Result UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Sat 2 Dec 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Joaquim Silva vs Clay Guida

Our model
61%39%
Market said
74%26%

The scorecards

Every score reads Joaquim Silva first; a round is coloured for whoever won it
Judge R1R2R3Total
Sal D'Amato 10-99-1010-9 29-28
Gino Garcia 10-99-1010-9 29-28
Chris Lee 10-99-1010-9 29-28
Media
18
18 of 18 media members scored it for Joaquim Silva; the most common card was 29-28 to Joaquim Silva
Fans
85% 15%
85% of fans had Joaquim Silva winning, from 51 votes; the most picked score was 29-28 to Joaquim Silva (47%)

Elo counted this as 72% of a win for Joaquim Silva — from these scorecards.

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Joaquim SilvaClay Guida
1,590 Elo 1,627
1,229 KO rating 1,252
1,267 Sub rating 1,244
1,228 Dec rating 1,276
Wins by
8 KO/TKO 6
3 Submission 15
3 Decision 16
Losses by
3 KO/TKO 2
1 Submission 11
1 Decision 9
The crowd
78% Picked by 22%

Prices

The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlined
Joaquim SilvaClay Guida
-325opened -225 Moneyline +275opened +190
Method
+235Win by KO+900
+225Win by sub+1600
+250Win by dec+425
-150Win inside+800
How long it went
Over 1.5-193 Under 1.5+145 Over 2.5+105 Under 2.5-135 Decision+140 Inside-170

What the betting model makes of it

At the prices above Every bet →
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 55% v 46% 6.7% +105 +1.05u
  • Goes the distancethe distance 48% v 39% 6.4% +140 +1.40u
  • Joaquim Silva by Decisionmethod: decision 32% v 23% 3.3% +250 +2.50u
  • Clay Guidamoneyline 28% v 25% 1.5% +275 lost
  • Clay Guida inside the distanceinside the distance 12% v 9% 0.4% +800 lost
  • Clay Guida by Submissionmethod: sub 4% v 5% -1.6% +1600 lost
  • Clay Guida by Decisionmethod: decision 17% v 15% -2.4% +425 lost
  • Clay Guida by KO/TKOmethod: KO 7% v 8% -2.7% +900 lost
  • Joaquim Silva by KO/TKOmethod: KO 22% v 24% -7.7% +235 lost
  • Joaquim Silva by Submissionmethod: sub 18% v 25% -12.9% +225 lost
  • Joaquim Silva inside the distanceinside the distance 40% v 51% -20.0% -150 lost

