Result Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri · Tue 30 Dec 2025 · RIZIN Fighting Federation

Danny Sabatello vs Naoki Inoue

Elo
35%65%
Market said
53%47%

The scorecards

How the decision was scored

Elo counted this as 56% of a win for Danny Sabatello — the average for a split decision, as no scorecards are on record.

Tale of the tape

The better of each pair is lit
Danny SabatelloNaoki Inoue
1,835 Elo 1,942
1,349 KO rating 1,436
1,268 Sub rating 1,341
1,409 Dec rating 1,410
Wins by
4 KO/TKO 2
5 Submission 9
7 Decision 9
Losses by
1 KO/TKO 0
1 Submission 0
2 Decision 4
The crowd
28% Picked by 72%

Prices

The close at BetOnline, where every bet here is settled, then the market as a whole; the outcome that happened is outlined
Danny SabatelloNaoki Inoue
-115opened -140 Moneyline · BetOnline -105opened +100
-127opened -140 Moneyline · all books -101opened +102

What the model makes of it

At BetOnline's price Every bet →
  • Naoki Inouemoneyline 50% v 46% -1.4% -105 lost

Common opponents

Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent first
Danny SabatelloNaoki Inoue

Fight history

Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.

Danny Sabatello 16-4-1 going in · 21 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
24 2026-07-17 W Jinnosuke Kashimura KO/TKORight Hook R310:40 33.3 1,883+45 1,697 -877 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 15 RIZIN Fighting Federation
23 2026-04-11 W Joji Goto DecisionUnanimous R315:00 33.0 1,872+11 1,656 -308 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 13 RIZIN Fighting Federation
22 2025-12-30 W Naoki Inoue this fight DecisionSplit R315:00 32.8 1,835+37 1,942 -127 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri RIZIN Fighting Federation
21 2025-09-27 W Shoko Sato DecisionSplit R315:00 32.5 1,836-1 1,791 -333 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 51 RIZIN Fighting Federation
20 2025-05-04 W Shinobu Ota KO/TKOGround & Pound R310:20 32.1 1,779+57 1,651 -333 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Otoko Matsuri RIZIN Fighting Federation
19 2024-08-16 D Lazaro Dayron DecisionMajority R315:00 31.4 1,797-17 1,608 -900 Bantamweight PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs Professional Fighters League
18 2023-11-17 L Raufeon Stots DecisionUnanimous R315:00 30.6 1,815-19 1,860 -134 Bantamweight Bellator 301: Amosov vs. Jackson Bellator MMA
17 2023-07-29 L Magomed Magomedov SubGuillotine Choke R13:55 30.3 1,935-120 1,799 -225 Bantamweight Bellator MMA vs. RIZIN 2: McKee vs. Pitbull Bellator MMA
16 2023-04-21 W Marcos Breno SubRear Naked Choke R29:10 30.1 1,881+54 1,742 -427 Bantamweight Bellator 294: Carmouche vs. Bennett 2 Bellator MMA
15 2022-12-09 L Raufeon Stots DecisionSplit R525:00 29.7 1,855+27 1,960 +150 Bantamweight Bellator 289: Stots vs. Sabatello Bellator MMA
14 2022-06-24 W Leandro Higo DecisionUnanimous R525:00 29.2 1,801+53 1,805 -550 Bantamweight Bellator 282: Mousasi vs. Eblen Bellator MMA
13 2022-04-22 W Jornel Lugo DecisionUnanimous R315:00 29.1 1,736+65 1,646 -412 Bantamweight Bellator 278: Velasquez vs. Carmouche Bellator MMA
12 2021-05-21 W Brett Johns DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.1 1,611+125 1,821 +200 Bantamweight Bellator 259: Cyborg vs. Smith 2 Bellator MMA
11 2021-02-12 W Da'Mon Blackshear DecisionUnanimous R515:00 27.9 1,528+83 1,556 -284 Bantamweight Titan FC 67: Sabatello vs. Blackshear Titan FC
10 2020-11-10 W Taylor Moore DecisionUnanimous R315:00 27.6 1,445+83 1,426 -620 Bantamweight Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2020: Week 9 Dana White's Contender Series
9 2020-06-26 W Raymond Ramos SubRear Naked Choke R11:56 27.2 1,364+81 1,339 -461 Bantamweight Titan FC 61: Sabatello vs. Ramos Titan FC
8 2020-05-29 W Chris Johnson SubArm Triangle Choke R311:54 27.2 1,286+78 1,248 -- Bantamweight Titan FC 60 Titan FC
7 2019-12-20 L Irwin Rivera KO/TKOKO/TKO R419:26 26.7 1,348-62 1,451 +125 Bantamweight Titan FC 58: Rivera vs. Sabatello Titan FC
6 2019-08-23 W Philip Keller KO/TKOPunches R11:41 26.4 1,309+39 1,091 -- Bantamweight Titan FC 56 Titan FC
5 2019-06-19 W Earnest Walls SubRear Naked Choke R11:34 26.2 1,288+21 941 -- Bantamweight War at the Rock 2: FightGame Action Fight League
4 2019-03-30 W John Barragan KO/TKOKnock Out R12:29 26.0 1,268+20 912 -- Bantamweight Underground Cage Fighting Championship 3 Underground Cage Fighting Championship
3 2019-02-16 W Jeremias Fernandez DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.9 1,203+65 1,225 -- Bantamweight War at the Rock 1 Action Fight League
2 2018-11-17 W Cesar Danny Gonzalez KO/TKOKO/TKO R10:53 25.6 1,130+73 1,073 -- Bantamweight Underground Cage Fighting Championship 2 Underground Cage Fighting Championship
