Result
UFC Fight Night 253: Kape vs. Almabayev
· Sat 1 Mar 2025 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Danny Silva vs Lucas Almeida
W
Danny Silva
“El Puma”
9-1 · -250
1,549Elo
Split decision
R3 · 5:00
29-28 · 28-29 · 29-28
Featherweight
Lucas Almeida
15-3 · +209
1,636Elo
Elo
Market said
The scorecards
Every score reads Danny Silva first; a round is coloured for whoever won it| Judge | R1 | R2 | R3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bell | 10-9 | 10-9 | 9-10 | 29-28 |
| Anthony Maness | 10-9 | 9-10 | 9-10 | 28-29 |
| Ron McCarthy | 10-9 | 10-9 | 9-10 | 29-28 |
Media
8 of 9 media members scored it for Danny Silva; the most common card was 29-28 to Danny Silva
Fans
81% of fans had Danny Silva winning, from 29 votes; the most picked score was 29-28 to Danny Silva (81%)
Elo counted this as 61% of a win for Danny Silva — from these scorecards.
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litDanny SilvaLucas Almeida
1,549
Elo
1,636
1,248
KO rating
1,268
1,140
Sub rating
1,220
1,200
Dec rating
1,291
Wins by
5
KO/TKO
9
0
Submission
5
4
Decision
1
Losses by
0
KO/TKO
1
0
Submission
1
1
Decision
1
The crowd
86%
Picked by
14%
Prices
The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlinedDanny SilvaLucas Almeida
-250opened -110
Moneyline · BetOnline
+210opened -110
-250opened -195
Moneyline · all books
+209opened +158
Method · BetOnline
+250Win by KO+350
+650Win by sub+1400
+175Win by dec+500
+145Win inside+230
How long it went
Over 1.5-215
Under 1.5+175
Over 2.5+100
Under 2.5-124
Decision+140
Inside-170
What the model makes of it
At BetOnline's price Every bet →- Goes the distancethe distance 46% v 39% 4.0% +140 +1.40u
- Over 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 72% v 66% 3.8% -215 +0.47u
- Danny Silva by Decisionmethod: decision 40% v 29% 3.6% +175 +1.75u
- Danny Silvamoneyline 70% v 69% -1.4% -250 won
- Lucas Almeida by Decisionmethod: decision 15% v 13% -1.9% +500 lost
- Lucas Almeida by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 5% -3.4% +1400 lost
- Danny Silva by KO/TKOmethod: KO 24% v 23% -4.2% +250 lost
- Danny Silva by Submissionmethod: sub 6% v 11% -7.6% +650 lost
- Lucas Almeida by KO/TKOmethod: KO 12% v 18% -10.3% +350 lost
- Danny Silva inside the distanceinside the distance 30% v 33% -10.7% +145 lost
- Lucas Almeida inside the distanceinside the distance 15% v 24% -15.1% +230 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Danny Silva
9-1 going in · 17 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 2026-03-21 | W |
 Kurtis Campbell
|
KO/TKOStraight Right | R25:31 | 29.1 | 1,547+121 | 1,687 | +200 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 270: Evloev vs. Murphy Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2025-08-02 | L |
 Kevin Vallejos
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.5 | 1,589-42 | 1,701 | +335 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 71: Taira vs. Park Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2025-03-01 | W |
Lucas Almeida
this fight
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 28.1 | 1,549+40 | 1,636 | -250 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 253: Kape vs. Almabayev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2024-03-16 | W |
 Josh Culibao
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,537+12 | 1,592 | +162 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 239: Tuivasa vs. Tybura Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2023-09-26 | W |
Angel Pacheco
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.7 | 1,468+69 | 1,504 | -203 | Featherweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2023: Week 8 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 15 | 2023-06-23 | W |
 Alex Valentino Arteaga
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:13 | 26.4 | 1,429+39 | 1,214 | -- | Lightweight | LFA 161: Davis vs. Siqueira Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 14 | 2022-12-09 | L |
Canaan Kawaihae
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 25.9 | 1,460-31 | 1,422 | -131 | Featherweight | LFA 148: Leyva vs. Brown Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 13 | 2022-07-29 | W |
Elijah Leggett
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.5 | 1,386+74 | 1,444 | +140 | Featherweight | LFA 137: Gibson vs. Amil Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 12 | 2022-04-14 | W |
Geoffrey Mellor
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.2 | 1,365+21 | 1,201 | -- | Featherweight | FCOC 71 Fight Club OC |
| 11 | 2020-02-20 | W |
Dennis Fisher
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R28:37 | 23.1 | 1,361+26 | 1,057 | -- | Featherweight | FCOC 62 Fight Club OC |
| 10 | 2019-09-20 | W |
 Alejandro Corrales
|
KO/TKOPunches | R312:08 | 22.6 | 1,292+69 | 1,217 | -- | Featherweight | Combate 44: Mexicali Combate Americas |
| 9 | 2019-08-22 | W |
Paul Amaro
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R28:09 | 22.6 | 1,268+24 | 950 | -- | Featherweight | Fight Club OC Fight Club OC |
| 8 | 2019-05-25 | W |
Johnny Soto
|
KO/TKOBody Shot | R314:15 | 22.3 | 1,159+109 | 1,248 | -- | Featherweight | Cage Fury Fighting Championships 75 Cage Fury FC |
| 7 | 2019-01-19 | W |
Aaron Winston
|