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Joaquim Silva 14-5 going in · 19 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
22 2025-09-13 W Claudio Puelles DecisionSplit R315:00 36.6 1,652+11 1,622 +110 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 259 - Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2024-05-04 L Drakkar Klose DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.2 1,638+27 1,819 +160 Lightweight UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2023-12-02 W Clay Guida this fight DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.8 1,590+48 1,627 -325 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2023-06-17 L Arman Tsarukyan KO/TKOGround & Pound R313:25 34.4 1,600-11 2,077 +700 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier Ultimate Fighting Championship
18 2022-10-01 W Jesse Ronson KO/TKOFlying Knee & Punches R28:02 33.7 1,483+117 1,607 -140 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 211: Dern vs. Yan Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2021-06-19 L Ricky Glenn KO/TKOLeft Hook to Flurry of Punches R10:37 32.4 1,587-97 1,548 -130 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 25: Korean Zombie vs. Ige Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2019-08-03 L Nasrat Haqparast KO/TKOOverhand Left R25:36 30.5 1,711-97 1,675 +202 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2018-12-15 W Jared Gordon KO/TKOPunches R312:39 29.9 1,608+103 1,670 +113 Lightweight UFC on Fox 31: Iaquinta vs. Lee 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2018-01-27 L Vinc Pichel DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.0 1,605+2 1,643 -105 Lightweight UFC on Fox 27: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2017-05-28 W Reza Madadi DecisionSplit R315:00 28.3 1,578+27 1,663 -155 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2016-07-08 W Andrew Holbrook KO/TKOPunches R10:34 27.4 1,465+113 1,569 -128 Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
11 2015-09-05 W Nazareno Malegarie DecisionSplit R315:00 26.6 1,442+23 1,633 +121 Lightweight UFC 191: Johnson vs. Dodson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
10 2015-03-06 L Glaico França SubRear Naked Choke R12:48 26.1 1,525-83 1,542 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil Season 4 Semifinals, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter
9 2015-02-24 W Erick da Silva DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.1 1,477+48 1,432 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil Season 4 Quarterfinals, Day 6 The Ultimate Fighter
8 2015-02-02 W Carlos Alexandre KO/TKOPunches R314:47 26.0 1,425+52 1,276 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil Season 4 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter
7 2014-09-20 W Leandro Vasconcelos KO/TKOPunches R10:06 25.6 1,399+26 1,094 -- Welterweight The Hill Fighters 3 The Hill Fighters
6 2014-02-14 W Victor Manuel Rizzo SubArmbar R12:57 25.0 1,381+18 1,003 -- Welterweight RDC MMA - Reto de Campeones 1 Reto de Campeones
5 2013-11-14 W Fabio Lima KO/TKOPunch R14:45 24.8 1,328+54 1,186 -- Welterweight Shooto Brazil 44: Goiana Shooto Brazil
4 2013-06-15 W Julio Cesar Alves SubArmbar R1 24.4 1,292+36 1,055 -- Lightweight High Fight Rock 3 Goias Regional
3 2012-09-29 W Adalton Fernandes KO/TKOPunch R10:30 23.6 1,260+32 1,000 -- Catchweight Budokukai Martial Arts Tournament Budokukai Martial Arts Tournament
2 2012-05-19 W Lucas Felipe SubRear-Naked Choke R13:58 23.3 1,194+66 1,109 -- -- Anapolis Fight Championship Goias Regional
1 2010-10-15 W Alan Lima KO/TKOPunches R14:10 21.7 1,112+88 1,112 -- -- Hot Fight - Vale Tudo Brazil Regional
Clay Guida 38-23 going in · 61 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
63 2024-12-07 L Chase Hooper SubArmbar R13:41 43.0 1,578-47 1,755 +750 Lightweight UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Ultimate Fighting Championship
62 2023-12-02 L Joaquim Silva this fight DecisionUnanimous R315:00 42.0 1,627-48 1,590 +275 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Ultimate Fighting Championship
61 2023-04-15 L Rafa García DecisionUnanimous R315:00 41.3 1,703-77 1,724 +230 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen Ultimate Fighting Championship
60 2022-12-03 W Scott Holtzman DecisionSplit R315:00 41.0 1,657+46 1,725 +152 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 42: Thompson vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship
59 2022-04-23 L Claudio Puelles SubKneebar R13:01 40.4 1,759-101 1,703 -121 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 205: Lemos vs. Andrade Ultimate Fighting Championship
