Result UFC on ESPN 59: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Sat 13 Jul 2024 · Ultimate Fighting Championship

Jean Silva vs Drew Dober

Elo
43%57%
Market said
51%49%

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Jean SilvaDrew Dober
1,788 Elo 1,835
1,518 KO rating 1,496
1,249 Sub rating 1,307
1,251 Dec rating 1,280
Wins by
10 KO/TKO 14
2 Submission 6
1 Decision 7
Losses by
0 KO/TKO 2
0 Submission 4
2 Decision 8
The crowd
57% Picked by 43%

Prices

The close; the outcome that happened is outlined
Jean SilvaDrew Dober
-115Moneyline-105
-105Opened-120
+185Win by KO+200
+600Win by sub+2000
+500Win by dec+400
+110Win inside+180
How long it went
Over 1.5-130 Under 1.5+100 Over 2.5+164 Under 2.5-220 Decision+240 Inside-300

What the model makes of it

Every bet →
  • Goes the distancethe distance 40% v 27% 10.5% +240 -1.00u
  • Over 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 66% v 53% 9.0% -130 +0.77u
  • Jean Silvamoneyline 62% v 51% 7.6% -119 +0.84u
  • Jean Silva by Decisionmethod: decision 22% v 13% 5.8% +500 -1.00u
  • Drew Dober by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 4% -2.4% +2000 lost
  • Jean Silva by KO/TKOmethod: KO 32% v 28% -2.8% +185 won
  • Drew Dober by Decisionmethod: decision 16% v 16% -3.6% +400 lost
  • Jean Silva by Submissionmethod: sub 7% v 12% -7.1% +600 lost
  • Jean Silva inside the distanceinside the distance 39% v 40% -8.2% +110 won
  • Drew Dober by KO/TKOmethod: KO 19% v 27% -14.0% +200 lost
  • Drew Dober inside the distanceinside the distance 22% v 30% -14.0% +180 lost

