07-17 W Gabriel Benítez KO/TKOPunches From Back Control R313:40 32.6 1,695+88 1,695 +138 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 26: Makhachev vs. Moises Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2020-12-12 L Gavin Tucker DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.0 1,810-115 1,672 -164 Featherweight UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2020-09-12 W Kyle Nelson KO/TKORight Cross R310:07 31.8 1,774+35 1,536 -250 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 177: Waterson vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2020-05-30 W Spike Carlyle DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.5 1,786-12 1,732 -135 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2019-12-07 W Jacob Kilburn SubTriangle Choke R28:18 31.0 1,747+39 1,532 -327 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 7: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2019-07-23 W Kamuela Kirk KO/TKOPunches R310:22 30.6 1,672+75 1,621 +200 Featherweight Dana White's Contender Series - Season 3, Episode 5 Dana White's Contender Series
20 2019-02-23 W Adrian Vilaca KO/TKOKO/TKO R29:32 30.2 1,611+61 1,502 -- Featherweight KOTC: Combat Zone King of the Cage
19 2017-08-19 W Eric Reynolds KO/TKORef Stoppage From Strikes R11:00 28.7 1,587+41 1,381 -- Lightweight V3 Fights 61: Quarantillo vs. Reynolds V3 Fights
18 2017-02-25 W Ryan Fillingame KO/TKORetirement R210:00 28.2 1,515+72 1,451 -- Lightweight KOTC: Raw Deal King of the Cage
17 2016-09-24 W Matthew DiMarcantonio DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.8 1,451+64 1,468 -- Featherweight KOTC: National Dispute King of the Cage
16 2016-04-01 L Michel Quiñones KO/TKOHead Kick R12:51 27.3 1,586-135 1,374 -- Featherweight Absolute Fighting Championship 25 Absolute Fighting Championship
15 2016-01-29 W Marc Stevens DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.1 1,542+45 1,482 -- Lightweight Absolute Fighting Champonship 24 Absolute Fighting Championship
14 2015-08-03 L Saul Rogers DecisionUnanimous R210:00 26.7 1,634-93 1,577 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Opening Round, Day 4 The Ultimate Fighter
13 2015-07-17 W Brandon Ricetti KO/TKOPunches R27:53 26.6 1,585+50 1,425 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 22 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter
12 2015-02-28 W Khama Worthy KO/TKOKO/TKO R25:10 26.2 1,477+108 1,558 -- Featherweight Strike Off 4 Strike Off Fighting Championships
11 2014-09-27 W Terrell Hobbs SubTriangle Choke R312:13 25.8 1,358+119 1,490 -- Featherweight Glory Fights: Strike Off 2 Strike Off Fighting Championships
10 2014-07-11 W Isaac Figueroa SubRear Naked Choke R28:34 25.6 1,268+89 1,276 -- Lightweight RFC 31: New Breed Real Fighting Championships
9 2014-06-07 W Sandro da Silva SubArmbar R10:49 25.5 1,219+50 1,058 -- -- Glory Fights: Strike Off Strike Off Fighting Championships
8 2013-11-08 L JP Reese DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.9 1,286-67 1,257 -- Lightweight RFC 29: Heavy Hitters Real Fighting Championships
7 2013-07-26 W Howard Reece SubTriangle Choke R11:45 24.6 1,215+71 1,148 -- Featherweight RFC 28: Battle of the Bay Real Fighting Championships
6 2013-02-15 W John De Jesus DecisionSplit R315:00 24.2 1,205+10 1,201 -- Featherweight Fight Time 13: MMA Kings Fight Time
5 2012-03-10 W Donald Bush Sub -- 23.3 1,126+79 1,196 -- -- Florida Regional Florida Regional am
4 2012-02-04 W Tony Leone Decision --15:00 23.2 1,081+46 1,114 -- -- World Cage Warriors World Cage Warriors am
3 2011-10-03 L Pedro Verdejo DecisionUnanimous R39:00 22.8 1,152-72 1,001 -- Lightweight Defiant 7 Defiant FC am
2 2011-03-05 W Jesse Billinghurst KO/TKOReferee Stoppage (Strikes) R11:28 22.2 1,083+69 1,102 -- -- Raging Wolf 11: Mayhem in the Mist 6 Raging Wolf MMA am
1 2010-07-17 L Josh Lange DecisionSplit R39:00 21.6 1,107-24 1,022 -- -- Raging Wolf 8: Cage Supremacy Raging Wolf MMA am