DecisionUnanimous | R36:00 | 22.0 | 1,113+45 | 1,117 | -- | Featherweight | Knockout MMA: Cruz vs. Wilson-Thephsourinthone Knockout Promotions am |
| 6 | 2018-12-07 | L |
Xavier Vines
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 21.9 | 1,163-50 | 1,134 | -- | Featherweight | Hendo Sports Management - Fight Night 2 Hendo Sports Management am |
| 5 | 2018-08-25 | L |
Geoffrey Mellor
|
SubSubmission | R38:04 | 21.6 | 1,247-84 | 1,148 | -- | Featherweight | SSP Fight Night 41 Spar Star Promotions am |
| 4 | 2018-06-16 | W |
Nick Patea
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 21.4 | 1,206+41 | 1,186 | -- | Featherweight | Spar Star Promotions - SSP Fight Night 40 Spar Star Promotions am |
| 3 | 2018-03-31 | W |
Lupe Miranda
|
DecisionUnanimous | R36:00 | 21.2 | 1,173+33 | 1,112 | -- | Featherweight | Spar Star Promotions - SSP Fight Night 39 Spar Star Promotions am |
| 2 | 2018-02-24 | W |
Larry Sosa
|
KO/TKOPunches | R35:33 | 21.1 | 1,126+47 | 1,025 | -- | Featherweight | I.E. Fight Night 2: Aggression Inland Empire Fight Night am |
| 1 | 2017-12-16 | W |
Garik Mitchell
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R22:50 | 20.9 | 1,059+66 | 1,063 | -- | Featherweight | Archangel Worldwide: The Law of the Fist 2 Archangel Worldwide MMA am |
Lucas Almeida
15-3 going in · 18 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 2026-07-27 | L |
 Ilay Barzilay
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.5 | 1,489-50 | 1,526 | -- | Catchweight | Gordon Fight Nights - GFN 1: Israel vs. The World Germany Regional |
| 20 | 2025-10-11 | L |
Michael Aswell
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:42 | 34.7 | 1,595-106 | 1,519 | +204 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 261: Oliveira vs. Gamrot Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2025-03-01 | L |
Danny Silva
this fight
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 34.1 | 1,636-40 | 1,549 | +209 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 253: Kape vs. Almabayev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2024-06-15 | W |
Timmy Cuamba
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.4 | 1,587+49 | 1,583 | +162 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 58: Perez vs. Taira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2023-12-16 | L |
Andre Fili
|
KO/TKORight Hook to Ground Strikes | R13:32 | 32.9 | 1,662-75 | 1,713 | +140 | Featherweight | UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2023-06-17 | L |
Pat Sabatini
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R26:48 | 32.4 | 1,741-79 | 1,774 | +159 | Featherweight | UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2022-06-04 | W |
Michael Trizano
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground Strikes | R310:55 | 31.4 | 1,680+62 | 1,575 | +185 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 207: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2021-11-28 | W |
Ítalo Trindade
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R12:07 | 30.9 | 1,643+37 | 1,414 | -- | Lightweight | Jungle Fight 103: 18th Anniversary Jungle Fight |
| 13 | 2021-09-28 | L |
Daniel Zellhuber
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.7 | 1,677-33 | 1,660 | +206 | Lightweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2021: Week 5 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 12 | 2019-11-30 | W |
Nico Cocuccio
|
KO/TKOFlying Knee | R314:10 | 28.9 | 1,678+28 | 1,391 | -- | Lightweight | Jungle Fight 99 Jungle Fight |
| 11 | 2018-12-01 | W |
Bruno Tavares
|
KO/TKORetirement | R521:27 | 27.9 | 1,607+71 | 1,541 | -- | Lightweight | Max Fight 21 Max Fight |
| 10 | 2018-10-27 | W |
Edilson Faria
|
SubTriangle Choke | R10:50 | 27.8 | 1,601+6 | 1,010 | -- | Welterweight | LLC - Leoes da Luta 5 LeLeo Code MMA |
| 9 | 2018-08-18 | W |
Guilherme Miranda
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R12:22 | 27.6 | 1,551+50 | 1,392 | -- | Lightweight | Max Fight 20 Max Fight |
| 8 | 2018-06-10 | W |
Maicon Ribeiro
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R11:00 | 27.4 | 1,544+7 | 991 | -- | Lightweight | PFC - Predador FC 41 Predador FC |
| 7 | 2018-05-19 | W |
Cleber Santana
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R10:30 | 27.3 | 1,539+5 | 921 | -- | -- | Eco Combat Championship 20 Eco Combat Championship |
| 6 | 2017-08-26 | W |
Claudiere Freitas
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:49 | 26.6 | 1,454+85 | 1,445 | -- | Lightweight | Max Fight 19 Max Fight |
| 5 | 2016-07-30 | W |
Diego Barbosa
|
KO/TKOPunch | R28:58 | 25.5 | 1,361+95 | 1,390 | -- | Featherweight | Jungle Fight 89 Jungle Fight |
| 4 | 2016-05-21 | W |
Diogo Silva
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:26 | 25.4 | 1,265+96 | 1,299 | -- | Featherweight | Jungle Fight 87 Jungle Fight |
| 3 | 2016-01-23 | W |
Felipe Castro
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:59 | 25.0 | 1,177+88 | 1,180 | -- | Featherweight | Jungle Fight 85 Jungle Fight |
| 2 | 2015-03-14 | W |
Luis Henrique Nogueira
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:58 | 24.2 | 1,121+56 | 988 | -- | Open Weight | Evolution of Fighters 8 Evolution of Fighters |
| 1 | 2014-05-31 | W |
Anevilsson Souza Santos
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 23.4 | 1,034+88 | 1,034 | -- | Lightweight | Combat Night 1 Combat Night |