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Jean Silva 13-2 going in · 15 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
21 2026-09-12 W Jose Delgado SubRear Naked Choke R312:57 29.7 1,949+55 1,815 -400 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 288: Noche UFC 4 Ultimate Fighting Championship
20 2026-01-24 W Arnold Allen DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.1 1,900+49 2,001 -245 Featherweight UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Ultimate Fighting Championship
19 2025-09-13 L Diego Lopes KO/TKOSpinning Back Elbow to Ground Punches R29:48 28.8 1,965-65 2,057 -247 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 259 - Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva Ultimate Fighting Championship
18 2025-04-12 W Bryce Mitchell SubNinja Choke R28:52 28.3 1,905+60 1,791 -195 Featherweight UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Ultimate Fighting Championship
17 2025-02-22 W Melsik Baghdasaryan KO/TKOStraight Right to Ground Strikes R14:15 28.2 1,887+18 1,508 -503 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 252: Cejudo vs. Song Ultimate Fighting Championship
16 2024-07-13 W Drew Dober this fight KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Cut) R311:28 27.6 1,788+99 1,835 -115 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 59: Namajunas vs. Cortez Ultimate Fighting Championship
15 2024-06-29 W Charles Jourdain KO/TKOUppercut R26:22 27.5 1,685+103 1,749 +100 Featherweight UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
14 2024-01-13 W Westin Wilson KO/TKOPunches R14:12 27.1 1,636+49 1,470 -911 Featherweight UFC Fight Night 234: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2023-09-05 W Kevin Vallejos DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.7 1,564+72 1,613 +152 Featherweight Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2023: Week 5 Dana White's Contender Series
12 2023-03-25 W Shahin Najafi KO/TKORetirement R12:15 26.3 1,547+17 1,159 -- Lightweight Spartacus MMA - Spartacus Fight Event 34 Spartacus MMA
11 2023-02-04 W Valdemir Cardoso KO/TKOPunch R12:59 26.1 1,495+53 1,348 -- Featherweight Spartacus MMA - Spartacus Fight Event 28 Spartacus MMA
10 2021-08-08 W Tiago Souza SubGuillotine Choke R10:50 24.7 1,477+30 1,206 -- Featherweight Big Shot Fight 1 - Big Shot: Floripa vs. Goiania RFA Fight
9 2021-06-27 W Adriano Souza KO/TKOPunch R14:22 24.5 1,426+51 1,270 -- Featherweight Future MMA - Road to Future 1 Future Fighting Championships
8 2020-03-08 W Tamyray Lacerda KO/TKOFlying Knee R14:28 23.2 1,367+66 1,279 -- Featherweight Cidade da Luta 5 Cidade da Luta
7 2019-04-27 W Henrique Santos SubGuillotine Choke R13:21 22.4 1,359+8 826 -- Featherweight MTK MMA Brasil 1 MTK MMA
6 2018-11-10 W Muniz Martins KO/TKOPunch R12:10 21.9 1,290+69 1,216 -- Featherweight MF Fighters 1 MF Fighters
5 2018-04-21 L Gabriel Schlupp DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.4 1,386-96 1,233 -- Featherweight Sao Jose Super Fight Qualifying - SJSF São José Super Fight
4 2017-12-16 W Lucas Razalkiewicz KO/TKODoctor Stoppage R28:43 21.0 1,355+31 1,088 -- Catchweight Blackout Fight Championship 5 Blackout Fight Championship
3 2017-05-21 L Pedro Henrique DecisionSplit R315:00 20.4 1,381-26 1,321 -- Bantamweight Aspera Fighting Championship 52 Aspera N1
2 2017-03-18 W Anderson Renan KO/TKOPunches R28:11 20.3 1,274+107 1,352 -- Bantamweight Aspera FC 50 Aspera N1
1 2016-11-19 W Lorenzo Rodrigues KO/TKOPunch R10:15 19.9 1,182+92 1,202 -- Featherweight Aspera FC 48 Aspera N1
Drew Dober 27-14 (1 NC) going in · 52 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
56 2026-03-07 W Michael Johnson KO/TKOStraight Left R26:53 37.4 1,716+101 1,770 +100 Lightweight UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
55 2025-10-18 W Kyle Prepolec KO/TKOPunches, Knees, & Elbows R311:16 37.0 1,643+73 1,584 -385 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 262: De Ridder vs. Allen Ultimate Fighting Championship
54 2025-03-29 L Manuel Torres KO/TKOJab-straight Combo & Ground Strikes R11:45 36.4 1,736-93 1,715 -106 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 64: Moreno vs. Erceg Ultimate Fighting Championship
