Result UFC on ESPN 42: Thompson vs. Holland · Sat 3 Dec 2022 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Michael Johnson vs Marc Diakiese

Our model
34%66%
Market said
26%74%

The scorecards

Every score reads Michael Johnson first; a round is coloured for whoever won it
Judge R1R2R3Total
Sal D'Amato 9-1010-910-9 29-28
Chris Lee 9-1010-910-9 29-28
Troy Wincapaw 10-910-910-9 30-27
Media
16 1
16 of 17 media members scored it for Michael Johnson; the most common card was 29-28 to Michael Johnson
Fans
94% 4%
94% of fans had Michael Johnson winning, from 66 votes; the most picked score was 29-28 to Michael Johnson (85%)

Elo counted this as 68% of a win for Michael Johnson — from these scorecards.

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Michael JohnsonMarc Diakiese
1,649 Elo 1,733
1,362 KO rating 1,332
1,186 Sub rating 1,127
1,234 Dec rating 1,335
Wins by
9 KO/TKO 6
3 Submission 1
12 Decision 9
Losses by
2 KO/TKO 0
9 Submission 2
7 Decision 3
The crowd
19% Picked by 81%

Prices

The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlined
Michael JohnsonMarc Diakiese
+275opened +184 Moneyline -335opened -214
Method
+750Win by KO+250
+2500Win by sub+800
+500Win by dec-110
+650Win inside+225
How long it went
Over 1.5-357 Under 1.5+276 Over 2.5-215 Under 2.5+175 Decision-185 Inside+160

What the model makes of it

At the prices above Every bet →
  • Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 77% v 66% 8.3% -215 +0.47u
  • Goes the distancethe distance 72% v 63% 5.0% -200 +0.50u
  • Marc Diakiesemoneyline 80% v 75% 2.8% -335 -1.00u
  • Marc Diakiese by Decisionmethod: decision 55% v 42% 2.8% -110 -1.00u
  • Michael Johnson by Submissionmethod: sub 1% v 3% -2.4% +2500 lost
  • Michael Johnson by Decisionmethod: decision 13% v 13% -3.7% +500 won
  • Michael Johnson by KO/TKOmethod: KO 6% v 9% -6.1% +750 lost
  • Marc Diakiese inside the distanceinside the distance 25% v 27% -6.1% +225 lost
  • Michael Johnson inside the distanceinside the distance 7% v 12% -6.1% +650 lost
  • Marc Diakiese by Submissionmethod: sub 5% v 9% -6.2% +800 lost
  • Marc Diakiese by KO/TKOmethod: KO 20% v 23% -8.8% +250 lost

