Result
UFC on ESPN 46: Kara-France vs. Albazi
· Sat 3 Jun 2023 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Karine Silva vs Ketlen Souza
W
Karine Silva
“Killer”
15-4 · -190
1,656Elo
Sub
R1 · 1:45
Flyweight
Ketlen Souza
“Esquentadinha”
13-3 · +165
1,421Elo
Our model
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litKarine SilvaKetlen Souza
1,656
Elo
1,421
1,173
KO rating
1,139
1,437
Sub rating
1,041
1,168
Dec rating
1,230
Wins by
8
KO/TKO
8
7
Submission
1
0
Decision
4
Losses by
1
KO/TKO
2
2
Submission
1
1
Decision
0
The crowd
91%
Picked by
9%
Prices
The closing prices; the outcome that happened is outlinedKarine SilvaKetlen Souza
-190opened -150
Moneyline
+165opened +130
Method
+400Win by KO+850
+185Win by sub+2200
+240Win by dec+300
-110Win inside+700
How long it went
Over 1.5-206
Under 1.5+153
Over 2.5-110
Under 2.5-120
Decision+120
Inside-150
What the model makes of it
At the prices above Every bet →- Under 2.5 rounds2.5 rounds 58% v 51% 3.8% -120 +0.83u
- Does not go the distancethe distance 63% v 57% 2.7% -150 +0.67u
- Ketlen Souzamoneyline 40% v 35% 2.3% +165 -1.00u
- Ketlen Souza by KO/TKOmethod: KO 12% v 8% 1.6% +850 lost
- Ketlen Souza inside the distanceinside the distance 14% v 10% 1.3% +700 lost
- Ketlen Souza by Decisionmethod: decision 26% v 20% 1.2% +300 lost
- Ketlen Souza by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 3% -2.7% +2200 lost
- Karine Silva by KO/TKOmethod: KO 15% v 16% -5.0% +400 lost
- Karine Silva by Submissionmethod: sub 27% v 28% -8.0% +185 won
- Karine Silva inside the distanceinside the distance 42% v 44% -10.3% -110 won
- Karine Silva by Decisionmethod: decision 18% v 24% -11.5% +240 lost
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Karine Silva
15-4 going in · 21 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2026-04-18 | L |
 Jasmine Jasudavicius
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.4 | 1,620+22 | 1,772 | +270 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 273: Burns vs. Malott Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2025-12-06 | L |
 Maycee Barber
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 32.0 | 1,647-27 | 1,722 | +175 | Flyweight | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2025-08-16 | W |
Dione Barbosa
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.7 | 1,703-55 | 1,417 | -190 | Flyweight | UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2024-11-16 | L |
Viviane Araujo
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.0 | 1,734-31 | 1,577 | -290 | Flyweight | UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2024-04-27 | W |
Ariane Lipski da Silva
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.4 | 1,737-3 | 1,613 | -159 | Flyweight | UFC on ESPN 55: Nicolau vs. Perez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 23 | 2023-08-19 | W |
 Maryna Moroz
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R14:59 | 29.7 | 1,692+45 | 1,506 | -130 | Flyweight | UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2023-06-03 | W |
Ketlen Souza
this fight
|
SubKneebar | R11:45 | 29.5 | 1,656+36 | 1,421 | -190 | Flyweight | UFC on ESPN 46: Kara-France vs. Albazi Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2022-06-04 | W |
Poliana Botelho
|
SubD'arce Choke | R14:55 | 28.5 | 1,620+36 | 1,385 | -127 | Flyweight | UFC Fight Night 207: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2021-10-26 | W |
 Qihui Yan
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R26:44 | 27.9 | 1,519+102 | 1,575 | -260 | Flyweight | Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2021: Week 9 Dana White's Contender Series |
| 19 | 2020-10-31 | W |
Sidy Rocha
|
SubArmbar | R12:16 | 26.9 | 1,467+52 | 1,317 | -- | Bantamweight | SFT 22: Serafim vs. Mara Standout Fighting Tournament |