53 2024-07-13 L Jean Silva this fight KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Cut) R311:28 35.7 1,835-99 1,788 -105 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 59: Namajunas vs. Cortez Ultimate Fighting Championship
52 2024-02-03 L Renato Moicano DecisionUnanimous R315:00 35.3 1,874-39 1,827 +160 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 235: Dolidze vs. Imavov Ultimate Fighting Championship
51 2023-10-07 W Ricky Glenn KO/TKOLeft Hook & Ground Strikes R12:36 35.0 1,843+32 1,580 -423 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 229: Dawson vs. Green Ultimate Fighting Championship
50 2023-05-06 L Matt Frevola KO/TKORight Hook to Ground Strikes R14:08 34.5 1,986-143 1,727 -222 Lightweight UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo Ultimate Fighting Championship
49 2022-12-17 W King Green KO/TKOLeft Hook R27:45 34.2 1,897+89 1,903 -160 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 216: Cannonier vs. Strickland Ultimate Fighting Championship
48 2022-07-30 W Rafael Alves KO/TKOHook to the Body R311:30 33.8 1,814+83 1,795 -174 Lightweight UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
47 2022-03-12 W Terrance McKinney KO/TKOKnee to Ground Strikes R13:17 33.4 1,739+75 1,688 -162 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 203: Santos vs. Ankalaev Ultimate Fighting Championship
46 2021-06-12 L Brad Riddell DecisionUnanimous R315:00 32.6 1,816-77 1,588 -150 Lightweight UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
45 2021-03-06 L Islam Makhachev SubArm Triangle Choke From Half Guard R311:37 32.4 1,882-66 1,967 +330 Lightweight UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya Ultimate Fighting Championship
44 2020-05-13 W Alexander Hernandez KO/TKOPunches R29:25 31.6 1,811+71 1,746 -120 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 171: Smith vs. Teixeira Ultimate Fighting Championship
43 2020-01-18 W Nasrat Haqparast KO/TKOCounter Cross to Ground & Pound R11:10 31.2 1,707+103 1,771 +266 Lightweight UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone Ultimate Fighting Championship
42 2019-06-29 W Polo Reyes KO/TKOLeft Cross R11:07 30.7 1,655+53 1,508 -325 Lightweight UFC on ESPN 3: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship
41 2019-03-09 L Beneil Dariush SubArmbar R29:41 30.4 1,714-59 1,830 +159 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 146: Lewis vs. Dos Santos Ultimate Fighting Championship
40 2018-08-25 W Jon Tuck DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.8 1,627+87 1,627 -205 Lightweight UFC Fight Night 135: Gaethje vs. Vick Ultimate Fighting Championship
39 2018-01-27 W Frank Camacho DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.3 1,660-34 1,523 -175 Welterweight UFC on Fox 27: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
38 2017-07-29 W Josh Burkman KO/TKOPunches R13:04 28.8 1,578+83 1,559 -315 Lightweight UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship
37 2016-12-10 L Olivier Aubin-Mercier SubRear Naked Choke R27:57 28.1 1,646-69 1,722 +145 Lightweight UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis Ultimate Fighting Championship
36 2016-09-10 W Jason Gonzalez KO/TKOPunches R11:45 27.9 1,562+85 1,551 -175 Lightweight UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem Ultimate Fighting Championship
35 2016-01-02 W Scott Holtzman DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.2 1,492+69 1,668 +153 Lightweight UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit Ultimate Fighting Championship
34 2015-06-13 L Efrain Escudero SubGuillotine Choke R10:54 26.6 1,554-62 1,657 -159 Lightweight UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum Ultimate Fighting Championship
33 2015-03-21 NC Leandro Silva Sub R27:45 26.4 1,554+0 1,652 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 62: Maia vs. LaFlare Ultimate Fighting Championship
32 2014-12-13 W Jamie Varner SubRear Naked Choke R11:52 26.1 1,444+111 1,539 +260 Lightweight UFC on Fox 13: Dos Santos vs. Miocic Ultimate Fighting Championship
31 2014-05-31 L Nick Hein DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.6 1,494-50 1,501 -- Lightweight UFC Fight Night 41: Munoz vs. Mousasi Ultimate Fighting Championship
