Result
UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
· Sat 2 Dec 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Joaquim Silva vs Clay Guida
W
Joaquim Silva
“Netto BJJ”
1,590Elo
Unanimous decision
R3 · 5:00
29-28 · 29-28 · 29-28
Lightweight
Clay Guida
“The Carpenter”
1,627Elo
Our model
Market said
The scorecards
Every score reads Joaquim Silva first; a round is coloured for whoever won it| Judge | R1 | R2 | R3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal D'Amato | 10-9 | 9-10 | 10-9 | 29-28 |
| Gino Garcia | 10-9 | 9-10 | 10-9 | 29-28 |
| Chris Lee | 10-9 | 9-10 | 10-9 | 29-28 |
Media
18 of 18 media members scored it for Joaquim Silva; the most common card was 29-28 to Joaquim Silva
Fans
85% of fans had Joaquim Silva winning, from 51 votes; the most picked score was 29-28 to Joaquim Silva (47%)
Elo counted this as 72% of a win for Joaquim Silva — from these scorecards.
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litJoaquim SilvaClay Guida
1,590
Elo
1,627
1,229
KO rating
1,252
1,267
Sub rating
1,244
1,228
Dec rating
1,276
Wins by
8
KO/TKO
6
3
Submission
15
3
Decision
16
Losses by
3
KO/TKO
2
1
Submission
11
1
Decision
9
The crowd
78%
Picked by
22%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedJoaquim SilvaClay Guida
-325opened -225
Moneyline
+275opened +190
Method
+235Win by KO+900
+225Win by sub+1600
+250Win by dec+425
-150Win inside+800
How long it went
Over 1.5-193
Under 1.5+145
Over 2.5+105
Under 2.5-135
Decision+140
Inside-170
What the betting model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 55% v 46% 6.7% +105 +1.05u
- Goes the distancethe distance 48% v 39% 6.4% +140 +1.40u
- Joaquim Silva by Decisionmethod: decision 32% v 23% 3.3% +250 +2.50u
- Clay Guidamoneyline 28% v 25% 1.5% +275 lost
- Clay Guida inside the distanceinside the distance 12% v 9% 0.4% +800 lost
- Clay Guida by Submissionmethod: sub 4% v 5% -1.6% +1600 lost
- Clay Guida by Decisionmethod: decision 17% v 15% -2.4% +425 lost
- Clay Guida by KO/TKOmethod: KO 7% v 8% -2.7% +900 lost
- Joaquim Silva by KO/TKOmethod: KO 22% v 24% -7.7% +235 lost
- Joaquim Silva by Submissionmethod: sub 18% v 25% -12.9% +225 lost
- Joaquim Silva inside the distanceinside the distance 40% v 51% -20.0% -150 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Joaquim Silva
14-5 going in · 19 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2025-09-13 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 36.6 | 1,652+11 | 1,622 | +110 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 259 - Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2024-05-04 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.2 | 1,638+27 | 1,819 | +160 | Lightweight | UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2023-12-02 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.8 | 1,590+48 | 1,627 | -325 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2023-06-17 | L |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R313:25 | 34.4 | 1,600-11 | 2,077 | +700 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2022-10-01 | W |
|
KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punches | R28:02 | 33.7 | 1,483+117 | 1,607 | -140 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 211: Dern vs. Yan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2021-06-19 | L |
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Flurry of Punches | R10:37 | 32.4 | 1,587-97 | 1,548 | -130 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 25: Korean Zombie vs. Ige Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2019-08-03 | L |
|
KO/TKOOverhand Left | R25:36 | 30.5 | 1,711-97 | 1,675 | +202 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2018-12-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R312:39 | 29.9 | 1,608+103 | 1,670 | +113 | Lightweight | UFC on Fox 31: Iaquinta vs. Lee 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2018-01-27 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.0 | 1,605+2 | 1,643 | -105 | Lightweight | UFC on Fox 27: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2017-05-28 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 28.3 | 1,578+27 | 1,663 | -155 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2016-07-08 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:34 | 27.4 | 1,465+113 | 1,569 | -128 | Lightweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2015-09-05 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 26.6 | 1,442+23 | 1,633 | +121 | Lightweight | UFC 191: Johnson vs. Dodson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2015-03-06 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:48 | 26.1 | 1,525-83 | 1,542 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil Season 4 Semifinals, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 9 | 2015-02-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.1 | 1,477+48 | 1,432 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil Season 4 Quarterfinals, Day 6 The Ultimate Fighter |
| 8 | 2015-02-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R314:47 | 26.0 | 1,425+52 | 1,276 | -- | Lightweight | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil Season 4 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter |
| 7 | 2014-09-20 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:06 | 25.6 | 1,399+26 | 1,094 | -- | Welterweight | The Hill Fighters 3 The Hill Fighters |
| 6 | 2014-02-14 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R12:57 | 25.0 | 1,381+18 | 1,003 | -- | Welterweight | RDC MMA - Reto de Campeones 1 Reto de Campeones |
| 5 | 2013-11-14 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R14:45 | 24.8 | 1,328+54 | 1,186 | -- | Welterweight | Shooto Brazil 44: Goiana Shooto Brazil |
| 4 | 2013-06-15 | W |
|
SubArmbar | R1 | 24.4 | 1,292+36 | 1,055 | -- | Lightweight | High Fight Rock 3 Goias Regional |
| 3 | 2012-09-29 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:30 | 23.6 | 1,260+32 | 1,000 | -- | Catchweight | Budokukai Martial Arts Tournament Budokukai Martial Arts Tournament |