1 2018-07-21 W Ray Paige SubSubmission R12:55 25.3 1,040+90 1,051 -- Bantamweight Underground Cage Fighting Championship 1 Underground Cage Fighting Championship
Naoki Inoue 20-4 going in · 28 bouts on record before this one Full profile →
#DateResultOpponent MethodRoundAge Elo Opp Elo Close Weight classEvent
30 2026-05-23 W Marcirley Alves DecisionSplit R315:00 28.9 1,905-29 1,768 -110 Bantamweight Professional Fighters League - PFL Brussels: Habirora vs. Henderson Professional Fighters League
29 2025-12-30 L Danny Sabatello this fight DecisionSplit R315:00 28.5 1,942-37 1,835 -101 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri RIZIN Fighting Federation
28 2025-07-27 W Ryuya Fukuda DecisionUnanimous R315:00 28.1 1,910+31 1,794 -400 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Super Rizin 4 RIZIN Fighting Federation
27 2025-03-29 W Yuki Motoya DecisionSplit R315:00 27.8 1,920-10 1,837 -450 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 50 RIZIN Fighting Federation
26 2024-09-29 W Soo Chul Kim KO/TKOReferee Stoppage R13:55 27.3 1,830+90 1,841 +130 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 48 RIZIN Fighting Federation
25 2024-03-23 W Shoko Sato DecisionUnanimous R315:00 26.8 1,780+50 1,743 -210 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 9 RIZIN Fighting Federation
24 2023-05-06 L Juan Archuleta DecisionUnanimous R315:00 25.9 1,871-91 1,739 +145 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 42 RIZIN Fighting Federation
23 2022-12-31 W Kenta Takizawa SubStraight Armbar R28:53 25.5 1,822+49 1,658 -401 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 40: Bellator MMA vs. Rizin RIZIN Fighting Federation
22 2021-12-30 L Hiromasa Ougikubo DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.5 1,890-68 1,858 -400 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 33 RIZIN Fighting Federation
21 2021-09-19 W Yuto Hokamura DecisionUnanimous R315:00 24.3 1,891-1 1,593 -1408 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 30 RIZIN Fighting Federation
20 2021-06-13 W Shintaro Ishiwatari KO/TKOSoccer Kick R11:58 24.0 1,805+86 1,798 -- Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 28 RIZIN Fighting Federation
19 2020-12-31 W Yuki Motoya SubRear Naked Choke R13:00 23.5 1,687+119 1,817 -263 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 26 RIZIN Fighting Federation
18 2020-08-09 W Shooto Watanabe SubRear Naked Choke R11:40 23.2 1,608+78 1,572 -588 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 22 RIZIN Fighting Federation
17 2020-02-22 W Trent Girdham DecisionUnanimous R315:00 22.7 1,551+57 1,542 -202 Bantamweight Rizin FF - Rizin 21 RIZIN Fighting Federation
16 2019-12-15 W Toshiaki Kitada SubRear Naked Choke R12:41 22.5 1,510+41 1,303 -- Bantamweight Deep - 93 Impact DEEP
15 2019-02-16 L Sean Santella DecisionUnanimous R315:00 21.7 1,568-58 1,574 -- Flyweight CFFC 72: Brady vs. Abdul-Hakim Cage Fury FC
14 2018-06-23 L Matt Schnell DecisionSplit R315:00 21.0 1,605-37 1,457 -188 Flyweight UFC Fight Night 132: Cerrone vs. Edwards Ultimate Fighting Championship
13 2017-06-17 W Carls John de Tomas DecisionUnanimous R315:00 20.0 1,551+55 1,413 -270 Flyweight UFC Fight Night 111: Holm vs. Correia Ultimate Fighting Championship
12 2017-03-18 W Tomohiro Adaniya DecisionMajority R210:00 19.8 1,575-25 1,360 -- Flyweight Deep - 78 Impact DEEP
11 2016-10-09 W Yuya Shibata SubArmbar R27:51 19.3 1,472+103 1,535 -- Flyweight Deep - Cage Impact 2016 in Osaka DEEP
10 2016-08-27 W Go Minamide DecisionMajority R210:00 19.2 1,486-14 1,326 -- Flyweight Deep - 77 Impact / Jewels 13 DEEP
9 2016-06-12 W Naoyuki Kato SubRear Naked Choke R10:44 19.0 1,467+19 1,104 -- Flyweight Deep - Nagoya Impact: Kobudo Fight 17 DEEP
8 2016-04-23 W Iyori Akiba SubRear Naked Choke R14:32 18.9 1,416+51 1,263 -- Flyweight Deep - Cage Impact 2016 DEEP
7 2015-12-20 W Chikara Shimabukuro DecisionUnanimous R210:00 18.5 1,393+23 1,130 -- Flyweight Deep - 74 Impact DEEP
6 2015-05-16 W Kenji Yamanaka SubArmbar R12:21 17.9 1,368+25 1,054 -- Flyweight Deep - 72 Impact DEEP
5 2015-03-07 W Kanta Sato SubArmbar R12:49 17.7 1,284+84 1,272 -- Flyweight Deep - Nagoya Impact: Kobudo Fight 16 DEEP
4 2015-02-01 W Takuya Maruoka SubArmbar R13:21 17.6 1,268+16 924 -- -- Deep - Future King Tournament 2014 DEEP am
3 2015-01-31 W Icho Tomonaga SubArmbar R11:49 17.6 1,242+25 993 -- Flyweight Deep - Future King Tournament 2014 DEEP am
2 2014-03-02 W Kenichi Kimura DecisionUnanimous R210:00 16.7 1,183+60 1,186 -- Bantamweight Deep - Amateur Deep 20: Kobudo Fight DEEP am
1 2014-02-08 W Gaku Sakamoto SubArmbar R13:04 16.7 1,117+66 1,117 -- Flyweight Deep - Nagoya Impact 2014 DEEP am