30 2013-11-30 L Sean Spencer DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.1 1,621-127 1,442 +150 Welterweight UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 18 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship
29 2013-10-18 W Tony Sims DecisionSplit R315:00 25.0 1,637-16 1,528 -- Lightweight Prize FC 4: Thrillers Prize FC
28 2013-07-27 W T.J. O'Brien SubRear Naked Choke R28:57 24.8 1,588+49 1,423 -- Lightweight Victory Fighting Championship 40 Victory Fighting Championship
27 2013-03-01 W Aaron Derrow DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.4 1,560+28 1,429 -- Welterweight Centurion Fights Missouri Regional
26 2013-01-26 W Sean Wilson SubRear Naked Choke R14:58 24.3 1,527+33 1,276 -- Lightweight Disorderly Conduct 15: Resolution Disorderly Conduct MMA
25 2012-12-15 W Robert Rojas SubRear Naked Choke R13:29 24.2 1,457+70 1,385 -- Lightweight Victory Fighting Championship 38 Victory Fighting Championship
24 2012-08-10 L Will Brooks DecisionUnanimous R315:00 23.8 1,499-42 1,571 -- Lightweight Disorderly Conduct 10: The Yin and The Yang Disorderly Conduct MMA
23 2012-04-13 W Ted Worthington Sub R3 23.5 1,463+36 1,227 -- -- Victory Fighting Championship 37 Victory Fighting Championship
22 2012-03-09 L Daron Cruickshank DecisionUnanimous R15:00 23.4 1,539-76 1,566 -- Lightweight UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Season 15 Elimination Fights The Ultimate Fighter
21 2011-11-04 W Jordan Johnson KO/TKOSubmission to Punches R2 23.0 1,433+106 1,508 -- -- Disorderly Conduct 4: Turf War Disorderly Conduct MMA
20 2011-07-30 W Sam Jackson DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.8 1,441-8 1,084 -- -- Victory Fighting Championship 35 Victory Fighting Championship
19 2011-03-31 L Ramiro Hernandez KO/TKOPunches R12:29 22.4 1,550-109 1,462 -- -- Victory Fighting Championship 34 Victory Fighting Championship
18 2011-01-28 W Bobby Cooper DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.3 1,533+17 1,348 -- Catchweight Titan FC 16: Sylvia vs. Wagner Titan FC
17 2010-12-10 W Kody Frank KO/TKOPunches R2 22.1 1,475+58 1,353 -- -- Victory Fighting Championship 33 Victory Fighting Championship
16 2010-11-12 W Steve Simmons KO/TKOSubmission to Punches R3 22.1 1,443+32 1,185 -- -- FTW - The Professionals Fight to Win
15 2010-07-30 W Jimmy Seipel KO/TKOSubmission to Punches and Elbows R2 21.8 1,386+56 1,256 -- -- VFC 32: Dober vs. Seipel 2 Victory Fighting Championship
14 2010-04-29 W Nick Nolte SubArm Triangle Choke R14:45 21.5 1,291+95 1,322 -- Welterweight Bellator 16 Bellator MMA
13 2009-11-13 L Brandon Girtz DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.1 1,383-91 1,251 -- -- VFC 29: The Rising Victory Fighting Championship
12 2009-09-12 L Chase Hackett DecisionUnanimous R315:00 20.9 1,510-127 1,151 -- -- FTW - Featherweight Grand Prix Final Round Fight to Win
11 2009-07-24 W Frank Caraballo KO/TKOPunches R2 20.8 1,436+74 1,381 -- -- VFC 28: Throwdown Victory Fighting Championship
10 2009-03-14 W Prentice Ingram Decision -- 20.4 1,425+12 1,269 -- -- Fight to Win Fight to Win am
9 2009-02-20 W Jimmy Seipel SubArmbar R2 20.3 1,407+18 1,084 -- -- VFC 26: Onslaught Victory Fighting Championship am
8 2008-12-05 W Adam Cunningham SubRear-Naked Choke R1 20.1 1,368+39 1,220 -- -- VFC 25: Primetime Victory Fighting Championship am
7 2008-10-03 W Lumumba Sayers KO/TKOPunch R10:16 20.0 1,319+49 1,227 -- Welterweight Strikeforce: Payback Strikeforce am
6 2008-05-09 W Wes Clark -- -- 19.6 1,288+31 1,081 -- -- VFC 23: Validation Victory Fighting Championship am
5 2007-12-07 W Jesse Wolf KO/TKOPunches -- 19.1 1,240+49 1,148 -- -- VFC 21: Infamous Victory Fighting Championship am
4 2007-09-07 W Dan Lantzer KO/TKOPunches R13:00 18.9 1,171+69 1,188 -- -- VFC 20: Aces Victory Fighting Championship am
3 2007-04-27 W Justin Zerrier KO/TKO -- 18.5 1,128+43 1,003 -- -- Omaha Fight Club Omaha Fight Club am
2 2006-11-17 W Thomas Willhite KO/TKO -- 18.1 1,075+53 1,008 -- -- Omaha Fight Club Omaha Fight Club am
1 2006-09-15 W Shain Castillo KO/TKO -- 17.9 1,009+66 1,009 -- -- Omaha Fight Club Omaha Fight Club am