Result
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
· Sat 6 Nov 2021 · Ultimate Fighting Championship
Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler
W
Justin Gaethje
“The Highlight”
22-3 · -212
2,202Elo
Decision
R3 · 5:00
Lightweight
Michael Chandler
“Iron”
22-6 · +175
2,066Elo
Elo
Market said
Tale of the tape
The better of each pair is litJustin GaethjeMichael Chandler
2,202
Elo
2,066
1,770
KO rating
1,492
1,348
Sub rating
1,465
1,547
Dec rating
1,431
Wins by
19
KO/TKO
10
1
Submission
7
2
Decision
5
Losses by
2
KO/TKO
4
1
Submission
0
0
Decision
2
The crowd
78%
Picked by
22%
Prices
The close; the outcome that happened is outlinedJustin GaethjeMichael Chandler
-212Moneyline+175
-184Opened+150
-120Win by KO+450
+2000Win by sub+725
+425Win by dec+525
-135Win inside+330
How long it went
Over 1.5-127
Under 1.5-103
Over 2.5+164
Under 2.5-210
Decision+240
Inside-300
What the model makes of it
Every bet →- Goes the distancethe distance 36% v 27% 6.3% +240 +2.40u
- Over 1.5 rounds1.5 rounds 60% v 53% 3.7% -127 +0.79u
- Justin Gaethjemoneyline 67% v 66% -0.5% -209 won
- Justin Gaethje by Decisionmethod: decision 18% v 15% -1.5% +425 won
- Michael Chandler by Decisionmethod: decision 13% v 13% -3.0% +525 lost
- Justin Gaethje by Submissionmethod: sub 2% v 4% -3.1% +2000 lost
- Michael Chandler by Submissionmethod: sub 9% v 10% -3.3% +725 lost
- Justin Gaethje by KO/TKOmethod: KO 48% v 44% -6.6% -120 lost
- Michael Chandler by KO/TKOmethod: KO 11% v 15% -7.1% +450 lost
- Justin Gaethje inside the distanceinside the distance 50% v 50% -7.9% -135 lost
Common opponents
Everyone both have fought, before this bout, most recent firstJustin GaethjeMichael Chandler
Fight history
Every bout either man has on record, newest first. This one is marked; the rows above it came afterwards and were not known on the night. Amateur bouts are shaded. Blank means we hold no figure, not zero.
Justin Gaethje
22-3 going in · 32 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 2026-06-14 | W |
 Ilia Topuria
|
KO/TKORetirement (Corner Stoppage) | R420:00 | 37.6 | 2,146+142 | 2,397 | +380 | Lightweight | UFC White House - Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 39 | 2026-01-24 | W |
 Paddy Pimblett
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 37.2 | 2,114+32 | 2,064 | +200 | Lightweight | UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 38 | 2025-03-08 | W |
 Rafael Fiziev
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 36.3 | 2,146-32 | 1,911 | +135 | Lightweight | UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 37 | 2024-04-13 | L |
Max Holloway
|
KO/TKOOverhand Right | R524:59 | 35.4 | 2,245-100 | 2,197 | -161 | Lightweight | UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 36 | 2023-07-29 | W |
Dustin Poirier
|
KO/TKOHead Kick | R26:00 | 34.7 | 2,130+116 | 2,246 | +124 | Lightweight | UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 35 | 2023-03-18 | W |
Rafael Fiziev
|
DecisionMajority | R315:00 | 34.3 | 2,160-30 | 1,994 | +195 | Lightweight | UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 34 | 2022-05-07 | L |
 Charles Oliveira
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R13:22 | 33.5 | 2,208-49 | 2,373 | +118 | Lightweight | UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2021-11-06 | W |
Michael Chandler
this fight
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 33.0 | 2,202+7 | 2,066 | -212 | Lightweight | UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2020-10-24 | L |
 Khabib Nurmagomedov
|
SubTriangle Choke | R26:34 | 31.9 | 2,280-77 | 2,323 | +264 | Lightweight | UFC 254: Nurmagomedov vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2020-05-09 | W |
Tony Ferguson
|
