Result
UFC on ESPN 69: Usman vs. Buckley
· Sat 14 Jun 2025 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig
Rodolfo Bellato
“Trator”
12-2-1 · -405
1,644Elo
vs
Light Heavyweight
Paul Craig
“Bearjew”
17-9-1 · +305
1,724Elo
Elo
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litRodolfo BellatoPaul Craig
1,644
Elo
1,724
1,347
KO rating
1,339
1,184
Sub rating
1,355
1,174
Dec rating
1,187
Wins by
7
KO/TKO
4
4
Submission
13
1
Decision
0
Losses by
2
KO/TKO
5
0
Submission
2
0
Decision
2
The crowd
82%
Picked by
18%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedRodolfo BellatoPaul Craig
-405opened -350
Moneyline
+305opened +285
Method
-150Win by KO+1300
+500Win by sub+650
+500Win by dec+900
-250Win inside+475
How long it went
Over 1.5-120
Under 1.5-110
Over 2.5+217
Under 2.5-307
Decision+325
Inside-450
What the model makes of it
At the prices aboveThe model has no priced opinion on this bout.
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstRodolfo BellatoPaul Craig
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Rodolfo Bellato
12-2-1 going in · 15 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2026-03-07 | W |
 Luke Fernandez
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground Punches | R12:42 | 30.1 | 1,590+111 | 1,688 | +185 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2025-09-27 | L |
 Navajo Stirling
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.6 | 1,644-54 | 1,642 | +220 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 260: Ulberg vs. Reyes Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2025-06-14 | NC |
Paul Craig
this fight
|
-- | R14:59 | 29.4 | 1,644+0 | 1,724 | -405 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 69: Usman vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2025-02-08 | D |
 Jimmy Crute
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 29.0 | 1,687-43 | 1,615 | -140 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2023-12-02 | W |
 Ihor Potieria
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:17 | 27.8 | 1,631+62 | 1,527 | -425 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 52: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2023-10-03 | W |
 Murtaza Talha
|
KO/TKOPunches | R29:46 | 27.7 | 1,500+131 | 1,690 | +235 | Light Heavyweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2023: Week 9 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 12 | 2023-05-27 | W |
Acácio dos Santos
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 27.3 | 1,442+58 | 1,458 | -215 | Light Heavyweight | LFA 159: Bellato vs. Dos Santos Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 11 | 2023-03-10 | W |
Mateus Messaros
|
KO/TKOKnee to Ground Punches | R11:37 | 27.1 | 1,417+25 | 1,108 | -800 | Open Weight | LFA 154: Fernando vs. Silva Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 10 | 2022-09-06 | L |
Vitor Petrino
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground Strike | R28:36 | 26.6 | 1,506-89 | 1,500 | +117 | Light Heavyweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 7 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 9 | 2022-03-11 | W |
Thiago Vieira
|
SubTriangle Choke | R14:58 | 26.1 | 1,422+84 | 1,408 | -145 | Light Heavyweight | LFA 126: Bilharinho vs. Delano Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 8 | 2021-07-16 | W |
Carlos Eduardo
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:05 | 25.4 | 1,298+124 | 1,453 | +210 | Light Heavyweight | LFA 111: De Sa vs. Bonfim Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 7 | 2019-12-06 | W |
Marcos Matos
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R13:44 | 23.8 | 1,190+117 | 1,313 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Future MMA 10: Furia vs. Godzilla Future Fighting Championships |
| 6 | 2019-05-03 | L |
Vitor Petrino
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:25 | 23.2 | 1,303-113 | 1,198 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Maxfight - Warriors 42 Max Fight |
| 5 | 2018-10-27 | W |
Rodrigo Tadeu
|
SubLeg Lock | R11:03 | 22.7 | 1,282+21 | 936 | -- | Light Heavyweight | LLC - Leoes da Luta 5 LeLeo Code MMA |
| 4 | 2018-05-19 | W |
Vanderson de Camp
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:25 | 22.3 | 1,240+41 | 1,037 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Eco Combat Championship 20 Eco Combat Championship |
| 3 | 2017-11-12 | W |
Rafael Calcidoni
|
KO/TKOPunches | R26:50 | 21.8 | 1,157+84 | 1,141 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Leoes da Luta Championship - Ibiuna Edition Leões da Luta |
| 2 | 2017-10-21 | W |
Maycon Silva
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:30 | 21.7 | 1,090+67 | 1,007 | -- | Middleweight | Impacto Fight Night Impacto Fight Night |
| 1 | 2017-07-16 | W |
Guido Guido
|
SubArmbar | R14:10 | 21.4 | 1,002+88 | 1,002 | -- | Super Heavyweight | Leoes da Luta - War Heroes Leões da Luta |
Paul Craig
17-9-1 going in · 31 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2025-09-06 | L |
 Modestas Bukauskas
|
KO/TKOElbow From Top Position | R15:00 | 37.8 | 1,724-96 | 1,691 | +285 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 258: Imavov vs. Borralho Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2025-06-14 | NC |
Rodolfo Bellato
this fight
|
-- | R14:59 | 37.5 | 1,724+0 | 1,644 | +305 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 69: Usman vs. Buckley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2024-11-16 | L |
Bo Nickal
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 37.0 | 1,770-46 | 1,706 | +850 | Middleweight | UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2024-05-04 | L |
Caio Borralho
|