| 18 | 2020-02-29 | W |
Simone da Silva
|
SubHeel Hook | R13:07 | 26.2 | 1,362+105 | 1,432 | -- | Flyweight | SFT 21: Faria vs. Carrasco Standout Fighting Tournament |
| 17 | 2019-10-26 | W |
Geovanna Eduarda
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R12:00 | 25.9 | 1,317+45 | 1,132 | -- | Flyweight | Cidade da Luta 4 Cidade da Luta |
| 16 | 2019-08-18 | W |
Vitória Ferreira
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:24 | 25.7 | 1,279+39 | 1,059 | -- | Flyweight | Cidade da Luta 3 Cidade da Luta |
| 15 | 2019-05-04 | L |
Dione Barbosa
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.4 | 1,355-76 | 1,289 | -- | Bantamweight | Katana Fight 9: Negao Vs Toco Katana Fight |
| 14 | 2017-12-15 | L |
 Marina Mokhnatkina
|
SubKneebar | R10:58 | 24.0 | 1,475-113 | 1,370 | -- | Bantamweight | Fight Nights Global 81 Fight Nights Global |
| 13 | 2017-07-01 | W |
Juliete de Souza
|
SubTriangle Choke | R28:00 | 23.6 | 1,389+86 | 1,384 | -- | Flyweight | Curitiba Top Fight 11: Girls' Night Curitiba Top Fight |
| 12 | 2015-10-17 | W |
Bruna Rosso
|
KO/TKOElbows | R28:28 | 21.9 | 1,361+42 | 1,159 | -- | Strawweight | Aspera FC 25: Indio Brabo vs. Ribeiro Aspera N1 |
| 11 | 2015-06-06 | W |
Leticia Ribeiro
|
SubArmbar | R14:24 | 21.5 | 1,314+47 | 1,140 | -- | Flyweight | Aspera FC 20 Aspera N1 |
| 10 | 2015-04-04 | W |
Cynthia Cândido
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:58 | 21.3 | 1,276+38 | 1,053 | -- | Strawweight | Aspera FC 17 Aspera N1 |
| 9 | 2014-11-01 | L |
Maryna Moroz
|
SubArmbar | R13:27 | 20.9 | 1,336-59 | 1,451 | -- | Strawweight | XFCI - XFC International 7 Xtreme Fighting Championships |
| 8 | 2014-06-14 | W |
Geisyele Nascimento
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:11 | 20.5 | 1,306+30 | 1,032 | -- | Bantamweight | Aspera N1 Aspera N1 |
| 7 | 2014-05-25 | W |
Patricia Marques
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:33 | 20.5 | 1,274+32 | 1,014 | -- | Strawweight | Aspera FC 7 Aspera N1 |
| 6 | 2014-05-03 | W |
Cintia Nunes
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R10:32 | 20.4 | 1,238+37 | 1,006 | -- | Flyweight | Aspera FC 6 Aspera N1 |
| 5 | 2014-03-15 | W |
Helaine Ribeiro
|
KO/TKOElbows | R14:03 | 20.3 | 1,207+30 | 935 | -- | -- | Victory Iron Girls - Victory 1 Santa Catarina Regional |
| 4 | 2014-02-22 | W |
Marta Souza
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 20.2 | 1,157+50 | 999 | -- | Flyweight | Curitiba Fight Pro Parana Regional |
| 3 | 2013-12-21 | W |
Luana Souza
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 20.1 | 1,133+24 | 1,022 | -- | Catchweight | AFC - Aspera FC 1 AFC am |
| 2 | 2013-12-15 | W |
Bruna Duarte
|
KO/TKOKnees and Punches | R12:03 | 20.0 | 1,073+60 | 1,041 | -- | -- | Full Heroes Battle 5 Full Heroes Battle am |
| 1 | 2013-06-15 | L |
Elaine Albuquerque
|
KO/TKOPunch | R3 | 19.5 | 1,126-53 | 1,271 | -- | Bantamweight | Sparta MMA 7: Let's Do This Santa Catarina Regional |
Ketlen Souza
13-3 going in · 16 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 2026-06-06 | W |
Ariane Carnelossi
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R11:34 | 30.8 | 1,546+37 | 1,317 | -350 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 278: Muhammad vs. Bonfim Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 22 | 2026-02-07 | W |
Bruna Brasil
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 30.5 | 1,528+18 | 1,498 | -150 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 266: Bautista vs. Oliveira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 21 | 2025-08-02 | L |
 Piera Rodriguez
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 30.0 | 1,593-65 | 1,575 | +190 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 71: Taira vs. Park Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 20 | 2025-02-15 | L |
