Result
UFC Fight Night 281: Du Plessis vs. Usman
· Sat 18 Jul 2026 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Felipe Franco vs Levi Rodrigues
W
Felipe Franco
“Negão”
10-2 · +122
1,435Elo
KO/TKO
R2 · 1:40
Light Heavyweight
Levi Rodrigues
“Baby Monster”
5-0 (2 NC) · -142
1,502Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litFelipe FrancoLevi Rodrigues
1,435
Elo
1,502
1,365
KO rating
1,388
1,096
Sub rating
1,024
1,019
Dec rating
1,085
Wins by
6
KO/TKO
5
4
Submission
0
0
Decision
0
Losses by
0
KO/TKO
0
1
Submission
0
1
Decision
0
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedFelipe FrancoLevi Rodrigues
+122opened -110
Moneyline
-142opened -110
Method
+400Win by KO-110
+475Win by sub+2000
+500Win by dec+700
+200Win inside-120
How long it went
Over 1.5+110
Under 1.5-130
Over 2.5+205
Under 2.5-281
Decision+300
Inside-400
What the betting model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Under 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 58% v 54% 1.6% -130 won
- Felipe Francomoneyline 44% v 42% -0.9% +122 won
- Felipe Franco inside the distanceinside the distance 32% v 28% -1.0% +200 won
- Felipe Franco by KO/TKOmethod: KO 19% v 16% -1.0% +400 won
- Goes the distancethe distance 23% v 23% -1.6% +300 lost
- Levi Rodrigues Jr. by Decisionmethod: decision 10% v 10% -2.2% +700 lost
- Levi Rodrigues Jr. by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 4% -3.0% +2000 lost
- Felipe Franco by Submissionmethod: sub 13% v 14% -4.1% +475 lost
- Felipe Franco by Decisionmethod: decision 12% v 13% -4.9% +500 lost
- Levi Rodrigues Jr. by KO/TKOmethod: KO 44% v 42% -8.6% -110 lost
- Levi Rodrigues Jr. inside the distanceinside the distance 46% v 47% -9.0% -120 lost
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstFelipe FrancoLevi Rodrigues
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Felipe Franco
10-2 going in · 12 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2026-07-18 | W |
Levi Rodrigues
this fight
|
KO/TKOPunches From Full Mount | R26:40 | 25.5 | 1,435+104 | 1,502 | +122 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 281: Du Plessis vs. Usman Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2026-03-21 | L |
 Mario Pinto
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.2 | 1,436+0 | 1,748 | +600 | Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 270: Evloev vs. Murphy Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2026-02-07 | W |
Douglas Felipe Santos
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:07 | 25.0 | 1,418+17 | 1,036 | -- | Light Heavyweight | MFC 10: Mamute Fight Champion Mamute Fight Champion |
| 10 | 2025-12-11 | W |
Kleberson Tavares
|
KO/TKOPunch to Ground & Pound | R10:32 | 24.9 | 1,310+108 | 1,394 | -- | Heavyweight | Coliseu Extreme Fight 14 Coliseu Extreme Fight |
| 9 | 2025-09-09 | L |
 Freddy Vidal
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R314:48 | 24.6 | 1,399-89 | 1,392 | -470 | Light Heavyweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2025: Week 5 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 8 | 2024-08-31 | W |
Murilo Magalhães
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R11:10 | 23.6 | 1,353+47 | 1,178 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Qualify Combat 14 Qualify Combat |
| 7 | 2024-07-13 | W |
luiz henrique
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R12:20 | 23.5 | 1,336+17 | 946 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Penedo Fight Night 3 Penedo Fight Night |
| 6 | 2024-06-01 | W |
Nilton dos Santos
|
KO/TKORetirement | R15:00 | 23.4 | 1,279+57 | 1,154 | -- | Heavyweight | JuaFight 1 JuaFight |
| 5 | 2024-04-28 | W |
Lucas Nascimento
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:30 | 23.3 | 1,253+26 | 950 | -- | Heavyweight | Demo Fight 19 Demo Fight |