KO/TKOLeft Cross | R27:10 | 36.4 | 1,851-81 | 1,877 | +425 | Middleweight | UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2023-11-18 | L |
Brendan Allen
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R310:38 | 36.0 | 1,905-54 | 2,044 | +340 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 232: Allen vs. Craig Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2023-07-22 | W |
André Muniz
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R29:40 | 35.6 | 1,790+115 | 1,905 | +197 | Middleweight | UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2023-01-21 | L |
Johnny Walker
|
KO/TKORight Cross to Hammerfists | R12:16 | 35.2 | 1,894-104 | 1,827 | +166 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2022-07-23 | L |
 Volkan Oezdemir
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 34.7 | 1,992-98 | 1,757 | +125 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 208: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2022-03-19 | W |
Nikita Krylov
|
SubTriangle Choke | R13:57 | 34.3 | 1,907+85 | 1,898 | +170 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 204: Volkov vs. Aspinall Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2021-06-12 | W |
Jamahal Hill
|
KO/TKOArm Injury & Strikes From Guard | R11:59 | 33.5 | 1,819+87 | 1,818 | +230 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2020-11-21 | W |
Maurício Rua
|
KO/TKOTapped to Strikes | R28:36 | 33.0 | 1,721+98 | 1,765 | -175 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2020-07-25 | W |
 Gadzhimurad Antigulov
|
SubTriangle Choke | R12:06 | 32.7 | 1,635+86 | 1,628 | -140 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2019-11-16 | D |
Maurício Rua
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.0 | 1,601+34 | 1,814 | +226 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 164: Blachowicz vs. Jacare Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2019-09-21 | W |
Vinicius Moreira
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:19 | 31.8 | 1,535+66 | 1,449 | -105 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 159: Rodriguez vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2019-06-29 | L |
Alonzo Menifield
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:19 | 31.6 | 1,602-67 | 1,683 | +215 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 3: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2019-03-30 | W |
 Kennedy Nzechukwu
|
SubTriangle Choke | R314:20 | 31.3 | 1,528+74 | 1,474 | +148 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on ESPN 2: Barboza vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2018-12-01 | L |
Jimmy Crute
|
SubKimura | R314:51 | 31.0 | 1,628-100 | 1,577 | +208 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 142: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2018-03-17 | W |
Magomed Ankalaev
|
SubTriangle Choke | R314:59 | 30.3 | 1,473+155 | 1,830 | +525 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 127: Werdum vs. Volkov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2017-07-16 | L |
Khalil Rountree Jr.
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:56 | 29.6 | 1,579-106 | 1,503 | +150 | Light Heavyweight | UFC Fight Night 113: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2017-03-04 | L |
Tyson Pedro
|
KO/TKOElbows | R14:10 | 29.3 | 1,716-137 | 1,494 | +115 | Light Heavyweight | UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2016-12-17 | W |
Luis Henrique da Silva
|
SubArmbar | R26:59 | 29.1 | 1,594+122 | 1,739 | +180 | Light Heavyweight | UFC on Fox 22: VanZant vs. Waterson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2015-11-14 | W |
 Marcin Łazarz
|
SubTriangle Choke | R13:51 | 28.0 | 1,518+79 | 1,485 | -- | Light Heavyweight | BAMMA 23: Night of Champions BAMMA |
| 11 | 2015-09-19 | W |
 Karl Moore
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R25:42 | 27.8 | 1,412+106 | 1,486 | -- | Light Heavyweight | BAMMA 22: Duquesnoy vs. Loughnane BAMMA |
| 10 | 2015-06-20 | W |
 Adam Wright
|
SubArmbar | R10:47 | 27.6 | 1,402+10 | 911 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Animalistic MMA: Rise of the Alpha Animalistic MMA |
| 9 | 2015-04-11 | W |
Andrej Bochorz
|
SubD'arce Choke | R12:37 | 27.4 | 1,388+14 | 969 | -- | Light Heavyweight | FSC 5: FightStar Championship 5 FightStar Championship |
| 8 | 2014-09-13 | W |
 Dan Konecke
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:18 | 26.8 | 1,350+37 | 1,124 | -- | Light Heavyweight | First Fighting Championship: Resurgance First Fighting Championship |
| 7 | 2014-06-21 | W |
Jon Ferguson
|
SubTriangle Choke | R11:50 | 26.6 | 1,318+33 | 1,062 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Full Contact Contender 10 Full Contact Contender |
| 6 | 2014-03-01 | W |
Antonio Braga
|
SubTriangle Choke | R12:41 | 26.3 | 1,283+34 | 1,039 | -- | Light Heavyweight | UXC 2: Moore vs Reid Underdog Xtreme Championships |
| 5 | 2013-08-24 | W |
Brad Carter
|
SubTriangle Choke | R12:00 | 25.7 | 1,269+14 | 847 | -- | Light Heavyweight | First Fighting Championship 3: Prepare for Glory First Fighting Championship |
| 4 | 2013-03-16 | W |
 Carlos Dunbar
|
Sub | -- | 25.3 | 1,234+35 | 1,058 | -- | -- | -- First Fighting Championship am |
| 3 | 2012-11-11 | W |
Jeff Metcalfe
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:46 | 25.0 | 1,185+49 | 1,095 | -- | Middleweight | Supremacy Fight Challenge 8 Supremacy Fight Challenge am |
| 2 | 2012-10-06 | W |
Paul Bradshaw
|
SubTriangle Choke | R12:41 | 24.9 | 1,145+40 | 1,004 | -- | Light Heavyweight | MMATC - MMA Total Combat 50 MMA Total Combat am |
| 1 | 2012-07-21 | W |
Gary Sivills
|
SubArmbar | R11:26 | 24.6 | 1,051+94 | 1,211 | -- | Light Heavyweight | Total Combat 48 MMA Total Combat am |