Result
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree
· Sat 5 Oct 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza
W
Tecia Pennington
“The Tiny Tornado”
1,669Elo
Decision
R3 · 5:00
Strawweight
Carla Esparza
“The Cookie Monster”
1,649Elo
Elo
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litTecia PenningtonCarla Esparza
1,669
Elo
1,649
1,212
KO rating
1,241
1,268
Sub rating
1,161
1,326
Dec rating
1,324
Wins by
1
KO/TKO
4
1
Submission
5
12
Decision
13
Losses by
0
KO/TKO
2
0
Submission
2
9
Decision
3
The crowd
40%
Picked by
60%
Prices
The close; the outcome that happened is outlinedTecia PenningtonCarla Esparza
-181Moneyline+152
-155Opened+128
+1000Win by KO+1000
+1200Win by sub+2000
-135Win by dec+180
+550Win inside+750
How long it went
Over 1.5-1167
Under 1.5+600
Over 2.5-650
Under 2.5+475
Decision-600
Inside+400
What the model makes of it
Every bet →- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 92% v 85% 5.7% -650 +0.15u
- Goes the distancethe distance 88% v 83% 2.6% -600 +0.17u
- Carla Esparzamoneyline 39% v 38% -0.5% +156 lost
- Carla Esparza by Decisionmethod: decision 32% v 29% -3.3% +180 lost
- Carla Esparza by Submissionmethod: sub 1% v 4% -3.4% +2000 lost
- Tecia Pennington by KO/TKOmethod: KO 6% v 7% -3.4% +1000 lost
- Carla Esparza by KO/TKOmethod: KO 5% v 7% -4.3% +1000 lost
- Tecia Pennington by Decisionmethod: decision 53% v 46% -4.6% -135 won
- Tecia Pennington by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 6% -4.7% +1200 lost
- Carla Esparza inside the distanceinside the distance 6% v 10% -5.6% +750 lost
- Tecia Pennington inside the distanceinside the distance 9% v 13% -6.7% +550 lost
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstTecia PenningtonCarla Esparza
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Tecia Pennington
14-9 going in · 31 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 2025-11-08 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 36.2 | 1,597-48 | 1,679 | +151 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 264: Bonfim vs. Brown Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2025-05-17 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.8 | 1,663-66 | 1,399 | -326 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 256: Burns vs. Morales Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2024-10-05 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.1 | 1,669-7 | 1,649 | -181 | Strawweight | UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2024-05-11 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 34.7 | 1,668+1 | 1,563 | +120 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 56: Lewis vs. Nascimento Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2022-04-09 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.6 | 1,708-1 | 1,659 | +100 | Strawweight | UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2021-08-07 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.0 | 1,612+96 | 1,692 | -145 | Strawweight | UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2020-12-12 | W |
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Eye Injury) | R15:00 | 31.3 | 1,578+34 | 1,331 | -622 | Strawweight | UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2020-06-20 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.8 | 1,469+110 | 1,643 | -- | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2019-08-10 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.0 | 1,547-78 | 1,575 | -160 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 156: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2019-03-02 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.5 | 1,581-34 | 1,741 | +117 | Strawweight | UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2018-07-28 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.9 | 1,639-58 | 1,717 | +245 | Strawweight | UFC on Fox 30: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2018-02-24 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.5 | 1,668-29 | 1,750 | +250 | Strawweight | UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2017-12-02 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.3 | 1,681-13 | 1,472 | -240 | Strawweight | UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2017-07-07 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R25:53 | 27.9 | 1,622+59 | 1,506 | -400 | Strawweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2017-02-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.5 | 1,598+24 | 1,279 | -280 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 104: Bermudez vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2016-04-16 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.7 | 1,580+18 | 1,649 | +198 | Strawweight | UFC on Fox 19: Teixeira vs. Evans Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2015-12-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.3 | 1,529+50 | 1,372 | -291 | Strawweight | UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2015-06-13 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.8 | 1,515+14 | 1,264 | -303 | Strawweight | UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2014-12-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.3 | 1,487+29 | 1,203 | -570 | Strawweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2014-08-06 | L |
|
DecisionMajority | R210:00 | 25.0 | 1,490-4 | 1,571 | -- | Strawweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Quarterfinals, Day 2 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 14 | 2014-07-28 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R210:00 | 24.9 | 1,444+47 | 1,312 | -- | Strawweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Opening Round, Day 7 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 13 | 2014-07-08 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.9 | 1,544-100 | 1,370 | -- | Strawweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Opening Round, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 12 | 2013-12-07 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.3 | 1,467+76 | 1,423 | -157 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 7: Honchak vs. Smith Invicta FC |
| 11 | 2013-07-13 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.9 | 1,472-5 | 1,406 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 6: Cyborg vs. Coenen 2 Invicta FC |
| 10 | 2013-01-05 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.4 | 1,438+34 | 1,192 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 4: Esparza vs. Hyatt Invicta FC |
| 9 | 2012-10-06 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.1 | 1,383+55 | 1,247 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 3: Penne vs. Sugiyama Invicta FC |
| 8 | 2012-07-15 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 22.9 | 1,370+13 | 1,187 | -- | Strawweight | Florida Regional Full Contact Fighting Federation am |