| 2 | 2012-05-19 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R13:58 | 23.3 | 1,194+66 | 1,109 | -- | -- | Anapolis Fight Championship Goias Regional |
| 1 | 2010-10-15 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:10 | 21.7 | 1,112+88 | 1,112 | -- | -- | Hot Fight - Vale Tudo Brazil Regional |
Clay Guida
38-23 going in · 61 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 2024-12-07 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R13:41 | 43.0 | 1,578-47 | 1,755 | +750 | Lightweight | UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 62 | 2023-12-02 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 42.0 | 1,627-48 | 1,590 | +275 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 61 | 2023-04-15 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 41.3 | 1,703-77 | 1,724 | +230 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 60 | 2022-12-03 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 41.0 | 1,657+46 | 1,725 | +152 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 42: Thompson vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 59 | 2022-04-23 | L |
|
SubKneebar | R13:01 | 40.4 | 1,759-101 | 1,703 | -121 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 205: Lemos vs. Andrade Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 58 | 2021-12-04 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R26:21 | 40.0 | 1,625+134 | 1,830 | +161 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 31: Font vs. Aldo Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 57 | 2021-08-21 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 39.7 | 1,650-25 | 1,638 | +135 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 29: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 56 | 2021-02-06 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 39.2 | 1,620+30 | 1,563 | +180 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 184: Overeem vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 55 | 2020-06-20 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 38.5 | 1,631-11 | 1,775 | +210 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 54 | 2019-08-03 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:58 | 37.7 | 1,713-82 | 1,733 | +130 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 53 | 2019-05-11 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 37.4 | 1,720-6 | 1,523 | -646 | Lightweight | UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 52 | 2018-06-09 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R12:18 | 36.5 | 1,815-96 | 1,783 | +119 | Lightweight | UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 51 | 2017-11-11 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:07 | 35.9 | 1,714+101 | 1,769 | -125 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 120: Poirier vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 50 | 2017-06-25 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.5 | 1,612+102 | 1,671 | +265 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs. Lee Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 49 | 2016-06-04 | L |
|
KO/TKOKnee & Punches | R314:40 | 34.5 | 1,668-55 | 1,805 | +225 | Featherweight | UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 48 | 2015-11-07 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:39 | 33.9 | 1,796-127 | 1,626 | -163 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 47 | 2015-04-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.3 | 1,758+38 | 1,584 | -235 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 63: Mendes vs. Lamas Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 46 | 2014-07-26 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:57 | 32.6 | 1,864-106 | 1,789 | +120 | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 12: Lawler vs. Brown Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 45 | 2014-04-11 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.3 | 1,749+115 | 1,941 | -135 | Featherweight | UFC Fight Night 39: Nogueira vs. Nelson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 44 | 2013-08-31 | L |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R310:30 | 31.7 | 1,804-56 | 1,937 | +275 | Featherweight | UFC 164: Henderson vs. Pettis 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 43 | 2013-01-26 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 31.1 | 1,848-43 | 1,773 | -235 | Featherweight | UFC on Fox 6: Johnson vs. Dodson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 42 | 2012-06-22 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 30.5 | 1,864-16 | 1,853 | +234 | Lightweight | UFC on FX 4: Maynard vs. Guida Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 41 | 2011-11-12 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.9 | 1,909-45 | 1,962 | -- | Lightweight | UFC on Fox 1: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 40 | 2011-06-04 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.5 | 1,898+11 | 1,786 | -- | Lightweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 39 | 2011-01-01 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R29:27 | 29.1 | 1,816+82 | 1,794 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 125: Resolution Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 38 | 2010-08-07 | W |
|