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Michael Johnson 24-18 going in · 45 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
51 2026-03-07 L Drew Dober KO/TKOStraight Left R26:53 39.8 1,770-101 1,716 -120 Lightweight UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
50 2025-07-19 W Daniel Zellhuber DecisionUnanimous R315:00 39.1 1,740+30 1,746 +475 Lightweight UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship
49 2024-12-14 W Ottman Azaitar KO/TKORight Hook R27:03 38.5 1,692+48 1,521 -230 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 63: Covington vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship
48 2024-02-10 W Darrius Flowers DecisionUnanimous R315:00 37.7 1,633+59 1,562 -144 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 236: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Ultimate Fighting Championship
47 2023-05-20 L Diego Ferreira KO/TKOOverhand Right R26:50 37.0 1,702-68 1,780 +123 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 223: Dern vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship
46 2022-12-03 W Marc Diakiese this fight DecisionUnanimous R315:00 36.5 1,649+52 1,733 +275 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 42: Thompson vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship
45 2022-07-09 L Jamie Mullarkey DecisionSplit R315:00 36.1 1,634+16 1,633 +200 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 39: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2022-05-14 W Alan Patrick KO/TKOCounter Left to Ground Strikes R28:22 35.9 1,526+108 1,609 -146 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 36: Blachowicz vs. Rakic Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2021-02-06 L Clay Guida DecisionUnanimous R315:00 34.7 1,563-30 1,620 -210 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 184: Overeem vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2020-05-13 L Thiago Moisés SubAnkle Lock R25:25 33.9 1,647-84 1,661 +100 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 171: Smith vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2019-10-26 L Stevie Ray DecisionMajority R315:00 33.4 1,669-22 1,560 -263 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 162: Maia vs. Askren Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2019-03-30 L Josh Emmett KO/TKOOverhand Right R314:14 32.8 1,742-73 1,801 -117 Featherweight UFC on ESPN 2: Barboza vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2018-10-27 W Artem Lobov DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.4 1,742-1 1,558 -608 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 138: Oezdemir vs. Smith Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2018-08-25 W Andre Fili DecisionSplit R315:00 32.2 1,780-37 1,632 +100 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 135: Gaethje vs. Vick Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2018-01-14 L Darren Elkins SubRear Naked Choke R27:22 31.6 1,855-76 1,902 -175 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2017-07-07 L Justin Gaethje KO/TKOPunches & Knees R29:48 31.1 1,908-52 2,056 -170 Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2016-11-12 L Khabib Nurmagomedov SubKimura R312:31 30.4 1,992-84 2,006 +245 Lightweight UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2016-09-17 W Dustin Poirier KO/TKOPunches R11:35 30.3 1,871+121 2,010 +145 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 94: Poirier vs. Johnson Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2015-12-19 L Nate Diaz DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.5 1,949-79 1,827 -471 Lightweight UFC on Fox 17: Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2015-08-08 L Beneil Dariush DecisionSplit R315:00 29.2 1,930+20 1,900 -159 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 73: Teixeira vs. St. Preux Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2015-02-22 W Edson Barboza DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.7 1,846+83 1,892 +115 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 61: Bigfoot vs. Mir Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2014-03-08 W Melvin Guillard DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.8 1,820+27 1,725 -117 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 37: Gustafsson vs. Manuwa Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2013-12-28 W Gleison Tibau KO/TKOPunches R26:32 27.6 1,715+105 1,786 +125 Lightweight UFC 168: Weidman vs. Silva 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
