Result
Bellator 294: Carmouche vs. Bennett 2
· Fri 21 Apr 2023 · Bellator MMA
Danny Sabatello vs Marcos Breno
Elo
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litDanny SabatelloMarcos Breno
1,881
Elo
1,742
1,248
KO rating
1,422
1,332
Sub rating
1,248
1,476
Dec rating
1,252
Wins by
3
KO/TKO
8
4
Submission
5
6
Decision
3
Losses by
1
KO/TKO
0
0
Submission
1
1
Decision
1
The crowd
91%
Picked by
9%
Prices
The close; the outcome that happened is outlinedDanny SabatelloMarcos Breno
-427Moneyline+310
-550Opened+363
+800Win by KO+750
+375Win by sub+1600
-175Win by dec+900
+235Win inside+650
How long it went
Over 1.5-456
Under 1.5+313
Over 2.5-265
Under 2.5+205
Decision-210
Inside+170
What the model makes of it
Every bet →- Does not go the distancethe distance 38% v 35% 1.1% +170 won
- Marcos Breno by Decisionmethod: decision 9% v 8% -0.6% +900 lost
- Marcos Breno inside the distanceinside the distance 12% v 11% -1.1% +650 lost
- Under 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 32% v 30% -1.2% +205 won
- Marcos Brenomoneyline 22% v 21% -1.9% +325 lost
- Marcos Breno by Submissionmethod: sub 4% v 5% -2.2% +1600 lost
- Danny Sabatello by KO/TKOmethod: KO 9% v 9% -2.5% +800 lost
- Marcos Breno by KO/TKOmethod: KO 9% v 10% -3.2% +750 lost
- Danny Sabatello by Submissionmethod: sub 14% v 17% -7.4% +375 won
- Danny Sabatello by Decisionmethod: decision 56% v 52% -7.5% -175 lost
- Danny Sabatello inside the distanceinside the distance 22% v 26% -7.5% +235 won
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Danny Sabatello
13-2 going in · 15 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 2026-07-17 | W |
|
KO/TKORight Hook | R310:40 | 33.3 | 1,883+45 | 1,697 | -877 | Bantamweight | Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 15 RIZIN Fighting Federation |
| 23 | 2026-04-11 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.0 | 1,872+11 | 1,656 | -308 | Bantamweight | Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 13 RIZIN Fighting Federation |
| 22 | 2025-12-30 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.8 | 1,835+37 | 1,942 | -127 | Bantamweight | Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri RIZIN Fighting Federation |
| 21 | 2025-09-27 | W |
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 32.5 | 1,836-1 | 1,791 | -333 | Bantamweight | Rizin FF - Rizin 51 RIZIN Fighting Federation |
| 20 | 2025-05-04 | W |
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R310:20 | 32.1 | 1,779+57 | 1,651 | -333 | Bantamweight | Rizin FF - Otoko Matsuri RIZIN Fighting Federation |
| 19 | 2024-08-16 | D |
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 31.4 | 1,797-17 | 1,608 | -900 | Bantamweight | PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs Professional Fighters League |
| 18 | 2023-11-17 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.6 | 1,815-19 | 1,860 | -134 | Bantamweight | Bellator 301: Amosov vs. Jackson Bellator MMA |
| 17 | 2023-07-29 | L |
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R13:55 | 30.3 | 1,935-120 | 1,799 | -225 | Bantamweight | Bellator MMA vs. RIZIN 2: McKee vs. Pitbull Bellator MMA |
| 16 | 2023-04-21 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:10 | 30.1 | 1,881+54 | 1,742 | -427 | Bantamweight | Bellator 294: Carmouche vs. Bennett 2 Bellator MMA |
| 15 | 2022-12-09 | L |
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 29.7 | 1,855+27 | 1,960 | +150 | Bantamweight | Bellator 289: Stots vs. Sabatello Bellator MMA |
| 14 | 2022-06-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 29.2 | 1,801+53 | 1,805 | -550 | Bantamweight | Bellator 282: Mousasi vs. Eblen Bellator MMA |
| 13 | 2022-04-22 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.1 | 1,736+65 | 1,646 | -412 | Bantamweight | Bellator 278: Velasquez vs. Carmouche Bellator MMA |
| 12 | 2021-05-21 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.1 | 1,611+125 | 1,821 | +200 | Bantamweight | Bellator 259: Cyborg vs. Smith 2 Bellator MMA |
| 11 | 2021-02-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R515:00 | 27.9 | 1,528+83 | 1,556 | -284 | Bantamweight | Titan FC 67: Sabatello vs. Blackshear Titan FC |
| 10 | 2020-11-10 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.6 | 1,445+83 | 1,426 | -620 | Bantamweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2020: Week 9 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 9 | 2020-06-26 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:56 | 27.2 | 1,364+81 | 1,339 | -461 | Bantamweight | Titan FC 61: Sabatello vs. Ramos Titan FC |
| 8 | 2020-05-29 | W |
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R311:54 | 27.2 | 1,286+78 | 1,248 | -- | Bantamweight | Titan FC 60 Titan FC |
| 7 | 2019-12-20 | L |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R419:26 | 26.7 | 1,348-62 | 1,451 | +125 | Bantamweight | Titan FC 58: Rivera vs. Sabatello Titan FC |