SubJaw Injury | R311:51 | 28.7 | 1,723+92 | 1,743 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 117: Silva vs. Sonnen Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 37 | 2010-03-21 | W |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R28:40 | 28.3 | 1,679+44 | 1,490 | -- | Lightweight | UFC Live 1: Vera vs. Jones Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 36 | 2009-12-12 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:19 | 28.0 | 1,739-60 | 1,854 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 107: Penn vs. Sanchez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 35 | 2009-06-20 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.5 | 1,755-16 | 1,802 | -- | Lightweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 34 | 2009-01-31 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,729+26 | 1,826 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 94: St. Pierre vs. Penn 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2008-09-17 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.8 | 1,635+95 | 1,735 | -- | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 15: Diaz vs. Neer Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2008-04-02 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:15 | 26.3 | 1,596+39 | 1,378 | -- | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 13: Florian vs. Lauzon Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2007-12-08 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R310:31 | 26.0 | 1,649-53 | 1,793 | -- | Lightweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 6 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2007-08-25 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 25.7 | 1,546+103 | 1,702 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 74: Respect Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2007-06-16 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 25.5 | 1,526+20 | 1,544 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 72: Victory Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2007-01-25 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.1 | 1,547-22 | 1,519 | -- | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 8: Evans vs. Salmon Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2006-10-14 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:42 | 24.8 | 1,441+106 | 1,517 | -- | Lightweight | UFC 64: Unstoppable Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2006-08-17 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.7 | 1,428+14 | 1,224 | -- | Lightweight | WEC 23: Hot August Fights WEC |
| 25 | 2006-07-21 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R12:47 | 24.6 | 1,556-129 | 1,379 | -- | -- | Shooto - 7/21 in Korakuen Hall Shooto |
| 24 | 2006-06-09 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 24.5 | 1,586-29 | 1,709 | -- | Lightweight | Strikeforce: Revenge Strikeforce |
| 23 | 2006-03-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 24.3 | 1,529+57 | 1,499 | -- | Lightweight | Strikeforce: Shamrock vs. Gracie Strikeforce |
| 22 | 2006-02-17 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:17 | 24.2 | 1,698-169 | 1,115 | -- | Lightweight | KOTC - Redemption on the River King of the Cage |
| 21 | 2005-12-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.0 | 1,706-8 | 1,352 | -- | -- | Xtreme Fighting Organization 8 Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 20 | 2005-11-19 | W |
|
KO/TKOInjury | R13:01 | 23.9 | 1,704+2 | 886 | -- | -- | IHC 9: Purgatory Ironheart Crown |
| 19 | 2005-09-17 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:26 | 23.8 | 1,683+21 | 1,341 | -- | Lightweight | KOTC - Xtreme Edge King of the Cage |
| 18 | 2005-08-27 | W |
|
SubArm-Triangle Choke | R2 | 23.7 | 1,667+16 | 1,271 | -- | -- | XFO 7: Outdoor War Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 17 | 2005-08-13 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R1 | 23.7 | 1,623+44 | 1,431 | -- | -- | Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 4 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge |
| 16 | 2005-06-25 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.5 | 1,570+53 | 1,542 | -- | -- | XFO 6: Judgement Day Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 15 | 2005-05-20 | W |
|
SubArm-Triangle Choke | R3 | 23.4 | 1,541+29 | 1,262 | -- | -- | XKK - Des Moines Xtreme Kage Kombat |
| 14 | 2005-05-20 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.4 | 1,490+51 | 1,456 | -- | -- | XKK - Des Moines Xtreme Kage Kombat |
| 13 | 2005-05-14 | W |
|
KO/TKOSubmission to Punches | R12:54 | 23.4 | 1,468+22 | 1,134 | -- | -- | Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 3 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge |
| 12 | 2005-03-19 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R13:02 | 23.3 | 1,441+27 | 1,147 | -- | -- | Xtreme Fighting Organization 5 Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 11 | 2005-02-05 | W |
|
SubAnkle Lock | R1 | 23.2 | 1,431+9 | 930 | -- | -- | Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 2 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge |
| 10 | 2004-12-18 | W |
|
KO/TKOKnee | R1 | 23.0 | 1,307+124 | 1,463 | -- | -- | MMA Mexico 5: De Poder a Poder Mexico Regional |
| 9 | 2004-12-03 | W |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R2 | 23.0 | 1,232+75 | 1,181 | -- | Lightweight | XFO 4: International Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 8 | 2004-11-12 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:25 | 22.9 | 1,141+91 | 1,156 | -- | -- | Extreme Challenge 60 Extreme Challenge |
| 7 | 2004-10-23 | W |
|
SubAnkle Lock | R1 | 22.9 | 1,071+70 | 1,000 | -- | -- | Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 1 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge |
| 6 | 2004-06-26 | L |
|
SubArmbar | R2 | 22.5 | 1,156-85 | 1,167 | -- | -- | XFO 2: New Blood Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 5 | 2004-05-01 | W |
|
SubChoke | R13:35 | 22.4 | 1,040+116 | 1,158 | -- | -- | UCS - Battle at the Barn 2 Ultimate Combat Sports |
| 4 | 2004-04-03 | L |
|
-- | -- | 22.3 | 1,153-113 | 1,048 | -- | -- | XKK - Clash in Curtiss 5 Xtreme Kage Kombat |
| 3 | 2004-04-03 | W |
|
-- | -- | 22.3 | 1,148+5 | 540 | -- | -- | XKK - Clash in Curtiss 5 Xtreme Kage Kombat |
| 2 | 2004-03-14 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R12:53 | 22.3 | 1,016+131 | 1,208 | -- | -- | XFO 1: The Kickoff Xtreme Fighting Organization |
| 1 | 2003-07-26 | L |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R1 | 21.6 | 1,064-48 | 1,234 | -- | -- | Silverback Classic 17 Illinois Regional |