KO/TKOPunches | R523:39 | 31.5 | 2,163+117 | 2,286 | +170 | Lightweight | UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2019-09-14 | W |
Donald Cerrone
|
KO/TKOHooks & Uppercuts | R14:18 | 30.8 | 2,093+71 | 2,025 | -182 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 158: Cowboy vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2019-03-30 | W |
Edson Barboza
|
KO/TKORight Hook | R12:30 | 30.4 | 2,009+84 | 1,994 | +110 | Lightweight | UFC on ESPN 2: Barboza vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2018-08-25 | W |
James Vick
|
KO/TKOPunch | R11:27 | 29.8 | 1,916+93 | 1,936 | +120 | Lightweight | UFC Fight Night 135: Gaethje vs. Vick Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2018-04-14 | L |
Dustin Poirier
|
KO/TKOPunches | R415:33 | 29.4 | 2,001-85 | 2,011 | +110 | Lightweight | UFC on Fox 29: Poirier vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2017-12-02 | L |
Eddie Alvarez
|
KO/TKOKnee & Punches | R313:59 | 29.0 | 2,108-107 | 2,028 | -181 | Lightweight | UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 25 | 2017-07-07 | W |
Michael Johnson
|
KO/TKOPunches & Knees | R29:48 | 28.6 | 2,056+52 | 1,908 | +140 | Lightweight | UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 24 | 2016-12-31 | W |
Luiz Firmino
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Swollen Eye) | R315:00 | 28.1 | 2,042+14 | 1,619 | -405 | Lightweight | WSOF 34: Gaethje vs. Firmino World Series of Fighting |
| 23 | 2016-03-12 | W |
Brian Foster
|
KO/TKOLeg Kicks | R11:43 | 27.3 | 2,019+23 | 1,690 | -326 | Lightweight | WSOF 29: Gaethje vs. Foster World Series of Fighting |
| 22 | 2015-09-18 | W |
 Luis Palomino
|
KO/TKOPunches | R29:40 | 26.8 | 1,989+30 | 1,716 | -650 | Lightweight | WSOF 23: Gaethje vs. Palomino 2 World Series of Fighting |
| 21 | 2015-03-28 | W |
Luis Palomino
|
KO/TKOLeg Kick & Punches | R313:57 | 26.4 | 1,944+45 | 1,761 | -415 | Lightweight | WSOF 19: Gaethje vs. Palomino World Series of Fighting |
| 20 | 2014-11-15 | W |
Melvin Guillard
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 26.0 | 1,898+46 | 1,775 | -190 | Lightweight | WSOF 15: Branch vs. Okami World Series of Fighting |
| 19 | 2014-07-05 | W |
Nick Newell
|
KO/TKOPunch | R28:09 | 25.6 | 1,867+32 | 1,604 | -435 | Lightweight | WSOF 11: Gaethje vs. Newell World Series of Fighting |
| 18 | 2014-01-18 | W |
Richard Patishnock
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:09 | 25.2 | 1,856+10 | 1,375 | -900 | Lightweight | WSOF 8: Gaethje vs. Patishnock World Series of Fighting |
| 17 | 2013-10-26 | W |
Dan Lauzon
|
KO/TKOPunches | R26:40 | 24.9 | 1,807+50 | 1,645 | -300 | Lightweight | WSOF 6: Burkman vs. Carl World Series of Fighting |
| 16 | 2013-06-14 | W |
Brian Cobb
|
KO/TKOLeg Kicks | R312:19 | 24.6 | 1,722+85 | 1,713 | -280 | Lightweight | WSOF 3: Fitch vs. Burkman 2 World Series of Fighting |
| 15 | 2013-03-23 | W |
Gesias Cavalcante
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Cut) | R12:27 | 24.4 | 1,634+88 | 1,634 | -130 | Lightweight | WSOF 2: Arlovski vs. Johnson World Series of Fighting |
| 14 | 2012-11-16 | W | Adrian Valdez | KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 24.0 | 1,632+2 | 870 | -- | Welterweight | Rage in the Cage 164 Rage in the Cage |
| 13 | 2012-10-20 | W |
Drew Fickett
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:12 | 23.9 | 1,586+46 | 1,408 | -- | Welterweight | Rage in the Cage 163 Rage in the Cage |
| 12 | 2012-09-29 | W |
Sam Young
|
SubRear-Naked Choke | R2 | 23.9 | 1,577+9 | 1,062 | -- | Welterweight | Rage in the Cage 162 Rage in the Cage |
| 11 | 2012-06-02 | W |
Marcus Edwards
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 23.5 | 1,524+53 | 1,498 | -- | Lightweight | ROF 43: Bad Blood Ring of Fire |
| 10 | 2011-12-17 | W |
Donnie Bell
|
