Result
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
· Sat 10 May 2025 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Natália Silva vs Alexa Grasso
W
Natália Silva
18-5-1 · -231
1,842Elo
Unanimous decision
R3 · 5:00
30-27 · 30-27 · 30-27
Flyweight
Alexa Grasso
16-4-1 · +196
1,779Elo
Our model
Market said
The scorecards
Every score reads Natália Silva first; a round is coloured for whoever won it| Judge | R1 | R2 | R3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Lee | 10-9 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 30-27 |
| David Therien | 10-9 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 30-27 |
| Jerin Valel | 10-9 | 10-9 | 10-9 | 30-27 |
Media
15 of 15 media members scored it for Natália Silva; the most common card was 30-27 to Natália Silva
Fans
100% of fans had Natália Silva winning, from 68 votes; the most picked score was 30-27 to Natália Silva (89%)
Elo counted this as 98% of a win for Natália Silva — from these scorecards.
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litNatália SilvaAlexa Grasso
1,842
Elo
1,779
1,265
KO rating
1,269
1,275
Sub rating
1,258
1,473
Dec rating
1,410
Wins by
5
KO/TKO
4
7
Submission
2
5
Decision
10
Losses by
1
KO/TKO
0
2
Submission
1
2
Decision
3
The crowd
61%
Picked by
39%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedNatália SilvaAlexa Grasso
-231opened -110
Moneyline
+196opened -110
Method
+900Win by KO+1800
+1600Win by sub+1000
-200Win by dec+275
+450Win inside+700
How long it went
Over 1.5-823
Under 1.5+475
Over 2.5-500
Under 2.5+340
Decision-450
Inside+325
What the betting model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Natália Silvamoneyline 75% v 69% 5.1% -231 +0.43u
- Over 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 85% v 80% 1.9% -500 won
- Goes the distancethe distance 80% v 79% -1.5% -450 won
- Natália Silva by KO/TKOmethod: KO 8% v 8% -2.0% +900 lost
- Alexa Grasso by KO/TKOmethod: KO 3% v 4% -2.0% +1800 lost
- Natália Silva by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 5% -2.5% +1600 lost
- Natália Silva by Decisionmethod: decision 63% v 54% -3.2% -200 won
- Alexa Grasso by Submissionmethod: sub 3% v 7% -6.2% +1000 lost
- Alexa Grasso inside the distanceinside the distance 6% v 10% -6.4% +700 lost
- Natália Silva inside the distanceinside the distance 11% v 15% -6.8% +450 lost
- Alexa Grasso by Decisionmethod: decision 19% v 22% -7.7% +275 lost
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstNatália SilvaAlexa Grasso
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Natália Silva
18-5-1 going in · 24 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 2026-01-24 | W |
 Rose Namajunas
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 29.0 | 1,911-49 | 1,754 | -300 | Flyweight | UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2025-05-10 | W |
Alexa Grasso
this fight
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.3 | 1,842+69 | 1,779 | -231 | Flyweight | UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2024-09-07 | W |
Jéssica Andrade
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.6 | 1,802+40 | 1,710 | -300 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 242: Burns vs. Brady Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2024-02-03 | W |
Viviane Araujo
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.0 | 1,779+23 | 1,600 | -365 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 235: Dolidze vs. Imavov Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2023-08-19 | W |
Andrea Lee
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 26.5 | 1,704+75 | 1,679 | -300 | Flyweight | UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2023-05-20 | W |
Victoria Leonardo
|
KO/TKOPunches & Head Kick | R12:58 | 26.3 | 1,680+24 | 1,361 | -900 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 223: Dern vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2022-11-19 | W |
 Tereza Bledá
|
KO/TKOSpinning Back Kick | R311:27 | 25.8 | 1,582+98 | 1,623 | -155 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 215: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2022-06-18 | W |
 Jasmine Jasudavicius