| 4 | 2024-01-27 | W |
Milkson Miranda
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:30 | 23.0 | 1,225+27 | 933 | -- | Heavyweight | Demo Fight 18 Demo Fight |
| 3 | 2023-08-18 | W |
Ivonilson Dias
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R14:04 | 22.6 | 1,144+81 | 1,118 | -- | Heavyweight | Candeias MMA Experience Candeias MMA Experience |
| 2 | 2023-03-25 | W |
Rubens Santos
|
SubSubmission | R12:30 | 22.2 | 1,073+71 | 1,008 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Demo Fight 16 Demo Fight |
| 1 | 2022-11-05 | W |
Benicio Dias
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:28 | 21.8 | 1,025+48 | 857 | -- | Middleweight | WS Fighting 6 WS Fighting |
Levi Rodrigues
5-0 (2 NC) going in · 12 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2026-08-29 | L |
 Ce Liu
|
KO/TKORight Hook | R14:26 | 29.9 | 1,398-128 | 1,224 | +137 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 286: Nurmagomedov vs. Song Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2026-07-18 | L |
Felipe Franco
this fight
|
KO/TKOPunches From Full Mount | R26:40 | 29.8 | 1,502-104 | 1,435 | -142 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 281: Du Plessis vs. Usman Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2025-10-14 | NC |
Freddy Vidal
|
KO/TKOKnees and Hammerfists | R13:20 | 29.0 | 1,502+0 | 1,482 | -154 | Light Heavyweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2025: Week 10 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 11 | 2025-09-05 | W |
Alan Ribeiro
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook | R12:47 | 28.9 | 1,459+43 | 1,264 | -130 | Light Heavyweight | LFA 216: Silva vs. Bertolso Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 10 | 2025-04-26 | W |
Jhonny Pereira
|
KO/TKOShoulder Injury | R310:21 | 28.5 | 1,434+25 | 1,123 | -- | Heavyweight | MMAU1 - MMA University 1: Najafi vs. Costa MMA University |
| 9 | 2023-05-27 | W |
José Carlos Lima
|
KO/TKOPunches | R26:28 | 26.6 | 1,428+27 | 1,132 | -- | Light Heavyweight | LFA 159: Bellato vs. Dos Santos Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 8 | 2022-11-04 | W |
Leonardo Genuíno
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R12:32 | 26.1 | 1,355+73 | 1,296 | -333 | Heavyweight | LFA 146: Barbosa vs. Santos Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 7 | 2022-07-16 | W |
Cristiano Vicente
|
KO/TKOPunch | R14:28 | 25.7 | 1,328+26 | 1,028 | -- | Light Heavyweight | DC Pro - Rio Open DC Pro 2 Rio Open DC Pro |
| 6 | 2021-12-19 | W |
Thiago Canhas
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:45 | 25.2 | 1,272+56 | 1,221 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Copa Thunder Fight 16 Thunder Fight am |
| 5 | 2021-11-14 | W |
Paulo Junior
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:32 | 25.1 | 1,226+46 | 1,119 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Copa Thunder Fight 15 Thunder Fight am |
| 4 | 2021-09-19 | W |
Julio Cesar Ferreira
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:33 | 24.9 | 1,166+61 | 1,140 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Copa Thunder Fight 13 Thunder Fight am |
| 3 | 2021-08-07 | NC |
Andre Carvalho
|
-- | R13:00 | 24.8 | 1,166+0 | 1,081 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Dominium Fighter Championship 6 Dominium Fighter Championship am |
| 2 | 2021-06-05 | W |
Rodrigo Ferreira
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:38 | 24.6 | 1,098+67 | 1,108 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Arena Global 12 Arena Global MMA am |
| 1 | 2021-05-15 | W |
Leonardo Zanezi
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:59 | 24.6 | 1,033+66 | 1,033 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Dominium Fighter Championship 5 Dominium Fighter Championship am |