KO/TKOStrikes | R27:57 | 23.1 | 1,481+43 | 1,287 | -- | Lightweight | ROF 42: Who's Next Ring of Fire |
| 9 | 2011-10-01 | W |
Joe Kelso
|
KO/TKOPunches | R14:32 | 22.9 | 1,470+11 | 992 | -- | -- | BTT MMA 2: Genesis Colorado Regional |
| 8 | 2011-08-20 | W |
Kevin Croom
|
KO/TKOSlam | R11:01 | 22.8 | 1,367+103 | 1,429 | -- | Lightweight | ROF 41: Bragging Rights Ring of Fire |
| 7 | 2011-04-15 | W |
Aaron Carter
|
KO/TKOKnees | R3 | 22.4 | 1,339+28 | 1,116 | -- | -- | ROF 40: Backlash Ring of Fire am |
| 6 | 2010-06-05 | W |
Scott Cleve
|
DecisionSplit | R315:00 | 21.6 | 1,357-18 | 1,209 | -- | -- | ROF 38: Ascension Ring of Fire am |
| 5 | 2010-04-17 | W |
Steve Hanna
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:01 | 21.4 | 1,321+36 | 1,152 | -- | -- | FTW - War Fight to Win am |
| 4 | 2009-08-01 | W |
Kevin Gonzales
|
SubArmbar | R11:20 | 20.7 | 1,306+15 | 949 | -- | -- | ROF 35: Summer Brawl Ring of Fire am |
| 3 | 2009-05-15 | W |
Nick Rhoads
|
SubArmbar | R3 | 20.5 | 1,273+34 | 1,088 | -- | -- | Rage in the Cage 127 Rage in the Cage am |
| 2 | 2009-05-01 | W |
Austin Greer
|
KO/TKOPunches | R2 | 20.5 | 1,224+49 | 1,133 | -- | -- | VFC 27: Mayhem Victory Fighting Championship am |
| 1 | 2008-08-02 | W |
Ben DeAnda
|
KO/TKOPunch | R10:27 | 19.7 | 1,158+66 | 1,158 | -- | -- | Battle Under The Stars 1 Colorado Regional am |
Michael Chandler
22-6 going in · 28 bouts on record before this one
Full profile →
| # | Date | Result | Opponent | Method | Round | Age | Elo | Opp Elo | Close | Weight class | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 2026-06-14 | L |
Mauricio Ruffy
|
KO/TKOSpinning Back Kick & Punches | R14:29 | 40.1 | 1,893-86 | 1,897 | +411 | Lightweight | UFC White House - Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 33 | 2025-04-12 | L |
Paddy Pimblett
|
KO/TKOPunches & Elbows From Mount | R313:07 | 39.0 | 1,994-93 | 1,971 | +130 | Lightweight | UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 32 | 2024-11-16 | L |
Charles Oliveira
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 38.6 | 1,998-4 | 2,296 | +210 | Lightweight | UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 31 | 2022-11-12 | L |
Dustin Poirier
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R312:00 | 36.6 | 2,130-78 | 2,168 | +185 | Lightweight | UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 30 | 2022-05-07 | W |
Tony Ferguson
|
KO/TKOFront Head Kick | R25:17 | 36.0 | 2,059+71 | 1,992 | -361 | Lightweight | UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 29 | 2021-11-06 | L |
Justin Gaethje
this fight
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 35.5 | 2,066-7 | 2,202 | +175 | Lightweight | UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 28 | 2021-05-15 | L |
Charles Oliveira
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground & Pound | R25:19 | 35.1 | 2,125-59 | 2,242 | +110 | Lightweight | UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 27 | 2021-01-23 | W |
 Dan Hooker
|
KO/TKOLeft Hook to Ground & Pound | R12:30 | 34.8 | 2,053+72 | 1,990 | +120 | Lightweight | UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 Ultimate Fighting Championship |
| 26 | 2020-08-07 | W |
Benson Henderson
|
KO/TKOLeft Cross to Ground & Pound | R12:09 | 34.3 | 1,972+81 | 1,945 | -234 | Lightweight | Bellator 243: Chandler vs. Henderson 2 Bellator MMA |
| 25 | 2019-12-28 | W |
Sidney Outlaw
|
KO/TKORight Cross | R12:59 | 33.7 | 1,909+63 | 1,810 | -350 | Lightweight | Bellator 237: Fedor vs. Rampage Bellator MMA |
| 24 | 2019-05-11 | L |
Patricio Pitbull
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:01 | 33.0 | 1,999-90 | 1,990 | -212 | Lightweight | Bellator 221: Chandler vs. Pitbull Bellator MMA |
| 23 | 2018-12-14 | W |
Brent Primus
|