58 2021-12-04 W Leonardo Santos SubRear Naked Choke R26:21 40.0 1,625+134 1,830 +161 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 31: Font vs. Aldo Ultimate Fighting Championship
57 2021-08-21 L Mark Madsen DecisionSplit R315:00 39.7 1,650-25 1,638 +135 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 29: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Ultimate Fighting Championship
56 2021-02-06 W Michael Johnson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 39.2 1,620+30 1,563 +180 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 184: Overeem vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship
55 2020-06-20 L King Green DecisionUnanimous R315:00 38.5 1,631-11 1,775 +210 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship
54 2019-08-03 L Jim Miller SubGuillotine Choke R10:58 37.7 1,713-82 1,733 +130 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 5: Covington vs. Lawler Ultimate Fighting Championship
53 2019-05-11 W BJ Penn DecisionUnanimous R315:00 37.4 1,720-6 1,523 -646 Lightweight UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade Ultimate Fighting Championship
52 2018-06-09 L Charles Oliveira SubGuillotine Choke R12:18 36.5 1,815-96 1,783 +119 Lightweight UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
51 2017-11-11 W Joe Lauzon KO/TKOPunches R11:07 35.9 1,714+101 1,769 -125 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 120: Poirier vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship
50 2017-06-25 W Erik Koch DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.5 1,612+102 1,671 +265 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs. Lee Ultimate Fighting Championship
49 2016-06-04 L Brian Ortega KO/TKOKnee & Punches R314:40 34.5 1,668-55 1,805 +225 Featherweight UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
48 2015-11-07 L Thiago Tavares SubGuillotine Choke R10:39 33.9 1,796-127 1,626 -163 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
47 2015-04-04 W Robbie Peralta DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.3 1,758+38 1,584 -235 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 63: Mendes vs. Lamas Ultimate Fighting Championship
46 2014-07-26 L Dennis Bermudez SubRear Naked Choke R27:57 32.6 1,864-106 1,789 +120 Featherweight UFC on Fox 12: Lawler vs. Brown Ultimate Fighting Championship
45 2014-04-11 W Tatsuya Kawajiri DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.3 1,749+115 1,941 -135 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 39: Nogueira vs. Nelson Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2013-08-31 L Chad Mendes KO/TKOPunches R310:30 31.7 1,804-56 1,937 +275 Featherweight UFC 164: Henderson vs. Pettis 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2013-01-26 W Hatsu Hioki DecisionSplit R315:00 31.1 1,848-43 1,773 -235 Featherweight UFC on Fox 6: Johnson vs. Dodson Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2012-06-22 L Gray Maynard DecisionSplit R525:00 30.5 1,864-16 1,853 +234 Lightweight UFC on FX 4: Maynard vs. Guida Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2011-11-12 L Benson Henderson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.9 1,909-45 1,962 -- Lightweight UFC on Fox 1: Velasquez vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2011-06-04 W Anthony Pettis DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.5 1,898+11 1,786 -- Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2011-01-01 W Takanori Gomi SubGuillotine Choke R29:27 29.1 1,816+82 1,794 -- Lightweight UFC 125: Resolution Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2010-08-07 W Rafael dos Anjos SubJaw Injury R311:51 28.7 1,723+92 1,743 -- Lightweight UFC 117: Silva vs. Sonnen Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2010-03-21 W Shannon Gugerty SubArm Triangle Choke R28:40 28.3 1,679+44 1,490 -- Lightweight UFC Live 1: Vera vs. Jones Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2009-12-12 L Kenny Florian SubRear Naked Choke R27:19 28.0 1,739-60 1,854 -- Lightweight UFC 107: Penn vs. Sanchez Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2009-06-20 L Diego Sanchez DecisionSplit R315:00 27.5 1,755-16 1,802 -- Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2009-01-31 W Nate Diaz DecisionSplit R315:00 27.1 1,729+26 1,826 -- Lightweight UFC 94: St. Pierre vs. Penn 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2008-09-17 W Mac Danzig DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.8 1,635+95 1,735 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 15: Diaz