28 2013-08-17 W Joe Lauzon DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.2 1,582+133 1,781 +190 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 26: Shogun vs. Sonnen Ultimate Fighting Championship
27 2013-04-06 L Reza Madadi SubD'arce Choke R311:33 26.8 1,675-93 1,652 -226 Lightweight UFC on Fuel TV 9: Mousasi vs. Latifi Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2012-12-29 L Myles Jury DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.6 1,784-109 1,697 -247 Lightweight UFC 155: Dos Santos vs. Velasquez 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2012-10-05 W Danny Castillo KO/TKOPunches R26:06 26.3 1,698+86 1,690 -152 Lightweight UFC on FX 5: Browne vs. Bigfoot Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2012-05-05 W Tony Ferguson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.9 1,609+90 1,800 +210 Lightweight UFC on Fox 3: Diaz vs. Miller Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2012-01-28 W Shane Roller DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.7 1,585+24 1,563 -- Lightweight UFC on Fox 2: Evans vs. Davis Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2011-10-01 L Paul Sass SubHeel Hook R13:00 25.3 1,687-102 1,629 -- Lightweight UFC Live 6: Cruz vs. Johnson Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2011-06-26 W Edward Faaloloto KO/TKOPunches R14:42 25.1 1,676+11 1,205 -- Lightweight UFC Live 4: Kongo vs. Barry Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2010-12-04 L Jonathan Brookins DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.5 1,687-11 1,775 -- Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 12 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2010-07-12 W Nam Phan DecisionSplit R315:00 24.1 1,697-10 1,613 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 12 Semifinals The Ultimate Fighter
18 2010-07-06 W Alex Caceres DecisionUnanimous R210:00 24.1 1,655+42 1,500 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 12 Quarterfinals, Day 1 The Ultimate Fighter
17 2010-06-14 W Aaron Wilkinson SubRear Naked Choke R10:39 24.0 1,604+52 1,453 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 12 Opening Round, Day 2 The Ultimate Fighter
16 2010-06-05 W Pablo Garza DecisionUnanimous R210:00 24.0 1,549+54 1,451 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 12 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter
15 2010-01-30 W Chris McDaniel KO/TKOPunches R14:34 23.7 1,522+27 1,226 -- Lightweight FM - Productions Missouri Regional
14 2009-12-18 W Ramiro Hernandez DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.5 1,439+84 1,536 -- -- Titan Fighting Championship 15 Titan FC
13 2009-10-03 W Aaron Derrow KO/TKOPunches R10:43 23.3 1,316+123 1,465 -- Lightweight Xtreme Cage Fighter 10 Missouri Regional
12 2009-05-09 L Eric Marriott SubHeel Hook R2 22.9 1,370-54 1,508 -- -- FM - Productions Missouri Regional
11 2009-04-10 W Clay French SubKimura R13:16 22.9 1,237+133 1,438 -- Lightweight Fuel Fight Club Missouri Regional
10 2009-03-14 L Joe Brammer SubGuillotine Choke R4 22.8 1,296-59 1,415 -- -- Midwest Cage Championship Midwest Cage Championship
9 2008-11-22 L James Krause SubTriangle Choke R12:55 22.5 1,329-32 1,586 -- Light Heavyweight FM - Productions Missouri Regional
8 2008-09-13 W Warren Stewart KO/TKOPunches R12:37 22.3 1,302+27 1,006 -- Lightweight FM - Productions Missouri Regional
7 2008-07-25 W Luke Gwaltney DecisionMajority R315:00 22.1 1,274+28 1,299 -- -- Midwest Fight League Midwest Fight League
6 2008-04-25 L Ted Worthington SubTriangle Choke R3 21.9 1,323-49 1,486 -- -- Midwest Cage Championship Midwest Cage Championship
5 2008-04-18 W Steve Schneider Sub R12:12 21.9 1,225+97 1,265 -- Lightweight FM - Productions Missouri Regional
4 2008-02-01 W Chauncey Prather KO/TKOPunches R11:12 21.7 1,159+66 1,072 -- Lightweight FM - Productions Missouri Regional
3 2007-12-22 W Cody Carrillo DecisionUnanimous R39:00 21.5 1,098+61 1,186 -- Lightweight ISCF: Holiday Rage In The Cage International Sport Combat Federation am
2 2007-08-31 W Kyle Tracz KO/TKOPunches R11:10 21.2 1,013+85 1,120 -- Welterweight ECF - Friday Night Fights Extreme Cage Fighting am
1 2007-06-30 L Josh Castro Sub -- 21.1 1,079-66 1,079 -- -- Ohio Regional Regional / Unaffiliated am
Marc Diakiese 16-5 going in · 24 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
29 2025-04-18 L Gadzhi Rabadanov KO/TKOGround & Pound R10:32 32.1 1,693-22 2,031 +500 Lightweight PFL World Tournament 3: 2025 First Round Professional Fighters League
28 2024-09-14 W Tim Wilde DecisionUnanimous R315:00 31.5 1,671+21 1,639 -160 Lightweight Bellator Champions Series: London Bellator MMA