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.4 | 1,467+115 | 1,579 | +192 | Flyweight | UFC on ESPN 37: Kattar vs. Emmett Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2019-12-28 | W |
Joice Mara
|
SubArmbar | R418:22 | 22.9 | 1,449+55 | 1,313 | -- | Flyweight | Jungle Fight 100: Returning to the Origins Jungle Fight |
| 17 | 2019-10-19 | W |
Gabriela Marçal
|
SubArmlock | R13:34 | 22.7 | 1,423+27 | 1,125 | -- | Flyweight | Jungle Fight 96: Contagem Jungle Fight |
| 16 | 2019-06-08 | W |
Raquel Santiago
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R10:40 | 22.3 | 1,397+25 | 1,089 | -- | Flyweight | Vilsao Team - Fight Club MMA 10 Fight Club MMA |
| 15 | 2018-10-06 | W |
Kênia Santana
|
SubArmbar | R11:55 | 21.7 | 1,327+70 | 1,257 | -- | Strawweight | Jungle Fight Qualifying: Quinto Fight Night Jungle Fight |
| 14 | 2018-05-12 | W |
Ingritt Silva
|
SubArmbar | R26:55 | 21.3 | 1,306+21 | 963 | -- | Flyweight | Vilsao Team - Fight Club MMA 6 Fight Club MMA |
| 13 | 2018-03-10 | W |
Raquel Santiago
|
SubArmbar | R11:04 | 21.1 | 1,274+33 | 1,017 | -- | Flyweight | Vilsao Team - Fight Club MMA 5 Fight Club MMA |
| 12 | 2017-12-22 | L |
Marina Rodriguez
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.9 | 1,298-25 | 1,446 | -- | Strawweight | Thunder Fight 14: Babuino vs. China Thunder Fight |
| 11 | 2017-09-30 | W |
Tarciara Santos
|
SubArmbar | R12:38 | 20.7 | 1,217+81 | 1,190 | -- | Strawweight | Jungle Fight 92 Jungle Fight |
| 10 | 2017-03-18 | W |
Simone Almeida da Silva
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.1 | 1,178+39 | 1,095 | -- | Strawweight | Vegas Fight Night Minas Gerais Regional |
| 9 | 2016-12-17 | W |
Carolina Oliveira
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:32 | 19.9 | 1,104+75 | 1,052 | -- | Flyweight | PCMMA - Patao Combat MMA 1 Patão Combat |
| 8 | 2016-11-19 | L |
Daiane Firmino
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 19.8 | 1,116-13 | 1,324 | -- | Flyweight | Batalha MMA 4: Camoles vs. Malvadeza Batalha MMA |
| 7 | 2016-07-02 | W |
Gabriela Souza
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:22 | 19.4 | 1,024+93 | 1,044 | -- | Strawweight | Spartacus HCC: Champions Challenge Spartacus MMA |
| 6 | 2016-04-15 | D |
Cris Macfer
|
-- | R3 | 19.2 | 950+74 | 1,381 | -- | -- | BH Fight - BH Sparta 8 BH Sparta |
| 5 | 2016-01-16 | W |
Juliana Costa
|
KO/TKOPunch | R13:55 | 18.9 | 832+118 | 959 | -- | -- | BCMMA - Balloutta Combat MMA Minas Gerais Regional |
| 4 | 2015-09-19 | L |
Kenya Miranda
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R12:50 | 18.6 | 882-50 | 1,040 | -- | Flyweight | RFC Caratinga - Ratinho Fighting Championship 2 Minas Gerais Regional |
| 3 | 2015-08-29 | L |
Elaine Leal
|
SubArmbar | R12:00 | 18.6 | 916-34 | 1,162 | -- | -- | BH Fight - A Balada BH Sparta |
| 2 | 2015-08-08 | W |
Carolina Oliveira
|
DQIllegal Elbow Strikes | R14:26 | 18.5 | 916+0 | 1,018 | -- | -- | Minas Gerais Regional Combat Night |
| 1 | 2015-04-25 | L |
Kenya Miranda
|
KO/TKOGround & Pound | R28:26 | 18.2 | 1,000-84 | 1,015 | -- | Strawweight | Fire Cage Super Fight Night 1: GP Montes Claros IS 360 Sport & Entertainment |
Alexa Grasso
16-4-1 going in · 21 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 2026-09-12 | W |
 Manon Fiorot
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.1 | 1,807+59 | 1,967 | +183 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 288: Noche UFC 4 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2026-03-28 | W |
Maycee Barber
|
KO/TKOLeft Cross | R12:42 | 32.6 | 1,710+97 | 1,749 | +160 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 271: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2025-05-10 | L |
Natália Silva
this fight
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.8 | 1,779-69 | 1,842 | +196 | Flyweight | UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2024-09-14 | L |
 Valentina Shevchenko
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 31.1 | 1,867-88 | 1,830 | -134 | Flyweight | UFC 306: Noche UFC: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2023-09-16 | D |
Valentina Shevchenko