Angela Hill
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 29.5 | 1,569+25 | 1,645 | -117 | Strawweight | UFC Fight Night 251: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 19 | 2024-09-14 | W |
 Yazmin Jauregui
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:02 | 29.1 | 1,451+118 | 1,577 | +475 | Strawweight | UFC 306: Noche UFC: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 18 | 2024-04-27 | W |
Marnic Mann
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 28.7 | 1,385+65 | 1,303 | -335 | Strawweight | UFC on ESPN 55: Nicolau vs. Perez Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 17 | 2023-06-03 | L |
Karine Silva
this fight
|
SubKneebar | R11:45 | 27.8 | 1,421-36 | 1,656 | +165 | Flyweight | UFC on ESPN 46: Kara-France vs. Albazi Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 16 | 2023-01-18 | W |
Kristina Williams
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 27.4 | 1,360+61 | 1,387 | -160 | Flyweight | Invicta FC 51: Tennant vs. Bernardo Invicta FC |
| 15 | 2022-09-28 | W |
 Maiju Suotama
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 27.1 | 1,345+15 | 1,151 | -300 | Flyweight | Invicta FC 49: Delboni vs. DeCoursey Invicta FC |
| 14 | 2021-08-05 | W |
Gisele Moreira
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 26.0 | 1,283+64 | 1,324 | -- | Bantamweight | SFT 28: Mexicano vs. Matsumoto Standout Fighting Tournament |
| 13 | 2021-05-29 | W |
Joane Milen
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R27:03 | 25.8 | 1,247+36 | 1,014 | -- | Flyweight | Star Combat 1: Evento de MMA Star Elite Cage Fighting |
| 12 | 2021-05-14 | W |
Erianny Castaneda
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage | R210:00 | 25.7 | 1,170+77 | 1,127 | -- | Flyweight | Silva Combat Fight 3 Silva Combat Fight |
| 11 | 2020-09-04 | L |
Dayane Cardoso
|
KO/TKOLeg Kicks | R11:21 | 25.0 | 1,251-80 | 1,279 | -- | Strawweight | Mr. Cage Championship - Mr. Cage 42 Mr. Cage |
| 10 | 2019-05-24 | L |
Ariane Carnelossi
|
KO/TKOBody Kick | R313:43 | 23.8 | 1,328-74 | 1,382 | -- | Strawweight | Future FC 5: Alves vs. Ramos Future Fighting Championships |
| 9 | 2019-03-16 | W |
Jéssica Luanna
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:24 | 23.6 | 1,294+34 | 1,048 | -- | Strawweight | Mr. Cage Championship vs. Rei da Selva - Champions vs. Champions Mr. Cage |
| 8 | 2018-07-28 | W |
Rayla Nascimento
|
KO/TKOPunch to the Body | R522:40 | 22.9 | 1,223+71 | 1,159 | -- | Strawweight | Mr. Cage Championship - Mr. Cage 35 Mr. Cage |
| 7 | 2018-03-31 | L |
Fabiulane Melo
|
SubArmbar | R11:56 | 22.6 | 1,376-153 | 1,037 | -- | -- | CSYSL - Coari Champions Coari Champions |
| 6 | 2018-03-10 | W |
Andréia Cerdeira
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R27:50 | 22.6 | 1,319+57 | 1,191 | -- | Strawweight | Mr. Cage Championship - Mr. Cage 34 Mr. Cage |
| 5 | 2017-12-21 | W |
Paula Lira Pontes
|
KO/TKOPunches | R12:55 | 22.3 | 1,298+21 | 953 | -- | Strawweight | Back Fish MMA 2 Back Fish MMA |
| 4 | 2017-09-09 | W |
Davina Maciel
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:39 | 22.1 | 1,195+104 | 1,259 | -- | Strawweight | Mr. Cage Championship - Mr. Cage 29 Mr. Cage |
| 3 | 2017-07-08 | W |
Jamily Solarth
|
KO/TKOKO/TKO | R11:36 | 21.9 | 1,133+62 | 1,028 | -- | Flyweight | Luta Tribal 1: Pacquiao vs. Capoeira Luta Tribal |
| 2 | 2017-05-17 | W |
Rayla Nascimento
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 21.7 | 1,099+34 | 995 | -- | Strawweight | Jovem Pan Fight Night 1 Amazonas Regional |
| 1 | 2016-12-10 | W |
Roberta Camila Rocha
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:39 | 21.3 | 1,011+88 | 1,011 | -- | Strawweight | Arena Fight Championship 2 Arena Fight Championship |