27 2023-11-04 W Kauê Fernandes DecisionSplit R315:00 30.6 1,621+51 1,624 -190 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 231: Almeida vs. Lewis Ultimate Fighting Championship
26 2023-07-22 L Joel Alvarez SubD'arce Choke R29:26 30.3 1,681-60 1,793 +175 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura Ultimate Fighting Championship
25 2022-12-03 L Michael Johnson this fight DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.7 1,733-52 1,649 -335 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 42: Thompson vs. Holland Ultimate Fighting Championship
24 2022-07-23 W Damir Hadžović DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.4 1,658+75 1,607 -430 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 208: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship
23 2022-03-26 W Viacheslav Borshchev DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.0 1,551+107 1,628 +121 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 33: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Ultimate Fighting Championship
22 2021-11-13 L Rafael Alves SubGuillotine Choke R11:48 28.7 1,607-56 1,739 -220 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 197: Holloway vs. Rodriguez Ultimate Fighting Championship
21 2020-07-18 L Rafael Fiziev DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.3 1,691-74 1,572 -155 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 172: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2019-09-28 W Lando Vannata DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.5 1,616+75 1,570 -157 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 160: Hermansson vs. Cannonier Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2019-03-16 W Joe Duffy DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.0 1,482+135 1,729 +155 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 147: Till vs. Masvidal Ultimate Fighting Championship
18 2018-07-22 L Nasrat Haqparast DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.3 1,592-110 1,500 -180 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 134: Shogun vs. Smith Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2017-12-30 L Dan Hooker SubGuillotine Choke R310:42 24.8 1,683-91 1,670 -195 Lightweight UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2017-07-07 L Drakkar Klose DecisionSplit R315:00 24.3 1,728-45 1,624 -265 Lightweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2017-03-18 W Teemu Packalén KO/TKOPunch R10:30 24.0 1,644+84 1,631 -205 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2016-12-09 W Frankie Perez DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.7 1,633+11 1,568 -280 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 102: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2016-10-08 W Łukasz Sajewski KO/TKOPunches R29:40 23.6 1,567+66 1,481 -267 Lightweight UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2016-05-14 W Kane Mousah KO/TKOPunch R10:36 23.2 1,507+60 1,394 -- Lightweight BAMMA 25: Champion vs. Champion BAMMA
11 2015-09-19 W Rick Selvarajah KO/TKOPunch R10:24 22.5 1,435+72 1,373 -- Lightweight BAMMA 22: Duquesnoy vs. Loughnane BAMMA
10 2015-03-28 W Jack McGann DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.0 1,372+63 1,384 -- Lightweight BAMMA 19: Petley vs. Stapleton BAMMA
9 2014-12-06 W Vernon O'Neill DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.7 1,348+24 1,199 -- Lightweight BAMMA 17: Fletcher vs. Brightmon BAMMA
8 2014-09-13 W Jefferson George DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.5 1,281+66 1,308 -- Lightweight BAMMA 16: Daley vs. da Rocha BAMMA
7 2014-06-28 W Danny Welsh SubRear Naked Choke R12:16 21.3 1,268+13 832 -- Lightweight Caged Steel 8: Grant vs. Stoyanov Caged Steel
6 2014-03-29 W Jakob Grzegorzek DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.0 1,255+13 1,048 -- Lightweight Caged Steel Fighting Championship 7 Caged Steel
5 2013-11-01 W Tom Earnshaw KO/TKOPunches R14:52 20.6 1,216+39 1,000 -- Lightweight Cage Kumite 2 Cage Kumite
4 2013-09-21 W Harris Neofytou KO/TKOPunches R11:27 20.5 1,152+64 1,055 -- Lightweight MMATC - MMA Total Combat 55 MMA Total Combat
3 2012-10-06 W Andy Craven DecisionUnanimous R36:00 19.6 1,095+57 1,162 -- Lightweight Caged Steel Fighting Championship 3 Caged Steel am
2 2012-08-18 W Andrew Kitchen SubRear-Naked Choke R12:40 19.4 1,066+29 848 -- Lightweight UCFC 4: Ultimate Cage Fighting Championships UCFC am
1 2012-05-19 W Nick Leaning DecisionUnanimous R39:00 19.2 1,023+43 1,016 -- Lightweight Caged Steel Fighting Championship 2 Caged Steel am