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 30.1 | 1,887-20 | 1,810 | +125 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 227: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2023-03-04 | W |
Valentina Shevchenko
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R419:34 | 29.6 | 1,757+130 | 1,940 | +600 | Flyweight | UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2022-10-15 | W |
Viviane Araujo
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 29.2 | 1,678+79 | 1,749 | -235 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 212: Grasso vs. Araujo Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2022-03-26 | W |
 Joanne Wood
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:57 | 28.6 | 1,605+73 | 1,546 | -250 | Flyweight | UFC on ESPN 33: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2021-02-13 | W |
Maycee Barber
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.5 | 1,588+21 | 1,577 | -118 | Flyweight | UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 15 | 2020-08-29 | W |
 Ji Yeon Kim
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,564+23 | 1,355 | -272 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 175: Smith vs. Rakic Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 14 | 2019-09-21 | L |
Carla Esparza
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 26.1 | 1,536+28 | 1,616 | -132 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 159: Rodriguez vs. Stephens Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 13 | 2019-06-08 | W |
 Karolina Kowalkiewicz
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.8 | 1,440+97 | 1,476 | -106 | Strawweight | UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 12 | 2018-05-19 | L |
Tatiana Suarez
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:44 | 24.8 | 1,487-46 | 1,666 | +475 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 129: Maia vs. Usman Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 11 | 2017-08-05 | W |
Randa Markos
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 24.0 | 1,494-7 | 1,459 | -155 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 114: Pettis vs. Moreno Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 10 | 2017-02-04 | L |
Felice Herrig
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.5 | 1,541-47 | 1,368 | -315 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 104: Bermudez vs. Korean Zombie Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 9 | 2016-11-05 | W |
Heather Clark
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.2 | 1,507+34 | 1,269 | -465 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 98: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 8 | 2016-07-29 | W |
Jodie Esquibel
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.0 | 1,471+35 | 1,231 | -425 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 18: Grasso vs. Esquibel Invicta FC |
| 7 | 2015-02-27 | W |
 Mizuki Inoue
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.6 | 1,432+49 | 1,468 | -159 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 11: Cyborg vs. Tweet Invicta FC |
| 6 | 2014-12-05 | W |
Alida Gray
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:47 | 21.3 | 1,341+92 | 1,357 | -248 | Strawweight | Invicta FC 10: Waterson vs. Tiburcio Invicta FC |
| 5 | 2014-09-06 | W |
Ashley Cummins
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.1 | 1,285+56 | 1,237 | -- | Strawweight | Invicta FC 8: Waterson vs. Tamada Invicta FC |
| 4 | 2013-08-31 | W |
Alejandra Alvarez
|
KO/TKOPunches and Knees | R10:36 | 20.1 | 1,219+66 | 1,133 | -- | Flyweight | Xtreme Kombat 20 Xtreme Kombat |
| 3 | 2013-08-31 | W |
Karina Rodriguez
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.1 | 1,149+69 | 1,187 | -- | Flyweight | Xtreme Kombat 20 Xtreme Kombat |
| 2 | 2013-05-11 | W |
Lupita Hernandez
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:12 | 19.8 | 1,079+71 | 1,012 | -- | -- | Fight Hard Championship 3 Fight Hard Championship |
| 1 | 2012-12-12 | W |
Sandra del Rincon
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:15 | 19.3 | 1,028+51 | 873 | -- | -- | GEX - Old Jack's Fight Night Gladiadores Extremos |