vs. Neer Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2008-04-02 W Samy Schiavo KO/TKOPunches R14:15 26.3 1,596+39 1,378 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 13: Florian vs. Lauzon Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2007-12-08 L Roger Huerta SubRear Naked Choke R310:31 26.0 1,649-53 1,793 -- Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 6 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2007-08-25 W Marcus Aurelio DecisionSplit R315:00 25.7 1,546+103 1,702 -- Lightweight UFC 74: Respect Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2007-06-16 L Tyson Griffin DecisionSplit R315:00 25.5 1,526+20 1,544 -- Lightweight UFC 72: Victory Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2007-01-25 L Din Thomas DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.1 1,547-22 1,519 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 8: Evans vs. Salmon Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2006-10-14 W Justin James SubRear Naked Choke R29:42 24.8 1,441+106 1,517 -- Lightweight UFC 64: Unstoppable Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2006-08-17 W Joe Martin DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.7 1,428+14 1,224 -- Lightweight WEC 23: Hot August Fights WEC
25 2006-07-21 L Yusuke Endo SubArmbar R12:47 24.6 1,556-129 1,379 -- -- Shooto - 7/21 in Korakuen Hall Shooto
24 2006-06-09 L Gilbert Melendez DecisionSplit R525:00 24.5 1,586-29 1,709 -- Lightweight Strikeforce: Revenge Strikeforce
23 2006-03-10 W Josh Thomson DecisionUnanimous R525:00 24.3 1,529+57 1,499 -- Lightweight Strikeforce: Shamrock vs. Gracie Strikeforce
22 2006-02-17 L Tristan Yunker SubRear Naked Choke R11:17 24.2 1,698-169 1,115 -- Lightweight KOTC - Redemption on the River King of the Cage
21 2005-12-10 W Joe Jordan DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.0 1,706-8 1,352 -- -- Xtreme Fighting Organization 8 Xtreme Fighting Organization
20 2005-11-19 W Jeff Carstens KO/TKOInjury R13:01 23.9 1,704+2 886 -- -- IHC 9: Purgatory Ironheart Crown
19 2005-09-17 W Dave Cochran SubRear Naked Choke R12:26 23.8 1,683+21 1,341 -- Lightweight KOTC - Xtreme Edge King of the Cage
18 2005-08-27 W John Strawn SubArm-Triangle Choke R2 23.7 1,667+16 1,271 -- -- XFO 7: Outdoor War Xtreme Fighting Organization
17 2005-08-13 W Jay Estrada SubRear-Naked Choke R1 23.7 1,623+44 1,431 -- -- Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 4 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge
16 2005-06-25 W Bart Palaszewski DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.5 1,570+53 1,542 -- -- XFO 6: Judgement Day Xtreme Fighting Organization
15 2005-05-20 W Alonzo Martinez SubArm-Triangle Choke R3 23.4 1,541+29 1,262 -- -- XKK - Des Moines Xtreme Kage Kombat
14 2005-05-20 W Chris Mickle DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.4 1,490+51 1,456 -- -- XKK - Des Moines Xtreme Kage Kombat
13 2005-05-14 W Alex Carter KO/TKOSubmission to Punches R12:54 23.4 1,468+22 1,134 -- -- Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 3 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge
12 2005-03-19 W Brandon Adamson SubRear-Naked Choke R13:02 23.3 1,441+27 1,147 -- -- Xtreme Fighting Organization 5 Xtreme Fighting Organization
11 2005-02-05 W Bill Guardiola SubAnkle Lock R1 23.2 1,431+9 930 -- -- Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 2 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge
10 2004-12-18 W Dennis Davis KO/TKOKnee R1 23.0 1,307+124 1,463 -- -- MMA Mexico 5: De Poder a Poder Mexico Regional
9 2004-12-03 W Vito Woods SubGuillotine Choke R2 23.0 1,232+75 1,181 -- Lightweight XFO 4: International Xtreme Fighting Organization
8 2004-11-12 W Randy Hauer KO/TKOPunches R12:25 22.9 1,141+91 1,156 -- -- Extreme Challenge 60 Extreme Challenge
7 2004-10-23 W Bill Guardiola SubAnkle Lock R1 22.9 1,071+70 1,000 -- -- Combat - Do Fighting Challenge 1 Combat-Do Fighting Challenge
6 2004-06-26 L Gabe Lemley SubArmbar R2 22.5 1,156-85 1,167 -- -- XFO 2: New Blood Xtreme Fighting Organization
5 2004-05-01 W Jed Deno SubChoke R13:35 22.4 1,040+116 1,158 -- -- UCS - Battle at the Barn 2 Ultimate Combat Sports
4 2004-04-03 L Dan Duke -- -- 22.3 1,153-113 1,048 -- -- XKK - Clash in Curtiss 5 Xtreme Kage Kombat
3 2004-04-03 W Shawn Nolan -- -- 22.3 1,148+5 540 -- -- XKK - Clash in Curtiss 5 Xtreme Kage Kombat
2 2004-03-14 W Adam Bass SubRear-Naked Choke R12:53 22.3 1,016+131 1,208 -- -- XFO 1: The Kickoff Xtreme Fighting Organization
1 2003-07-26 L Adam Copenhaver SubRear-Naked Choke R1 21.6 1,064-48 1,234 -- -- Silverback Classic 17 Illinois Regional