| 6 | 2019-08-23 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:41 | 26.4 | 1,309+39 | 1,091 | -- | Bantamweight | Titan FC 56 Titan FC |
| 5 | 2019-06-19 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R11:34 | 26.2 | 1,288+21 | 941 | -- | Bantamweight | War at the Rock 2: FightGame Action Fight League |
| 4 | 2019-03-30 | W |
|
KO/TKOKnock Out | R12:29 | 26.0 | 1,268+20 | 912 | -- | Bantamweight | Underground Cage Fighting Championship 3 Underground Cage Fighting Championship |
| 3 | 2019-02-16 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.9 | 1,203+65 | 1,225 | -- | Bantamweight | War at the Rock 1 Action Fight League |
| 2 | 2018-11-17 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R10:53 | 25.6 | 1,130+73 | 1,073 | -- | Bantamweight | Underground Cage Fighting Championship 2 Underground Cage Fighting Championship |
| 1 | 2018-07-21 | W |
|
SubSubmission | R12:55 | 25.3 | 1,040+90 | 1,051 | -- | Bantamweight | Underground Cage Fighting Championship 1 Underground Cage Fighting Championship |
Marcos Breno
16-2 going in · 19 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2026-09-18 | W |
|
KO/TKOUppercut to Ground Strikes | R10:21 | 28.7 | 1,601+106 | 1,674 | +141 | Bantamweight | LFA 242: Lozej vs. Bittencourt Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 21 | 2024-10-19 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R313:01 | 26.8 | 1,671-41 | 1,879 | +371 | Bantamweight | PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants Professional Fighters League |
| 20 | 2023-04-21 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R29:10 | 25.3 | 1,742-54 | 1,881 | +310 | Bantamweight | Bellator 294: Carmouche vs. Bennett 2 Bellator MMA |
| 19 | 2022-08-12 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 24.6 | 1,674+68 | 1,713 | +130 | Bantamweight | Bellator 284: Gracie vs. Yamauchi Bellator MMA |
| 18 | 2021-07-16 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:56 | 23.6 | 1,566+110 | 1,659 | +134 | Bantamweight | LFA 111: De Sa vs. Bonfim Legacy Fighting Alliance |
| 17 | 2021-02-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunch | R1 | 23.2 | 1,489+77 | 1,446 | -- | Bantamweight | CDL Fight 1 CDL Fight |
| 16 | 2019-12-14 | L |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 22.0 | 1,511-17 | 1,697 | -- | Bantamweight | Ares 1: Urbonavicius vs. Marajo ARES Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2018-10-24 | W |
|
DecisionUnanimous | R3 | 20.8 | 1,532-17 | 1,056 | -- | Flyweight | PFMMA - Pro Fight MMA Brasil 32 Pro Fight MMA Brasil |
| 14 | 2018-10-21 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R14:03 | 20.8 | 1,519+12 | 1,073 | -- | Bantamweight | Acesso Show - The Dog Tower FC 1 Dog Tower Fight |
| 13 | 2018-09-22 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches to the Body | R12:25 | 20.7 | 1,500+19 | 1,137 | -- | Bantamweight | Ragnarok 10: Argentina vs. Brazil Ragnarok MMA |
| 12 | 2018-07-28 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:40 | 20.6 | 1,445+56 | 1,312 | -- | Bantamweight | MBF 1: Massara Brothers Fight Piaui Regional |
| 11 | 2018-04-28 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 20.3 | 1,405+39 | 1,189 | -- | Flyweight | PFMMA - Pro Fight MMA Brasil 40 Pro Fight MMA Brasil |
| 10 | 2017-12-09 | W |
|
KO/TKOTKO | R11:10 | 20.0 | 1,371+34 | 1,124 | -- | Bantamweight | Paradigma Fight Night 5 Sao Paulo Regional |
| 9 | 2017-08-26 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R14:23 | 19.7 | 1,305+67 | 1,220 | -- | Flyweight | Gold Fight 9: Gabriel vs. Escurr Gold Fight |
| 8 | 2017-03-04 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:49 | 19.2 | 1,208+97 | 1,245 | -- | Bantamweight | Glory of Heroes 7: Glory of Heroes Brazil Glory of Heroes |
| 7 | 2016-04-30 | L |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R14:51 | 18.3 | 1,363-155 | 1,007 | -- | Bantamweight | Sidney Sibamba Fight 4 Sidney Sibamba Fight |
| 6 | 2016-04-23 | W |
|
Sub | R3 | 18.3 | 1,326+37 | 1,097 | -- | Flyweight | PFMMA - Pro Fight MMA Brasil 34 Pro Fight MMA Brasil |
| 5 | 2016-01-23 | W |
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R311:52 | 18.1 | 1,272+54 | 1,131 | -- | Bantamweight | Jungle Fight 85 Jungle Fight |
| 4 | 2015-10-24 | W |
|
Decision | -- | 17.8 | 1,252+20 | 1,117 | -- | -- | Pro Fight MMA Brasil Pro Fight |
| 3 | 2015-09-19 | W |
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:23 | 17.7 | 1,211+41 | 1,006 | -- | Open Weight | Elite Fight Night 1 Elite Fight Night |
| 2 | 2015-05-23 | W |
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R11:28 | 17.4 | 1,154+58 | 1,111 | -- | Flyweight | Thunder Fight - Copa Thunder Fight 1 Thunder Fight am |
| 1 | 2015-04-04 | W |
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 17.3 | 1,066+88 | 1,066 | -- | Flyweight | Rio Preto Kombat 3 Amazonas Regional |