DecisionUnanimous | R525:00 | 32.6 | 1,986+12 | 1,702 | -531 | Lightweight | Bellator 212: Primus vs. Chandler 2 Bellator MMA |
| 22 | 2018-04-13 | W |
Brandon Girtz
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R14:00 | 32.0 | 1,961+25 | 1,650 | -785 | Lightweight | Bellator 197: Chandler vs. Girtz Bellator MMA |
| 21 | 2018-01-20 | W |
Goiti Yamauchi
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 31.7 | 1,882+79 | 1,849 | -293 | Lightweight | Bellator 192: Rampage vs. Sonnen Bellator MMA |
| 20 | 2017-06-24 | L |
Brent Primus
|
KO/TKODoctor Stoppage (Ankle Injury) | R12:22 | 31.2 | 2,048-165 | 1,554 | -827 | Lightweight | Bellator NYC: Sonnen vs. Silva Bellator MMA |
| 19 | 2016-11-19 | W |
Benson Henderson
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 30.6 | 2,008+40 | 2,025 | -165 | Lightweight | Bellator 165: Chandler vs. Henderson Bellator MMA |
| 18 | 2016-06-24 | W |
Patricky Pitbull
|
KO/TKOPunch | R12:14 | 30.2 | 1,946+62 | 1,840 | -240 | Lightweight | Bellator 157: Dynamite 2 Bellator MMA |
| 17 | 2015-11-06 | W |
David Rickels
|
KO/TKOPunches | R28:05 | 29.5 | 1,915+32 | 1,652 | -1100 | Lightweight | Bellator 145: Vengeance Bellator MMA |
| 16 | 2015-06-19 | W |
Derek Campos
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R12:17 | 29.2 | 1,884+31 | 1,616 | -550 | Lightweight | Bellator 138: Unfinished Business Bellator MMA |
| 15 | 2014-11-15 | L |
Will Brooks
|
KO/TKOPunches | R418:48 | 28.6 | 1,988-105 | 1,919 | -250 | Lightweight | Bellator 131: Tito vs. Bonnar Bellator MMA |
| 14 | 2014-05-17 | L |
Will Brooks
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 28.1 | 2,008-20 | 1,899 | -1000 | Lightweight | Bellator 120: Rampage vs. King Mo Bellator MMA |
| 13 | 2013-11-02 | L |
Eddie Alvarez
|
DecisionSplit | R525:00 | 27.5 | 2,000+8 | 2,002 | -255 | Lightweight | Bellator 106: Chandler vs. Alvarez 2 Bellator MMA |
| 12 | 2013-07-31 | W |
David Rickels
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:44 | 27.3 | 1,947+53 | 1,803 | -937 | Lightweight | Bellator 97: Chandler vs. Rickels Bellator MMA |
| 11 | 2013-01-17 | W |
Rick Hawn
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R28:07 | 26.7 | 1,857+90 | 1,868 | -201 | Lightweight | Bellator 85 Bellator MMA |
| 10 | 2012-05-04 | W |
 Akihiro Gono
|
KO/TKOPunches | R10:56 | 26.0 | 1,834+23 | 1,506 | -900 | Lightweight | Bellator 67 Bellator MMA |
| 9 | 2011-11-19 | W |
Eddie Alvarez
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R418:06 | 25.6 | 1,681+153 | 2,016 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator 58 Bellator MMA |
| 8 | 2011-05-14 | W |
Patricky Pitbull
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.1 | 1,626+55 | 1,688 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator 44 Bellator MMA |
| 7 | 2011-04-09 | W |
Lloyd Mix
|
DecisionUnanimous | R315:00 | 25.0 | 1,548+78 | 1,738 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator 40 Bellator MMA |
| 6 | 2011-03-12 | W |
 Marcin Held
|
SubArm Triangle Choke | R13:56 | 24.9 | 1,443+105 | 1,512 | -- | Lightweight | Bellator 36 Bellator MMA |
| 5 | 2010-10-14 | W |
Chris Page
|
SubGuillotine Choke | R10:57 | 24.5 | 1,430+13 | 998 | -- | Welterweight | Bellator 32 Bellator MMA |
| 4 | 2010-09-30 | W |
Scott Stapp
|
KO/TKOPunches | R11:57 | 24.4 | 1,382+48 | 1,212 | -- | Welterweight | Bellator 31 Bellator MMA |
| 3 | 2010-05-15 | W |
Sal Woods
|
SubRear Naked Choke | R10:59 | 24.1 | 1,321+61 | 1,214 | -- | Welterweight | Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery Strikeforce |
| 2 | 2009-11-20 | W |
Rich Bouphanouvong
|
KO/TKOPunches | R27:07 | 23.6 | 1,221+100 | 1,269 | -- | Welterweight | Strikeforce - Challengers 5 Strikeforce |
| 1 | 2009-08-08 | W |
Kyle Swadley
|
KO/TKOPunches | R13:30 | 23.3 | 1,127+94 | 1,153 | -- | -- | First Blood Missouri Regional |