| 7 | 2012-06-23 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 22.9 | 1,346+23 | 1,253 | -- | Strawweight | USFFC 5: Battle Forged US Freedom Fighter Championship am |
| 6 | 2012-05-17 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 22.8 | 1,344+2 | 1,074 | -- | Strawweight | MMASG - Bone Island Fights MMASG am |
| 5 | 2012-04-13 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.7 | 1,340+5 | 1,093 | -- | -- | Victory Fighting Championship 37 Victory Fighting Championship am |
| 4 | 2012-02-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R39:00 | 22.5 | 1,320+20 | 1,182 | -- | Strawweight | Major League Cage Fighting 1 Major League Fighting am |
| 3 | 2011-10-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:28 | 22.2 | 1,282+38 | 1,128 | -- | -- | NAAFS - Caged Fury 15 North American Allied Fight Series am |
| 2 | 2011-09-23 | W |
|
Sub | -- | 22.1 | 1,230+51 | 1,153 | -- | -- | National Fighting Championship National Fighting Championship am |
| 1 | 2011-09-23 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 22.1 | 1,155+75 | 1,206 | -- | -- | WBFN - Wild Bill's Fight Night 40 National Fighting Championship am |
Carla Esparza
22-7 going in · 29 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 2024-10-05 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 37.0 | 1,649+7 | 1,669 | +152 | Strawweight | UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2022-11-12 | L |
|
SubCrucifix Rear Naked Choke | R26:05 | 35.1 | 1,741-61 | 1,851 | +284 | Strawweight | UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2022-05-07 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 34.6 | 1,691+49 | 1,827 | +185 | Strawweight | UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2021-05-22 | W |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound From Crucifix | R27:58 | 33.6 | 1,592+99 | 1,639 | +103 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 188: Font vs. Garbrandt Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2020-07-25 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.8 | 1,568+24 | 1,661 | +150 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2020-05-09 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.6 | 1,588-20 | 1,552 | -146 | Strawweight | UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2019-09-21 | W |
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 31.9 | 1,616-28 | 1,536 | +107 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 159: Rodriguez vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2019-04-27 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.5 | 1,565+52 | 1,640 | -105 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 150: Jacare vs. Hermansson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2018-09-08 | L |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R314:33 | 30.9 | 1,633-68 | 1,712 | +391 | Strawweight | UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2018-06-09 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 30.7 | 1,633-1 | 1,663 | +353 | Strawweight | UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2017-12-30 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.2 | 1,630+3 | 1,573 | +200 | Strawweight | UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2017-06-25 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.7 | 1,576+55 | 1,541 | -230 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs. Lee Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2017-02-19 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 29.4 | 1,622-46 | 1,413 | -269 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 105: Lewis vs. Browne Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2016-04-23 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.5 | 1,596+26 | 1,442 | -189 | Strawweight | UFC 197: Jones vs. St. Preux Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2015-03-14 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R29:17 | 27.4 | 1,727-128 | 1,555 | -161 | Strawweight | UFC 185: Pettis vs. dos Anjos Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2014-12-12 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R311:26 | 27.2 | 1,635+92 | 1,653 | +135 | Strawweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2014-08-14 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.8 | 1,574+60 | 1,577 | -- | Strawweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Semifinals The Ultimate Fighter |
| 13 | 2014-08-06 | W |
|
DecisionMajority | R210:00 | 26.8 | 1,571+4 | 1,490 | -- | Strawweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Quarterfinals, Day 2 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 12 | 2014-07-18 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:41 | 26.8 | 1,554+16 | 1,161 | -- | Strawweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 20 Opening Round, Day 4 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 11 | 2013-01-05 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 25.2 | 1,544+25 | 1,236 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 4: Esparza vs. Hyatt Invicta FC |
| 10 | 2012-10-06 | W |
|
KO/TKOStrikes | R12:53 | 25.0 | 1,503+41 | 1,296 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 3: Penne vs. Sugiyama Invicta FC |
| 9 | 2012-07-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R29:28 | 24.8 | 1,419+84 | 1,405 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 2: Baszler vs. McMann Invicta FC |
| 8 | 2011-12-02 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.1 | 1,377+42 | 1,307 | -- | Strawweight | XFC 15: Tribute Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 7 | 2011-06-25 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 23.7 | 1,382-5 | 1,524 | -- | Strawweight | Bellator 46: 2011 Summer Series 1 Bellator MMA |
| 6 | 2011-04-15 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R10:53 | 23.5 | 1,334+48 | 1,165 | -- | -- | ECSC - Friday Night Fights 3 Evolution Combat Sports Championship |
| 5 | 2010-12-10 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 23.2 | 1,337-3 | 1,282 | -- | -- | Crowbar MMA - Winter Brawl Crowbar MMA |
| 4 | 2010-08-12 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R25:57 | 22.8 | 1,353-16 | 1,753 | -- | Strawweight | Bellator 24 Bellator MMA |
| 3 | 2010-07-16 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 22.8 | 1,263+90 | 1,273 | -- | -- | NMEF / RMBB - Ladies Night: Clash of the Titans 8 Annhilation |
| 2 | 2010-04-18 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 22.5 | 1,162+102 | 1,218 | -- | -- | Long Beach Fight Night 8 Long Beach Fight Night |
| 1 | 2010-02-19 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:48 | 22.4 | 1,074+88 | 1,074 | -- | -- | Respect in the Cage 3 Respect in the Cage |