Result UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Sat 10 Dec 2016 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Matthew Lopez vs Mitch Gagnon

W Matthew Lopez 8-1 · +130 1,511Elo
Unanimous decision R3 · 5:00 29-27 · 29-28 · 29-28 Bantamweight
Mitch Gagnon “The Machine” 12-3 · -150 1,689Elo
Elo
26%74%
Market said
42%58%

The scorecards

Every score reads Matthew Lopez first; a round is coloured for whoever won it
Judge Total
Eric Colón 29-27
Dr. Greg Jackson 29-28
Cardo Urso 29-28
Media
16 1
16 of 17 media members scored it for Matthew Lopez, 1 a draw; the most common card was 29-28 to Matthew Lopez
Fans
82% 18%
82% of fans had Matthew Lopez winning, from 22 votes; the most picked score was 29-28 to Matthew Lopez (73%)

Elo counted this as 65% of a win for Matthew Lopez — from these scorecards.

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Matthew LopezMitch Gagnon
1,511 Elo 1,689
1,235 KO rating 1,215
1,247 Sub rating 1,443
1,037 Dec rating 1,182
Wins by
4 KO/TKO 1
3 Submission 10
1 Decision 1
Losses by
0 KO/TKO 0
1 Submission 2
0 Decision 1
The crowd
14% Picked by 86%

Prices

The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlined
Matthew LopezMitch Gagnon
+130opened +135 Moneyline -150opened -155
Method
+557Win by KO+470
+698Win by sub+391
+318Win by dec+191
+359Win inside+226
How long it went
Over 1.5-286 Under 1.5+205 Over 2.5-145 Under 2.5+115 Decision+100 Inside+100

What the betting model makes of it

At the prices above Every bet →
  • Under 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 57% v 44% 10.1% +115 -1.00u
  • Mitch Gagnonmoneyline 60% v 59% 0.3% -150 lost

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Matthew Lopez 8-1 going in · 9 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
14 2018-12-08 L Brad Katona DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.9 1,533+7 1,776 +154 Bantamweight UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2018-04-14 L Alejandro Perez KO/TKOPunches R28:42 31.2 1,638-105 1,566 -125 Bantamweight UFC on Fox 29: Poirier vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2017-11-11 L Raphael Assunção KO/TKOPunches R311:50 30.8 1,694-56 1,826 +270 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 120: Poirier vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship
11 2017-06-03 W Johnny Eduardo KO/TKOPunches R12:57 30.4 1,578+115 1,693 -170 Bantamweight UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Ultimate Fighting Championship
10 2016-12-10 W Mitch Gagnon this fight DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.9 1,511+68 1,689 +130 Bantamweight UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship
9 2016-07-13 L Rani Yahya SubArm Triangle Choke R314:19 29.5 1,567-56 1,697 -130 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 91: McDonald vs. Lineker Ultimate Fighting Championship
8 2016-04-15 W Eli Finn KO/TKOStrikes R13:15 29.2 1,528+39 1,310 -- Bantamweight RFA 37: Viana vs. Clark Resurrection Fighting Alliance
7 2015-10-09 W Justin Linn SubNeck Crank R12:18 28.7 1,414+114 1,522 -- Bantamweight RFA 31: Smith vs. Marunde Resurrection Fighting Alliance
6 2015-08-21 W Kevin Clark SubRear Naked Choke R10:36 28.6 1,345+69 1,271 -- Bantamweight RFA 29: USA vs. Brazil Resurrection Fighting Alliance
5 2015-04-10 W Devin Turner SubRear Naked Choke R12:46 28.2 1,316+29 1,035 -- Open Weight RFA 25: Lawrence vs. Toomer Resurrection Fighting Alliance
4 2014-12-05 W John Robles KO/TKOKO/TKO R11:35 27.9 1,243+73 1,185 -- Bantamweight RFA 21: Juusola vs. Baghdad Resurrection Fighting Alliance
3 2014-06-28 W Miguelito Marti KO/TKOPunches R11:13 27.4 1,234+9 733 -- -- Gladiator Challenge: Iron Fist Gladiator Challenge
2 2013-07-20 W Sammy Silva DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.5 1,230+4 968 -- -- KOTC: Heated Fury King of the Cage
1 2013-05-25 W Imani Jackson KO/TKOKO/TKO R14:05 26.3 1,115+116 1,230 -- -- KOTC - World Championships King of the Cage
Mitch Gagnon 12-3 going in · 15 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
17 2019-05-04 L Cole Smith DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.6 1,578-64 1,506 -- Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 151: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2016-12-10 L Matthew Lopez this fight DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.2 1,689-68 1,511 -150 Bantamweight UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2014-12-20 L Renan Barão SubArm Triangle Choke R313:53 30.2 1,767-43 1,963 +475 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 58: Machida vs. Dollaway Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2014-10-04 W Roman Salazar SubRear Naked Choke R12:06 30.0 1,741+27 1,441 -588 Bantamweight UFC Fight Night 54: MacDonald vs. Saffiedine Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2014-04-16 W Tim Gorman DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.5 1,700+40 1,514 -275 Bantamweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter Nations Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2013-09-21 W Dustin Kimura SubGuillotine Choke R14:05 28.9 1,582+118 1,710 +145 Bantamweight UFC 165: Jones vs. Gustafsson Ultimate Fighting Championship
11 2012-09-22 W Walel Watson SubRear Naked Choke R11:09 28.0 1,518+64 1,424 +175 Bantamweight UFC 152: Jones vs. Belfort Ultimate Fighting Championship
10 2012-07-21 L Bryan Caraway SubRear Naked Choke R311:39 27.8 1,602-84 1,614 +150 Bantamweight UFC 149: Faber vs. Barao Ultimate Fighting Championship
9 2011-10-21 W Bo Harris SubGuillotine Choke R12:09 27.0 1,556+46 1,377 -- Bantamweight Ringside MMA 12: Daley vs. Fioravanti Ringside
8 2011-04-09 W Réjean Groulx KO/TKOSlam R313:47 26.5 1,475+81 1,448 -- Featherweight Ringside MMA 10: Cote vs. Starnes Ringside
7 2010-04-10 W Guillaume Lamarche SubGuillotine Choke R10:52 25.5 1,404+71 1,339 -- Featherweight Ringside MMA 6: Rage Ringside
6 2009-12-12 W Stephane Bernadel SubGuillotine Choke R10:38 25.2 1,337+67 1,255 -- Featherweight Wreck MMA - Fight for the Troops Wreck MMA
5 2009-10-10 W Jeff Harrison SubRear-Naked Choke R14:32 25.0 1,310+27 1,013 -- -- W-1 MMA 3: High Voltage Warrior One
4 2009-05-30 W Eugenio Carpine SubRear Naked Choke R11:29 24.6 1,228+82 1,207 -- -- Ringside MMA 1: The Comeback Ringside
3 2009-02-27 L William Romero DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.4 1,276-49 1,320 -- -- XMMA 7: Inferno Quebec Regional
2 2008-11-08 W Gabriel Lavallée SubGuillotine Choke R12:18 24.1 1,232+45 1,045 -- -- XMMA 6: House of Pain Quebec Regional
1 2008-09-13 W Dimitri Waardenburg SubGuillotine Choke R12:32 23.9 1,145+87 1,143 -- -- XMMA 5: It's Crow Time Quebec Regional